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It's Over | The Trump & Republican Win.

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well at this point I think it's safe to

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say that Donald Trump is the next

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president of the United States and it

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looks like rather than getting some form

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of Quiet Woman vote coming out we got a

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loud dude vote and it was pretty dang

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impressive at the time of this recording

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Donald Trump has a

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91.9% chance of winning according to

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decision HQ just

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8.1% uh for kamla Harris in addition to

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that kamla Harris chances of winning

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here were based on the blue wall if she

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was going to lose North Carolina and

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South Carolina and Georgia which she

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essentially did then she needed to

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maintain the blue wall Wisconsin

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Michigan Pennsylvania all three of these

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uh Estates came out for Joe Biden uh and

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at the time of this recording with 86%

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of the votes in in Pennsylvania and

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substantial portions of the vote in in

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Wisconsin and Michigan

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kamla Harris is way behind all of these

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are red there's no blue wall and so the

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only wall that so far has been built has

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once again been built by Republicans and

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you have a red wall not a blue wall and

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it looks like you're getting a

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republican sweep so we'll talk about

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some of the other items that are coming

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up here but think about quickly what

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that means all of a sudden it means

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taxes on unrealized tax capital gains

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have no chance of occurring it does

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increase the likelihood that we're going

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to get tariffs on China or at least some

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form of

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negotiated tariffs with foreign

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countries it does imply that we're going

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to potentially have markets pric and

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more inflation because when you combine

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lower taxes which gives people more

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spending money with potentially tariffs

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on imported goods you increase the costs

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while giving people the capacity to pay

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for those higher costs yes you could

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slightly increase inflation and

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therefore inflation expectations will be

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likely to rise bond yields will be

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likely to rise on this but you're also

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getting a rally in Risk assets uh you've

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got indices across the board up over 1%

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you've got Dogecoin up over 24% gold is

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pretty much flat Bitcoin ran up to

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74,000 you're now at all-time highs

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oil's down about 1% % because probably

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people think that Donald Trump is going

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to expand maybe uh we can bring back uh

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a Keystone XL pipeline extension maybe

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we can continue to Frack or as Viv likes

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to say drill baby drill these are going

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to be policies that we see under

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Republican and red sweep now I'll be

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covering these every single day on the

2:52

channel and if you're part of the alpha

2:55

report you could also get your Alpha

2:56

report every morning at 6:15 a.m. texted

3:00

to you where you get a one-page update

3:02

on catalysts for options stocks bonds

3:06

crypto historic volatilities implied

3:09

volatilities macro updates or even just

3:12

trends that I'm seeing or things you

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want to pay attention to you could

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easily just go to meetkevin.com Alfa uh

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and get yourself that report but think

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about this for a moment while Kam Harris

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has not yet called in to concede it is

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going to happen very soon she's already

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asked the press to stop uh uh you know

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any coverage on her event from inside of

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her event the anxiety is high and the

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quietness is uh deafening the silence is

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deafening as we like to say uh as you

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can see the Electoral College is still

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being decided here we can draw together

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a map here but this is probably going to

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be a

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landslide the Senate has already been

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called for Republican control and uh

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Republicans have already control of the

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house and now they are gaining seats on

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top of that so it does not look like

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you're getting any kind of blue

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resistance here although Circle back

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saki has said that hey Californians make

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sure you get out there and vote so we

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have a chance at you know maybe at least

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maintaining the house this is

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unfortunately kind of a way of them

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suggesting okay yeah lost the presidency

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is there anything you could do to stop

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Trump and quite frankly they've been

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trying to stop Trump for many years now

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and it looks like America has voted now

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this may not represent your views uh but

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at this point America has pretty well

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dang decided that um Donald Trump is the

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winner here and Donald Trump is

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presently Heading to Palm Beach Florida

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Convention Center to address his

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supporters so he'll be there speaking

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soon you've got a a watch party going on

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at maralago Trump is there David Sachs

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is there uh Steve wi is there Tucker

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Carlson is there pretty pretty big now

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uh what we can do just so you could kind

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of see this sort of landslide that's

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going on is uh when you remove this blue

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wall from Harris over here and you give

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this to Republicans you have a landslide

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victory of 312 to 226 for Harris even if

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Harris ends up pulling out Pennsylvania

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which was one of your most critical make

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or break ones you're still way be behind

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at just 290 you're at 293 for Trump and

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Vance Trump and Vance frankly they could

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lose uh uh you know Michigan as well

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here and you still be at 278 to 260 uh

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and both of these right now are leaning

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red so this is this is pretty much oops

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the wrong one there this is pretty much

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u a done deal uh at this point but uh

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let's let's consider some of the other

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things that we uh learned or found today

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uh we learned that Florida denied

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legalizing marijuana they denied

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abortion protections legalizing those uh

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that means you'll be stuck with the sort

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of sixe abortion ban in Florida cardano

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and risk assets are up cardano up 9%

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Doge 24% salana up over 133% Bitcoin up

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over 9% Tesla on the Robin Hood after

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hours up over

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8% you've got Adam Schiff Trump likes to

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say Shifty shift in California uh

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winning his seat the district attorney

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who prosecuted Trump in Georgia did win

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her seat again you had shered Brown

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losing his senate seat uh in Ohio to a

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republican that was one of the P pickups

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there Arizona is expected to get

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abortion protections California rent

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control expansions denied uh however

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more criminal penalties uh voted yes uh

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so far in

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California you've got uh honestly a lot

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of a lot the exit poll data that I was

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looking at in terms of women I was sort

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of tracking this over at ehack uh.com

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and a lot of it I I was expecting bigger

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moves from women in terms of uh

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potential votes for Harris I wasn't

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actually seeing those come up seeing a

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lot more just male vote uh for uh Trump

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uh Trump won certain counties like Anson

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County First Time a republican won it

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since

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1870 first time in over 20 30 years that

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somebody won Miami Dade County that was

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a republican that was Donald Trump at

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the beginning of the day I suggested

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that if Donald Trump wins Florida with a

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margin of more than

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11% he has an 80% chance of winning the

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entire election for the entire country

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uh

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and let's let's let's be clear about

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this I said 11% if he beats with a

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spread of 11% oh some of my lights are

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going off cuz I'm not supposed to be

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streaming this

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late uh if he beats with a margin of 11%

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uh he would end up winning uh with an

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80% chance his margin in Florida you

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ready for it

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13.3% massive slam dunk uh frankly I

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think U also this sort of Republican

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sweep here this red wave that you're

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seeing is probably really good for Real

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Estate Investors as well uh you know

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lack of potential rent control lower

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corporate taxes it's fantastic for a

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company like house Haack if you want to

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invest in house Haack go to house.com uh

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read our PPM over there uh but I mean

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Landslide on this Red Wave over here uh

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and red wall anyway continuing with some

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of the other things that we had uh or

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heard rather uh we know that uh treasure

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yields up substantially up about 12

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basis points they were up even higher

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earlier but this is in part due to uh

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people pricing in inflation under Trump

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again what I described earlier I

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actually don't think you're going to

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have a big inflation problem which is

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good for risk assets as long as you

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don't go into recession right you don't

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want inflation and you want risk assets

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to go up obviously absolent a recession

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which is still a possibility right but

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that's really a topic for a different

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video odds of recessions all going to

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come down to when seasonal workers are

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laid off and election workers are laid

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off what does employment data look like

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in q1 a lot of time to go between then

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and now right now we just focus on the

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election uh and and the reality is it's

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it's a decisive

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Landslide uh you've got um the

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Republican National Committee was

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complaining about a 31,000 ballot issue

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in Milwaukee this is when one of the U

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cabinets to a voting machine uh wasn't

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properly sealed like the side door

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panels to it weren't properly closed so

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they're recounting 31,000 ballots even

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though they don't expect an issue I

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don't think anybody expects an issue

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here Republican National commit

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committee was not happy about it they

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called it gross incompetence in the area

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uh then you also had this Russian bomb

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threat where apparently over 30 bomb

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threats were called in to various

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different locations uh Reuters is

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reporting that these were from uh

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Russian email do domains I mean it just

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seems like straightforward that you

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would not use an a Russian email domain

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but whatever uh and they targeted uh

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areas like Arizona Georgia Michigan

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Wisconsin all swing states it is very

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common by the way for Russian actors uh

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to try to influence elections uh and

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create disinformation in America because

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the more disunity you get the harder it

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is uh to have unity in funding let's say

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Ukraine and and Foreign

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Wars independent voters by the way

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accounted for 34% of the voter

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turnout uh independent voter share

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exceeds one of the two major political

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parties for the first time since uh

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Edison polling began in 200 4 wow

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Democrats were 32% Republicans 34%

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Independents 34% wow that's pretty

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incredible uh Pat Tumi earlier called

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for a slight Edge to Trump obviously

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ended up being a lot more uh than a

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slight Edge for Trump uh you've got uh

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people worried about democracy on the

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election the economy the

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Border uh there were let's see

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here then we just get into sort of some

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polling from earlier in the day which

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honestly at this point doesn't so much

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matter uh but just to get the absolute

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latest the predicted markets were

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essentially right uh you know the

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betting markets you're at you've been

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pricing in Donald Trump for a while now

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and quite frankly you got 94.5% here in

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Pennsylvania pretty impressive uh you've

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got uh this is presidential winner here

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you've got uh this was Florida let's go

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look at Pennsylvania again 86% expected

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in and with 86% expect Ed in uh you have

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a 2.8% margin on Trump Pennsylvania 6%

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margin Michigan 3.9% margin Wisconsin

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with 82% of the votes in I mean this is

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a pretty big move uh for Donald Trump uh

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and uh also Republicans in the Senate

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and the house you've got uh really the

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power now to to pass any kind of

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Republican legisl uh legislation that

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you're looking for uh which could be tax

12:28

C Cuts uh no tax on tips uh you could

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have the extension of the Trump tax cuts

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the tax cut and jobs act not only

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limited for those making under

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$400,000 worth noting that somewhere

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around 60% of Americans benefited from

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the 2017 Trump tax cuts and uh there was

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a lot of uh uh talk that oh it only

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benefits billionaires or blah blah blah

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that didn't end up exactly being

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true so uh then uh then

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we we sent a few tweets uh first of all

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shout out to Lex uh saying I just called

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the election looks like trev's going to

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win but he posted that on on my channel

13:08

here just called the that was cool uh so

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shout out to Lex really enjoy uh

13:12

watching his podcast too but uh what I

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wanted to show here was this I wrote

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some memes here at this point it's time

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for Harris to make a real phone call to

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Donald Trump not a camera app call this

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this is just a reference to uh there was

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a clip of kamla Harris One Clip I got a

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picture of her actually on the phone

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with her phone on speaker phone but in

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another clip you actually had her on her

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camera app without the Little Green Dot

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implying that she was on the phone so I

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don't know if that was either like a

13:37

glitch or something but it did look a

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little bit sus uh and not

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great and uh then uh MSNBC also at one

13:47

point complained that bomb threats were

13:49

creating a quote Aura of chaos and that

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these bomb threats this Russian

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disinformation was interfering with

13:55

election day uh in case you're wondering

13:57

that was actually Rachel M who mentioned

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that over on NBC was NBC uh Circle back

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saki she was the one that said hey uh go

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vote in California there's still time

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and uh MSNBC at one point was also

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talking about we still have people

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standing in lines uh I did actually

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tweet that about two hours ago this was

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a photo of we still have people in lines

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so far it does not look like The Quiet

14:20

Woman vote did much here instead we got

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the Loud younger Diablo 4

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Bros uh and then there's Jens

14:27

Saki and

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um yeah uh oh yeah kamla Harris campaign

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no longer giving comments to the media

14:34

per Fox was about an hour ago so uh here

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you go this is uh Bitcoin uh at this

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point floating around 74,500 and what

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appears to be a pretty de decisive move

14:49

uh for Donald Trump uh so uh something

14:53

else to keep in mind is uh if you have

14:55

not yet make sure you go on over to

14:58

meetkevin.com / Alpha uh we're we're

15:01

over 10,000 of you uh I think well over

15:04

at this point but there are well over

15:06

10,000 of you that have already signed

15:07

up for this free Alpha report your

15:09

morning briefing by me you can read more

15:11

about the details about what's actually

15:13

in the report by going to meet kevin.com

15:15

Alfa if you're outside the US click the

15:17

little gray button if you're in the US

15:19

click the uh yellow button so you can

15:20

get those SMS alerts as well don't

15:23

charge you anything for it uh so check

15:26

that out uh and then if you have not yet

15:28

also make sure you check check out

15:29

househ hack.com where you have the

15:31

opportunity to invest in uh convertible

15:34

bonds remember that Tesla did

15:36

convertibles in 2014 because they

15:38

convert to stock at some point in the

15:40

future and you get that upside or or a

15:42

good chunk of it uh Tesla's convertibles

15:45

converted at an 800% gain now no

15:48

guarantees here but check it out you can

15:49

read the PPM and agreements here and you

15:51

get a yield in the meantime as well so

15:54

uh that's uh that's the election not

15:56

advertise these things that you told us

15:57

here I feel like nobody El knows about

15:59

this we'll we'll try a little

16:00

advertising and see how it goes

16:02

congratulations man you have done so

16:03

much people love you people look up to

16:05

you Kevin P there financial analyst and

16:07

YouTuber meet Kevin always great to get

16:09

your take

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