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What Tesla isn't Telling You about the RoboTaxi Event.

18m 59s3,340 words460 segmentsEnglish

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0:00

wow the robo tax event I have to say was

0:03

way better than expected very very

0:06

excited about the robotaxi event uh and

0:08

I do believe these Optimus robots

0:11

achieved what they were designed to

0:13

achieve uh this is footage from the

0:15

event happening right now as I'm

0:16

recording this uh looks like this

0:17

robot's trying to make a heart right

0:19

here uh I do believe all of the robots

0:21

right now are human controlled I was

0:24

expecting them to pass a bag of

0:26

McDonald's actually I'm 99% sure all of

0:29

them are controlled with the exception

0:31

of the the Gazebo robots which were

0:33

prescripted with sort of a dance which

0:35

was also very impressive I have to say

0:38

the actuators the balance of these

0:41

robots very very good so very impressive

0:45

demo from the robots even though they're

0:47

controlled very impressive I love it I

0:50

like that they're here in with the

0:51

audience obviously you've got Tesla

0:53

folks around so nobody pushing buttons

0:55

or pushing them over or whatever uh let

0:57

trying to go for a fist bump over here I

0:59

don't know if they're going to get a

1:00

reaction here uh depends on uh also sort

1:03

of depends on what the controller can

1:04

see and I I I do think they're

1:06

controlled I suppose there's a chance

1:07

there's not highly doubt that though uh

1:09

but anyway Optimus showcase excellent

1:11

excellent showcase on the Optimus we

1:13

haven't seen any of these Optimus robots

1:15

a fall over uh very very impressive uh I

1:19

I love this these Optimus robots Elon

1:22

did suggest that you should be able to

1:23

purchase one for under $30,000 in the

1:26

future uh and I do think these are going

1:27

to be a game changer but honestly ly

1:30

this is going to be like let's be real

1:32

it's been seven years of trying to build

1:34

Out full self-driving and maybe we're

1:36

going to get to unsupervised full

1:38

self-driving as early as next year

1:40

depending on Elon time uh which would be

1:43

good but let's just give it another

1:45

decade or so before we actually get

1:47

these Optimus moving on their own right

1:50

that's that's going to be my prediction

1:52

so I think we're still probably a decade

1:53

away on the actual Optimus robots

1:56

especially since they're likely

1:57

controlled now so that's the take here

1:59

but as as far as uh announcements here

2:02

very impressive your model 3 and Y will

2:05

achieve unsupervised full

2:08

self-driving potentially next year in

2:11

California and Texas for the model 3 and

2:14

Y now no guarantees obviously this is an

2:17

Elon prediction here but doesn't

2:19

surprise me that California Texas might

2:20

be the first on that uh this is the

2:22

Warner Brothers lot you do have these

2:25

Robo taxi cyber cabs driving uh

2:27

individuals around uh there was only one

2:30

moment and and some of us in the

2:32

audience we were joking that you know

2:34

this is uh uh this is like um what do we

2:37

call it blinker gate I don't want to

2:40

sound like the jaded guy and and I'm not

2:42

trying to be a hater here is actually

2:44

very very impressed by the event I like

2:46

the event but I've driven with uh

2:48

autopilot and FSD long enough to know

2:51

that FSD is really good at disabling the

2:54

blinker when there is uh a side road and

2:58

I understand this side Ro Road right

3:00

here that this uh Robo taxi that Elon is

3:03

in preing in it uh as this Robo taxi

3:06

comes along the side right here there is

3:09

a an intersection right here that it

3:11

drives past now it does have a do not

3:13

inter sign and it does have a vehicle

3:15

but technically uh you were supposed to

3:19

disable your blinker when you're passing

3:21

an intersection and then you reenable

3:24

the blinker that does not happen here it

3:27

appears like the blinker stays on now

3:29

it's hard to say with perfection but it

3:32

looks like the blinker stays on so you

3:34

see that's clearly you could potentially

3:35

turn right there right elon's literally

3:38

right here

3:39

praying I don't know if he expected

3:42

people to find that uh but when you pass

3:44

here and I suppose it was off between

3:46

this portion it's hard to tell but it

3:48

looks like it's on uh oops I clicked way

3:51

too fast uh you know when I when I click

3:54

back here you see it I see it flash

3:57

there and then it's off and then it

3:59

Flash is again and given that it's on a

4:02

flash here it probably means it was on

4:05

starting at least here which is odd now

4:08

I don't mention that as like a fatal

4:10

flaw like that's solvable right and and

4:13

whatever but it does make me curious was

4:17

this using the real FSD software that we

4:21

use or is this on its own programmed

4:24

software that's just a circuit like a

4:28

roller coaster ride on on the Warner

4:30

Brothers lot and it's running some kind

4:32

of custom software suite and it's

4:35

actually not FSD because FSD would have

4:39

turned off the blinker and the fact that

4:41

it didn't implies to me that this is a

4:44

totally different software suite I could

4:46

be wrong but that's my observation and

4:49

it'd be a question that I have now Elon

4:51

does suggest you'll be able to buy one

4:53

of these cyber cabs the cool thing about

4:56

the Cyber cab is it's twood door no

4:58

steering wheel no gas pedals says you'll

5:01

be able to buy it and expects it to be

5:03

under

5:04

$30,000 now that sort of kills the model

5:07

2 idea or it brings the model two

5:10

together with uh the uh concept of the

5:15

Cyber cab because this really is a

5:18

smaller twodo car which is what the

5:20

model 2 was supposed to be and there's

5:24

no steering wheel there's just a large

5:26

screen in the middle uh and uh just like

5:29

the Bloomberg supply chain analyst

5:32

suspected they believe that this vehicle

5:36

uh would uh would be go into mass

5:38

production in

5:39

2027 now Elon suggested it would go into

5:43

production starting

5:44

2026 and then potentially be available

5:47

ready for mass production in

5:50

2027 okay so that does still have

5:53

implications though because that's going

5:56

to be subject to regulatory approval so

5:59

first of all we got Elon time then we

6:01

got to get through regulation and that's

6:03

a little problematic too uh so I don't

6:06

know how quickly this is going to help

6:08

our numbers for 2025 or

6:11

2026 you're really going to have to have

6:13

like a five-year time Horizon five a

6:17

fiveyear Time Horizon I I love Kathy

6:20

okay shout out to Kathy but you're going

6:21

to need the five-year time Horizon for

6:23

this one something else that I really

6:25

liked was the van big fan now I did not

6:28

like that they wrote this van off this

6:31

is a 20 person van you can actually see

6:35

there's no profile at the bottom I don't

6:37

see Wheels here now it could be under

6:40

skirting but I'm sused out I actually

6:44

think this is probably Robo controlled

6:47

like remote like somebody's controlling

6:48

this with a joystick and there's like

6:51

what's underneath this cladding is not a

6:54

Tesla vehicle at all I think this is

6:56

just a concept and it's a very cool

6:59

concept that it could carry 20 people

7:02

but honestly I think this is probably

7:04

like a you know uh uh like a dolly uh

7:07

you know frame of a of a vehicle or

7:10

whatever that's why they cladded it down

7:12

basically to the floor this cladding is

7:15

a red flag to me this is not a

7:17

functional vehicle for roads uh and the

7:19

fact that after the event uh after they

7:23

introduced this sort of Robo van or

7:25

whatever the fact that they roped it off

7:28

sused me out out as well because I'm

7:30

like wait a

7:32

minute you know so now it's possible the

7:37

Cyber cab is possibly on its own script

7:41

because it didn't look like a robotaxi

7:44

script or an FSD script it's also

7:47

possible that the robo van is not

7:50

actually something that's been

7:53

manufactured uh instead it's just a like

7:56

a total concept and it doesn't even have

7:58

a trajectory of being manufactured and

8:02

that frankly it's probably kind of just

8:05

clickbait now I'm a little disappointed

8:07

to say that but you could see it roll up

8:09

right

8:11

here is this that's its resting spot I

8:13

think yeah look at that it looks it

8:16

looks almost like you see that curb

8:18

right there I almost think it's like

8:20

remote

8:22

controlled cuz it takes forever to make

8:25

that that final little turn there this

8:27

looks good that looks

8:30

cool all the way skirted to the

8:34

floor somebody's somebody's joystick

8:37

controlling this is my guess and look at

8:38

that it almost goes to the curb right

8:40

there and then they stop early I bet you

8:43

they wanted to pull it up in the center

8:44

of the state you see that elon's kind of

8:47

like he's got his hand kind of like oh

8:48

stop or whatever I don't know if he says

8:51

anything there uh but uh watch his hand

8:54

right here stop say I don't know man

8:58

yeah look and then they kind of move

8:59

move it forward just to smidge in more

9:01

and then they give up uh and then it's

9:03

cool like a bunch of people come out

9:04

like that's cool and all but then later

9:07

when it came time for the event to start

9:11

and for people to actually get into the

9:15

uh cyber cabs which are cool don't get

9:18

me wrong that look right here totally

9:22

roped off and they literally have an

9:25

army of Tesla employees 1 2 three four

9:30

look at this look how tight they are

9:32

right here like they do not want anyone

9:34

in there 1 2 3 4 5 six you got and then

9:38

more people stage side these are a lot

9:41

of people stay away from the the

9:43

clickbait basically that that's a little

9:47

sus uh so okay all right okay all right

9:51

all right uh you know okay PG says Kevin

9:54

is

9:55

overanalyzing uh like this is too much

9:58

over analyzed listen listen PG okay I

10:02

may be recording this to repost this

10:04

segment but that doesn't mean I can't

10:06

engage with you this is my channel if

10:10

you don't like it don't watch okay now

10:14

that that's over let's get to some more

10:15

the details uh I do like the Cyber cab

10:18

will cost below $30,000 that you could

10:20

take care of your fleet of cars we've

10:22

heard of that idea before uh think

10:24

individual mass transit cost of 20 cents

10:27

per miles they did start 50 6 minutes

10:29

late which is classic Tesla but

10:31

supposedly they had a medical emergency

10:34

uh in the audience I did not get Bingo

10:36

for anybody who cares I did not get

10:39

Bingo uh I did say we did get Elon wears

10:42

a black shirt Elon is 10 minutes late or

10:45

more we got that he didn't jump he

10:48

didn't talk about Doge uh he didn't or

10:50

the Maga hat uh Tesla stock did not end

10:54

over 250 at the end of the event we did

10:55

not get McDonald's we did not get Airbnb

10:58

we didn't get a cute couple with a kid

10:59

going in the robo taxi we didn't get a

11:01

starlink integration cyber van is re

11:04

revealed not just under the cover like

11:06

Sprinter reference the printer I'll give

11:08

it that because that is a cyber Van

11:11

Trump didn't show up still don't have

11:13

Bingo though uh some Robo taxi

11:16

commitment from a city like Austin or

11:18

something I gave it that because you

11:20

kind of have uh this California and

11:23

Texas possibly to approve unsupervised

11:26

FSD so I gave it that some iteration of

11:28

the 25 5K vehicle uh whether it's a

11:31

model or not and then the model 2 was

11:33

announced or suggested is coming soon

11:35

that we basically got the model 2 is the

11:37

Cyber cab uh which is a plus and a minus

11:41

oh we didn't get any uh roadst updates

11:43

which wasn't a big deal anyway but uh

11:45

it's a plus and a minus because a model

11:48

like if they said we're going into

11:49

production on a Model 2 next year it's

11:51

the Cyber cab with a steering wheel and

11:53

you could get it for

11:54

$20,000 okay the stock would Moon

11:57

because the stock like the stock market

11:59

has pretty shortterm mindset and and

12:01

Outlook and they're like oh cool it'll

12:02

pump EPS until we get to Robo taxis

12:05

right uh because we're getting the Cyber

12:08

cab uh you now

12:11

limit uh instead of getting EPS in 2025

12:15

or

12:16

26 you have to go forward to

12:20

2027 you have to assume regulatory

12:23

approval by

12:25

2027 and then you have to estimate who's

12:28

going to be the buyer of

12:30

it uh uh you know uh once you have those

12:34

approvals so it's a shortterm EPS bad

12:38

but it's long-term beautiful like

12:40

long-term I I love it okay I'm I'm a big

12:43

fan here uh I like what I saw it's not

12:46

going to help EPS in the short term if

12:48

you go into a recession you're still

12:49

going to have a stock hit uh xping

12:51

announced that they're planning on

12:53

launching a a robo taxi in

12:55

2026 Uber CEO says autonomous ride

12:58

margins will take years to

13:00

grow uh let's see

13:04

here they have 50 autonomous cabs there

13:08

they said oh this was another prediction

13:10

that I had that they would end up using

13:11

a different computer in the Cyber cab

13:14

and it's true they're using a quote

13:17

overp speec ai5 computer in the Cyber

13:20

cab which would kind of reiterate why

13:23

you probably have this running on a

13:25

totally different

13:26

pre-programmed path like I don't I don't

13:29

act I hate to say it but I don't

13:31

actually think there's AI in those Robo

13:34

taxis driving around I think they're

13:37

pre-programmed uh so I don't think

13:38

that's FSD and uh yeah not not great now

13:43

look at this guy super air Niti donated

13:47

two times $10 to ask me how big my short

13:50

position is I told you when I started

13:52

this event but you weren't paying

13:53

attention cuz he's a hater I told you I

13:56

don't have a put I don't have a call I

13:58

have no horse in this race I got nothing

14:01

betting on this event nada nothing I

14:05

don't bet on events I it's it's

14:07

unpredictable what happens at events

14:09

that's not how I like to trade I like to

14:11

trade when I see Trends you weeny baby

14:13

you little weeny baby somebody tries to

14:16

tell you the truth and you don't like it

14:17

you're like yeah Kevin said something I

14:19

didn't want to hear go suck it get out

14:21

of here and I'm taking your $20 I'm

14:22

going to take your $20 and then I'm

14:24

going to short the stock just with those

14:27

$20 I'm just kidding I'm not going to do

14:29

that but I will take your

14:32

$20 uh so uh Elon actually says that

14:36

this is set up like a park ride at at at

14:39

like a uh a theme park which to me kind

14:42

of implied like oh okay so you did

14:44

indeed pre-program it anyway they did

14:46

talk about inductive charging now

14:49

initially I didn't actually think

14:51

inductive charging was a good idea and I

14:54

kind of still don't because the loss

14:56

factor is huge when you uh charge a

14:59

device actually right now I'm charging

15:01

this through inductive charging they get

15:04

very warm uh and that's because you're

15:06

losing about 30 to 40% of the

15:08

electricity so I think your miles per

15:11

gallon on a robotaxi will actually go to

15:13

crap with inductive charging unless they

15:16

really perfect uh inductive charging the

15:18

magnet charging uh so look it up the

15:21

loss rate is like 30 to 35% on inductive

15:25

uh so it's doable but I and I don't know

15:28

this maybe an electrical engineer can

15:30

chime in on this but I think the further

15:32

you are away uh from the the charging

15:37

mechanism the more loss you have so you

15:40

know I don't know if like an inductive

15:41

charger has to like come up out of the

15:43

ground to like charge the car and like

15:46

directly contact the car probably but or

15:49

if there's just going to be a large

15:50

enough field and the car is low enough

15:53

but then I feel like the loss is going

15:54

to be like 50% so I'm not convinced

15:57

about that so that's it so I mean look

16:01

my take overall uh and you could copy my

16:04

bingo card or my notes off ec.com I'm

16:06

not trying to sell you anything I got

16:07

nothing for you to sell and like I said

16:08

I don't have any long or short you know

16:10

positions on this event calls puts

16:12

whatever

16:14

um my long and short of the event to use

16:18

that phrase is uh it was very impressive

16:21

uh I I did like what I saw and I love

16:25

the vision they

16:27

painted uh I don't think we're close

16:30

enough to realistically price in the

16:32

earnings per share and because we've

16:34

basically now basically we confirmed the

16:37

death of the model 2 right like the

16:39

model 2 is basically confirmed dead now

16:42

so if the model 2 is confirmed dead then

16:44

we have to delay a sales boost until the

16:48

Cyber cab is regulatorily

16:51

approved uh

16:53

and given that this was probably on a

16:57

script you probably have to really have

17:00

that unsupervised FSD in California and

17:02

Texas go really well uh if that

17:06

unsupervised FSD which is step one goes

17:08

really well then you can install that on

17:10

the rooc cab that'd be sort of my

17:12

expectation so I think probably 2028 is

17:15

more realistic which is actually a lot

17:18

earlier than I thought for a robo taxi I

17:20

I didn't think it was going to happen

17:22

this decade I thought it would be at

17:23

least 2030 I think they might be closer

17:26

here uh so I think that's good

17:29

I think the van is a cool idea but it's

17:32

it's not probably until 2030 plus we

17:35

didn't get any updates on the semi which

17:37

I was a bit bummed about and yeah I

17:41

guess that's sort of uh my take uh my

17:43

take those are my thoughts appreciate

17:46

yall being here and and watching with me

17:48

and uh hopefully you like uh my ideas uh

17:52

anyway thank you so much folks and we

17:54

will see you in the next one goodbye

17:55

everyone and good luck why not advertise

17:57

these things that you told us here I

17:59

feel like nobody else knows about this

18:00

we'll we'll try a little advertising and

18:02

see how it goes congratulations man you

18:03

have done so much people love you people

18:05

look up to you Kevin PA there financial

18:07

analyst and YouTuber meet Kevin always

18:10

great to get your

18:11

take even though I'm a licensed

18:13

financial adviser licensed real estate

18:14

broker and becoming a stock broker this

18:16

video is not personalized advice for you

18:18

it is not tax legal or otherwise

18:19

personalized advice tailored to you this

18:21

video provides generalized perspective

18:22

information and commentary any third

18:24

party content I show shall not be deemed

18:26

endorsed by me this video is not and

18:28

shall never be deemed reasonably

18:29

sufficient information for the purposes

18:31

of evaluating a security or investment

18:32

decision any links or promoted products

18:34

are either paid affiliations or products

18:36

or Services we may benefit from I also

18:38

personally operate an actively managed

18:39

ETF I may personally hold or otherwise

18:42

hold long or short positions in various

18:44

Securities potentially including those

18:46

mentioned in this video however I have

18:47

no relationship to any issuer other than

18:49

house act nor am I presently acting as a

18:51

market maker make sure if you're

18:52

considering investing in house Haack to

18:53

always read the PPM at house.com

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