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Gold and Silver Rebound Sharply as U.S. Announces $12 Billion Critical Minerals Stockpile.

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0:00

Uh, President Trump has realized that

0:02

and uh, he's been signing executive

0:05

orders ever since he took power last

0:07

year to do with uh, critical minerals,

0:10

to do with uh, mining and all of that.

0:14

The world is turning away

0:17

slowly but surely from financialization

0:20

into hard assets. Tuesday, February 3rd,

0:24

2026.

0:26

Mano 64, home of alternative economics

0:30

and contrarian views. Well, today uh

0:34

we're going to talk about physical

0:36

supply because uh that's the underlying

0:40

reason why silver has done so well

0:44

in the last 12 months or 13 months. And

0:49

uh yes, the volatility we've seen uh not

0:53

just in gold, but especially in silver

0:56

uh these last few days uh was just that

1:00

volatility, a lot of noise, a lot of uh

1:04

big players trying to uh defend their

1:07

positions in the paper market. Yes. Uh I

1:12

was reading uh someone noted that the

1:15

volume uh the other day was so huge that

1:18

it corresponded uh to like uh two times

1:22

the the production of silver in one

1:25

year, right? Uh and how do they do that?

1:28

Well, the the contract size for the

1:30

futures is 5,000 ounces. So you you can

1:34

uh trade as much as you want, especially

1:36

if you have deep pockets like the

1:39

bullion banks. But uh

1:42

we're going to look at a very important

1:44

announcement uh from uh the Trump

1:48

administration, from the White House, uh

1:50

to do with critical minerals because

1:54

while unfortunately a lot of people

1:58

probably got shake shaken off their uh

2:02

silver and gold positions these last few

2:04

days, especially people who have used

2:07

leverage to uh actually not buy real

2:12

gold and silver but to uh buy

2:15

instruments like ETFs, like futures,

2:18

like options. Yes. Um I really think

2:21

it's a silly thing to do in in this uh

2:25

massive bull market in gold and silver.

2:28

We're just beginning. Um, and I'm going

2:31

to show you some charts that long-term

2:34

charts that will will show you that,

2:37

yeah, we're in the beginning. And as

2:40

Jesse Livermore once said, the greatest

2:44

arguably the greatest uh trader ever uh

2:49

he said, "Be right and sit tight." He

2:52

also said that the best trades and uh by

2:57

trade I mean it can be a very long-term

3:01

trade. It's not like a day trade but he

3:03

said that the best trades are not uh

3:08

like uh taken on by the smartest or

3:12

cleverest people. Uh they're taken on by

3:15

the most patient. And I think uh that's

3:20

still paramount in in this precious

3:23

metals uh bull market. Um so we're going

3:27

to look at that some charts. Uh we're

3:30

going to look at what gold and silver

3:31

are doing this morning. Here it's a4 to

3:35

8:00 a.m. London time.

3:38

Uh but before I do, I'd like to thank

3:40

all of you for your interest in the

3:43

channel, for your kind words. Uh yes, I

3:46

try to read the comment section once in

3:49

a while. Uh and I'll keep trying. Uh but

3:54

uh I might not reply to your comments,

3:57

but I see a lot of them. My wife as well

4:00

reads a lot of them and she tells me

4:02

what they're saying. Um and um I also

4:07

recommend that you watch my uh well

4:10

participate in the live streams that I I

4:13

make on on Sunday. at uh 8:00 p.m. GMT,

4:17

which is 3:00 p.m. uh Eastern Standard

4:21

Time in the US. Uh there I try to answer

4:24

as many questions as possible, even

4:27

though the LA last live stream was uh

4:30

amazing. We got over 5,000 people all at

4:33

once watching it and it was tough to

4:37

keep up uh ws.

4:40

Um yeah, thank you so much. For those of

4:44

you who do enjoy the channel and haven't

4:47

subscribed yet, think about subscribing.

4:50

It helps. And also, if you enjoy a

4:53

particular video, uh, make sure you hit

4:56

the like button. So, anyway, uh, back to

4:59

Gold and Silver. And, um, I've noticed

5:01

that the, uh, FT, uh, is come out with

5:06

a, a silly article about silver. Uh, and

5:12

I'm not even going to read, well, I kind

5:14

of read it through, but they're saying

5:16

that it was the retail crowd that

5:18

created the the massive move in the

5:21

silver price. But for those of us who've

5:25

been following what's been going on in

5:27

silver with supply

5:30

with all the silver that's been taken

5:32

out of the vaults of ComX, Shanghai,

5:36

LBMA, we all know that this is much more

5:39

than just retail and uh they're trying

5:43

to paint a picture that this is over and

5:46

uh yeah, let them do that. Um because

5:50

they they did the same thing in 2004.

5:53

They said that u gold was finished that

5:56

it was pointless to hold it. Yes, that's

5:58

an editorial from them from then in 2004

6:02

when gold was at $400 an ounce. So

6:08

read the FT, read the Wall Street

6:11

Journal, read Bloomberg at your own

6:13

peril. Yeah. Uh and I noticed though

6:17

that yes, the bullion banks were heavily

6:19

involved in u the attack paper attack on

6:24

silver and gold in the last few days,

6:27

but uh I see that JP Morgan is still

6:30

calling for like $6,000 or $65,000 gold

6:34

before the end of this this year. And I

6:37

think they're going to be uh wrong in

6:39

that. Uh they're going to be too

6:41

conservative on their price target.

6:45

Uh and uh yes, more importantly

6:51

and we've been telling you guys this uh

6:56

here on the channel and also other

6:58

people in the uh precious metals uh

7:03

like space, sound money space, the

7:06

alternative space, the conspiracy theory

7:10

uh space, right?

7:12

uh that uh yeah there there's a war for

7:16

commodities now and uh we covered that

7:20

here on the channel like almost four

7:22

years ago because there's a guy actually

7:26

uh from within

7:29

the mainstream who worked for the New

7:31

York Fed who worked for a credit su

7:34

Zultan Posar very uh clever analyst who

7:38

was telling us that uh with bricks with

7:41

the world breaking up, with the war in

7:43

the Ukraine, uh commodities are going to

7:46

become a hot item and commodities of

7:49

course are really important as well as

7:52

we're starting to see the critical

7:54

minerals, the rare earths for the yeah

7:59

the technologies that are coming, not

8:01

just AI but electrification and all

8:04

that. uh you need uh these uh rare

8:08

minerals uh rare earths whatever you

8:11

want to call it and for the past 30

8:14

years or so with globalization the west

8:17

has dropped the ball they've allowed

8:20

China to really uh be uh the dominant

8:23

force not just in uh producing these um

8:28

rare earths but also processing them

8:31

into the finished goods but so now Uh

8:35

the US has realized that uh President

8:38

Trump has realized that and uh he's been

8:41

signing executive orders ever since he

8:43

took power last year to do with uh

8:46

critical minerals to do with uh mining

8:50

and all of that. The world is turning

8:52

away

8:54

slowly but surely from financialization

8:57

into hard assets. So uh this was

9:00

announced uh

9:03

here it is announced yesterday

9:06

US to launch a 12 billion critical

9:10

minerals stockpile to counter China's

9:13

dominance. There you go China's

9:14

dominance. US export import bank will

9:18

provide 10 billion in debt financing for

9:21

effort named project vault.

9:25

Um yes uh

9:30

they uh mention here

9:35

all the metals like copper

9:38

uh what else? Copper uh rare earths

9:41

lithium and so on. They don't mention

9:43

silver, but if you go back to this

9:46

article uh on November 6,

9:50

it says US add silver and copper to

9:54

critical minerals list. Yes. Why don't

9:57

they ever mention silver that much?

10:00

Well, because silver is uh really

10:04

important strategic metal and it's

10:06

becoming a monetary metal as well. So,

10:10

uh there you go. Uh,

10:14

a lot of people

10:17

got out of their uh, gold and silver

10:19

probably in the last few days and uh,

10:23

uh, maybe the miners even

10:27

even though President Trump is going to

10:29

provide financing the export import bank

10:32

for mining and uh, it it's hard when the

10:36

market is volatile, people get out and

10:39

then the market rebounds. so quickly

10:42

that it's difficult to get back in. So,

10:45

as I said earlier, uh be right and sit

10:48

tight. Yeah, there are people who say,

10:50

"Oh, you have to hedge uh your

10:52

portfolio." No, that's for

10:54

professionals.

10:55

That that's what hedge funds do. We as

10:58

small investors, we just do our

11:01

homework, do our research and decide

11:04

what we want to do and do it and uh sit

11:08

tight and uh get get through, you know,

11:12

these uh ups and downs uh without being

11:16

shaken off. If anything, we add we add

11:20

on if possible when we see these

11:22

shakeouts.

11:24

But uh yeah, what else uh did I want to

11:28

say? Yes,

11:31

we're going to look at some charts now

11:32

to show you uh a quarterly chart uh of

11:37

gold going back um well to when it was

11:41

fixed at 35 all the way back to the 40s.

11:45

uh uh and uh you can see here that uh

11:50

the breakout we had back in uh yeah it's

11:54

really was

11:57

really in January of last year we broke

12:00

out this trend line that I have here and

12:03

uh it it's taken off since then. Yes. Uh

12:06

the uh correction we've seen recently

12:08

doesn't even show on the chart. And uh

12:12

if you look at the uh bull market from

12:16

2001 to 2011,

12:18

uh that was a much longer uh bull market

12:22

than uh the mar the bull market we've

12:24

had so far after the break of this line.

12:27

And look at the bull market in the 70s.

12:30

Um so what I'm trying to say is we're

12:33

just in the beginning. So, let's move

12:35

over to silver. Silver is the same

12:37

thing. Silver is just taken off a little

12:40

later than gold. Uh, it's traded

12:44

differently, of course. It's been

12:46

suppressed for a lot longer. Yeah. But

12:48

here's the quarterly chart. Uh, yes,

12:51

there's a still a lot of room for for

12:55

silver to

12:57

uh yeah, for that chart to look a little

12:59

more bullish, but it's still bullish.

13:01

And um if you look at what it did in the

13:05

70s

13:06

and the breakout that we have now, we're

13:09

still only in the beginning. We could go

13:11

to a lot higher levels uh in in silver.

13:15

And yes, a lot of people are going to

13:17

come lately. They're going to be shaken

13:20

off. They'll never get into silver

13:23

again. And uh but you you will be like

13:28

holding like a like a rock. That's what

13:31

we need to be. We need to be like the

13:33

rock of Gibralar and let the market uh

13:37

yeah the waves hit us and not react. The

13:41

waves of course uh is the volatility. Uh

13:45

what else have we got? Yes, I I wanted

13:48

to show this chart as well. I've been

13:50

looking at this because even though the

13:53

silver miners have done well, they've

13:56

underperformed

13:57

the uh the bullion. And uh if you look

14:00

at SIL,

14:02

which is a

14:04

silver miner ETF versus silver, uh we're

14:08

at very low levels. And recently we we

14:11

hit the lowest level

14:13

uh ever since this uh ETF has been

14:16

published. Yes. Uh that was uh

14:21

January 26, so about a week ago. And

14:26

even Tavi Costa

14:28

who uh I will have on the channel, he he

14:32

uh noticed this as well and he posted

14:34

this about this ratio. Let's look at

14:37

where the markets are then. Uh it's 8:00

14:40

a.m.

14:42

uh London time. So we've got gold

14:44

actually up $256.

14:48

Yes, it's at 4915. The high's been 4934.

14:52

I I guess 5,000 really is the key now.

14:56

If we can get back above uh that level,

14:59

we'll have to wait and see. There's

15:01

still a lot of water to go under the

15:03

bridge today. The US markets haven't

15:06

really opened yet. Um silver is at

15:10

86.50.

15:12

It's up uh $7 almost 10%. I wonder if

15:17

they going to use the circuit breakers

15:19

to stop silver trading if it goes up

15:22

more than 10%. They probably will. While

15:24

the highs been 87

15:27

and the rest of the markets actually are

15:29

are very quiet. So like the the stock

15:33

market indices aren't really doing much

15:36

and also the currencies uh they're a

15:38

little stronger versus the dollar, but

15:40

not much uh to write home about. Anyway,

15:45

uh, yes, with that, I'm going to wish

15:48

you all a very good day. Take care. Bye.

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