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Fed's "FHLB" Bank is FLASHING RED | Massive Bank Failures Coming.

14m 31s2,441 words367 segmentsEnglish

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Federal Reserve had a baby what you're

0:02

going to learn in this video is going to

0:04

teach you what that baby looks like and

0:06

that baby actually exists and it gives

0:08

you some warning signs of which banks

0:11

might be knocking on the door of oopsie

0:13

dupsies next but first I want you to

0:16

understand how close we were to

0:18

financial Calamity with Credit Suisse

0:21

listen to this the Swiss government

0:23

quote was compelled to intervene to save

0:27

Credit Suisse as the troubled bank would

0:30

not have survived another day said the

0:33

Finance Minister of Switzerland Not only

0:35

would they have not survived another day

0:38

but their entire payment transaction

0:40

systems would have not only been

0:42

significantly disrupted but could have

0:45

potentially collapsed and we could have

0:48

more broadly expected a literal and

0:51

Global financial crisis quote the crash

0:55

of Credit Suisse would have sent other

0:57

Banks into the abyss in in other words

1:00

one Domino knocks over and lots of

1:03

dominoes the banking crisis is very

1:07

severe we've got to study it and that's

1:10

why we're going to talk about the

1:11

federal reserve's baby in this video is

1:13

that baby's getting a little bit more

1:15

active here and it's something to pay

1:16

attention to now all other options were

1:19

more risky for the state say they're

1:21

Swiss and so taking over Credit Suisse

1:24

was very clearly important they could

1:26

not allow a restructuring or liquidation

1:30

of Credit Suisse they had to intervene

1:32

now let's get into it but remember if

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Now 50 of users who are signing up are

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using buy now pay later to sign up at

2:40

least within the last 24 hours since we

2:42

turned on that option obviously we know

2:44

we're in the midst of a banking crisis

2:46

and there's an institution that not a

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lot of folks know about it but it's

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actually quite important it is the

2:53

federal home loan bank now this isn't

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just for home alone as they this a

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banking system is actually a banking

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system that's chartered by Congress it

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operates somewhat like the FED it's sort

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of like the next version of the fed the

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small like If the Fed had a baby it

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would probably be the FED home loan

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banking system and the question is who's

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borrowing from this and could it be a

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signal of potentially which companies

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are going bankrupt next take a look for

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example at this following chart that I'm

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going to pull up here this will show you

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loans in 2007 taken out by banks for the

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uh or or from the federal home loan

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Savings Bank

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in 2007 and these highlighted in red

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here were banks that didn't make it

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and so look at the borrowing that you

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had in 2007 and 2007 you had advances of

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63.9 billion for WAMU they went under

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and ended up being acquired by JP Morgan

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Countrywide 18.9 billion they went under

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acquired by Bank of America and then you

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have the others here as well Merrill

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Lynch Wachovia they're gone these

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companies absolutely gone I remember

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being a child in fourth grade being

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invited uh in the school to listen to a

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presentation about how important savings

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accounts and checking accounts were and

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how we should have our parents come to a

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Wachovia branch and open up a kids bank

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account with them

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yeah

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they went bankrupt

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anyway uh so what is this

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ushin and why does it potentially matter

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well first of all we have a new chart

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that shows us which banks are

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potentially at risk of uh of of collapse

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as well because of their borrowing from

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this institution now uh this institution

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is generally considered to be a source

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of liquidity we have seen borrowing for

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this Bank Skyrocket to 304 billion

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dollars in just one week it provides

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liquidity so it's basically if a bank is

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having problems like you go hey man can

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you lend me a little bit of money that's

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what they do they're kind of the the

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secondary backdrop think of them as like

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there's the discount window at the FED

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which is kind of embarrassing to go to

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because it's public record and then

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there's going to the second stop which

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is the fhlb which is also

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not great

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this

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uh this banking system by the way the

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federal home loan Banks uh set up is is

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a private Cooperative so again it's it's

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chartered by Congress uh through the

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federal home loan Banking Act of 1932 so

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it's been around since the great at the

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end of the Great Depression era it's

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really a network of about 11 Regional

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banks in the United States and its

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primary purpose is to be a stable source

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of low-cost funding for banks

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and uh that enables commercial Banks

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savings institutions Credit Unions

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insurance companies financial

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institutions of of other types to be

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able to have access to to Capital and

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and those loans to make sure the Cog

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wheels of the economy keep going now uh

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fhl Banks together on the 13th so about

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12 days ago we're looking to raise about

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64 billion dollars via bonds that's

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actually how the fhl makes most of their

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money so it's not actually another

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quote-unquote fed facility it's actually

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another banking system it's a whole

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whole other group of banks and they make

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money by issuing bonds and people think

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those bonds are safe that's why they buy

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them providing that liquidity to the

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banking system because they believe

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they're basically a baby fed and there's

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no way they're going to go bankrupt

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that's the belief although there's no

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such guarantee

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now it's worth looking at

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that facility this well well the

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facility from the FED which is the um I

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like to call it the buy the FED pivot

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facility but uh it's the bank term

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funding program that facility uh the

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bank term funding facility plus the

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federal Home Loan Bank facility uh will

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give us a lot of data into who is

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borrowing which banks are actually

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borrowing from these facilities

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and take a look specifically at this

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chart here and you're going to see

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Federal Home Loan Bank borrowing from

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the bank of San Francisco as of December

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31 2022 so this is Q4 which banks

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borrowed the most money from the fhl and

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it's scary you ready for this

7:28

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7:33

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7:34

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the most popular all right here we go

7:46

you ready for this look at this look at

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that look on the left side

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do any of those Bank names seem Familiar

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of banks that are going to the federal

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Home Loan Bank

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yeah they do

7:59

the first one Silicon Valley Bank well

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they went kaput what's the next one so

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this one's already gone what's the next

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one oh look at that

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First Republic Bank oh what do we have

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over here is that

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silvergate which also went PK how

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interesting so this is just the San

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Francisco bridge but it shows you

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some of the heads up warning signs

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that when Banks start going to the fhlb

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for loans

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it might be a little bit of a red flag

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uh that uh that there could be some more

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stress coming to the banking system it

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is a sign of stress remember Washington

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Mutual when when this happened uh the

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last time around look at this Washington

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Mutual receivership gets bought by Chase

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Countrywide Merrill Lynch both purchased

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by Bank of America Wachovia bought by

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Wells Fargo

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these were the ones that one could put

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and they borrowed from the a fhlb

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just like these right here that are

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either kabut or on the cusp of going

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kaput

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now Reuters is presently reporting that

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the uh

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fhlb is continuing to experience

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heightened demand as Regional Banks look

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for more liquidity support and they're

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not just resorting to the discount

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window with the fed or the F uh the by

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the FED pivot facility but they're

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actually also going to the federal Home

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Loan Bank

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that's because everybody right now is

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trying to avoid a major banking failure

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and this is deemed to be a very

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important system for low-cost funding

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that enables essentially cheap uh

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housing borrowing or or uh you know

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cheap credit lines or cheap loans for

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startups look at that Silicon Valley was

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one of the big borrowers and they were

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able to take cheap money and

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unfortunately when that cheap money

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became expensive money

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they went bankrupt

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the New York Times reports that Regional

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Bank stocks uh have seen a surge in use

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pass this Q4 report here even more

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substantially than what we see here and

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what's reflected and that's because uh

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the federal Home Loan Bank uh borrowing

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in general has skyrocketed over 300

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billion dollars

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it's pretty remarkable because when we

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consider those numbers they blow

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anything out of the past out of the

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water

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they're just so high

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now Mark Cudmore a writer over at

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Bloomberg he believes it's actually

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ridiculous to believe that a the banking

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crisis is so severe that we are going to

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need rate cuts and I think that's the

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implication out of all of this is if the

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banking crisis continues is it possible

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that

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we are going to crush the economy with

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such tight lending standards and the

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answer is yes

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but what do we have well we have central

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banks who are responding with confidence

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the bank of Europe well the European

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Central Bank had the privilege of going

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first after the banking cycle or crisis

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and what did they say

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banking crisis suck here's your 50 BP

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hike then the FED came out what'd they

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say banking crisis suck here's your 25

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BP hike in other words they're still

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hiking in the face of this banking

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crisis some say this actually encourages

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uh the belief that the banking crisis is

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not what you want to be concerned about

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and so the market is pricing in rate

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cuts by q3q4 because of the belief that

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the banking crisis is going to continue

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but if the banking crisis goes away

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then all you are is focused on inflation

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best case scenario the banking crisis

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goes away if I could snap my fingers and

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the banking crisis would go away and

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inflation would go away tomorrow we

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would go to the Moon

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it's that simple

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now if the banking crisis creates a

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severe and extended credit Crunch and

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people don't have the increased savings

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on hand to spend through the the credit

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crunch then we got big problems remember

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it was Bank of America who reported

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that somebody with an average bank

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balance of twenty five hundred dollars

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to five thousand dollars now had the

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honor of having about

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thirteen thousand dollars in their bank

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account

12:26

uh

12:27

compared to prior to the pandemic now

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okay they didn't actually call that an

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honor because it's still not a lot of

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money but the the point is uh that uh

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people might have an extra four to five

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times as much money as they had uh

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pre-pandemic and so potentially that

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could help people spend through this

12:47

recession

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assuming the banking crisis ends of

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course in the last days we've been

12:52

concerned about Deutsche Bank we've been

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uh which is five times the size of um

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uh Silicon Valley Bank three times the

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size of Credit Suisse so

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some people are writing that off as

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speculation Deutsche Bank is fine Jim

13:08

Cramer says Deutsche Bank is fine so it

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must be fine

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but uh

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the idea that these particular banks are

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pulling money from the federal Home Loan

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Bank

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at these elevated levels which often has

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been associated with

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essentially going bankrupt in the past

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it's a little bit scary and it makes me

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wonder how that impacts me as as just uh

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you know as as anyone really me on

13:32

behalf of you as an average everyday

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American or even just myself uh and I

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think the banking crisis one we do have

13:39

to really pay attention to and hopefully

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what we're getting from the FED in terms

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of the 25 hike the ECB the 50 hike is a

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real signal that this banking crisis is

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not systemic that this is that this

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banking crisis is weeding out the most

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risky

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and that's it then the pain stops

13:58

that's helpful I don't think hope is an

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investing strategy but I suppose we'll

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see

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so somebody here writes I just pulled

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500 000 out of my Community Banks and

14:08

put it in JPMorgan infidelity

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you know I mean I I don't blame you I

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think if there's a non-zero chance of a

14:15

default why would you be there

14:17

so anyway that does it for today's me

14:20

Kevin report thanks so much for being

14:21

here we're gonna go to the elite

14:23

Hustlers live stream soon uh in about 19

14:26

minutes after I get some food and we'll

14:27

see in the next one goodbye

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