Sam Bankman-Fried Margin Called on Robinhood Stock.
FULL TRANSCRIPT
well what do you know Sam bankman fraud
who's been released on bail to spend
time with Mommy and Daddy in Northern
California
apparently wasn't the Jerome Powell that
people thought he was this should be
obvious now after the collapse of the
fraud FTX but Sam bankman freed was
considered a hero when he came and
bought Robin Hood stock back in May of
2022. now Robin Hood has frequently been
trading for near their cash balance as
investors actually look at Robinhood and
think oh my gosh it's possible Robin
Hood could light more money on fire even
though they're trading close to their
cash balance they could light more money
on fire and lose even more investor
capital and the stock has been through
some heck of a roller coaster moving
from somewhere around seven bucks to as
low as six dollars and 81 cents in July
trying to move all the way up to about
12 and then right back to 771 where it
trades today an insane roller coaster
for Robin Hood stock but one of the
reasons people thought Robin Hood was
quite fascinating was because Sam begman
freed bought a lot of Robin Hood shares
he bought over 500 million dollars worth
of Robin Hood in May of 2022 taking a
7.6 stake in Robin Hood yet
unfortunately for Mr Sam bankman freed
also known as sandbankment fraud it
seems like he wasn't much of a Jerome
Powell because see Jerome Powell can
print money without borrowing it and
getting margin called unfortunately Sam
bankman freed actually ended up
borrowing money from Alameda to finance
his purchase of Robin Hood shares and
now the bankrupt firm blackfied
is suing Sam bankman freed for his Robin
Hood shares alleging that block fight is
owed the shares that uh that that Sam
Beekman freed bought because those
shares were pledged to block Phi to
guarantee that Alameda would follow
through on the deal with block five now
this is a really interesting twist
because it could put substantial selling
pressure on Robinhood because obviously
if blockfi is going through bankruptcy
and they're trying to survive that
bankruptcy if they can claw Sam bankman
Freed's Robin Hood shares which is
probably the only net worth
sandbagmatfried has left if he could if
if a blockfi can take those shares it's
very likely that blockify would dump
those shares on the market probably not
through a Robin Hood kind of platform
probably through a wall street block
trade but the point is there'd be a
substantial increase in the amount of
share is available for sale for Robin
Hood and you can see a substantial shift
down in Robinhood share price now that
could be good news for Block fi as that
money would then go to try to help bail
block fight out but this is a very
interesting allegation that all of a
sudden you have
blockify suggesting that Sam bankman
freed borrowed the money from Alameda
via four personal promissory notes
in order for him to buy shares of Robin
Hood now when we look at the
fundamentals of Robin Hood they're the
biggest red flag that you have is that
Robin Hood makes money from Trading
right and when Robin Hood makes money
from Trading
it wants to see people trade more
problem is when you go into a recession
people tend to do one of two things they
capitulate sell out and sit on the
sidelines and usually they miss the
recovery
or they huddle stop trading altogether
because they're frustrated by the market
they stick their heads in the sand maybe
occasionally add by buying the dip
potentially by using Diversified
actively managed ETFs or index funds or
whatever and you don't actually see much
trading activity so you have some really
big red flags for trading for investing
in brokerages like Robinhood so from a
fundamental point of view that's a big
concern now some other things that you
have here is uh well and I do want to
see you or say here you could see
transactions plummeting right look at
this transactions down 22.1 percent or
transaction Revenue down 22.1 percent
from the three months ending September
30th 2021 to 2022. it's a big hit now
they are seeing a nice move up in
interest revenues however Robin Hood is
kind of playing a race to the top game
with to compete against companies like
Sofi and wealth front because Robin Hood
is now offering to pay somewhere over
3.7 I think it actually is 3.75 on your
cash that you have deposited with
Robinhood and I think wealthfront is now
a little over four percent so you've got
a lot of big yield opportunities you're
fighting with but that's going to in my
opinion decrease the net interest
revenues for Robinhood as they start
coming out with these new products
pitching hey we're gonna offer you a
larger uh interest rate on your savings
with Robinhood now remember Vlad tennev
actually came on the channel here to
pitch that they were going to offer a
higher yield on their interest bearing
accounts so their checking accounts over
at Robinhood basically uh and uh they
announced this on September 23rd which
you'll notice September 23rd is actually
a week before the end of this quarter so
in my opinion the net interest revenues
for Robinhood are probably going to go
down because they went from paying
virtually nothing to paying
3.75 percent so I would not be surprised
to see their transaction revenues
plummet and their net interest revenues
plummet now the good news for Robinhood
is they are trying to cut spending look
at this their technology and development
sector they used they spent 679 million
in 2021 in the third quarter only 185
here in the third quarter they're still
losing money but only 20 cents could you
imagine Robin Hood At profitability I
don't know when that net interest
Revenue goes down probably not but
otherwise they almost got close to
profitability here and that's why I
wrote imagine Robin Hood At
profitability but again this is a big
red flag because of those net interest
revenues I think there are going to come
plummeting down so uh again you'd have
to cut substantially here and you'd
still be sitting in in a negative
situation unfortunately these are some
notes that I took in my course member
live stream with course members we often
do fundamental analysis if you want to
join in those fun fundamental analysis
check out the programs on building your
wealth link down below there's a coupon
code expiring on the 27th of December
including the shadow Kevin for a Day
Option but anyway initially I believe
that in terms of user growth and I still
believe this the 3.75 will help a lot
it's kind of like free marketing but
unfortunately that free marketing is
going to come with the downside that
their net interest revenue is going to
decline so even if you were able to cut
a little bit more expenses over here and
you were able to bring them to
profitability which you're not exactly
close to that right now right you have
174 million dollars of cuts you have to
do that's like even if you had zero net
interest Revenue you you'd still be in a
or I'm sorry let me put it this way if
you doubled your net interest Revenue
you would still be at a loss at Revenue
so I I don't think you're gonna or you
know a loss of income so I don't think
you're going to be at profitability
anytime soon for Robinhood so
unfortunately when it comes to Robinhood
stock I think you have quite a few
negative cash fabulous ahead of you a I
think that Sam bakeman fraud Shares are
probably going to get Plum pummeled onto
the market through bankruptcy hearings
and you could see Robin Hood go to three
dollars and fifty cents or potentially
even less I hate to say it but but that
selling pressure is going to be huge on
top of that in the next earnings report
you're probably going to see net
interest revenues plummet potentially as
low as uh I I would guess
a lower level than what we had over here
when they were at 63 million I hate to
say but it could probably go below that
it would be odd for it to go up because
I don't know how they would be paying
out while still farming these these high
yields it would really be dependent on
users just for some reason not signing
up for those higher yields of course
that's Robin Hood's play is that more
people sign up for those higher yields
they pay five bucks a month and then
maybe they'll start making money off of
the five bucks a month but let's be real
the five bucks a month belongs over here
in the other section of Revenue and the
other section of Revenue is on a
downtrend they were at 35 mil in other
rev now they're sitting at 25. so it's
just looking a little gloomy for Tesla
or not Tesla Tesla's looking really
gloomy today that sucker's down like 11
it's just looking really gloomy for
Robin Hood from a fundamental point of
view whereas things are actually
fundamentally looking great for Tesla
it's just going through
hell that's all I that's that's all I
could describe that is it is the most
amount of paper handing ever anyway
luck out there hope you appreciate some
fundamentals because one day they'll
come true
#not guaranteed my opinion only thanks
bye
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