Gold and Silver Rebound Sharply as U.S. Announces $12 Billion Critical Minerals Stockpile.
FULL TRANSCRIPT
Uh, President Trump has realized that
and uh, he's been signing executive
orders ever since he took power last
year to do with uh, critical minerals,
to do with uh, mining and all of that.
The world is turning away
slowly but surely from financialization
into hard assets. Tuesday, February 3rd,
2026.
Mano 64, home of alternative economics
and contrarian views. Well, today uh
we're going to talk about physical
supply because uh that's the underlying
reason why silver has done so well
in the last 12 months or 13 months. And
uh yes, the volatility we've seen uh not
just in gold, but especially in silver
uh these last few days uh was just that
volatility, a lot of noise, a lot of uh
big players trying to uh defend their
positions in the paper market. Yes. Uh I
was reading uh someone noted that the
volume uh the other day was so huge that
it corresponded uh to like uh two times
the the production of silver in one
year, right? Uh and how do they do that?
Well, the the contract size for the
futures is 5,000 ounces. So you you can
uh trade as much as you want, especially
if you have deep pockets like the
bullion banks. But uh
we're going to look at a very important
announcement uh from uh the Trump
administration, from the White House, uh
to do with critical minerals because
while unfortunately a lot of people
probably got shake shaken off their uh
silver and gold positions these last few
days, especially people who have used
leverage to uh actually not buy real
gold and silver but to uh buy
instruments like ETFs, like futures,
like options. Yes. Um I really think
it's a silly thing to do in in this uh
massive bull market in gold and silver.
We're just beginning. Um, and I'm going
to show you some charts that long-term
charts that will will show you that,
yeah, we're in the beginning. And as
Jesse Livermore once said, the greatest
arguably the greatest uh trader ever uh
he said, "Be right and sit tight." He
also said that the best trades and uh by
trade I mean it can be a very long-term
trade. It's not like a day trade but he
said that the best trades are not uh
like uh taken on by the smartest or
cleverest people. Uh they're taken on by
the most patient. And I think uh that's
still paramount in in this precious
metals uh bull market. Um so we're going
to look at that some charts. Uh we're
going to look at what gold and silver
are doing this morning. Here it's a4 to
8:00 a.m. London time.
Uh but before I do, I'd like to thank
all of you for your interest in the
channel, for your kind words. Uh yes, I
try to read the comment section once in
a while. Uh and I'll keep trying. Uh but
uh I might not reply to your comments,
but I see a lot of them. My wife as well
reads a lot of them and she tells me
what they're saying. Um and um I also
recommend that you watch my uh well
participate in the live streams that I I
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Time in the US. Uh there I try to answer
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keep up uh ws.
Um yeah, thank you so much. For those of
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particular video, uh, make sure you hit
the like button. So, anyway, uh, back to
Gold and Silver. And, um, I've noticed
that the, uh, FT, uh, is come out with
a, a silly article about silver. Uh, and
I'm not even going to read, well, I kind
of read it through, but they're saying
that it was the retail crowd that
created the the massive move in the
silver price. But for those of us who've
been following what's been going on in
silver with supply
with all the silver that's been taken
out of the vaults of ComX, Shanghai,
LBMA, we all know that this is much more
than just retail and uh they're trying
to paint a picture that this is over and
uh yeah, let them do that. Um because
they they did the same thing in 2004.
They said that u gold was finished that
it was pointless to hold it. Yes, that's
an editorial from them from then in 2004
when gold was at $400 an ounce. So
read the FT, read the Wall Street
Journal, read Bloomberg at your own
peril. Yeah. Uh and I noticed though
that yes, the bullion banks were heavily
involved in u the attack paper attack on
silver and gold in the last few days,
but uh I see that JP Morgan is still
calling for like $6,000 or $65,000 gold
before the end of this this year. And I
think they're going to be uh wrong in
that. Uh they're going to be too
conservative on their price target.
Uh and uh yes, more importantly
and we've been telling you guys this uh
here on the channel and also other
people in the uh precious metals uh
like space, sound money space, the
alternative space, the conspiracy theory
uh space, right?
uh that uh yeah there there's a war for
commodities now and uh we covered that
here on the channel like almost four
years ago because there's a guy actually
uh from within
the mainstream who worked for the New
York Fed who worked for a credit su
Zultan Posar very uh clever analyst who
was telling us that uh with bricks with
the world breaking up, with the war in
the Ukraine, uh commodities are going to
become a hot item and commodities of
course are really important as well as
we're starting to see the critical
minerals, the rare earths for the yeah
the technologies that are coming, not
just AI but electrification and all
that. uh you need uh these uh rare
minerals uh rare earths whatever you
want to call it and for the past 30
years or so with globalization the west
has dropped the ball they've allowed
China to really uh be uh the dominant
force not just in uh producing these um
rare earths but also processing them
into the finished goods but so now Uh
the US has realized that uh President
Trump has realized that and uh he's been
signing executive orders ever since he
took power last year to do with uh
critical minerals to do with uh mining
and all of that. The world is turning
away
slowly but surely from financialization
into hard assets. So uh this was
announced uh
here it is announced yesterday
US to launch a 12 billion critical
minerals stockpile to counter China's
dominance. There you go China's
dominance. US export import bank will
provide 10 billion in debt financing for
effort named project vault.
Um yes uh
they uh mention here
all the metals like copper
uh what else? Copper uh rare earths
lithium and so on. They don't mention
silver, but if you go back to this
article uh on November 6,
it says US add silver and copper to
critical minerals list. Yes. Why don't
they ever mention silver that much?
Well, because silver is uh really
important strategic metal and it's
becoming a monetary metal as well. So,
uh there you go. Uh,
a lot of people
got out of their uh, gold and silver
probably in the last few days and uh,
uh, maybe the miners even
even though President Trump is going to
provide financing the export import bank
for mining and uh, it it's hard when the
market is volatile, people get out and
then the market rebounds. so quickly
that it's difficult to get back in. So,
as I said earlier, uh be right and sit
tight. Yeah, there are people who say,
"Oh, you have to hedge uh your
portfolio." No, that's for
professionals.
That that's what hedge funds do. We as
small investors, we just do our
homework, do our research and decide
what we want to do and do it and uh sit
tight and uh get get through, you know,
these uh ups and downs uh without being
shaken off. If anything, we add we add
on if possible when we see these
shakeouts.
But uh yeah, what else uh did I want to
say? Yes,
we're going to look at some charts now
to show you uh a quarterly chart uh of
gold going back um well to when it was
fixed at 35 all the way back to the 40s.
uh uh and uh you can see here that uh
the breakout we had back in uh yeah it's
really was
really in January of last year we broke
out this trend line that I have here and
uh it it's taken off since then. Yes. Uh
the uh correction we've seen recently
doesn't even show on the chart. And uh
if you look at the uh bull market from
2001 to 2011,
uh that was a much longer uh bull market
than uh the mar the bull market we've
had so far after the break of this line.
And look at the bull market in the 70s.
Um so what I'm trying to say is we're
just in the beginning. So, let's move
over to silver. Silver is the same
thing. Silver is just taken off a little
later than gold. Uh, it's traded
differently, of course. It's been
suppressed for a lot longer. Yeah. But
here's the quarterly chart. Uh, yes,
there's a still a lot of room for for
silver to
uh yeah, for that chart to look a little
more bullish, but it's still bullish.
And um if you look at what it did in the
70s
and the breakout that we have now, we're
still only in the beginning. We could go
to a lot higher levels uh in in silver.
And yes, a lot of people are going to
come lately. They're going to be shaken
off. They'll never get into silver
again. And uh but you you will be like
holding like a like a rock. That's what
we need to be. We need to be like the
rock of Gibralar and let the market uh
yeah the waves hit us and not react. The
waves of course uh is the volatility. Uh
what else have we got? Yes, I I wanted
to show this chart as well. I've been
looking at this because even though the
silver miners have done well, they've
underperformed
the uh the bullion. And uh if you look
at SIL,
which is a
silver miner ETF versus silver, uh we're
at very low levels. And recently we we
hit the lowest level
uh ever since this uh ETF has been
published. Yes. Uh that was uh
January 26, so about a week ago. And
even Tavi Costa
who uh I will have on the channel, he he
uh noticed this as well and he posted
this about this ratio. Let's look at
where the markets are then. Uh it's 8:00
a.m.
uh London time. So we've got gold
actually up $256.
Yes, it's at 4915. The high's been 4934.
I I guess 5,000 really is the key now.
If we can get back above uh that level,
we'll have to wait and see. There's
still a lot of water to go under the
bridge today. The US markets haven't
really opened yet. Um silver is at
86.50.
It's up uh $7 almost 10%. I wonder if
they going to use the circuit breakers
to stop silver trading if it goes up
more than 10%. They probably will. While
the highs been 87
and the rest of the markets actually are
are very quiet. So like the the stock
market indices aren't really doing much
and also the currencies uh they're a
little stronger versus the dollar, but
not much uh to write home about. Anyway,
uh, yes, with that, I'm going to wish
you all a very good day. Take care. Bye.
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