Tesla Exploded | Here's What's NEXT [Important Heads Up]

holy smokes welcome to an amazing day

for Tesla congratulations to all Tesla

investors this is so exciting where is

this button when you need it nice PP yes

exactly ah the pricing power at Tesla's

coming through especially something that

not a lot of folks are paying attention

to this line right here 9.4 gaws on

Energy Products folks that's more than

double it's 2.3x what we saw in the last

q1 gig uh uh gws deployed of energy uh I

mentioned over here that if we have the

same gross profit margin as we did in q1

we should be seeing an additional $935

million to Tesla's bottom line because

the energy storage business is

profitable it's got good margins this is

going to help with some of those

negative cash flow concerns just like

you know the financing that Tesla

introduced in Q2 to really try to

solidify a vehicle deliveries bottom I

personally think they'll probably

amortize the cost of that discounted

financing over time it that might sound

really complicated so I'm going to

translate that to English Majin could be

really good in Q2 okay so I'm I'm

actually pretty optimistic here uh uh

now I these were the deliveries were

down uh

4.76% uh deliveries

14.3% uh on uh Vehicles produced so we

reduced some vehicle production probably

shifted some of that to battery

deployment uh and uh really made some

dollar hollas now uh this is great Q2

fantastic really trying to solidify a

bottom here in the same quarter that

Elon was fighting for his Compensation

Plan this makes a lot of sense how

sustainable this is going to be remains

to be seen this is not me being bearish

this is just me being reasonable to

argue that there is a potential that

some of the tricks that were deployed in

Q2 to pump these delivery figures right

here specifically some of those interest

rate offers are now no longer available

at all which makes me think that there

was a little bit of um a desire to

really solidify a bottom right before

the robo taxi event and at the same time

of elon's comp compensation plan vote uh

again this is not me trying to be jaded

it's just look 6.29 is the lowest rate I

could get on a Model y right now after

they did 0.99 on the Y they went to 1.9

and even that's gone now which is kind

of wild I thought they would have kept

doing this if it was so successful but

I'm starting to think ah but the idea

wasn't to always have this the idea see

even 6.29 on all the threes the idea was

to just do this at the time it mattered

most now this is not me trying to be a

Tesla bear it's just trying to set

expectations that yes this is a great

way to try to set a bottom for Tesla yes

I've been calling for Tesla to hit 221

and break a above it frankly since like

April and May and then the beginning of

June we're like oh my gosh volatility is

so low volatility is going to explode

and when it does the stock is going to

explode and that's literally exactly

what's happening right now at the time

of this recording the stock is up over

9% had some call options this morning

print some tendies which is delicious as

always I send those alerts to everyone

in my stocks and sight group when I see

a trade or I see a swing trade or I see

something that could be an opportunity

which is great but what we have to also

consider is there is a risk to macro and

so this is nothing to do with Tesla

because Tesla specifically I think the

Bottom's in on Tesla I don't actually

believe we're going to go below 200 and

if we do go below 200 again I think

it'll be a gift however there are some

warning signs for example the Goldman

Sachs bull SL bear Market indicator this

is a chart that goes all the way back to

1955 and this chart because it goes all

the way back to

1955 it's not so horribly precise but it

does show us up here at a peak level but

then again it also if you look very very

closely shows us off of that peak level

a little bit already but what's

fascinating is if you consider what's

already off peak level a little bit we

think of Nvidia being off peak level a

little bit we think of the q's yes kind

of green right now after JP Pal's done

yapping his trap which is to be expected

but it makes you wonder are we hitting a

ceiling here at the same time we're

getting a steepening of the yield curve

we look at those two t the spread

between those is suggesting we could be

in for a period of somewhat softness or

potentially some fear going into the

pretty classic Catalyst of an election

usually in the months before an election

you do end up having a sell down which

could be an opportunity to buy the dip

if you feel like you're missing out and

your Foo a little bit there might be

other opportunities to buy I don't know

that the market is going to continue to

go straight up from here but hey

anything is possible so let's consider

the following uh first we do have the

2os 10 continuing yesterday we caught up

on how the 210s falling or or rather the

210 spreads steepening so so the yield

Rising is often indicative of either a

flat Market if we get the steepening for

a week to two weeks we're at day seven

or a market that falls if we get more

than that right now the 210 spread which

you can calculate on screen here all you

have to do on the right side of the

screen is grab that 2-year treasury

yield which you can grab from CNBC so we

write down

4.72 7 we're going to minus that uh from

this 10year

4446 uh technically I should be minusing

the 10 from the two but whatever I'm

going to flip that to negative what're

about 28 basis points inverted right now

28 basis points have inverted is U you

know more more uninverted than where we

were yesterday again a sign that okay

markets could be giving us a reason for

some pause mostly because we haven't

seen some pause that is not a bearish

thing it's just saying if you feel like

you're missing out on Tesla there could

end up being another opportunity to get

in I personally think the opportunity to

get in is much in line with what I said

yesterday I think between today and the

earnings date you could potentially try

to price in some bad news although it's

also possible you just get a bunch of

Industry upgrades although usually those

don't come out until you actually get

the earnings you could get some industry

upgrades stock could go up more

absolutely but I wouldn't be surprised

to see some red days between now and

earnings day and then almost certainly

am I expecting some red when it comes to

the robo taxi event so don't get me

wrong heavily exposed to Tesla it's the

larg just position in a fund that I

manag it's not an advertisement for that

fund I'm very very happy because now my

performance uh gets boosted again we're

not comparing returns we're trying to be

relative here we're just simply saying

I'm bullish I just do see that it's

possible this Q2 Spike could be a little

bit of a one-time

misnomer uh and it's possible that after

the 88 event and once we start getting

Q3 delivery numbers which would be about

three months from now so July is month

7th so about the beginning of October it

could start see which would be right

before the election October could be a

really big Tesla by the dip opportunity

now is that because it ran up to 300 and

then down to 270 or do we go back to 200

I have no idea I'm just saying I do

believe there's not just a clean path

forward here though this is very very

exciting for Tesla and I'm very excited

to see what the margins are going to end

up looking like uh for that energy

business that energy business is

something a lot of people don't really

pay attention to and I think it's really

worthless uh worth worth paying

attention to now Morgan Stanley did

throw out a note uh which we could take

a peek at uh here I see on X first

positive surprise of the Year Tesla

started its independence Day celebration

early with a positive Q2 delivery beat

33k lower inventory and a large store G

beat to remind investors it's not just

an auto company while this is one of the

first and only positive Auto surprises

of the year we still believe matching

last year's delivery number would be

difficult to achieve we did also see an

inventory reduction which should

increase our networking capital and we

saw the show stealer of the energy

storage deployment now there's the

question is Tesla getting its mojo back

elon's comp plan was approved fast

forward clients are beginning to ask us

about positive results into Q2 and

Beyond we're getting asked about Tesla

energy the humanoid robot Tam so a lot

of really bullish things ahead for Tesla

as well so possibly the way to look at

Tesla is if you feel a little bit of Foo

you buy a little knowing there are going

to be dips again in the future and I'm

just trying to provide a balanced

perspective here but congratulations to

anybody exposed to Tesla this is great

news and uh folks good job out there

good luck and we'll see you in the next

one we'll keep paying attention to

volatility we'll also keep paying

attention to that inverted yield curve

thanks so much goodbye can notot

advertise these things that you told us

here I feel like nobody else knows about

this we'll we'll try a little

advertising and see how it goes

congratulations man you have done so

much people love you people look up to

you Kevin P there financial analyst and

YouTuber meet Kevin always great to get

your

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