Air India 171 RETRACTION & UPDATE | Critical New Info!
FULL TRANSCRIPT
I owe you an update and a retractment of
what we talked about yesterday regarding
the Air India 171 crash because we have
new information that could add at least
to some of our understanding of what
happened but also opens up yet even more
questions. So as you already know just
to catch you up to speed and if you
don't want to be caught up to speed skip
ahead about a minute but this is Air
India 171. Almost 300 people died as
this aircraft lost lift in what appears
to be at least at this point believed to
be a dual engine failure which becomes
important. We don't see what appears to
be a flame out from a bird strike. We
don't see a lot of adverse law. A little
bit of bank we see to the left that
could potentially be indicative of uh
trying to guide away from buildings
ahead as essentially the pilots roll
away in this tragedy that occurs. But no
indications of a loss of a single
engine. Though even Boeing's mechanisms
can can minimize any kind of adverse yaw
if we just lost one engine. But if we
just lost one engine here, we left the
gear out, it's unlikely that this Boeing
787 Dreamliner would actually end up
crashing and losing all lift. So what
does that leave us with? And what do we
have to retract from yesterday? Well, I
threw together a quick little note sheet
just to give you the idea. We don't see
the visible bird strike. We don't think
pulling up the gear or the wrong flap
setting is a major issue here. We've
talked about these items in different
videos. And these aircraft can fly just
fine. Even if we're one setting off on
the flap setting or we have the gear
down, these aircraft are really designed
to be able to maintain thrust and a
climb rate even with just one engine.
So that really leaves us with some form
of dual engine failure leading to either
the automatic or manual ram air turbine
deployment. Now what could have caused
this dual engine failure could be a
whole host of things. Some form of crazy
fadec reset, fuel contamination, some
form of fuel pump failure or lockup, a
catastrophic electrical failure or an
intentional issue. And so as a jet
pilot, I've familiarized myself with
many different emergency procedures for
a dual engine failure. Uh and yesterday
we talked about this article from air
current where air current describes this
uh potential for the fuel switches
having been adjusted prior to the
impact. And so a lot of people are now
focused on these fuel control switches
and what position they were in and why
they were potentially manipulated before
impact. Now, I've watched other videos
and creators talk about this and not a
lot of creators have begun to talk about
the procedure for the specific 787
Dreamliner. Uh, and it sort of shows
that this procedure is very different
from what you typically see in uh a
Boeing aircraft or potentially another
aircraft. For example, I'm type rated in
the Phenom 300 EJET uh as a pilot in
command, also solo pilot, which is you
know rare to fly a jet solo. Uh and you
know, every aircraft has different
emergency procedures, but there's often
a lot of overlap. For example, one place
there's overlap is in the concern
regarding these switches that these
switches can't be accidentally switched
off. Why would both fuel valve switches
be switched off? And for most normal
emergency procedures, for us to
potentially see these emergency switches
turned off, even in the event of a dual
engine failure would be quite odd. Take
a look at some of these different
emergency procedures for a dual engine
failure or a loss of thrust on both
engines. You might see engine start
switches adjusted. You might see the
thrust levers reset. For example, on our
aircraft on the Phenom, you go to idle.
You put your oxygen masks on. you
establish communications and you land as
soon as possible. Those are basically
your memory items for dual engine
failure. And then of course if you have
the altitude you can go through
potential relighting through either
automated relighting or depending on if
you have enough speed windmilling to
restart these engines. You can go
through windmilling restart procedures.
This is very normal for an aircraft. Uh
on the Boeing 737 for a loss of thrust
on both engines, you would go through
also manipulating the levers uh for
thrust. You'd be watching the
temperatures of the turbine engines. And
based on what altitude you're at, you
would go to different steps in the
future. See, as you can see on the left
here, above 20 flight level 270, you
would do follow one set of instructions.
Below flight level 270, which is 27,000
ft, you'd follow yet another uh set of
instructions. Now, what's unique in the
Dreamliner, which we didn't mention
yesterday, and I apologize for that, uh,
in the enthusiasm to share information
about the latest information that we're
getting regarding what caused this
accident, we didn't specifically look
for that models checklist, and it is a
vastly different from that of other
aircraft. And for that, I apologize.
That's a failure. But the beautiful
thing about making these videos is we
get to learn together and expand our
aviation knowledge and ultimately we try
to make aviation safer for everyone.
It's actually what got me into aviation
was watching people's videos like pilot
debrief or Captain Steve or mentor pilot
or whatever whom I respect greatly and I
think they're all wonderful creators and
everyone contributes to making the
industry safer. And so even though not a
lot of people have talked about it yet,
what I have is a screenshot of the
emergency procedures for the 787
Dreamliner which was the Air India 171
flight. And remember the question is why
were those fuel control switches moved
to cut off? they don't accidentally go
to cut off which is what was mentioned
in the uh air current article or other
articles that it's potential that
there's a potential that some of these
fuel control switches were potentially
improperly inadvertently or
intentionally switched off. An
intentional switch off of these fuel
control switches would be very bad. Uh,
if you intentionally switch these
switches off by lifting them and pushing
them down past their gate, you will very
rapidly lose engine thrust. Some of the
pilots and comments yesterday suggested
you would almost instantaneously lose
engine thrust, especially during a high
power phase of flight like takeoff.
However, the 787 Dreamliner has very
unique procedures which you don't see in
a lot of other aircraft when it comes to
these fuel control switches and it
changes everything. Take a look at this.
In the event of a dual engine failure,
despite the fact that these pilots had
very, very little time to do anything,
the very first memory item is to cut off
the fuel control switches.
The general procedure is you move them
to cut off for about 1 second. See how
it says cut off then run. So you move it
down 1 1000 and you move it back up. The
second step is manually deploying the
ram air turbine.
And the causes for a dual engine failure
in this example at high altitude could
be fuel leak, fuel starvation, or
volcanic ash, which generally you deal
with volcanic ash in areas like Hawaii,
but I I mean I suppose you can have
volcanic ash floating around somewhere,
but this seems relatively unlikely.
a fuel leak is a possibility
that uh you know hasn't been talked much
about. Usually people talk about uh the
fuel valves being cut off which
ironically is one of the procedure items
here. The reason is you're trying to
almost hot start these engines where you
you cut the fuel flow off hopefully cool
down the turbines a bit but they're
still hot enough and spinning enough to
where when you hit them back in
hopefully you can quickly relight. Uh
although you may relight into a stall,
the hope is that at any altitude on the
787 Dreamlininer, you're able to restart
these engines rapidly regain thrust and
pull out of whatever crisis you're in.
Now, it's highly unlikely that any of
these procedures would have functioned
at 600 ft of altitude, which makes that
takeoff altitude such a unfortunate and
critical phase of flight. However, if
these switches were moved in
as as a memory item to resolve the
problem, then it actually suggests that
the pilots did exactly what they were
supposed to do, which is the opposite of
the potential that somebody decided, I'm
checking out and I'm taking the plane
down with me. I'm going to reach over
and I'm going to turn these switches
off, which would also accomplish
crashing the plane. Now, whoever went
for these control switches possibly also
manually deployed this rammer turbine.
Now, we won't know until obviously we
get more official reports out, but what
we recognize here is another potential
cause is bird strike on both engines,
but we don't see that. We don't see that
flame out coming out of the end of the
engines, which is typical after the
ingestion of birds. You don't see the
typical uh sort of like momentary loss
of thrust on the left engine and the
right engine. You don't see the typical
stalling of the engines that you would
ordinarily see in a larger bird strike.
These aircraft are after all designed to
withstand bird strikes. Not just the
windows, but the engines. They're
designed to withstand bird strikes.
Larger birds cause problems for larger
flocks of birds. Obviously, of course,
some of the threats here would be
startle factor, confusion arising from
multiple subsystem failures and a very
high workload, especially when you're
600 feet above the ground. mitigation,
prompt recognition of the situation and
initiation of the correct memory items.
And that may be exactly what they did.
Switching the fuel control switches to
shut off or cut off rather uh and then
run and then deploying the ram air
turbine. Of course, that didn't light
the engines, at least from what we could
tell, because we never got thrust
restored, which then goes back to our
list here. Okay, if we remove
intentional, while that is still a
possibility, let's for a moment remove
intentional,
we recognize the dual engine failure
procedure will call for an automatic or
manual deployment of the rammer turbine.
So, we already know that we didn't see a
bird strike. We're not so worried about
gear flap because we know we could fly
with those. Even slightly misconfigured,
that's not going to take a plane down.
We know we had the dual engine failure.
So, it really leaves us with some of
these issues here. fuel contamination,
some form of fuel pump failure, uh a
very rare case of vapor lock, uh some
form of uh leak, we could write in here
some kind of catastrophic electric
failure which could maybe reset both
fadeex but seems very unlikely. And this
is why I started this segment off by
saying, you know, this really raises
more questions than answers at this
point. But it is possible and it's worth
noting that the pilots did exactly what
they were supposed to do. Which then
just brings us back to how did one of
these things fail? And we still have
this remaining question of why have GE
and Boeing not put out some kind of
emergency update? Maybe they don't have
the answer yet or maybe there was
another cause we're not looking at yet
or aware of yet. We'll see as more data
comes out, but I wanted to make this
update as soon as possible. Uh, and if
any of this makes you nervous about
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Congratulations, man. You have done so
much. People love you. People look up to
you.
Kevin Praath there, financial analyst
and YouTuber. Meet Kevin. Always great
to get your take.
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