Fed's "FHLB" Bank is FLASHING RED | Massive Bank Failures Coming.
FULL TRANSCRIPT
Federal Reserve had a baby what you're
going to learn in this video is going to
teach you what that baby looks like and
that baby actually exists and it gives
you some warning signs of which banks
might be knocking on the door of oopsie
dupsies next but first I want you to
understand how close we were to
financial Calamity with Credit Suisse
listen to this the Swiss government
quote was compelled to intervene to save
Credit Suisse as the troubled bank would
not have survived another day said the
Finance Minister of Switzerland Not only
would they have not survived another day
but their entire payment transaction
systems would have not only been
significantly disrupted but could have
potentially collapsed and we could have
more broadly expected a literal and
Global financial crisis quote the crash
of Credit Suisse would have sent other
Banks into the abyss in in other words
one Domino knocks over and lots of
dominoes the banking crisis is very
severe we've got to study it and that's
why we're going to talk about the
federal reserve's baby in this video is
that baby's getting a little bit more
active here and it's something to pay
attention to now all other options were
more risky for the state say they're
Swiss and so taking over Credit Suisse
was very clearly important they could
not allow a restructuring or liquidation
of Credit Suisse they had to intervene
now let's get into it but remember if
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Now 50 of users who are signing up are
using buy now pay later to sign up at
least within the last 24 hours since we
turned on that option obviously we know
we're in the midst of a banking crisis
and there's an institution that not a
lot of folks know about it but it's
actually quite important it is the
federal home loan bank now this isn't
just for home alone as they this a
banking system is actually a banking
system that's chartered by Congress it
operates somewhat like the FED it's sort
of like the next version of the fed the
small like If the Fed had a baby it
would probably be the FED home loan
banking system and the question is who's
borrowing from this and could it be a
signal of potentially which companies
are going bankrupt next take a look for
example at this following chart that I'm
going to pull up here this will show you
loans in 2007 taken out by banks for the
uh or or from the federal home loan
Savings Bank
in 2007 and these highlighted in red
here were banks that didn't make it
and so look at the borrowing that you
had in 2007 and 2007 you had advances of
63.9 billion for WAMU they went under
and ended up being acquired by JP Morgan
Countrywide 18.9 billion they went under
acquired by Bank of America and then you
have the others here as well Merrill
Lynch Wachovia they're gone these
companies absolutely gone I remember
being a child in fourth grade being
invited uh in the school to listen to a
presentation about how important savings
accounts and checking accounts were and
how we should have our parents come to a
Wachovia branch and open up a kids bank
account with them
yeah
they went bankrupt
anyway uh so what is this
ushin and why does it potentially matter
well first of all we have a new chart
that shows us which banks are
potentially at risk of uh of of collapse
as well because of their borrowing from
this institution now uh this institution
is generally considered to be a source
of liquidity we have seen borrowing for
this Bank Skyrocket to 304 billion
dollars in just one week it provides
liquidity so it's basically if a bank is
having problems like you go hey man can
you lend me a little bit of money that's
what they do they're kind of the the
secondary backdrop think of them as like
there's the discount window at the FED
which is kind of embarrassing to go to
because it's public record and then
there's going to the second stop which
is the fhlb which is also
not great
this
uh this banking system by the way the
federal home loan Banks uh set up is is
a private Cooperative so again it's it's
chartered by Congress uh through the
federal home loan Banking Act of 1932 so
it's been around since the great at the
end of the Great Depression era it's
really a network of about 11 Regional
banks in the United States and its
primary purpose is to be a stable source
of low-cost funding for banks
and uh that enables commercial Banks
savings institutions Credit Unions
insurance companies financial
institutions of of other types to be
able to have access to to Capital and
and those loans to make sure the Cog
wheels of the economy keep going now uh
fhl Banks together on the 13th so about
12 days ago we're looking to raise about
64 billion dollars via bonds that's
actually how the fhl makes most of their
money so it's not actually another
quote-unquote fed facility it's actually
another banking system it's a whole
whole other group of banks and they make
money by issuing bonds and people think
those bonds are safe that's why they buy
them providing that liquidity to the
banking system because they believe
they're basically a baby fed and there's
no way they're going to go bankrupt
that's the belief although there's no
such guarantee
now it's worth looking at
that facility this well well the
facility from the FED which is the um I
like to call it the buy the FED pivot
facility but uh it's the bank term
funding program that facility uh the
bank term funding facility plus the
federal Home Loan Bank facility uh will
give us a lot of data into who is
borrowing which banks are actually
borrowing from these facilities
and take a look specifically at this
chart here and you're going to see
Federal Home Loan Bank borrowing from
the bank of San Francisco as of December
31 2022 so this is Q4 which banks
borrowed the most money from the fhl and
it's scary you ready for this
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the most popular all right here we go
you ready for this look at this look at
that look on the left side
do any of those Bank names seem Familiar
of banks that are going to the federal
Home Loan Bank
yeah they do
the first one Silicon Valley Bank well
they went kaput what's the next one so
this one's already gone what's the next
one oh look at that
First Republic Bank oh what do we have
over here is that
silvergate which also went PK how
interesting so this is just the San
Francisco bridge but it shows you
some of the heads up warning signs
that when Banks start going to the fhlb
for loans
it might be a little bit of a red flag
uh that uh that there could be some more
stress coming to the banking system it
is a sign of stress remember Washington
Mutual when when this happened uh the
last time around look at this Washington
Mutual receivership gets bought by Chase
Countrywide Merrill Lynch both purchased
by Bank of America Wachovia bought by
Wells Fargo
these were the ones that one could put
and they borrowed from the a fhlb
just like these right here that are
either kabut or on the cusp of going
kaput
now Reuters is presently reporting that
the uh
fhlb is continuing to experience
heightened demand as Regional Banks look
for more liquidity support and they're
not just resorting to the discount
window with the fed or the F uh the by
the FED pivot facility but they're
actually also going to the federal Home
Loan Bank
that's because everybody right now is
trying to avoid a major banking failure
and this is deemed to be a very
important system for low-cost funding
that enables essentially cheap uh
housing borrowing or or uh you know
cheap credit lines or cheap loans for
startups look at that Silicon Valley was
one of the big borrowers and they were
able to take cheap money and
unfortunately when that cheap money
became expensive money
they went bankrupt
the New York Times reports that Regional
Bank stocks uh have seen a surge in use
pass this Q4 report here even more
substantially than what we see here and
what's reflected and that's because uh
the federal Home Loan Bank uh borrowing
in general has skyrocketed over 300
billion dollars
it's pretty remarkable because when we
consider those numbers they blow
anything out of the past out of the
water
they're just so high
now Mark Cudmore a writer over at
Bloomberg he believes it's actually
ridiculous to believe that a the banking
crisis is so severe that we are going to
need rate cuts and I think that's the
implication out of all of this is if the
banking crisis continues is it possible
that
we are going to crush the economy with
such tight lending standards and the
answer is yes
but what do we have well we have central
banks who are responding with confidence
the bank of Europe well the European
Central Bank had the privilege of going
first after the banking cycle or crisis
and what did they say
banking crisis suck here's your 50 BP
hike then the FED came out what'd they
say banking crisis suck here's your 25
BP hike in other words they're still
hiking in the face of this banking
crisis some say this actually encourages
uh the belief that the banking crisis is
not what you want to be concerned about
and so the market is pricing in rate
cuts by q3q4 because of the belief that
the banking crisis is going to continue
but if the banking crisis goes away
then all you are is focused on inflation
best case scenario the banking crisis
goes away if I could snap my fingers and
the banking crisis would go away and
inflation would go away tomorrow we
would go to the Moon
it's that simple
now if the banking crisis creates a
severe and extended credit Crunch and
people don't have the increased savings
on hand to spend through the the credit
crunch then we got big problems remember
it was Bank of America who reported
that somebody with an average bank
balance of twenty five hundred dollars
to five thousand dollars now had the
honor of having about
thirteen thousand dollars in their bank
account
uh
compared to prior to the pandemic now
okay they didn't actually call that an
honor because it's still not a lot of
money but the the point is uh that uh
people might have an extra four to five
times as much money as they had uh
pre-pandemic and so potentially that
could help people spend through this
recession
assuming the banking crisis ends of
course in the last days we've been
concerned about Deutsche Bank we've been
uh which is five times the size of um
uh Silicon Valley Bank three times the
size of Credit Suisse so
some people are writing that off as
speculation Deutsche Bank is fine Jim
Cramer says Deutsche Bank is fine so it
must be fine
but uh
the idea that these particular banks are
pulling money from the federal Home Loan
Bank
at these elevated levels which often has
been associated with
essentially going bankrupt in the past
it's a little bit scary and it makes me
wonder how that impacts me as as just uh
you know as as anyone really me on
behalf of you as an average everyday
American or even just myself uh and I
think the banking crisis one we do have
to really pay attention to and hopefully
what we're getting from the FED in terms
of the 25 hike the ECB the 50 hike is a
real signal that this banking crisis is
not systemic that this is that this
banking crisis is weeding out the most
risky
and that's it then the pain stops
that's helpful I don't think hope is an
investing strategy but I suppose we'll
see
so somebody here writes I just pulled
500 000 out of my Community Banks and
put it in JPMorgan infidelity
you know I mean I I don't blame you I
think if there's a non-zero chance of a
default why would you be there
so anyway that does it for today's me
Kevin report thanks so much for being
here we're gonna go to the elite
Hustlers live stream soon uh in about 19
minutes after I get some food and we'll
see in the next one goodbye
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