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Debt Ceiling Disaster *JUST* Flipped | Dollar Collapse.

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well there's a lot of fear and drama and uncertainty and a doubt about the debt

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ceiling about whether or not the debt ceiling is going to get extended are we

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going to have a massive market crash in capitulation because the recession

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begins right around the same time that we start fighting about the debt ceiling

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we're expecting to hit what's known as the X date between July and September

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but before you mark your calendars about July and September

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thank you for being here and we might not actually need to get to July and

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September because Kevin McCarthy has just

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revealed the potential ballpark outline of a plan that he has we don't have

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complete details of the plan yet Kevin McCarthy will be showboating about his

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plan on Monday at the New York Stock Exchange and we'll be getting more

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details on his plan but he did just unveil unveil a plan and why does Kevin

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McCarthy matter well because he is the Speaker of the House

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the Democrats obviously want to extend the debt ceiling the Democrats control

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the Senate the Democrats control the administration and the White House Biden

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Administration as a result you have Democrats who say we should just extend

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the debt ceiling without any limit and no conditions we should just raise our

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borrowing Authority and allow us to spend more money on whatever we want if

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we want to send another couple hundred billies over to Ukraine we can do that

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well there's a balance of power again we have a divided Congress and Kevin

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McCarthy on the right in the house says you know what we need spending cuts we

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can't keep spending like drunken Sailors no offense to Sailors can't keep

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spending money like this and just raising the debt ceiling willy-nilly we

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need to start cutting back and so Kevin McCarthy has been pretty

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set on not unconditionally extending the debt ceiling and this has led to a lot

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of nervousness that oh my gosh what if this is the year

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the United States defaults on its debts which Jerome Powell would who's the

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chairperson of the Federal Reserve says would be a financial catastrophe other

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bankers and individuals we could play countless people on TV saying it would

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be hell the market would crash we'd be going into a deep recession the dollar

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would plummet nobody would believe in U.S treasuries anymore the Petro dollar

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might explode China might take over everything dies if we don't extend the

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debt ceiling all this drama and quite frankly we've extended the debt ceiling

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78 times before so it's expected to get extended again but now we actually have

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a plan and so the plan from Kevin McCarthy is the following

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we won't raise the debt ceiling we'll extend the debt ceiling just one more

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year we'll have a vote in late May and we'll vote just to give an extension

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until 2024 because yeah that's not raising the debt ceiling it's just an

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extension it's marketing it's raising the debt ceiling okay and what we want

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in order to get that are concessions now and then another set of concessions next

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May before the election in 2024. basically in English now that ceiling is

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probably going to get raised and it looks like it's actually going to get

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raised before it even becomes a problem given that Kevin McCarthy is actually

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putting on some level of reasonableness by trying to negotiate this earlier

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rather than at the last minute so look from the in the middle point of view

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here you got to give some credit to Kevin McCarthy for at least starting

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this plan earlier thank goodness it's not a last minute plan this is a good

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thing so you got to get some credit here it's possible they're doing this on

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purpose even though technically they will be giving in and raising the debt

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ceiling it's possible they want Kevin McCarthy to be seen as somebody who's

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actually bringing stability to American politics because nobody really trusts

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American politics and by bringing stability to American politics maybe in

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the 2024 election people will remember I highly doubt it but maybe people

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remember hmm Kevin McCarthy wasn't a loose cannon maybe Republicans aren't

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that bad right that I think when you're looking at sort of your independent and

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your on the margin voters that might be a consideration so really America as a

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whole wins because the debt ceiling crisis is postponed before potentially

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causing massive Market turmoil and more uncertainty in an already rough time

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heavily inverted yield curve which is a signal of recession at our doorstep a

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banking crisis Mass layoffs beginning it's a massive mess

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so Republicans here might actually be pulling off a pretty good move now their

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proposal is that non-defense discretionary spending ndd for 2023 is

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to stay flat and grow at only one percent for the next 10 years it's

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basically trying to put a limit on the amount of money the government can spend

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now let's understand what ndd is because it's a little complicated but I'll make

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it as simple as possible there are two types of spending think about it this

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way every week you have to pay or every month you have to pay your rent and you

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have to pay your groceries and and you basically have certain mandatory

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expenses right in your own households these are things you have to spend money

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on no matter what that think of as a mandatory expense for the government

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mandatory expenses are things like Medicare Medicaid Social Security

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unemployment labor and they even called pin endemic stimulus mandatory spending

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which we could debate about that in a different video then you have

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non-defense discretionary so non-defense just means let's not talk about the the

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uh the military right now right let's cut that out for a moment let's instead

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talk about uh the discretionary stuff which would be your public health

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foreign aid uh the CDC Transportation Parks infrastructure the Coast Guard the

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FAA law enforcement the IRS education K-12 higher education Sciences Economic

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Security like low income assistance and grants basically non-mandatory things

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this is where the Republicans are saying we want a cap on basically all of

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government's Choice spending and there's now a debate in terms of what that cap

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should be now Democrats haven't yet responded and obviously they're in

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control of of two-thirds basically of the power stock structure in DC the

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presidency and the Senate and Republicans have one third but you need

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all three of them to make this happen so the expectation is there'll be some kind

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of negotiation around the percentage growth for this non-defense

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discretionary spending and it's unclear yet if Republicans are going to force

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cuts to uh the military and defense spending segment why that's important is

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because a lot of Republicans are frustrated that it feels like the Biden

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Administration is sending too much money to Ukraine potentially pushing Putin to

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the edge of World War III and using strategic nuclear weapons whereas

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Democrats say no we have to do everything in our power to support

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Ukraine this is an invasion by Russia this is much more than a territorial

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dispute we need to have the battle on with Russia on the Ukrainian Battlefield

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before it expands to Europe and America so these are you know the arguments that

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are basically being made on both sides but the bottom line here is we we're

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actually seeing more progress this year in negotiating the debt ceiling increase

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than we really have ever before now I think that's really awesome and I also

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think stream yard is really awesome which is what I'm using to record this

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video with check out metcaven.com stream yard to learn about stream yard and the

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streaming platform that you can use basically edit videos with and live

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stream we're not live stream throw up banners like this little paid promotion

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banner I could throw up or if I wanted to throw up uh a a different Banner on

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stream yard I could do that if we wanted to throw up a banner around the bottom

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talking about my courses on building your wealth and life insurance we can do

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that as well so go to metcaven.com to learn about stream yard but anyway

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bottom line is instead of like this last minuteing that you've generally been

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used to seeing in Congress Kevin McCarthy is actually trying to take a

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proactive approach here now Democrats will probably end up freaking out about

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this this uh these limits that Kevin McCall Dorothy is trying to impose

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anyway so a fight could still happen this does not mean the debt ceiling

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crisis is over but let's just put it this way

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we're in April and we've probably got until September to deal with this debt

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ceiling crisis that's about five months and we're already seeing pretty awesome

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progress on this negotiation and it gives me confidence that really as part

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of the Nike Swoosh recovery the debt ceiling crisis is just going to be

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another piece of unfounded fud the debt ceiling will get extended another year

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and ultimately there are some great opportunities to look at buying stocks

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and eventually there'll be some opportunities I think as well to buy

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some real estate and of course you know regardless of what the market is there

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are ways to make money in real estate uh in fact that's what I started a real

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estate startup on is no matter what the market is you can buy properties below

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market value fix them up for less than the difference you're getting in the

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price in other words you're getting a good deal building Instant Equity in the

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property and rent them out it doesn't matter what the market is in that case

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which is pretty exciting still think there'll be a better opportunity to buy

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come Q3 Q4 but we'll see either way debt ceiling crisis is not one of the things

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that I've personally am highly worried about and I personally don't think you

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should either but then again even though I'm a licensed financial advisor this is

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not personalized Financial advice for you so hopefully that gives a little bit

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of insight into the debt ceiling

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