Momentum - Bootcamp Ep.8
FULL TRANSCRIPT
Okay. Hello and welcome to episode 8 of
my technical boot camp. Today we are
going to be talking about momentum. So
momentum is a concept that is incredibly
useful and no one ever really talks
about it. It's how we read the battle
between buying and selling inside of the
candlesticks. Okay. So, in this class,
you're going to learn how to do that,
why candlesticks give you invaluable
information that you were probably
missing before, and how you can use this
understanding of momentum to read
markets deeper and have more clarity
around the positions you're looking to
take. So, today we're focusing on
individual candle momentum. And with
that said, let's head over to the charts
and make that happen. Okay, momentum.
So, in this class, we're going to talk
about momentum on an individual candle
basis. And what I want to do really is
get you thinking about what these
candles are actually showing us. All
right, so for reference, a candlestick
is made up of two parts. We have bodies
and we have wicks. The body is the main
block part and the wicks are the little
sticks that come off either side. Now,
these show confirmed and rejected price
action within a given time frame. All
right. So, if we're focusing, let's call
them hourly candles, that means that
basically one candle, so all of this is
showing us price movements that have
been created within one hour. Okay? And
the candle body has an open price and a
close price. The open price is where the
market was when the hour began. The
close price is where the market was when
the hour ended and the new hour began.
So this shows confirmed price because it
shows the confirmed piece of movement
that the market made or the price change
that the market made between the start
and the end of the same hour. The wicks
show rejected price. So these things
here because what these show is
attempted price movements. Basically
price levels that the market went to but
then was pushed back from and didn't
manage to close at. So when we see wicks
like the ones we've just covered, all
that means is at some point the market
attempted to go this high and was
rejected. And it also means at some
point within this same hour, the market
actually went down here. So for a phase,
it was a bearish candle before we saw a
push back and a close up here. So we're
going to do a little exercise and what
we're going to do is break down what
this candle would look like as an actual
standalone piece of price action. All
right, this is obviously a really good
way to visualize what candlesticks are
actually showing us because this is
truly what it is when you scale down to
a more refined view of it. So rather
than looking at candlesticks as just a
pattern, right? So when you look at a
candlestick chart and you see these,
rather than just looking at it as an
arbitrary pattern, you want to read into
what the candlestick there is actually
telling you and what it's showing you if
you were to really consider the battle
between buyers and sellers that's taking
place behind the candle. So for a candle
like this with an open price here, a
close price here, and a small wick above
and below, if we were to refine that to
a standalone piece of price action, tick
by tick, it would look pretty much like
this. We would have our open price, and
then the market traded a little bit
lower and then we saw rejections from
buyers all the way up to here. And then
we see a bit of exhaustion at the top
before we close here. Now, if you take a
look at that, that obviously looks like
a very bullish market and something we
would be happy to buy into because it
shows a little bit of seller attempt to
go lower and then clear buyer control
all the way throughout the candle and
then a small bit of exhaustion and a
close considerably higher than where we
opened. Now, that is literally what this
candle is showing us if we were to look
at it tick by tick. That is what it is.
Okay, obviously this next candle is a
bearish candle, meaning the open price
is higher than the close price. So
within this 1 hour of price action, the
market actually traded lower. And to
visualize this one, it's simply an open
price here, an attempt to go higher, and
then a rejection, which brings us all
the way down here, and then a little bit
of alleviation at the end to close us
around here. Again, obviously, when we
visualize it in this way, it looks like
a reasonably bearish market, something
we would be focused on selling into. Now
all candlesticks can be read in this
same way because what candlesticks are
are just a compressed version of the
tickby tick price action that we've just
explained. Okay. So when you start to
read and understand candles in this
manner, you can derive a lot of
information from them. Right? So just to
quickly clarify before we move into
talking about how to read this momentum
and the different types of candles that
we can actually uh identify in a market.
A bullish candle will have an open price
lower than the close price and that just
shows confirmed bullish price action
within that time frame. A bearish candle
will open here and at the end of the
hour or whatever specified period of
time it is will close considerably lower
with basically confirmed downward price
action. And then the wicks give us
different information depending on the
size and which side has larger size and
smaller size and all of the above. Okay,
so that is how candlesticks work. That's
what they look like. They're made up of
bodies, wicks, open and closed prices
and they give you that confirmed and
rejected information. Now, when it comes
to reading the momentum from these
candles, there are really only two types
of candles. There are low momentum
candles and there are high momentum
candles. A low momentum candle is a
candle that really doesn't show too much
price action or too much movement. So,
it can be a candle like this where
nothing really happened at all. Or it
can be a candle that kind of has some
movement but doesn't end up creating
directional flow. Okay? So, it goes up,
it goes down, but it closes pretty much
around where it opened. A high momentum
candle is just like what we've been
looking at where we have kind of
uninterrupted buyer control or
uninterrupted seller control within that
given time frame. And what this shows us
is that there is a lot of momentum
behind the selling in this example and a
lot of momentum behind the buying in
this example. And when we say the word
momentum, what we're really saying is
buying or selling control. Okay? So a
low momentum candle shows no control.
High momentum candle is either showing
control from buyers or control from
sellers. So that is really at the core
what we're talking about when we say
momentum. Now let's talk about then how
these candlesticks can actually indicate
high or low momentum. And for this we're
going to remove the bearish one for now
and we're going to focus on the bullish
one. There's a few ways that we can
derive this low or high momentum
information from candles. First off
through candle bodies.
And really when it comes to an isolated
individual candle, the pure way that we
determine the momentum of the candle
from the body is simply the size. Okay?
So a candle body like this, which is
rather large and we have small wicks and
a large candle body, indicates high
momentum. It's a phase of clear buyer
control as we've just discussed cuz it's
showing us price action like this. If we
were to have a small candle body, so
let's say like this. Well, the candle
body itself has only opened here and
closed here. So if we were to for a
moment disregard the wigs, all this is
showing is basically bit of price action
like this. So that's low momentum,
right? Doesn't show clear control from
buying. Doesn't show clear control on
the side of selling either. Now, we can
even get candle bodies that are so small
that they look like that. And obviously,
this is basically just a flat line if we
were to disregard the wicks for now. So
this shows we open there, we closed
there, no ground was covered. Therefore,
this is a low momentum candle. So the
bigger the candle, the higher the
momentum generally in terms of candle
bodies. Okay? So we derive candle body
information from purely the size of the
candle. Now candle bodies of course are
not the only thing that matter. We also
want to consider the wicks. Now wicks
are a little bit more nuanced. Generally
we can derive from wicks information
from the size but also the context. So
the candle bodies are a lot more simple
and can find if a candle body is big
momentum is high. If it's small momentum
is low but wicks are a little bit more
nuanced because the context around maybe
which side of the candle has a large
wick or whether either side of the
candle has a large wick. This basically
gives us extra context which can give us
kind of information on the momentum in a
market in a different more nuanced way.
All right. So, let's say then that we
have the exact same candle body with an
open price here and a close price here.
Except in this example, we have a wick
that's very big at the top. So, what is
this showing us? Well, let's visualize
it real quick. We've got our open price,
a little bit of downside for the lower
wick, then we have very uninterrupted
clear upside, but when we reach the top,
we have a big drive back down, and then
we close around here. Well, this candle
suddenly tells us a slightly different
picture to what we were seeing before.
Because this candle is showing that
although the buyers were in control,
we've definitely seen some control from
sellers coming in at the top cuz we've
reversed around 50% of the movement that
was made by the buyers initially. So, if
we focus in on the candle, what this is
showing is open buyer control pretty
much all the way throughout. But then
some point up here we saw sellers
kicking in with massive selling pressure
and they drove the market all the way
back down to this level. So we have to
basically be aware of this selling
pressure that's commenced here and try
and read into the information that might
give us. Now in a candle like this where
the candle body is still very large and
the close price is a lot higher than the
open price. It is still a bullish
candle. But if this was happening at a
potential point of interest, like a
supply zone or an area of interest where
a market could be beginning to reverse,
then we could actually use this as a
cautionary sign to maybe not rush into
trades on the buy side because we may
potentially be at a reversal point in
the market where selling pressure is
coming in. And at the minimum, we just
have to consider that there are sellers
up here that are willing to push back at
the buying and drive this market a lot
lower. Cuz at one point in time, the
candle looked like this. But with a
rejection this big, we definitely have
to consider the implication of what took
place up here to bring this candle all
the way back down. Okay, so now let's
take a look at a different example using
the same candle. What if then the candle
body was the same again, but this time
we had a small wick at the top and a
large wick at the bottom? Well, now this
one is more favorable of clear buying
control. What this candle looks like, it
opens here, it trades lower, gets down
to this point. So at this point it's
looking like a very bearish candle. But
some point here we see clear buying
control take over which drives us all
the way up to here. This tells obviously
pretty much the opposite story as before
where before we saw considerable selling
pressure coming in and driving back
against the buyers. This time we already
saw the selling pressure at the
beginning and we had a pretty notable
downward move. In fact a very large
downward move about the same size as the
candle that's closed. But at some point
down there, so after the selling
pressure in this area, we saw notable
levels of buying pressure coming into
the market, which not only drove the
market back to the open price, but drove
us all the way past the open price and
all the way up to here before closing
with again little to no wick at the top.
This wick is tiny, showing buyers were
not pressed down by sellers at the top.
Basically, this is a incredibly bullish
situation because not only have we
closed considerably higher than we
opened, we've also seen a huge rejection
from buyers after an attempt to go
notably lower. So, this would be pretty
much the ultimate in the ways of what we
want to see for bullish candles, right?
It shows attempt to go lower and then a
massive influx of buying which drives us
all the way up to close considerably
higher than we opened. Basically, when
we read this candle, we see information
that buying pressure is very well alive
in this market and has followed the
market up to continually push this
higher until we close with a lot of
momentum and pretty much no push back
from the sellers. All right. Now, let's
pair candle wicks with smaller candle
bodies then. Well, if we were to see
this setup, so we have the open price
and the close price reasonably close
together, but a huge wick either side.
This shows us that we have opened here.
We've attempted to go considerably
lower. We've attempted to go
considerably higher and then we've come
back down and we've closed here. So,
realistically, if we were to average out
this range, we haven't made a whole lot
of ground at all. We're pretty much
ranging. We see an attempt to go higher,
an attempt to go lower, but these
movements are both completely rejected,
which basically only tells us that this
is a phase of indecision, and there is
no clear buying or selling intent or
control in this market. Okay? So, we
call this an indecision candle, right?
So it does factor in the fact that the
candle body is small. If the candle body
was like this big, you know, we would
see of course at this point that well
buyers are somewhat in control. If the
candle body was this big to the
downside, we'd see that okay, sellers
have made ground. But when we have these
small candle bodies and large wicks
either side of around equal size or
similar, that shows basically a phase
of, you know, no clear intent from
buying or selling parties. Now, if we
were to have then the same candle body,
but instead of a large wick either side,
we only have a large wick beneath. Well,
this changes the story slightly. This
shows that we opened here. We tried to
go lower and then we pushed back, but we
still closed where we opened. So, this
isn't a clear buying intent candle just
yet. But it definitely shows willingness
to go higher because it shows selling
pressure was wiped out down here by
considerable buying pressure and the
market managed to get back up to around
where it opened. So what we can derive
from this kind of candle is that this
could be potential foreshadowing of a
reversal. So this is a potential
reversal candle. Okay. Now, it doesn't
confirm that just yet, but it gives us
the first signs that well, we're
starting to see a shift in control from
selling parties to buying parties, and
we are managing to close slightly
higher. Now, we will note on this one
that really, even if the candle body was
this big, it's showing the same thing,
okay? It's still showing a clear attempt
to go lower, taken over by a clear
attempt to go higher, but we still close
around the open price. So whether we
closed, you know, here exactly where we
opened, tiny bit lower or around this
point, it doesn't really matter. All of
these candles give us the same bit of
information. All right, that potentially
we should definitely be cautious for a
reversal coming into this market because
we've started to see that candle
shifting with notable buying pressure
coming in here. And the same exact thing
would go for this candle if we were to
have an upper wick that was very big and
a lower wick that was very small or not
there at all. This shows basically we've
entered the market here. We've pushed
all the way up here, but we pulled all
the way. This pretty much shows that we
entered the market here. We attempted to
move higher and then we saw a rejection
back down towards this point, which
pretty much gives us indication that
this could be the first point where a
market is potentially leading into a
reversal. Okay. So again, at this point
in time, not confirmed, but when we read
into the selling pressure coming in in
mass at this high, and the fact that
this candle once looked like this and
now looks like this, we're definitely
seeing their clear rejections, clear
selling pressure coming in, which could
lead us into a potential bearish
scenario. Now, an additional point on
the topic of high momentum candles, we
obviously talked about how the candle
body size determines how strong the
momentum is, is also the wicks. Okay, so
wicks obviously show rejections. Now in
a market like this where we only have a
little wick on the downside and then we
have only a little wick on the upside,
we are pretty much seeing uninterrupted
buyer control. Now the larger the wick
gets on the side that the market is
moving. So in a bullish example, then
the more notice we have to put to this
like this, we're obviously seeing buyer
control, but we have seen a bit more of
a larger pullback. Okay, if we were to
have a larger wick as we've said, this
is start where we start to consider
possibility of, you know, reversals
maybe because we've seen quite a
reasonable amount of downside come out
of the rejections that the selling
pressure has created up here. So, when
it comes to large-siz candle bodies, we
should still consider the size of the
wick because the wick will give us
information as to whether there's any
cause for concern about potential
reversals or not. Now, in a case where
we have a candle body that's got no
wick, this is the cleanest thing we can
see to back a bias in this direction.
So, in a bullish candle, if we've got a
little lower wick and then we have an
impulse like this, which literally
doesn't reverse at all, this is
basically showing that from this point
through to where we are right into the
exact current moment where the candle
closed, we have direct very clear strong
buying pressure. So from these
situations, we can actually see direct
continuations in a higher frequency
basically than any other pattern that's
printed in the market. If we see a
candle close like this, it's reasonably
likely that the next candle starts and
runs in just the same way because with
no wick, we're basically seeing no push
back from sellers. So we have clean room
for continuation for buyers. All right,
so that's basically what we see there
when we have these uninterrupted candles
with little to no wick. But it's always
worth considering basically the size of
the wick above and below the candles. If
you've got a large candle body, but
you've got a massive wick as well. Well,
this is actually point where reversals
could be coming in. If you've got a
large candle body with a little wick or
no wick, then that is the strongest
possible bias you can get behind clear
domination basically of the market
direction. Okay, just a quick
interruption from the boot camp for a
second. What you're learning here in
this boot camp about technical analysis
is necessary to become a good trader.
But technicals alone are not sufficient
to get you to where you want to go. See,
it's usually not the things that you see
on the charts that actually have you
stuck. Traders get stuck because of
habits, risk behavior, decision-making
under pressure, and self-sabotage
patterns that form that simply don't
show up on the charts. So, I've created
a small and easy to digest class. It's
around 15 minutes long, and it breaks
down all of the reasons that you're
losing and struggling to win that you
probably just haven't seen yet. Once
you've completed this class, head over
to the link in the description. Click
the top link and you'll be able to watch
this class. It's totally free and it
might change the game for you. So, let's
go back to the boot camp. All right. So,
what we're going to do is go through
some individual candles and we're going
to read these in the context of a
market. Okay. Now, I'm going to preface
by saying this is not how you should
look to trade the markets. You should
not trade based off of individual
candles, but you're going to see how
what we've just been through and broken
down actually correlates into what we
see in the markets and the information
we can get. So, if we look at this
chart, we can see initially we have
strong uninterrupted bullish buying
candles. It's looking pretty good. We
have some here as well, but we do start
to see some push back basically in this
price area here where we have some
pretty strong bearish candles. Okay, so
candle bodies wise, this is obviously
primarily bullish, but when we start to
see this push back, it's first sign that
maybe we watch up in the point where the
selling pressure began, which is pretty
much at this high just here. And we
watch this in the future because if we
see more selling pressure commencing,
this could be potential first signs of a
reversal. Okay, so what are we reading
from this candle? Well, we see this
candle here, this gray one. We opened,
we traded considerably higher, then we
traded considerably lower, and we
closed. The next candle, we opened, we
tried to go higher, tried to go lower,
and closed. The next candle was an small
attempt to go higher, and then a large
push to the downside. Right? And that's
this candle here. So, basically, this
series of candles has indicated that
somewhere up here, or correlating that
to the chart, up here, we have seen the
tide shift. We've seen selling pressure
come in in force and bring the market
down. Now, when we see the market start
returning up to that level, so this
drive higher like so. What we're
actually seeing here is again more
rejections coming in. These upper wicks
on these candles is large. And when we
get to here, we have a massive upper
candle. So, if we visualize that, it
looks like this. We open here, we
attempt to go a little lower, we attempt
to go considerably higher, and then we
reject and reverse, and we end up
closing about here. So again, we're
seeing at this point or this point, we
are seeing those rejections. We're
seeing the market coming back down. We
failed to get a candle body closure
anywhere in this range showing basically
all we get at that price level. So
above, call it 1.174.
Anything we get above there is only
rejections. We're not getting any solid
closures that's going to give us
confidence to buy. Let's take a look
then at the next candles that form. We
start to see more rejections again.
Okay, so we get small push above but
more rejections and then the market
comes down and creates these incredibly
strong bearish candles. So remember how
we said when we start to see these big
wicks and we start to see selling
pressure commencing at one price level.
This creates first indication of
potential reversal. Well, there that is.
We saw that and it foreshadowed the move
that followed. Now that we have this
strong bearish move, we obviously
understand that selling is now
controlling the market. We have a seller
dominated market. Unless we were to see
a very quick snap back by very strong
bullish candles, we would therefore
anticipate that this market is more
likely to continue trading lower given
the new direction that's been created.
What we've done is we've ended this
direction with selling pressure and
created a new direction. Okay, so we can
watch the next candles. Really at this
point, we're not seeing too much. What
do we see? A pullback here, reasonably
sized impulsive bullish candle, but
immediately followed by more selling
pressure and more indecision. Okay, now
we've had another push to the upside,
but as soon as we finish that bullish
move again, we get more selling
pressure, more indecision, and then a
bearish close pushing us back down. So,
we are seeing here buyers are not
cleanly in control. Okay, even though
they've had their small push back, every
bullish candle is followed by another
bearish one that is creating indecision
uh and removing decisiveness from the
market and driving us back lower. Now
this candle just here this gray one this
is a very strong bearish candle. You see
from the open to the close there is
pretty much no rejection which shows
clear uninterrupted seller control in
this market. Okay this helps to back the
idea that the market should continue to
trade lower. We then have indecision
slow buyer control. See these candle
bodies are much smaller and then again
after indecision we continue and trade
even lower and we just continue moving
in that fashion. So you can see that
what we gain from reading individual
candles is number one areas where
markets are kind of reversing and number
two areas where markets are clearly
buyer or seller dominated and then
number three we can even gauge
full-blown reversals from them in a
sharper fashion kind of like what we've
just seen with these two candles. If you
take a look at this, we have a
significant bearish candle, which would
lead us to believe continued selling is
likely. But immediately following that,
we get a very strong bullish candle,
which obviously gives us an idea that
maybe this point here, although it's not
a wick, is showing the same kind of
thing as a wick rejection would. Right?
If we visualize what we are seeing in
this price area, we're basically seeing
the market open around this point, trade
a little higher, trade a lot lower, and
then reject all the way back up. And
this is crossing over to the blue candle
now closing us there. So this kind of
two pattern candle uh formation shows
pretty much the same as what a wick
rejection would show us. That is then
followed by a small rejection lower okay
with the following blue candle. This one
and then a large drive higher which at
this point in time pretty much looks
like this. And we close just here. So
this is giving us first indication that
maybe the market could be moving higher.
If we take a look at what comes next we
have indecision, right? Note the buying
pressure that we see coming in down
here. So we have some selling pressure
pushing the market down. But then we
close higher than that indicating these
sellers are not strong enough to cap
price. When we attempted to go lower, we
saw buying pressure indicating that
sellers are not strong enough to keep
this market down. And although we now
start to see some bearish candles that
could maybe indicate some downside, they
are pretty immediately followed by these
candles here, which again, what are
these showing? These are showing
significant buying pressure entering the
market basically at this level and at
the following wick as well. So these two
points show very strong buying pressure
entering the market. Okay, that point
upwards every bit of price action that
came down here essentially foreshadowed
by the initial wick which saw buying
pressure coming in at that level there.
And now from this range we've built
enough buying pressure to send the
market back into uninterrupted buying
candles with little to no wick at the
top. see what follows from there. It's
just more continued buying. Okay, so
there we go. We've made some sense of
the market by reading individual
candles. Now, of course, when we are
trading, we're not going to look at
every single candle and try and read the
full story of every single candle that
prints in this format in order to take
trades. But what we can do is use them
to kind of see potential areas where
maybe the market is shifting direction
or clear areas where the market will not
be shifting direction because the
control and domination from buyers or
sellers is just so prominent at one
time. So that is how we read individual
candles. Now do not trade based off of
this information as it stands alone.
When we get into multicandle momentum,
you'll see how we bring these individual
pieces into a larger context to actually
create narratives around the market
reading the momentum so we can identify
those kind of points of control and
points of reversal and points of
indecision with more clarity. The next
class is all about that. We'll be diving
deep into it. And for now, this is
everything you need to go and study this
week. So, what I want you to do is head
over to your chart, choose a random
piece of price action, and go candle by
candle in the way that we just did to
identify areas of selling pressure,
areas of buying pressure, and try to
make sense of what is likely to happen
next. Remember, you don't have to
formulate trades with it. You don't have
to find the perfect entry with it. You
just need to have an understanding of
which direction the market is likely to
go next based on what has just occurred.
such as when we prepped this downward
move. We said the most likely outcome
from here due to the indecision we have
on the push back up is a selling move.
Okay, I would need to go to a random
point on a chart and do that identify it
and you'll start to see how you read the
story behind the candlesticks
themselves. And from there, we'll move
on to multi candle momentum in the next
episode. So, thank you for watching. Hit
the link in the description to watch the
trading diagnosis class, which is going
to fix the issues that you don't see on
the charts that are holding you back
from success. And with that, I will see
you in the next
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