It's Over | The Trump & Republican Win.
FULL TRANSCRIPT
well at this point I think it's safe to
say that Donald Trump is the next
president of the United States and it
looks like rather than getting some form
of Quiet Woman vote coming out we got a
loud dude vote and it was pretty dang
impressive at the time of this recording
Donald Trump has a
91.9% chance of winning according to
decision HQ just
8.1% uh for kamla Harris in addition to
that kamla Harris chances of winning
here were based on the blue wall if she
was going to lose North Carolina and
South Carolina and Georgia which she
essentially did then she needed to
maintain the blue wall Wisconsin
Michigan Pennsylvania all three of these
uh Estates came out for Joe Biden uh and
at the time of this recording with 86%
of the votes in in Pennsylvania and
substantial portions of the vote in in
Wisconsin and Michigan
kamla Harris is way behind all of these
are red there's no blue wall and so the
only wall that so far has been built has
once again been built by Republicans and
you have a red wall not a blue wall and
it looks like you're getting a
republican sweep so we'll talk about
some of the other items that are coming
up here but think about quickly what
that means all of a sudden it means
taxes on unrealized tax capital gains
have no chance of occurring it does
increase the likelihood that we're going
to get tariffs on China or at least some
form of
negotiated tariffs with foreign
countries it does imply that we're going
to potentially have markets pric and
more inflation because when you combine
lower taxes which gives people more
spending money with potentially tariffs
on imported goods you increase the costs
while giving people the capacity to pay
for those higher costs yes you could
slightly increase inflation and
therefore inflation expectations will be
likely to rise bond yields will be
likely to rise on this but you're also
getting a rally in Risk assets uh you've
got indices across the board up over 1%
you've got Dogecoin up over 24% gold is
pretty much flat Bitcoin ran up to
74,000 you're now at all-time highs
oil's down about 1% % because probably
people think that Donald Trump is going
to expand maybe uh we can bring back uh
a Keystone XL pipeline extension maybe
we can continue to Frack or as Viv likes
to say drill baby drill these are going
to be policies that we see under
Republican and red sweep now I'll be
covering these every single day on the
channel and if you're part of the alpha
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easily just go to meetkevin.com Alfa uh
and get yourself that report but think
about this for a moment while Kam Harris
has not yet called in to concede it is
going to happen very soon she's already
asked the press to stop uh uh you know
any coverage on her event from inside of
her event the anxiety is high and the
quietness is uh deafening the silence is
deafening as we like to say uh as you
can see the Electoral College is still
being decided here we can draw together
a map here but this is probably going to
be a
landslide the Senate has already been
called for Republican control and uh
Republicans have already control of the
house and now they are gaining seats on
top of that so it does not look like
you're getting any kind of blue
resistance here although Circle back
saki has said that hey Californians make
sure you get out there and vote so we
have a chance at you know maybe at least
maintaining the house this is
unfortunately kind of a way of them
suggesting okay yeah lost the presidency
is there anything you could do to stop
Trump and quite frankly they've been
trying to stop Trump for many years now
and it looks like America has voted now
this may not represent your views uh but
at this point America has pretty well
dang decided that um Donald Trump is the
winner here and Donald Trump is
presently Heading to Palm Beach Florida
Convention Center to address his
supporters so he'll be there speaking
soon you've got a a watch party going on
at maralago Trump is there David Sachs
is there uh Steve wi is there Tucker
Carlson is there pretty pretty big now
uh what we can do just so you could kind
of see this sort of landslide that's
going on is uh when you remove this blue
wall from Harris over here and you give
this to Republicans you have a landslide
victory of 312 to 226 for Harris even if
Harris ends up pulling out Pennsylvania
which was one of your most critical make
or break ones you're still way be behind
at just 290 you're at 293 for Trump and
Vance Trump and Vance frankly they could
lose uh uh you know Michigan as well
here and you still be at 278 to 260 uh
and both of these right now are leaning
red so this is this is pretty much oops
the wrong one there this is pretty much
u a done deal uh at this point but uh
let's let's consider some of the other
things that we uh learned or found today
uh we learned that Florida denied
legalizing marijuana they denied
abortion protections legalizing those uh
that means you'll be stuck with the sort
of sixe abortion ban in Florida cardano
and risk assets are up cardano up 9%
Doge 24% salana up over 133% Bitcoin up
over 9% Tesla on the Robin Hood after
hours up over
8% you've got Adam Schiff Trump likes to
say Shifty shift in California uh
winning his seat the district attorney
who prosecuted Trump in Georgia did win
her seat again you had shered Brown
losing his senate seat uh in Ohio to a
republican that was one of the P pickups
there Arizona is expected to get
abortion protections California rent
control expansions denied uh however
more criminal penalties uh voted yes uh
so far in
California you've got uh honestly a lot
of a lot the exit poll data that I was
looking at in terms of women I was sort
of tracking this over at ehack uh.com
and a lot of it I I was expecting bigger
moves from women in terms of uh
potential votes for Harris I wasn't
actually seeing those come up seeing a
lot more just male vote uh for uh Trump
uh Trump won certain counties like Anson
County First Time a republican won it
since
1870 first time in over 20 30 years that
somebody won Miami Dade County that was
a republican that was Donald Trump at
the beginning of the day I suggested
that if Donald Trump wins Florida with a
margin of more than
11% he has an 80% chance of winning the
entire election for the entire country
uh
and let's let's let's be clear about
this I said 11% if he beats with a
spread of 11% oh some of my lights are
going off cuz I'm not supposed to be
streaming this
late uh if he beats with a margin of 11%
uh he would end up winning uh with an
80% chance his margin in Florida you
ready for it
13.3% massive slam dunk uh frankly I
think U also this sort of Republican
sweep here this red wave that you're
seeing is probably really good for Real
Estate Investors as well uh you know
lack of potential rent control lower
corporate taxes it's fantastic for a
company like house Haack if you want to
invest in house Haack go to house.com uh
read our PPM over there uh but I mean
Landslide on this Red Wave over here uh
and red wall anyway continuing with some
of the other things that we had uh or
heard rather uh we know that uh treasure
yields up substantially up about 12
basis points they were up even higher
earlier but this is in part due to uh
people pricing in inflation under Trump
again what I described earlier I
actually don't think you're going to
have a big inflation problem which is
good for risk assets as long as you
don't go into recession right you don't
want inflation and you want risk assets
to go up obviously absolent a recession
which is still a possibility right but
that's really a topic for a different
video odds of recessions all going to
come down to when seasonal workers are
laid off and election workers are laid
off what does employment data look like
in q1 a lot of time to go between then
and now right now we just focus on the
election uh and and the reality is it's
it's a decisive
Landslide uh you've got um the
Republican National Committee was
complaining about a 31,000 ballot issue
in Milwaukee this is when one of the U
cabinets to a voting machine uh wasn't
properly sealed like the side door
panels to it weren't properly closed so
they're recounting 31,000 ballots even
though they don't expect an issue I
don't think anybody expects an issue
here Republican National commit
committee was not happy about it they
called it gross incompetence in the area
uh then you also had this Russian bomb
threat where apparently over 30 bomb
threats were called in to various
different locations uh Reuters is
reporting that these were from uh
Russian email do domains I mean it just
seems like straightforward that you
would not use an a Russian email domain
but whatever uh and they targeted uh
areas like Arizona Georgia Michigan
Wisconsin all swing states it is very
common by the way for Russian actors uh
to try to influence elections uh and
create disinformation in America because
the more disunity you get the harder it
is uh to have unity in funding let's say
Ukraine and and Foreign
Wars independent voters by the way
accounted for 34% of the voter
turnout uh independent voter share
exceeds one of the two major political
parties for the first time since uh
Edison polling began in 200 4 wow
Democrats were 32% Republicans 34%
Independents 34% wow that's pretty
incredible uh Pat Tumi earlier called
for a slight Edge to Trump obviously
ended up being a lot more uh than a
slight Edge for Trump uh you've got uh
people worried about democracy on the
election the economy the
Border uh there were let's see
here then we just get into sort of some
polling from earlier in the day which
honestly at this point doesn't so much
matter uh but just to get the absolute
latest the predicted markets were
essentially right uh you know the
betting markets you're at you've been
pricing in Donald Trump for a while now
and quite frankly you got 94.5% here in
Pennsylvania pretty impressive uh you've
got uh this is presidential winner here
you've got uh this was Florida let's go
look at Pennsylvania again 86% expected
in and with 86% expect Ed in uh you have
a 2.8% margin on Trump Pennsylvania 6%
margin Michigan 3.9% margin Wisconsin
with 82% of the votes in I mean this is
a pretty big move uh for Donald Trump uh
and uh also Republicans in the Senate
and the house you've got uh really the
power now to to pass any kind of
Republican legisl uh legislation that
you're looking for uh which could be tax
C Cuts uh no tax on tips uh you could
have the extension of the Trump tax cuts
the tax cut and jobs act not only
limited for those making under
$400,000 worth noting that somewhere
around 60% of Americans benefited from
the 2017 Trump tax cuts and uh there was
a lot of uh uh talk that oh it only
benefits billionaires or blah blah blah
that didn't end up exactly being
true so uh then uh then
we we sent a few tweets uh first of all
shout out to Lex uh saying I just called
the election looks like trev's going to
win but he posted that on on my channel
here just called the that was cool uh so
shout out to Lex really enjoy uh
watching his podcast too but uh what I
wanted to show here was this I wrote
some memes here at this point it's time
for Harris to make a real phone call to
Donald Trump not a camera app call this
this is just a reference to uh there was
a clip of kamla Harris One Clip I got a
picture of her actually on the phone
with her phone on speaker phone but in
another clip you actually had her on her
camera app without the Little Green Dot
implying that she was on the phone so I
don't know if that was either like a
glitch or something but it did look a
little bit sus uh and not
great and uh then uh MSNBC also at one
point complained that bomb threats were
creating a quote Aura of chaos and that
these bomb threats this Russian
disinformation was interfering with
election day uh in case you're wondering
that was actually Rachel M who mentioned
that over on NBC was NBC uh Circle back
saki she was the one that said hey uh go
vote in California there's still time
and uh MSNBC at one point was also
talking about we still have people
standing in lines uh I did actually
tweet that about two hours ago this was
a photo of we still have people in lines
so far it does not look like The Quiet
Woman vote did much here instead we got
the Loud younger Diablo 4
Bros uh and then there's Jens
Saki and
um yeah uh oh yeah kamla Harris campaign
no longer giving comments to the media
per Fox was about an hour ago so uh here
you go this is uh Bitcoin uh at this
point floating around 74,500 and what
appears to be a pretty de decisive move
uh for Donald Trump uh so uh something
else to keep in mind is uh if you have
not yet make sure you go on over to
meetkevin.com / Alpha uh we're we're
over 10,000 of you uh I think well over
at this point but there are well over
10,000 of you that have already signed
up for this free Alpha report your
morning briefing by me you can read more
about the details about what's actually
in the report by going to meet kevin.com
Alfa if you're outside the US click the
little gray button if you're in the US
click the uh yellow button so you can
get those SMS alerts as well don't
charge you anything for it uh so check
that out uh and then if you have not yet
also make sure you check check out
househ hack.com where you have the
opportunity to invest in uh convertible
bonds remember that Tesla did
convertibles in 2014 because they
convert to stock at some point in the
future and you get that upside or or a
good chunk of it uh Tesla's convertibles
converted at an 800% gain now no
guarantees here but check it out you can
read the PPM and agreements here and you
get a yield in the meantime as well so
uh that's uh that's the election not
advertise these things that you told us
here I feel like nobody El knows about
this we'll we'll try a little
advertising and see how it goes
congratulations man you have done so
much people love you people look up to
you Kevin P there financial analyst and
YouTuber meet Kevin always great to get
your take
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