Professor Jiang Predicts: US WILL LOSE Iran War

All right, guys. We've got yet another

heavy hitter guest and first-time guest

on the show, Professor Cien. He is the

star of the popular YouTube channel,

Predictive History. He uses game theory

to analyze past, current, and to predict

uh future geopolitical events. And he

joins us now. Professor, great to have

you.

>> Good to see you, sir.

>> Thanks for inviting me.

>> Yeah, of course. So, um you know, for

people who aren't familiar with your

work, I wanted to show folks that back

in uh 2024, you made three big

predictions. one that Trump would win,

two that he would start a war with Iran,

and three that the US would lose that

war. Let's take a listen to that.

>> In this class this semester, I'm making

three big predictions, right? First is

that Trump will win

uh in November. Second is that

um United States will go to war against

Iran. And the third big prediction is

that the United States will lose this

war which will forever change the global

order.

>> So obviously that last one is uh the

only one who is that has not yet come to

fruition is quite a stunning prediction.

You know do you stand by it and what

have you seen so far that leads you to

sort of stand firm in that conclusion?

So um given my analysis of how the war

is progressing, I think that Iran has

many more advantages over the United

States. Um the reality is that right now

um it's a war of attrition between the

United States and Iran. And Iranians

have preparing 20 years for this

conflict in their esquetology, in their

religion. This is a war against the

great Satan. They've had many um

practice runs. Last June was a 12-day

war when the Iranians were able to uh

examine and analyze the strike

capacities of both the Israelis and the

Americans. And they've had a lot of

time, eight months to prepare fully for

um this new attack.

um they through their proxies, the Hufi,

Hezbollah, Hamas and the Shia mil

militias have been able to um really

grasp the American mentality and now

they have a pretty good strategy of how

to weaken and ultimately destroy the

American empire. So what uh the Iranians

are doing is they're not they're waging

war against the entire global economy.

And so they are striking um the GCC

countries and not only are they striking

GCC countries, American bases, they're

going after the critical energy

infrastructure of these bases. is they

block out the tricus and eventually um

they will go after the water dalidation

plants which is a lifeblood of these

nations because they don't have fresh

water supply. In fact uh the water

disselination plants provides 60% of the

um GCC's water supply. M

>> so if a drone and you know these drones

cost $50,000 if they wiped out a

dissonation plant in Riyad uh Saudi

Arabia and it's a city of 10 million

people right um they'd be out of water

in two weeks

um in two weeks and right now the

Iranians have the facto closed off the

humus and the GC gets 90% of its food

from um uh the Chevoose. So, I know a

lot of people are talking about the

disruptions to global economy, but right

now the uh Iranians are actually

threatening the very existence of Saudi

Arabia, um UAE, Bahrain, uh Qatar. And

what this is important is that uh the

Gulf States are really the lynch pin of

the um American economy. So what they do

is they sell petro dollars and then they

recycle the petro dollars back into the

American economy through the investments

in the stock market. And right now we

know that the entire glob the entire

American economy is propped up by AI

investments in data centers and a lot of

that comes from uh the Gulf States. So

if um the uh Gulf states are no longer

able to sell oil and they're no longer

able to finance uh AI uh this AI bubble

in the United States, then this AI will

burst and with it will will um uh will

burst as well as well the entire

American economy which is really a

financial Ponzi scheme, right?

>> So that's that's a dire situation that

the Americans are facing right now.

>> Yeah. Yeah, I mean to your point sir, an

Amazon data center was literally hit in

the UAE and now of course big tech

companies which were looking at the UAE

as a major potential data center

investment hub with cheap and abundant

energy probably going to be re

rethinking that. We also wanted to talk

to you about munitions. Uh we can put

this next one up here on the screen. The

United States is racing to accomplish

Iran mission before munitions run out.

This is specifically around interceptor

math. There's a famous video just from

yesterday in Israel which shows a single

Iranian ballistic missile which is being

targeted by some 11 different

interceptors. All of which miss most of

those come from the United States. Not

to mention all of the different bases,

the GCC countries that you just talked

about and the as the asymmetry of the

cost. It's a million dollar for a

missile, tens of millions per

interceptor in some of these cases. With

these munitions running out, how does

that change the global picture? So

you're in China obviously much of the

stocks in Asia of the United States are

likely to have to be cannibalized if

this were to go on. How's that going to

affect the global picture here?

>> Right. So uh my first point is that the

United States military is not designed

to fight a 21st century war. Remember

the military industrial complex came

into being after World War II and was

designed to fight the cold war. And the

Cold War was really about muscle flexing

about about who was able to send uh

people up into space, who was able to

who was to first get the person on the

moon, who had the more uh complex um

missile systems. And so the entire

American military strategy revolves

around very uh sophisticated

sophisticated technology that cost a lot

of money to uh build. And that's what

the um American air defense system is is

basically. And that's why we're seeing

this im asymmetry as you point out in in

this war where you have these

million-dollar missiles trying to take

out these $50,000 drones and it's not

sustainable uh in the long term. And so

what we're seeing is really the

puncturing of the aura of invisibility

and inability that sustained American

hegemony for the past 20 years u

especially after the collapse of the

Soviet Union. And this is really a

reordering of not just the global

economy uh because this signals the

collapse of the petro dollar and with it

um the entire uh uh US dollarbased uh

reserve currency system but also um

global uh the global hegemony of the

United States. We're moving towards a

multipolar world.

>> Professor, this morning Secretary of War

Pete Hexath uh was asked a question

about potential ground troops um in

Iran. He refused to rule out that

possibility and he said, you know, oh

well, we're not going to project to you

what we will or will not do what we

don't want to, you know, rule anything

out. We will do what it takes. Do you

think that America will end up um

invading Iran from the ground since it's

already becoming relatively clear they

won't be able to accomplish the goal of

regime change or even regime collapse

using just air power alone.

>> Right? So everyone says that the worst

calamity that could happen United States

is if it were to send ground troops into

Iran. At the same time the United States

are committed to regime change in Iran.

We've never had uh an president in

history where you were able to regime

change from the air alone. You need

ground troops. And so unfortunately

what's going to happen over the next few

months is that uh pressure will build on

America to send ground troops especially

from the GCC countries and from Israel

which are being pouted right now by uh

the Iranians. So remember that if the

GCC countries Saudi Arabia uh Qatar UAE

ban if they go then the petro dollar

goes goes with them. So the Americans

need to protect these countries and

these countries are going to demand that

um either the uh Americans bribe the

Iranians to seize and this this is like

$5 trillion in indemnity. Okay?

>> Or send ground troops to wipe out the

Iranian threat once and for all. And I

know that there's no political will for

ground troops uh to be used against Iran

among the American people, but remember

that 78% American people was against

initial strikes against Iran in the

first place,

>> right? And one of the things that really

comes into question, I think, with all

of this, sir, when we're looking at the

geopolitical picture and the sacrificing

in much of this uh from the United

States on behalf of Israel, is kind of a

question as to who and what wanted this.

We were actually curious for your view

on a disputed report here from the

Washington Post. We can put it up here

on the screen. Uh F3, a push from the

Saudis. Israel helped move Trump to

attack Iran. Now, this has been

internally disputed by Saudi Arabia

saying that they did not push the Trump

administration to attack Iran. However,

this is clearly an authorized leak from

our own government trying to at least

lay some of the blame on behalf of the

GCC. What do you make of this analysis

and of of this narrative that Saudi

Arabia was also trying to be behind this

push to bomb Iran?

>> So, I've always argued that both Saudi

Arabia and Israel are heavily invested

in regime change in Iran. In fact, Saudi

Arabia sees Iran as much more of an exal

crisis than Israel because remember

Israel still has nuclear weapons and

Israel is a very diverse very

sophisticated economy whereas Saudi

Arabia is completely reliant on oil and

it's always had problems with um Iran

because Iran is a theocracy opposed to

the Saudi monarchy. Um Iran uh funds and

equips uh the Houthis which have have

been antagonistic towards Saudi Arabia

for the longest time. And right now the

Saudi economy is suffering. Um it is

it's been trying to pivot towards more

of a tourist economy. That's why they

brought in Ronaldo. That's why they're

switching to e- gaming. Uh that's why

they're being building something called

a line uh Neo. And all these things are

not working out. So um they need to be

able to control uh the oil resources of

the entire Middle East if they are to

survive and thrive as a nation. So I do

believe that this uh reporting is

credible even though it does u make

Saudi Arabia look bad. But remember,

Saudi Arabia says that they wanted

peace, but they are helping the Israelis

and Americans attack Iran right now

because they're allowing the um Israelis

and Americans to use Saudi airspace.

>> So, help us understand because it still

feels to me like there are some pieces

that don't totally add up. You had in

advance of this war on Iran, you had top

military brass up to the chairman of the

Joint Chiefs of Staff saying, "This is a

really bad idea." um you know we are not

ready for this you know all the the math

on the interceptors that's been talked

about for for months at this point and

yet Trump still decided to go ahead what

is the calculus that he was making here

that led him to take what you know

already appears to be catastrophic

actions

>> right okay so this is the key question

why do they do this I think there are

three possibilities okay and I think all

three possibilities are valid the first

is the idea of hubris You look at

history, this is how empires behave. So

um the Muro kidnapping was quick,

successful and it was adrenaline rush

for Trump and that made him

overconfident in the capacity of the

American military. Okay, so hubris is a

factor and we see this throughout

history. Why did Hitler invade Stalin?

Because he conquered Europe really

easily and he thought it was invincible,

right? Right? And that led to the

destruction of the German army in uh the

Soviet Union. So hubris is a factor.

Then you have to look at internal

political calculus where even though

America does not benefit from this war

against Iran, Trump himself personally

benefits. Why? Because the Saudis and

Israelis are bribing him to um attack

Iran. Remember that the Saudis invested

$2 billion in the private equity fund of

Jared Kushner who is the son-in-law of

Donald Trump and the Israelis through

Miriam Aden have been financing Trump's

vocal career. Right. So u Mor aden

um a few months back said that she will

um put up $250 million if Trump were to

run a third term.

>> So Trump is getting a lot of financial

and political support from the Saudis

and Israelis. Also remember that if this

war if this war goes sideways and Trump

is forced to use ground troops, he will

probably get approval from Congress and

this will give him emergency war powers

which will allow him to uh influence the

midterms. So Trump is thinking about a

third term and I think at the bullet box

he probably won't get it. But if there's

a war going on and you can delay

elections and you have emergency war

powers and people rally around the flag

then he probably he probably will get a

third term. And the last factor that is

very important is esquetological factor

where if you look at the Epson files

it's clear that we are run by secret

societies. It's clear that the world is

run by these uh individuals who have a

lot of power. We don't know who they

are, but they control the military. They

control the national security apparatus.

And these people we we there are

different names for these people. Uh you

can call them Illuminati. And the

Illuminati are composed of three major

groups. Okay? You have the Jesuits who

control the Vatican. You have the

Sabatine Frankis who which control the

modern Israel today. You have the

Freemasons which control the national

security apparatus of um the United

States and they believe that Israel this

war in the Middle East is key to the end

times in creating heaven on earth. So

it's almost like a script that they're

following even though it's doesn't make

any duplic uh sense. Okay. So I I would

say that these three are the best

reasons why this is happening.

>> Wow. Well sir uh I hope you come back.

This was very informative I think for

both of us. We deeply appreciate your

time. Thank you.

>> Thank you.

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