Debt Ceiling Disaster *JUST* Flipped | Dollar Collapse.
FULL TRANSCRIPT
well there's a lot of fear and drama and uncertainty and a doubt about the debt
ceiling about whether or not the debt ceiling is going to get extended are we
going to have a massive market crash in capitulation because the recession
begins right around the same time that we start fighting about the debt ceiling
we're expecting to hit what's known as the X date between July and September
but before you mark your calendars about July and September
thank you for being here and we might not actually need to get to July and
September because Kevin McCarthy has just
revealed the potential ballpark outline of a plan that he has we don't have
complete details of the plan yet Kevin McCarthy will be showboating about his
plan on Monday at the New York Stock Exchange and we'll be getting more
details on his plan but he did just unveil unveil a plan and why does Kevin
McCarthy matter well because he is the Speaker of the House
the Democrats obviously want to extend the debt ceiling the Democrats control
the Senate the Democrats control the administration and the White House Biden
Administration as a result you have Democrats who say we should just extend
the debt ceiling without any limit and no conditions we should just raise our
borrowing Authority and allow us to spend more money on whatever we want if
we want to send another couple hundred billies over to Ukraine we can do that
well there's a balance of power again we have a divided Congress and Kevin
McCarthy on the right in the house says you know what we need spending cuts we
can't keep spending like drunken Sailors no offense to Sailors can't keep
spending money like this and just raising the debt ceiling willy-nilly we
need to start cutting back and so Kevin McCarthy has been pretty
set on not unconditionally extending the debt ceiling and this has led to a lot
of nervousness that oh my gosh what if this is the year
the United States defaults on its debts which Jerome Powell would who's the
chairperson of the Federal Reserve says would be a financial catastrophe other
bankers and individuals we could play countless people on TV saying it would
be hell the market would crash we'd be going into a deep recession the dollar
would plummet nobody would believe in U.S treasuries anymore the Petro dollar
might explode China might take over everything dies if we don't extend the
debt ceiling all this drama and quite frankly we've extended the debt ceiling
78 times before so it's expected to get extended again but now we actually have
a plan and so the plan from Kevin McCarthy is the following
we won't raise the debt ceiling we'll extend the debt ceiling just one more
year we'll have a vote in late May and we'll vote just to give an extension
until 2024 because yeah that's not raising the debt ceiling it's just an
extension it's marketing it's raising the debt ceiling okay and what we want
in order to get that are concessions now and then another set of concessions next
May before the election in 2024. basically in English now that ceiling is
probably going to get raised and it looks like it's actually going to get
raised before it even becomes a problem given that Kevin McCarthy is actually
putting on some level of reasonableness by trying to negotiate this earlier
rather than at the last minute so look from the in the middle point of view
here you got to give some credit to Kevin McCarthy for at least starting
this plan earlier thank goodness it's not a last minute plan this is a good
thing so you got to get some credit here it's possible they're doing this on
purpose even though technically they will be giving in and raising the debt
ceiling it's possible they want Kevin McCarthy to be seen as somebody who's
actually bringing stability to American politics because nobody really trusts
American politics and by bringing stability to American politics maybe in
the 2024 election people will remember I highly doubt it but maybe people
remember hmm Kevin McCarthy wasn't a loose cannon maybe Republicans aren't
that bad right that I think when you're looking at sort of your independent and
your on the margin voters that might be a consideration so really America as a
whole wins because the debt ceiling crisis is postponed before potentially
causing massive Market turmoil and more uncertainty in an already rough time
heavily inverted yield curve which is a signal of recession at our doorstep a
banking crisis Mass layoffs beginning it's a massive mess
so Republicans here might actually be pulling off a pretty good move now their
proposal is that non-defense discretionary spending ndd for 2023 is
to stay flat and grow at only one percent for the next 10 years it's
basically trying to put a limit on the amount of money the government can spend
now let's understand what ndd is because it's a little complicated but I'll make
it as simple as possible there are two types of spending think about it this
way every week you have to pay or every month you have to pay your rent and you
have to pay your groceries and and you basically have certain mandatory
expenses right in your own households these are things you have to spend money
on no matter what that think of as a mandatory expense for the government
mandatory expenses are things like Medicare Medicaid Social Security
unemployment labor and they even called pin endemic stimulus mandatory spending
which we could debate about that in a different video then you have
non-defense discretionary so non-defense just means let's not talk about the the
uh the military right now right let's cut that out for a moment let's instead
talk about uh the discretionary stuff which would be your public health
foreign aid uh the CDC Transportation Parks infrastructure the Coast Guard the
FAA law enforcement the IRS education K-12 higher education Sciences Economic
Security like low income assistance and grants basically non-mandatory things
this is where the Republicans are saying we want a cap on basically all of
government's Choice spending and there's now a debate in terms of what that cap
should be now Democrats haven't yet responded and obviously they're in
control of of two-thirds basically of the power stock structure in DC the
presidency and the Senate and Republicans have one third but you need
all three of them to make this happen so the expectation is there'll be some kind
of negotiation around the percentage growth for this non-defense
discretionary spending and it's unclear yet if Republicans are going to force
cuts to uh the military and defense spending segment why that's important is
because a lot of Republicans are frustrated that it feels like the Biden
Administration is sending too much money to Ukraine potentially pushing Putin to
the edge of World War III and using strategic nuclear weapons whereas
Democrats say no we have to do everything in our power to support
Ukraine this is an invasion by Russia this is much more than a territorial
dispute we need to have the battle on with Russia on the Ukrainian Battlefield
before it expands to Europe and America so these are you know the arguments that
are basically being made on both sides but the bottom line here is we we're
actually seeing more progress this year in negotiating the debt ceiling increase
than we really have ever before now I think that's really awesome and I also
think stream yard is really awesome which is what I'm using to record this
video with check out metcaven.com stream yard to learn about stream yard and the
streaming platform that you can use basically edit videos with and live
stream we're not live stream throw up banners like this little paid promotion
banner I could throw up or if I wanted to throw up uh a a different Banner on
stream yard I could do that if we wanted to throw up a banner around the bottom
talking about my courses on building your wealth and life insurance we can do
that as well so go to metcaven.com to learn about stream yard but anyway
bottom line is instead of like this last minuteing that you've generally been
used to seeing in Congress Kevin McCarthy is actually trying to take a
proactive approach here now Democrats will probably end up freaking out about
this this uh these limits that Kevin McCall Dorothy is trying to impose
anyway so a fight could still happen this does not mean the debt ceiling
crisis is over but let's just put it this way
we're in April and we've probably got until September to deal with this debt
ceiling crisis that's about five months and we're already seeing pretty awesome
progress on this negotiation and it gives me confidence that really as part
of the Nike Swoosh recovery the debt ceiling crisis is just going to be
another piece of unfounded fud the debt ceiling will get extended another year
and ultimately there are some great opportunities to look at buying stocks
and eventually there'll be some opportunities I think as well to buy
some real estate and of course you know regardless of what the market is there
are ways to make money in real estate uh in fact that's what I started a real
estate startup on is no matter what the market is you can buy properties below
market value fix them up for less than the difference you're getting in the
price in other words you're getting a good deal building Instant Equity in the
property and rent them out it doesn't matter what the market is in that case
which is pretty exciting still think there'll be a better opportunity to buy
come Q3 Q4 but we'll see either way debt ceiling crisis is not one of the things
that I've personally am highly worried about and I personally don't think you
should either but then again even though I'm a licensed financial advisor this is
not personalized Financial advice for you so hopefully that gives a little bit
of insight into the debt ceiling
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