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The Insane $6 *Billion* Dollar Lawsuit against Tesla & Elon Musk

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0:00

what's at stake for Elon musk's a

0:02

lawsuit it is 6 billion dollars of

0:05

potential costs for Tesla which would

0:07

basically mean they have to borrow lots

0:10

of money and given that they just opened

0:12

up a credit line for between five to

0:14

seven billion dollars which is supposed

0:16

to be to help them facilitate the

0:19

building of electric vehicle plants and

0:21

Battery plants it comes at an

0:23

interesting time since while Elon Musk

0:26

and Tesla are being sued for Elon musk's

0:28

taking Tesla private at 420 tweet from

0:32

2018. the potential damages could be as

0:35

high as 6 billion dollars for Bloomberg

0:37

now investors are claiming that Tesla

0:40

stock was artificially inflated by about

0:42

66 dollars During the period of time

0:46

that uh immediately after Elon Musk

0:49

tweeted taking Tesla private at 420 and

0:52

then right before

0:54

Elon Musk ended up hosting a Blog on the

0:58

Tesla website suggesting no we are not

1:00

going to end up taking Tesla private now

1:03

Bloomberg suggests that there could be a

1:04

potential for a settlement that is

1:07

substantially lower than a six billion

1:10

dollar deal usually a settlement would

1:12

be worked out after uh Tesla and Elon

1:15

Musk in the event that they end up

1:17

losing end up losing uh so a settlement

1:21

would be potentially the to the tune of

1:24

10 of the alleged damages anywhere

1:27

between 500 million dollars to one

1:29

billion dollars is the potential damage

1:31

that Tesla would face uh in the event of

1:35

a settlement after a loss now you might

1:38

ask yourself why would anyone settle

1:40

after they just won well it's because

1:43

Tesla is very likely to appeal uh the

1:47

loss and the generally you can only

1:49

appeal if your due process has been

1:51

somehow violated but Tesla has already

1:54

basically set up all they need to be

1:56

able to appeal because the judge in the

2:00

case who's presiding this case has

2:02

already told the jury that he believes

2:05

Elon musk's tweets were misleading

2:09

now on a pellet Court may end up

2:12

determining that the judge in this case

2:14

calling Elon musk's tweets misleading

2:16

could end up being something that a jury

2:19

should determine not an individual judge

2:22

that then gives Elon Musk and Tesla a

2:26

potential to appeal losing this lawsuit

2:29

for a lack of due process however an

2:33

appeal could take over a year to be

2:36

heard so that would be into early 2024

2:38

and an appellate court could end up

2:41

ordering an entirely new trial and that

2:44

gives Tesla a lot of settlement leverage

2:47

because even if the people suing Tesla

2:49

and Elon Musk now win if it goes to an

2:52

appeal and a new trial happens they

2:54

might not win again and Bloomberg

2:56

believes uh that this gives massive

2:58

settlement leverage to Tesla and Elon

3:00

Musk remember these these lawsuits were

3:03

all filed in uh in in about mid-2022 for

3:07

this issue back in 2018

3:09

uh Bloomberg thinks there's about a 50

3:11

50 chance that a Tesla and Elon Musk win

3:15

or lose

3:16

interesting though is the lead plaintiff

3:18

this guy Glenn Littleton he's 70 who's

3:21

71 years old apparently he was trading

3:23

like 10 million dollars worth of Tesla

3:24

options in August of of 2018. he had

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over 470 unique trade that trades that

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month and back in the 80s he was fine

3:33

for violating wash sale rules and

3:35

briefly had his Securities license

3:38

suspended but apparently what's

3:41

fascinating in the case is that the lead

3:43

plaintiff argues in court today

3:47

that hey I thought Elon musk's tweets

3:50

were definitive I thought he was

3:52

definitely gonna sell Tesla at 420 per

3:55

share but emails have actually now come

3:58

out uh through the court case and emails

4:01

show that he didn't actually think the

4:04

uh uh the the case was definitive or

4:07

that Elon was definitely going to take

4:09

Tesla private at 420 per share Zero

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Hedge provided those two emails and

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Glenn Littleton here writes I got out of

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the obvious stuff because a lot of

4:20

people thought it was a hoax and still

4:22

had bids out there I saw so many red

4:24

flags with Elon and Tesla too much drama

4:27

so in other words while he thinks it's

4:29

definitive that Tesla is going to be

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taken private that's at least what he's

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alleging in court in emails at the time

4:35

he's saying eh seems like drama seems

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like a hoax

4:40

and then he says over here there is so

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much risk in these options as you can

4:44

imagine if this rumor of Elon taking

4:46

Tesla private at 420 is correct then the

4:49

strike prices except calls below 420

4:50

become worthless correct this is

4:52

basically if you have out of the money

4:54

calls for let's say 500 but the Tesla

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the company goes private at 420 then

4:59

those calls above 420 uh might either be

5:02

worthless or or settle at a lower at a

5:05

lower price or probably just honestly

5:07

worthless uh and so that's a risk and so

5:09

he's alleging that he lost money because

5:11

he had to close certain positions forget

5:13

about the option stuff for a moment the

5:15

point is to say that here's a guy who's

5:16

arguing in court I definitely thought it

5:18

was going to go private but in emails

5:20

he's like it sounds like a rumor and a

5:22

hoax on top of that apparently during

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the actual coverage period he actually

5:27

made 2.4 million dollars on options

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so he actually made money he didn't lose

5:34

money on his option trades and now In

5:37

fairness he did have to close some other

5:40

positions uh some of those longer term

5:42

call options but by the time his longer

5:45

term call options would have expired in

5:47

January he would have end up ended up

5:50

losing all of his premium on those

5:52

because of not only Theta Decay but also

5:55

because the call options would have not

5:57

actually hit their strikes so we could

5:59

put a potentially have lost more money

6:01

so a prior judge who's heard this case

6:03

has actually said and declared that the

6:06

lead plaintiff in the case against Elon

6:08

Musk would have potentially lost more

6:10

money so if anything Elon must helped

6:13

the lead plaintiff a make money and B

6:16

Lose less money

6:19

so I think it's going to be really hard

6:21

for a jury to find that Elon Musk is

6:24

somehow liable for this lead plaintiff

6:28

losing money when the reality is he

6:31

actually made money you're potentially

6:32

lost less money than he otherwise would

6:34

have but the argument still exists that

6:36

well what if Elon was wrong to say that

6:38

funding was secured well Elon believes

6:41

that funding was secured in fact not

6:43

only did he believe that funding was

6:45

secured because the private investment

6:46

fund of Saudi Arabia Arabia was going to

6:49

take Tesla private and had been wanting

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to take Tesla private for a while but

6:54

according to board meeting minutes

6:56

Goldman Sachs and Silver Lake assured

6:59

Tesla's board of directors that funding

7:02

was available from a variety of sources

7:04

all of this is coming out in the lawsuit

7:07

another thing that's coming out are

7:09

actually text messages uh which we

7:11

because they're being submitted as court

7:14

evidence here we have to evaluate as

7:16

likely being accurate text messages but

7:18

who know knows you know people can fake

7:20

text messages but this seems like a

7:22

reasonable discussion that had was had

7:24

and it kind of shows the frustrating

7:27

position that Elon Musk was in so

7:29

apparently these are texts between Elon

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and Yasir who Elon Musk believed was the

7:34

representative of Saudi Arabia's private

7:36

investment fund that could have made the

7:38

decision to help Elon Musk take Tesla

7:40

private and so here you see uh an

7:43

article that Elon Musk sends to the

7:45

individual saying Saudi Arabia's private

7:47

investment fund has shown no interest in

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helping Tesla's buyout Elon says what

7:52

the hell is going on here this is false

7:56

Yasir replies this is not true nobody

7:59

talked to them okay so it's really clear

8:01

that something weird is going on here

8:03

because the article is saying Saudi

8:05

Investment fund has no interest in

8:07

helping the Tesla buy out and now the

8:09

individual is saying no that article is

8:11

not true which basically says so you are

8:13

interested in helping Tesla do their

8:14

buyout right uh and then he writes good

8:17

morning Elon want to check in with you

8:18

and your team to see if you'd be able to

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start sending us information we could

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have a kickoff team so that we could

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talk about the investment basically he's

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like hey I gotta sell the idea of taking

8:28

Tesla uh uh private to the other people

8:31

involved in the private investment fund

8:34

elon's like dude I'm deeply offended

8:36

this is ridiculous you have to refute

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the false statement that you have no

8:40

interest in Tesla because we've been

8:42

talking about it well apparently they

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did that and they made a comment talking

8:46

about how they're in talks to invest in

8:48

Tesla with a buyout deal and Elon says

8:50

dude this is a weak statement it doesn't

8:52

reflect the conversation we had at Tesla

8:55

you said you were definitely interested

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in taking Tesla private and had wanted

8:59

to do so since 2016 you also made it

9:02

clear that you were the decision maker

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that you don't have to sell this idea to

9:06

anyone else right now I'm sorry but we

9:09

can't work together elon's basically

9:10

like middle finger you're a you

9:14

suck and the guy's like dude it's up to

9:16

you he's like come on man you're

9:17

throwing me under the bus here not cool

9:19

and then he uh this private investment

9:22

fund guy yes here goes look it takes two

9:23

to tango we haven't received anything

9:25

yet they go back and forth a little bit

9:27

I'm not going to read it all word for

9:28

word but basically a series like let's

9:30

get on the phone and talk about it

9:31

elon's like sorry it's over the guys

9:34

like do dude come on like I don't want

9:35

to throw you under the bus here but we

9:36

need some documents Elon replies and

9:38

he's like dude it's a publicly traded

9:40

company you have everything you need

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you've already bought a five percent

9:43

stake in Tesla but and then the guy's

9:45

like oh but we want details like how do

9:47

we take it private and elon's like

9:49

you're not an idiot he didn't say those

9:51

words but he's like dude when we met

9:52

blah blah blah you guys know how to take

9:55

a company private I'm just speeding this

9:57

up because I'm not gonna read this all

9:58

word for word you could pause the screen

9:59

and read it yourself but basically

10:00

you're extremely experienced financially

10:02

and are well aware that a go private

10:04

transaction would require a 20 premium

10:06

over the market price to buy out any

10:08

shareholder that didn't want to sell so

10:10

anyway

10:11

uh uh we haven't taken any company

10:13

private yet in order for us to do that I

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got to get some other people involved

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blah blah blah we haven't gone to the

10:19

media blah blah blah blah and basically

10:21

Elon is like dude you suck you told me

10:24

you had the power to take the company

10:25

private you burned me we have silvergate

10:29

and Goldman that could help us take

10:30

Tesla private Elon wholeheartedly

10:32

believes that the taking Tesla private

10:34

tweet is factual that's what he's

10:36

arguing in court Bloomberg gives him a

10:39

50 50 chance of winning worst case

10:40

scenario it's a 50 billion dollar bill

10:42

to Tesla although it's likely that's

10:44

just going to end up getting settled

10:46

down to 500 million to a billion dollars

10:48

although given that the lead plaintiff

10:50

kind of seems like a trading scumbag who

10:53

is just upset he didn't get to make more

10:55

money and he's kind of Being Greedy

10:57

about this given that he made money and

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probably lost less money than he

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otherwise would have it seems to me that

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it would be very difficult for a jury to

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actually say that Elon Musk it deserves

11:07

to be guilty and Tesla ultimately

11:10

deserves to pay six billion dollars up

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to potentially six billion dollars in

11:14

Damages I think Tesla and Elon are in

11:16

the clear here and the case just

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continues to get more and more

11:19

ridiculous as more information and data

11:21

come out now with that said I'm gonna

11:24

hop on over to our course member live

11:25

stream I love you all but I also love my

11:28

course members and I promise them the

11:29

opening bell and some Fundy analysis so

11:32

goodbye godspeed hopping over there now

11:35

I love you all goodbye

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