just sold $1.2 million in stocks... why paper hands...
FULL TRANSCRIPT
one meet kevin here i just sold about
1.22 million dollars of stocks and i
wanted to explain why do i have big
paper hands did i just paper hand out of
the red market because well things went
down or what the heck happened here well
to understand my strategy it's helpful
to know a very simple
rule that i have it's a simple rule that
i follow and
it comes after one of my other favorite
rules which is don't have more than 20
margin which i'm right at like 23ish
percent margin right now so
i'm not doing this today to pay f margin
i'm okay being right at 23
so this is really the next rule and the
simple rule is this
when the market is super hot lower your
margin keep cash in
index funds or diversify into more
stocks
i personally when the market is super
hot like for example
august of last year when it was just
literally
it was insane august of last year i
instead of putting money into individual
stocks that we're really taking off
because i don't like following parabolic
curves
i put money into things like a basket of
index funds
which you could see by going to like
metkevin.com
basket you'll see i've got four index
funds there and i kind of split them up
into the way i want to diversify them
the really cool thing about august of
last year
was i looked at that market i'm like
this isn't really sustainable i'm going
to prep for a crash and guess what
happened starting september 4th
the market pulled back and so i was able
to take advantage of a market pullback
by what i like to call breaking the
glass on my index fund kind of style
stocks
or my basket style stocks which could be
like a basket of 30 to 50 stocks or just
index star
index funds which could be hundreds of
stocks right i'm able to
sell those which usually fall less
and buy the stocks that have fallen more
just as an example
in september of last year we had a broad
sort of sell-off
and the s p was down maybe like 10 to 12
percent at one point
but stocks like tesla were down up to 37
so i like the fact that if i put cash in
i'm on an appreciating market i'm riding
the appreciating wave
but in a really hot market i want that
spread out like butter
and so that way if the market falls
which it did in september worst case
scenario i'm down 12-ish percent now i
wasn't down 12
on that money because i could have just
kept it in cash in that case because i
invested the money spread out through
august
i had gained more than 12 percent than
what i lost in that
so this is why generally i want to be in
the market i don't like having cash
sitting around cash sitting around for
me
is money in index funds so when those
index funds
fell and i gave back some of my returns
in the index fund i was able to
sell those stocks or in other kind of
like baskets like medkevin.com
for me is kind of like a basket it's got
like 62 stocks in it
which 62 stocks pretty much has the
the uh spread of an index fund
except these 62 stocks are more
concentrated in tech so
maybe not as much of a spread but
studies show that once you have
30 to 40 diversified stocks you have
almost the similar diversity
as an index fund if you're actually
spreading them into different sectors
which i wasn't i mean they were mostly
all tech anyway but anywho
so i take that money break the glass buy
the stocks that have sold off
well i'm basically doing the same thing
now so here's my strategy now
my strategy today is simple and i call
it
spring cleaning i'm going to go around
my portfolio
and look for a bunch of smaller
positions that i have that i created in
january or february
as ways of kind of diversifying and i'm
going to sell those
off and then concentrate my portfolio
without going more into margin so here's
the beauty
i get rid of and clean up all of the
small positions i have
that aren't going to move the needle
anyway like a stock that has ten
thousand dollars in it for me
is not going to move my portfolio at all
like it could
quadruple and it's it's not it's not
going to do anything for the portfolio
and so while it's nice to have money
kind of spread out into different stocks
i want to spring clean sweep up all of
these into a nice
bucket sell them and take that money
without having to take money out of
margin and dump it into my high
conviction place
this again for example spring cleaning
now
since some of these were acquired
between like october
and november and december and january
most of this should be relatively star
like
tax neutral uh though there will be
gains because
net net there are gains but relative to
the money i freed up
it's going to be pretty small so i'm not
too worried about taxes in this
obviously if i had accumulated this
money
five years ago i probably wouldn't sell
because the taxes would be
way way way higher but i created a bunch
of new brokerage accounts
like m1 finance robinhood and i
transferred money over to chase
in november and there are a bunch of
stocks that have sold back down to their
november lows
so i kind of feel like ah i can do
something paying a small amount of taxes
relative to the portfolio totally fine
and really concentrate down into my
favorites and just for comparison
a 22 000 stock in my portfolio makes up
one-tenth of one percent of my portfolio
so
like i said even if that stock moves
really really well and
even though i might like that stock it's
just not worth keeping it
so here's specifically what i did i'm
just gonna name some of these because i
sold like somewhat around
like i don't know 55 different stocks
it's a lot but here's just an example of
some of them
shopify 59k gm 8.4 k
spotify 7 beyond meat 37 purple 25
carnival 16 win 25 fastly 25
delta 12.5 ebay 11 microsoft 13
facebook 14.2 dominos 4.3 netflix 30
fisker 2
walmart 30 snowflake 18 tattooed chef61
cloudflare 18 target 13 twilio 40
blizzard29 qualcomm 61.
now you might be wondering like gosh
kevin like why do you have all these
small odd numbers in all these different
stocks
well it's because of my m1 finance pie
medkevin.com 1337.
like i really like that because it
really is able to broaden me out in
terms of
the stocks that i'm investing in with
just a click of a button it's like oh
cool i've got another batch of money
put it into the pie and it spreads it
out but again now
my goal is concentrating so i ended up
selling
1.2 million dollars worth of stocks in
total
that was just sort of a short sample of
all of them here
and then what i did is i bought the
following which i'll go ahead and put
these up on screen so here's what i
bought
this is for example what the m1 finance
looks like so at the top here you could
see
sales of 798 and buys of 798
and uh we got these 14 buys and so this
is just
uh just on m1 finance and it shows you
here i put a 39 into expi
and that's already a concentrated
position so even though it's like oh
well 39 kevin did you just like
sell 39 in one stock to put 39 into
other
yes but these are positions that i've
got
big numbers in already well like each of
these positions
that i have is is at least probably now
today
a 300 dollar figure uh which
and and some of these are quite a lot
more and i know
i'm just saying these numbers so you
could try to relate it to your portfolio
just you know change the percentage
average
uh or or the the weight so to speak i've
given you enough detail in this video to
already figure that out
but anyway the point is i'm
concentrating into those that in my
opinion
are at decent levels that have sold off
at least relatively
and i don't mind adding to so you can
see here we've got
expi wayfarer peloton square square's a
little bit
higher right now so not ideal but with
m1 finance that
you know m1 finance you don't have all
of the luxury of just kind of manually
choosing things you can but i kind of
just put it into my pies and let it do a
little bit of a rebalance
because i closed out my 1337 pie and
moved it into
new pies that i'm making which i uh will
reveal soon
talked with course members about this
this morning and explain this all
in big detail about the new pies that
i'm making and the new things i'm i'm
concentrating into
but this kind of gives you an idea of
what that's going to look like already
palantir 82 pinterest 15 redfin 33
disney 39 tesla 262 000
cciv matterport got almost 100k uh amd
ubiquity and lemonade also got funding
but that's just one set this was another
set
this came from jp morgan and they kind
of gave me a spreadsheet of okay kevin
these were the trades we did for you and
so you could see 145 here went into
tesla
and then very similar right we've got
end phase expi ghvi
palantir peloton redfin pinterest etsy
lemonade 431 and the other was the seven
uh whatever 98 figure so this kind of
shows you
what i sold and it's really just to
triple down essentially on my top
10 to top 20 positions so i'm really
concentrating top
10 i really want to be like 70 70 to 80
percent of my portfolio
top 20 should be like 15 to 20 of my
portfolio that next set of 10.
so top 10 70 to 80 next
set would be the next top 10 and that
would make up somewhere on 15 to 20
percent
and then maybe some miscellaneous uh
like swing bats or momentum bets can
come after that
so in my opinion given that some of
these names like even tesla have sold
off nicely
i'm able to make this transition at a
pretty good price point
to get into tesla and some of these
other stocks in my opinion
nicely sold off prices uh and so in my
opinion because i'm getting into these
at lower prices
i'm going to be able to boost my roi
substantially
now usually when i do my projections i'm
looking for
a double in five years on a conservative
basis
with some of these numbers i like
matterport
uh or or even uh tesla
certainly uh palantir uh you know
lemonade some of these these positions i
mean almost all of them
i could see all of these at least
doubling within the next five years
which works out to a 15
roi per year compounded so it's like 15
15 15 15 15
whatever five times uh but because some
of them have sold off so nicely
i think i'm going to be able to triple
some of these in five years which really
works out to more like a 25
uh annual compounded rate of return
that's like 25 25 25 25.
now we'll see don't have to be right
i would love to be right but uh that's
that's kind of what i'm gearing
towards with this investment decision
now i have to be realistic too
i recognize that the odds of having a
compounded return of 25
over the long run over a portfolio is
relatively
low uh now 2020 was an anomaly for many
of us we had
over 150 200 returns on our portfolio
i know i'm one of them i'm very grateful
for that but i also realize over warren
buffett's career
his average compounded rate of return
was 17
which is slightly more than a double
every uh five years
so if i could beat that great if i miss
and maybe i ended up being too
concentrated oh well these are the ones
that i know when they go down i laugh
and i buy more if i'm too spread out
and sometimes stocks go down and you
don't have
super high conviction in them you might
look and go man why do i have this
anyway
and that's not good like you don't want
to sell when things are
down now fortunately because i sold and
bought at the same time
it's not like i've taken any money out
of the market so yes some positions i've
sold
at lower prices but i'm also buying at
lower prices
so that's okay in my opinion it's just
really a way of concentrating my
portfolio down
and keep in mind the things that i sold
they're not necessarily things that
i think are bad companies like i don't
think shopify is bad i don't think
beyond meat is bad i don't think purple
is bad i don't think
a carnival or wind or fastly or delta
are bad
i think there are a lot of great
companies in what was sold but
i sold them because i don't have large
enough positions in them
to where even if they do well they're
not going to move the needle and i'd
rather take that money and put it in my
really high concentration stocks
my or high conviction stocks concentrate
down
into those so all of the stocks that i
sold
phenomenal companies don't get me wrong
but
we're concentrating into what i think
are going to be the big big winners
over the next five years i'm super
excited about that we'll see how the
journey goes oh i've got two of me here
oh well so you had two of me for a while
i hope you enjoyed it
thank you so very much i will see you in
the next video
and if you want to see all of the
details uh the full reveal of exactly
every single position that was bought
and sold since i didn't list them all
here
uh that is listed in the stocks and
psychology of money
course so check that out watch lecture
1.0
and you'll get to join and follow along
see those links down below in that
coupon code and folks we'll see in the
next video
[Music]
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