Iran is FREAKING OUT - BEGGING Trump. END IS NEAR.

Israeli military says it's continuing

strikes in central Iran. Iran asked

Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and Oman to ask

Trump to press Israel to agree to an

immediate ceasefire. Exclusive breaking

news just out on Iran. Iran is freaking

out. Quote, "A battered Iran signals it

wants to deescalate hostilities with

Israel and negotiate." This comes after

just this morning uh Russia requests

that Israel stop potentially striking

nuclear sensitive sites that could lead

to some form of nuclear fallout. It also

comes as yesterday there were a lot of

rumors that the United States was uh and

sort of flight trackers that the United

States was sending somewhere around 45

potential refueling aircraft uh to

Europe and then towards the Middle East

to potentially aid in fighter jet

transitions into the region. Mind you,

fighter jets just don't have the fuel

capacity to go back and forth very

frequently uh in the uh Iranian or near

the Iranian airspace. Uh given that

you're you're typically not taking off

from Iraq, which would be right next

door, uh you've got a little bit more of

a commute, so to speak, and and fighter

jets uh need this sort of refueling. So

either this is sort of a pressure tactic

of here's what's coming Iran uh or or

this is some form of just deployment of

strategic assets into the region to be

ready for a broader escalation. I

usually like to say like these very

public movements are usually designed to

force countries into negotiations.

Donald Trump remains optimistic that

some form of deal could be struck. Uh

but uh Donald Trump also sort of throws

up his hands a bit and says uh but they

might have to fight it out a bit more at

the same time as we see those US

refueling aircraft moving over. Uh this

Wall Street Journal report is apparently

now referring to uh Arab intermediaries

who are receiving these signals. Take a

look at this. Iran has been urgently

signaling that it seeks to end

hostilities and a resumption of talks

over its nuclear programs, sending

messages to Israel and the United States

via Arab intermediaries. Uh now there

was also a rumor this morning that uh

Iran might be open to stopping its

nuclear enrichment program which which I

would be a big fan of because I do

believe that Iran is a country we have

to be careful of creating a nuclear

weapon and then not safeguarding it. So

I'm not I'm less concerned about Iran

itself using a nuclear weapon. I'm more

concerned about Iran letting a nuclear

weapon get into the hands of uh you know

these these potential groups in

Afghanistan such as the Taliban. Uh you

could have uh the Houthis get their

hands on it in Yemen. You could have

Hezbollah get their hands on it in

Lebanon. You could potentially even have

Hamas get their hands on a strategic

nuclear weapon in Gaza. Uh and you know

lob one over the border into Israel.

These groups that are basically on on

the verge of complete annihilation would

love the opportunity to reset the

balance of we just used the strategic

nuke. You want to see where more of

those came from? Keep messing with us.

It would g it would be a power gamecher

for these groups and Iran would be the

perfect country to enable that

distribution of weaponry. And this is I

think why Israel has has gotten so

nervous given that we've been told for

decades that Iran has a nuke. Uh but now

the IEA

as well as other international bodies

expecting that potentially Iran already

has uh not just the yellow cake which is

a precursor to uh Iranian nuclear bomb

uh preparations but uh also enough ready

and stored nuclear material to produce

somewhere between three and 15 nuclear

bombs today. In the midst of a ferocious

Israeli air campaign, Tran has told Arab

officials that they would be open to

return to the negotiating table as long

as the US doesn't join the attack. Now,

this is great because it really gives

sort of a little bit of a bow to Donald

Trump, like please, please, anything but

Donald Trump, you know, coming. And and

this gives me again this reiteration

that I personally think this aircraft

deployment from the United States was

purposefully really loud and proud. I

mean, how convenient that the very night

uh you know, the very next morning after

the night that we see this this

deployment, what do we get? Oh, wow. All

of a sudden, uh, you know, Iran is is

open to talking again. Meanwhile, of

course, you know, strikes have been

continuing uh between the two countries.

Here's actually a video of another

launch from uh somebody flying on a

Dubai uh bound aircraft or or leaving

Dubai. Uh, and you could see launches

taking off from Iran. You could really

see the different booster phases here.

You're get you're getting hypersonic

even. Uh, and I mean it's it's really an

incredible sight to see this aircraft

based on sort of the curvature of the

Earth that you can see here, I would

guess, is somewhere at 35 uh to 40,000

ft in the air. Pretty remarkable. Uh,

flying at 45,000 ft, you really see even

more curvature. But anyway, going back

to the story here, uh, but with Israeli

warplanes able to fry fly freely over

the capital and Iranian counterattacks

inflicting minimal damage. Yeah, it is

true. I mean, you're not you're not like

really achieving devastating strikes

against Israel, but let's be clear, you

you are definitely striking Israel. I

mean, neighborhoods in Israel are

getting hit, homes are getting hit in

Israel. uh and it's quite frankly

devastating as as people on both sides

are dying. Now you have BB who argues

that well we're just targeting military

officials. However, there have even been

apartment buildings in Tehran that have

been hit. But then again, you know,

these are things that we're hearing from

vice versa of both sides of uh of media.

For example, there is uh there is talk

that Iran struck a campus for disabled

children in Israel. Uh and you know so

people are showing children's desks with

you know the the little bee icons over

here and wheelchairs uh in destruction

uh and obviously the medical facility

here. Hopefully the expectation is a lot

of these people would have been in a

shelter but again now their medical

facility is interrupted. Of course that

is the uh Israeli POV Iranians are

saying very similar things that hey

you're hitting women and children here

with sort of potentially bombs that are

missing or are indiscriminate. point is

more of these bombs keep flying and it's

true more damage is being conducted to

the Iranian leadership than certainly

the Israeli leadership. There hasn't as

far as I aware really been any kind of

general that has been killed from

Iranian strikes. Whereas numerous

generals of the Iranian Revolutionary

Guard, nuclear scientists uh and and

other chain of command individuals like

the chief director of intelligence for

the country have all all been killed and

executed either through bombs or uh

commandos. Remember, commandos are so

deep inside of Iran right now that we uh

saw uh Iranian uh Israeli commanders

take out Israel Gosh, I'm screwing up my

names here. We saw Israeli commandos

take out Iranian air defenses with

drones that were smuggled into the

country, enabling this Israeli air

superiority. So really Iran is in in a

very tough position to where there are

sort of documented leaks with the with

the New York Times. Uh and I know not

everybody loves the New York Times, but

the New York Times had some documented

leaks where Iranian officials were

essentially, you know,

in text message communications that were

reviewed by New York Times journalists

complaining about why do we have no

control over our airspace? And it really

shows that Iran is at this sort of edge

of potentially regime collapse. Now

remember I have argued you do not want

regime change or collapse. If you have

either change or collapse you could have

a power vacuum which means a worse

regime could come in say the Taliban.

You could also maybe not necessarily

worse maybe equivalent right or just as

bad basically. You don't want that. You

don't want the Taliban having control

over these nuclear facilities. You don't

want a puppet government because the

people of Iran don't want a puppet

government that never lasts, that always

ends up getting overthrown by coup or

otherwise or revolution or whatever. And

you don't want an Israeli occupation

because that would be vastly unpopular

because it would be Gaza 2.0, right? So

all of those options are trash. The best

option here is actually for Iran to be

like, "All right, all right. We're done.

Like we're just not going to enrich

uranium. will agree to weapons

inspections to nuclear facility

inspections. Please stop destroy you.

You win. That's basically what Iran

needs to do. And at this point, it seems

like they're pretty close to that.

Israeli leaders have little incentive to

halt their assault, but do before doing

more to destroy the nuclear sites. Is

this also true that there could also

very well likely now be more attacks by

uh Israel uh to to further weaken the

government while they still can before

achieving a uh uh you know ceasefire.

The impact on nuclear facilities has

been modest so far and uh talk is that

it could take a long air war to get the

results Israel wants. This is the other

thing. A lot of these bunkered locations

uh like the uh uh forom location

are potentially as much as a mile and a

half underground to where you are in a

position where you may not actually be

able to do damage where the the the

deepest uh and largest reserves of uh of

of enriched uranium actually sit. This

is somewhat problematic because

ultimately that is Israel's goal is to

not only destroy these centrifuges uh

and essentially reset their ability uh

to enrich uranium but then also to

potentially destroy these facilities but

again so deep underground it's

challenging. Uh you do have let's see

infographics out from Israel on uh

various different strike locations right

now that they're targeting. This is very

similar to what we saw yesterday. Uh

more infographics out. Strikes on

navigation systems against Israel. We've

got strikes on production sites for

components of aerial defense systems

belonging to the uh Iranian

Revolutionary Guard. Strikes on

planetary mixers used for the production

of surfacetosurface missile engines. I

mean really trying to destroy the entire

supply chain here. Strikes on fuel

production sites for various missiles.

So these would be uh you know like

kerosene uh jet fuel style uh you know

rocket fuel essentially

uh strikes on surfaceto-surface missile

production sites again the supply chain

of uh missile production. Uh Israelis BB

says that attacks will continue until

the nuclear program and ballistic

missiles are destroyed. No indication

he's ready to stop. I actually think

this talk about potentially a ceasefire

has Iran right where Israel wants them

and is is potentially likely to lead to

more attacks. And I think this is why

this morning, just minutes ago, you

know, within the last 10 minutes or so

here, you actually saw uh Israel issue

more evacuation warnings to regions

within Thran, the capital of Iran, where

you're basically telling the citizens in

the region, listen, we're going to start

leveling some of these areas. You saw

what we did in Gaza. GTFO right now

because we're going to keep going here.

Uh and and this talk about Iran

potentially folding,

in my opinion, exacerbates Israel's

desire to bomb faster uh and and and

more collectively here to basically in

their POV get the job done because Iran

Israel is not going to trust an Iranian

ceasefire. Israel is not going to trust

IAEA weapons inspectors. they would

trust their own weapons inspectors, but

I highly doubt as part of a ceasefire,

Iran is going to allow Israeli weapon

inspectors into Iran. Who knows, maybe?

Uh, and then what you'll also find is

here's a Wall Street Journal uh looks

like oped piece here. This is by John

Bolton, so take it for what it's worth.

Iran's war against Israel took another

turn for the worse as Operation Rising

Lion struck Thran's nuclear weapons

program, air defenses, and military

leadership. Iran's retaliation has so

far been uneven and ineffective.

Contrary to the scareongers, World War

II hasn't broken out, nor will it. But

what's next? Right now, they retain

power. That's fine. Despite the outward

appearance of solid authoritarianism,

the regime in Thran faces widening

discontent. Their opposition extends

across Iran and smaller cities in the

countryside where Western jour

journalists congregate. Iran's economy

has been uh poopy dupy for decades and

Israeli strikes on oil refineries may

weaken it further. Citizen protest in

2018 to 19. Uh a heightened nationwide

repression. Uh never trust your economy

to medieval religious fanatics. I mean

here's just basically you know an attack

on the ayatollas and the regime in Iran

which is not a surprise. So, you know,

this broadly in addition to continued

strikes does

bode well for preventing this sort of

nuclear escalation or the potential risk

that uh we're going to see some form of

uh strategic nuclear weapons deployment

here. There is also worth not mentioning

this more recent uh expansion of Iran

using both its military and the Iranian

revolutionary guard which which are you

know separate entities. Uh and so some

images of more launches coming here

although we have seen reports that

initial launches were somewhere around

200 rockets then we went down to 100

then down to 50 then down to 40 then

down to 20. So potentially seeing fewer

rockets launched. I think this is, you

know, a lot of people are saying, "Oh,

Iran is is basically collapsing with

their ability to launch." I think this

is likely because if they try to deploy

200 rockets at a time, too many of their

equipment are exposed while Israel has

air superiority and you see a rapid

destruction uh of their launching

equipment. So, they're preferring

smaller volumes volume volleys I should

say uh with potentially larger

munitions. This is something else that

you're seeing is the potential use of

hypersonics or larger bombs. And this is

this is what's breaking through the

Israeli air defenses uh and Iron Dome uh

capabilities. This is leading some

people to say things like, "Oh, you

know, Israel wants uh to see uh uh you

know, some of these bombs come through

so they can continue to justify their

attacks against Iran." I don't know if

they need any more justification, but uh

here's just another rendering of

Israel's bombardment inside of Thran. Uh

nothing super new there. Again, we saw

that deployment of um uh you know,

United States refueling tankers, but you

do also have reports of fires at air

bases in Israel. So, Israel is taking

damage. You know, yesterday we saw

research facilities struck. We saw homes

and cities. Batyam was hit pretty hard.

You know, that's just south of Tel Aviv.

Uh air bases are being hit. Hifa is

being hit. Uh so, you know, things are

getting through, but uh I think it's

pretty clear right now the country

that's taking the larger L so far is

Iran. Uh now, presently there is talk

that we have uh the Iranian air force

potentially potentially rumors flying

over occupied Palestine. I somewhat

doubt that potential, but I suppose it's

possible. You've got uh video here of an

air strike against a settlement. Uh I'll

find out in just a moment exactly where

this is, but let's take a look at this.

We got about 14 second clip here. O

yeah, again, what looks to be a direct

hit on or at least right in front of

potential apartment buildings here.

Sometimes though, you'll see uh air

defense systems in these regions. Hard

to tell. There was a building here. Let

me see if it's still standing. But

sometimes you see air defense systems

deployed uh directly in front of I can't

see it. Directly in front of uh you know

apartment buildings to sort of shield

them from satellite views from different

angles. Unfortunately, not ideal when

when it damages um

uh you know residences. This was an Iran

Iranian missile missile and apparently

hits the Pat Tikva settlement.

So again, various locations throughout

the country being hip. Uh and in the

meantime, I guess that's kind of a funny

thing. I like funny caption. People

there's this argument that people on

social media are just sort of

documenting the rain from uh either

Lebanon, you've seen this, or Jordan. Uh

one Houthi ballistic missile launch

towards Israel intercepted successfully.

also shows you, you know, Hezbollah has

done nothing to help Iran here and Hamas

hasn't been able to do anything and the

Houthis have launched a very nominal

amount of missiles towards Israel with

the initial volley actually landing in

Palestine, which is exactly what they

didn't want to hit. So somewhat

embarrassing for the uh the the

coalition that supports the Iranian

regime. Uh anyway, here are more photos

of damage from uh Israeli settlements

and locations around Israel. Uh so we

could clearly see residential buildings

hit. Uh you know, vehicles here with

blown out windows uh that appears to be

sort of clothing that's damaged inside

of a residence. I don't know, side of

another building over here. I mean,

these are these are war torn regions at

this point. So, uh, as far as Israeli

defense updates, the latest updates are

that the Israeli Air Force is locating

and neutralizing trucks, uh, smuggling

missiles on their way to Thran. Uh,

since the morning, the Israeli Air Force

has identified several trucks containing

weapons, including trucks transporting

surfacetoair missile launchers. Surface

to air is a SAM. Uh, this is going to be

to try to set up some form of Tehranian

air defense. The problem is even efforts

for Thran and Iran to set up an air

defense is already being taken out by

Israel, which is really embarrassing for

Iran and and likely is going to lead

them to that negotiating table more

rapidly. Um over 50 fighter jets have

recently taken part in destroying over

120 surfacetosurface missiles. This is

from the Israeli Air Force. We have uh

further commentary from the Israeli Air

Force

of

uh the uh homeront command

working to uh uh help clean up uh areas

that have been struck. So, some some

higher depth footage here of uh the

Homeront Command. Sort of this um iconic

uh orange uh relief helmet. know

it's uh really just unfortunate on on

both ends right because there are a lot

of civilians that are involved in this

and I think that's why so many people

are leaving um the uh capital of Iran

expecting this war to continue remember

Israel and it could be a Trumpian POV

Israel has made it clear that they are

open to keeping this going for weeks uh

it's been about 4 days now Friday sat

sunun we're on our fourth day right now

we still don't have a negot negotiate a

resolution. But this initial talk is

very good and very optimistic that uh at

least there are signs that Iran is like,

"All right, let's talk." Remember,

Vladimir Putin and China have both

expressed their interest in aiding uh

the uh Iranian regime in some form of

negotiation. You're also seeing betting

markets currently increase the chance of

a US Iranian nuclear deal this year

which had risen to a low or fallen to a

low of about 22.5% all the way up to

about 45% at the moment. So to me uh so

far this sounds like excellent news.

Donald Trump is at the G7 and uh uh

there is also commentary here that an

Iranian adviser to the revolutionary

guard says that we are ready for long

war and haven't yet made strategic use

of our missile capabilities.

I think this is somewhat rich for the

Iranians to say, but it's also very

common as part of a negotiation to say,

well, we we haven't we haven't brought

out the big guns yet, so you know,

better negotiate while you can. We'll

see. Uh there's also talk that uh the

Iranian president is saying uh to the

Sultan of Om that if the United States

does not restrain Israel, Tran will be

forced to respond more severely. This is

from the Iranian news network. Mind you,

it is highly

uh it has been highly threatened that

Iran is willing to strike American air

bases in like Iraq uh or Baghdad,

which Donald Trump has said would be as

well as JD Vance and others would be a

horrible mistake because the then then

you will draw the United States into

this conflict and quite frankly right

now this is just Israel versus Iran and

Iran is just getting wrecked. Uh again,

not saying there isn't damage coming to

the Israeli side, but let's be clear,

who's winning right now. Uh so

that gives us the latest on the Iranian

conflict. And honestly, it is the first

day that I feel like I'm happy to report

that it seems like things are breaking

uh in the favor of peace rather than

continued warfare. So So I'm happy to be

able to report uh at least that

impression at this moment. Hopefully we

don't get any kind of further

deescalation. On top of that, AMD has

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Congratulations, man. You have done so

much. People love you. People look up to

you. with Kevin Pafra there, financial

analyst and YouTuber, Meet Kevin. Always

great to get your take.