These AI Stocks are About to *Explode* | ChatGPT.
FULL TRANSCRIPT
AI in the AI World you've got now Google
announcing the release of the chat GPT
competitor named Bard that'll apparently
be ready in coming weeks keep in mind
Google has been working on language
learning for a substantial amount of
time and one of the easiest ways you
could see that is if you ever use Gmail
and you're typing in Gmail you can
actually see the AI try to pre-fill in
your email for you in terms of hey just
press Tab and it'll pre-fill what we
think you're going to say next
there were reports that this Google
email generator could basically write
the whole email for you but they were
worried that if they showed how powerful
the Google AI chat was that people would
get freaked out this also comes after an
individual developer who worked on uh
Lambda which is the internal uh project
name for Google's artificial
intelligence Lambda standing for
language model Google developed uh yeah
AI basically Lambda anyway this uh there
was a particular developer who was
working on the project who leaked that
he worried the AI was so powerful that
it had actually become sentient now that
is kind of like your worst case scenario
if you've ever watched the movie iRobot
or if you've got any kind of fears about
robots taking over the world you don't
want to hear that robots or any kind of
artificial intelligence is becoming
sentient because it sends the signal
that they can think on their own is what
sentin means so that's that's it's uh
that'll be quite interesting to see how
Chachi PT compares to Google's Bard I
did think the name Bard was kind of lame
they could have come up with something a
lot cooler I kind of think of a Bard as
like going back into like Oblivion Elder
Scroll or something like really like I
don't know maybe even like a uh oh gosh
what was um what's the game called ever
EverQuest you know it'll run around as I
I don't know it just seems like an old
school kind of name so I'm not a big fan
of Bard uh but it's probably still
better than baidu's announcement their
bot is called Ernie
and their their stock was up like 13 on
the idea that they're also coming out
with some kind of AI chat bot baidu's
the Chinese one of the largest internet
companies in the world it's basically
the Chinese search engine it's kind of
like think of it like Chinese Google but
anyway so you've got Google coming out
with a competitor named Bard you've got
Baidu coming out with Ernie and you
still got chat GPT which is very
annoying to pronounce and I always want
to call it chat gbd but but anyway
I don't know it all seems crazy uh the
good news is the beneficiary out of all
of this is the consumer because it
should make search a whole lot more
functional especially if we can
incorporate like Microsoft is trying to
do chat GPT into Bing now that would be
pretty neat now if you can incorporate
chat GPT into Bing oh boy you can
actually make Bing a functional search
engine because right now it just doesn't
seem that great at all just my take I
mean maybe I'm being a little aggressive
here but just my take now a lot of folks
are are uh you know rightfully so
wondering hey you know what's a way to
get exposure to uh companies uh that
invest in this sort of AI technology how
can I get myself some some stock in this
AI uh and I frequently looked at
Microsoft as a potential opportunity for
that but one of the concerns that I have
is you have a relatively small exposure
uh to chat GPT and Microsoft mostly
because of the size of Microsoft so it's
really going to be dependent on what
Microsoft can do with this think about
it a 10 billion dollar investment into
chat GPT by Microsoft really represents
uh somewhere around let's see it's a 1.9
billion dollar company you're talking
about less than half of of one percent
basically going into uh this uh this
this particular company and it's it's
about one half of one percent so for
example every 100 you put into Microsoft
stock about 50 cents would go into chat
GPT and this has really led me to the
idea that I probably don't want to be
the person who's investing directly into
Google for the sake of getting exposure
to their AI or Baidu for the sake of
getting exposure to their AI or
Microsoft for the sake of getting
exposure to chat GPT I'd almost rather
invest in sort of the backbone
architecture I've talked about this
before so I don't want to seem redundant
but I'm a big fan of investing in Champs
and I really believe like the Wall
Street Journal says that chips are
probably the next gold now and that over
the next decade we'll see chips
essentially be uh sort of like the next
gold rush in America and in countries
throughout the world whether it's Europe
fighting for more chip manufacturing
which new factories are being built in
Europe you've got like an example for
example the Taiwan semiconductors is
building a factory I believe it's in
Germany it's somewhere in Europe I
believe it's in Germany to manufacture
Automotive chips like 20 to 28 nanometer
chips you've got uh multiple plants
being built in Arizona and massive
expansions coming to Taiwan
semiconductors plants in Arizona you've
got Intel potentially spending up to 100
billion dollars investing in chips just
in the Ohio region and and various areas
throughout America I mean you've got the
amount of money that you have flowing
into this is absolutely insane this is a
piece by The Wall Street Journal and uh
this is their current estimate I mean
there could be more announcements all
already but just based on projects
announced the Wall Street Journal sees
U.S semiconductor investments in the
next 10 years sitting at 186 billion
dollars that's just the United States
that's not even Global that represents
about the cost of around 29 billion
dollar gigafactories from Tesla so
putting that uh that sort of into
perspective it's it's pretty massive and
so that's where when I'm generally
thinking about AI exposure stocks I
think to myself boy uh you're the more
powerful AI gets the more powerful
compute processes you're going to
require and the companies that provide
that are your sort of picks and shovel
style companies which are all the way at
the beginning you can think about glass
manufacturers uh you could think about
uh chip manufacturing equipment
companies so uh for example you could
think of uh uh Carl Carl device for
lenses these folks stick a lot a lot of
money into glass and mirror production
that goes into the actual chip equipment
manufacturing with companies like asml
which has over a 90 market share for
advanced chip manufacturing then you
look at companies like uh Taiwan
semiconductors that buys a ton of these
chips Apple in their earnings call
bragging about how happy they expect to
be the major customer for Taiwan
semiconductors in for their Arizona
plant this is Apple bragging about
Taiwan semiconductors in their earnings
call that's actually pretty impressive
usually you don't actually see that take
a look at this right here at the bottom
of the earnings call what do you have uh
here it is uh I we don't know exactly at
this point what that'll be this happens
to be a production and chips Act and the
impact of that but we're all in in terms
of being the largest customer for Taiwan
semiconductors in Arizona and very very
proud to take part in that and Apple's
bragging about Taiwan semiconductors
right
so and then of course after you look at
chip manufacturers or chip manufacturing
equipment you want to look at chip
designers who are your big chip
designers well obviously uh Nvidia AMD
massive chip designers qualcomm's got a
little bit more exposure to sort of 5G
and mobile as opposed to maybe server
and data center like you might see at
AMD or Nvidia then you could look at a
company uh like like Intel who's gotten
completely rid of their memory Division
and they're essentially trying to
deprecate their PC Division and get into
really uh Enterprise and and servers uh
and and Intel potentially looking at uh
looking like a company that's just uh
potentially as uh as inexpensive as AMD
both of those selling for a relatively
low valuation whereas Taiwan
semiconductors in Nvidia selling a
little bit more expensively but the
amount of money that Intel expects to
invest in in Ohio is is insane and
they're either going to spend that money
and they're going to win or they'll go
bankrupt because they're a company that
has failed to adapt a lot of people get
frustrated when I mention AMD because or
when I mentioned Intel because they
think of Intel as sort of this Legacy
company that won't be able to adapt yet
what I think is so smart about what
Intel is doing is they're actually
building their manufacturing Fabs uh
fabrication plants to be agnostic of
what kind of chip architecture you're
using now if you're unfamiliar with that
there are basically Three core chip
architectures uh they're uh and one is
sort of Under the Umbrella of the other
but for the sake of argument we'll just
separate it out here so you have x86
which is really the Intel based chip
architecture then you have arm which is
a a risk machine that's actually what
the RM stands for and risk is a type of
Chip architecture and then there's risk
five which is more of your open source
version of risk which these are very
similar to each other arm is deemed to
be very good from mobile this deemed to
be better for Enterprise maybe and and a
PC at the moment but then again you've
got each side trying to interview to be
the best chip architecture but what
Intel is saying is look we don't care
what architecture you use we just want
you to hire us to make your chips and
this is why they're getting contracts
with the Department of Defense this is
why they're investing 100 billion
dollars into new Fabs in America because
they don't care if you want x86 chips
risk five chips or arm chips they don't
care what kind of architecture you want
they just want to make your chips and so
I I see Intel as potentially a decent
play over the next decade as long as
they can actually Garner uh that uh that
that manufacturing prowess now
interestingly Intel right now
manufacture some of their trips with
Taiwan semiconductors and so they are
really calling up asml to trying to get
to try to get as many of the new
ultraviolet uh machines that they can
get uh their lithography machines so
they too can manufacture Advanced chips
three nanometers four nanometers you
know by the end of the decade we'll
probably be down to one or two
nanometers by the middle of the next
decade we may be at half a nanometer and
at some point it's just going to come
down to uh not this transistor size
which is what nanometer measures uh
nanometers measure but rather uh just
who makes the most efficient chip and
that's where to Me Maybe rather than
investing in solely the designers you
also invest in the factories so again
that's where I think Intel tsmc but then
I also think Nvidia Apple uh and AMD is
your designers so so that's sort of my
take I'd rather be investing in that
segment than solely be dumping my money
into Microsoft and Google who are
substantially more exposed to the ad
business so those are some of my
thoughts although you're seeing
substantial Investments go into machine
learning and and potential uh future
uses uh at Facebook as well uh obviously
at divisions within apple as well so a
lot of great opportunities to invest in
artificial intelligence but I'm afraid
to just run into certain companies
solely because they say oh hey we we
have ai we don't want to stay away from
that so uh that's uh yeah asml
absolutely I see you in the comments
here yeah we've been talking about asml
asml has a an over 90 market share of
the advanced lithography uh device for
manufacturing these uh now they are
actually banned from selling their
newest model of advanced chip making
equipment to China China is obviously
very pissed about this asml is able to
sell their older generation lithography
devices to China which which they do and
they sell a lot of them to China but
China's like well we want the new stuff
too and now part of this is obviously
because uh China and the United States
have a lot of geopolitical tensions not
only do they have those tensions now but
they've had those tensions in the past
before China for example stole the plans
for our F-35 fighter jet and then a few
years later ended up announcing and
releasing a jet that was pretty damn
similar to our F-35 which is really
frustrating and annoying because it's
like hey you really are hacking our
stuff they've hacked into travel logs at
Marriott they've hacked into our Health
Care Systems China's really good at
basically trying to steal our stuff now
In fairness to try to catch up and some
might make the economic argument that
hey you know what maybe uh maybe that's
a good thing because it forces both
sides to innovate more but I I I don't
think anyone getting hacked by China is
necessarily something that we want to
even remotely suggest is a good thing
but these are definitely some of the
plays that I'm curious about now I'm
less curious about companies like uh
like for example Pinterest Pinterest was
absolutely like I look Pinterest is a
style of search engine so some people
say hey what about Pinterest for AI
right could could there potentially be
an opportunity in in search within
Pinterest to basically lead people to
spend money
and I hate to say it but Pinterest
scares me uh the reason Pinterest scares
me is I took a very brief look at their
earnings presentation and look at this
they grew Revenue by about 3.6 year over
year but they grew sales and marketing
by 66
in my opinion this is a way that you're
basically showing that the company has
no way of
any kind of operating leverage they have
no operated leverage operating Leverage
is where your Opex can stay stable but
you can actually grow your Revenue
that's what operating Leverage is well
this company has the opposite of
operating leverage basically to maintain
their revenue at near flat they had to
increase their sales and marketing 66
that's scary that doesn't send a good
signal to me now the company initially
dropped pretty decently after earnings
but it's since recovered uh it's
actually almost completely recovered to
about flattened the pre-market maybe
down as much as one percent but that's
not a big deal it initially fell over 2
ten percent and I think what's happening
in the market is you're getting a lot of
earnings that are happening and then the
earnings come out and companies or
investors rather institutions whatever
like oh that's not as bad as we thought
it was but it's still bad when you
actually look at the numbers relative to
other companies so I don't know for me I
stay away from things like Pinterest I
want chips that's what I want that's
where I think the big peepee is in chips
and Chip manufacturing and the beauty is
we're actually going through sort of
this chip trough right now where
everybody's ranting about how uh chips
are an oversupply and PC uh sales year
over year down 32 percent and everyone's
missing this is true Revenue has been
missing Taiwan semiconductors Samsung uh
AMD the numbers have been coming down
the stocks have actually been going up
though because the numbers aren't that
bad and these are amazing companies for
the next decade we just sort of have to
get through that sort of covid uh trough
if you will the postcova trough uh and
and for me I I can't see pricing power
anywhere else like I don't care what
software company you are you need chips
you need compute power and that compute
power is going to get more and more
powerful over time not only is that
compute power going to get more and more
powerful over time but the demand for
that computing power is going to get
more and more powerful uh you know I I
always run into this idea and this
challenge that at some point things will
just be good enough uh and maybe we
don't need a new iPhone every single
year right which we could make that
argument but boy oh boy you look back a
few Generations you look you go back
maybe three years on Apple laptops or
even computer regular PCS or iPhones
you're like it just can't run the stuff
as well as it used to or at least this
what it feels like and often this is
because we're getting more and more
intensive uh uh applications that demand
more and more compute power in terms of
what we're able to do the way we're able
to collaborate with other individuals
it's phenomenal there's so much
potential and so so excited about what's
to come especially I mean think about
the transition even to augmented reality
now a lot of people are like Gavin
augmented reality is BS virtual reality
is like what you the headset you buy for
Christmas and you use it you know one or
two days in a row and then you never use
it again yes fact true but eventually
augmented reality and virtual reality
actually won't give you a headache and
it actually won't suck and boy I can't
even imagine the kind of compute power
that we'll need for 360 Degree uh
actually quality uh virtual reality
relative to what what we deal with today
uh it's uh it's going to be pretty dang
impressive and it's going to require a
lot of compute power and of course
that's where you could also invest in
batteries because batteries will become
even more important as well so uh and
that's that's exactly why you know
almost as if On Cue you have uh Mr Steve
over here suggesting lithium explorers
have been running like crazy 50 moves in
one day and shouts out multiple
different nickel plays here like SPC fni
and ICU and copper plays like f d t and
ATX you know the interesting thing about
the Explorers is you're kind it to me
it's almost like you're you're betting
on gold explorers like oh I I hope the
person I bet on finds gold and then when
they don't they go bankrupt you know
it's like oh dear uh okay is there is
there a particular pickaxe for lithium
uh that's that's whom I want to invest
in or just invest in the battery uh
assemblers whether that's Panasonic or
even battery storage companies like
Tesla and phase Generac solar Edge uh
you know that that might be a way to uh
invest uh in that but then again you
know look even uh even Energizer I don't
think anybody's ever considered looking
at the Energizer earnings report but I
did uh and uh even energizers
complaining about higher costs for
nickel and lithium and how it's
impacting their margins so you know all
these battery manufacturers even though
they can put batteries together it
doesn't necessarily mean uh they're
going to be profitable putting their
batteries together so uh you know
something to keep in mind all right
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