I’m not leaving these stocks
FULL TRANSCRIPT
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hey everyone meet kevin here i missed
you this morning but it's important for
you to know that i'm not leaving i may
have
accidentally now woken up
anywhere close to on time but i assure
you
i'm not off and leaving
so uh look i i really apologize i just
did the uh course member live stream
remember that coupon code expires
tomorrow uh we we took attendees uh on
on some crazy gains when i woke up this
morning on uh on on the outlet option uh
opened some new options uh c3 ai's
looking head and shoulders on the one
hour chart there's some really cool
things going on uh lots lots of plays to
make so i feel like i'm playing catch up
here but i want to talk a little bit
about uh the the market and what we're
seeing uh and to try to just make sense
of this so here's my take and i'm sort
of calling this like
selective uh risk on in
and then of course safe plays are
blowing up so selective risk on and
safety that's the the definition of this
market in my opinion the reason i say
that is because
i think you've got stocks like obviously
a firm uh amazon etsy in my opinion the
apple these are kind of your your safesh
plays uh and maybe i shouldn't lump a
firm into that i'm just very excited
about a firm's partnership with amazon
so i'm kind of bestowing amazon safety
over to a firm yet i'd love a firm
because you still have all this insane
growth
in a firm which is why i threw a bunch
of money into it last week like 400k on
friday um
but anyway
excuse me still a great cop funk away
but anyway it kind of makes sense when
you look at things and paypal just had
an announcement that's why they
bounced that potentially paypal is going
to start including stock trading kind of
like cash app uh i think venmo somebody
said venmo was trying this but kind of
like hash app or sofi which i think is
competition to square and uh and of
course so far but
i don't see it as as like that important
of a catalyst whatever but
i do believe in this market you're
seeing safety stocks
doing well and i think they will
continue to do well the high quality
stocks will do very very well especially
if what i've been talking about since
february
continues to be true which is that we
would see some form of rally uh on or
before that september to october range
especially once we start getting
inflecting to the downside cpi data in
october and november right
so i still believe that to be true
and i believe that's why you're seeing a
move on companies like apple up three
percent etsy up three point seven one
percent at a new almost new high here at
of 218 certainly a recent high i know
previously it's briefly ran up to like
230 and 250 especially when elon musk
has talked about them and like pitched
how much he loves etsy which don't even
i love etsy too they make it dangerously
easy to spend money which is brilliant
brilliant apple pay boom it shows uh
it's great uh it's so you are seeing a
little bit of this this reversal
in the market overall where uh it's okay
for good quality companies to actually
go up again it's okay for tesla to
finally be on a slow uptrend again it's
okay for a great company like enface to
be on this sort of uptrend again it's
okay for home depot to be moving up or
facebook or some of these higher quality
companies
we know airbnb is here to stay they get
stuck sometimes in the recovery
reopening trade
though
docusign over over 300 these are great
quality companies and that's why i think
we're seeing sort of almost a flight to
these in the safety aspect that's one
bucket so you got the safety bucket in
fact let me just pull up google really
quick i want to see just what they're
doing today uh only up about two-thirds
of a percent google's another one i'd
consider as part of that safety group so
anyway i feel like you've got this
safety bucket where because the s p
keeps sort of running people are taking
their cash and they're throwing it into
these because they're like well do i
want my cash to sit here doing nothing
or do i want to just be in the safety
place and if a different opportunity
comes out
comes up i could always pull out of the
safety place and put cash into something
else so personally i feel like that's a
little bit of what's happening right now
no guarantees obviously but just based
on what i've been seeing over the last
two three weeks here i think safety
place
makes a lot of sense the big high
quality company is doing well then we
have what i call
selective
uh movement in in risk stocks
and so selective means
one day you're a king the next day
you're a bum like amc up 9.6 today
amazing we've had a great movement on
amc since it hit like 29. uh it's it's
almost just been straight up it hasn't
been it's obviously very volatile every
day is different with amc
but support.com uh meta materials uh
hims and hers some of some of these are
more uh mind medicine some of these in
my opinion are more like we're here
today and we're gonna get a nice run and
then pull back you gotta run pull back
wish which has just been beat to crap
and it's up 5.2 one two percent today
this is not to say that they're bad
companies but nobody would look at wish
and say oh this is a safety stock right
we just know it's been beat to crap i
mean this uh
yeah it's not not well here i was gonna
this kind of reminded me of the head and
shoulders on ai which look at this ai
reports in two days and ai has been in
the
gutter but take a look at this when you
go to the one hour chart a course member
uh brought this uh to my attention uh
this morning in the live stream and we
loved it uh it was
uh it actually has gone up a little bit
since then but anyway this is a really
nice reverse head and shoulders so it
makes you wonder like okay are we going
to see a nice sort of pop on c3 ai and
looking at this
zooming out it certainly feels like your
risk is relatively limited to a downside
of around 44 but you never know with
stocks right you just never know it's at
52 right now uh it it
it's got a history here it ran up to 183
post ipo at one point since hey anyway
so i do believe that uh there are these
momentary sort of risk on plays and what
i think is fun about those momentary
risk-on plays is before something goes
risk on i do think there's an
opportunity to throw potentially
some sort of call options
shorter term these are very very high
risk uh high risk high reward right but
like on friday we threw a call option on
owlette
the thing printed attendees
really really well i mean the call
option we picked was like three weeks
out and it printed somewhere around what
200 or something like that in fact i'll
pull up here's that screenshot here you
can see uh if i get rid of the twitter
notifications here i woke up this
morning and i looked at it i took a
screenshot of it and i immediately
closed it but anyway yeah i put nineteen
thousand dollars in and it was up two
hundred and two percent this morning i'm
like thank you bye i mean you gotta be
very very careful because it could
easily go the opposite direction with
these shorter term calls so just be very
very careful on those but i do think
there are there are opportunities i mean
like arrival has been beating the toilet
matterport has been beaten the toilet
and now you're starting to see a move on
these these could be here today gone
tomorrow keep that in mind when you're
investing so personally in this market
that we're in right now i still like rcc
real estate cash crypto obviously i'm
taking from my rcc pie and i'm putting
into my stock pie when i see good
opportunities
whether that's lemonade outlet i think
there's an opportunity in c3ai or um
a firm right it doesn't matter these
these are opportunities in my opinion
i'm willing to take from my rcc pine and
put some in doesn't have to be
everything but i put some in that's how
it's sort of how i go into the market
this is why when sometimes people are
like oh kevin you change your mind it's
not changing my mind the whole reason i
have money in rcc real estate cash
crypto is to enable me to be ready to
buy opportunities when i see them and so
that's kind of what we've been doing uh
let's see here
uh yes so what else okay so you've got
you've got these pies or baskets uh i
think is an easy way to put it when
you're looking at investing in this
market in fact here
what could be very easy is if we just do
a quick little
outline here all right so let's say this
is one bucket right here and this is
your real estate cash crypto right here
and then you have the stock bucket the
stock bucket is right here and so you
want to take from this bucket and throw
into here
it's just worth knowing that right now
the way the stock market feels i feel
like this there are little partitions
in the market right now so if i draw
something like this that gives me three
partitions here i feel like here in this
bucket you have your sort of safe
then you've got your selective risk
right this is what we've been talking
about where all of a sudden it's like oh
now this is running now that's running
now that's running and the selective
risk is really just the market trying to
prop up stocks that have been beat to
crap and been oversold so you look and
see a bunch of stocks that have been
oversold they're selectively okay now
you're 10 now you're 10 it's kind of
like rising tide lifts all boats
whatever you know
old lines anyway so you got your
selected pi your safe which we talked
about this in my opinion is obviously
like your amazon your google your apple
uh the bigger companies the end phase
the etsy blah blah blah not spax okay
like spax would be right right here
this would be spax
this would be momentum goes right here
and that's your selective risk bundle
right here then
and and safe is also
uh i don't want to say stay at home
because then it sounds like
peloton and zoom would be in here i i
don't agree with that so i would say
maybe this last bucket we would call
this
covid
sensitive
so covet sensitive
would be your your last grouping
and this is really
uh peloton could be in here it's
sensitive to covid but it's also
recently been failing i've i've sold out
of peloton you've got
recovery stocks recovery stocks you have
to be careful of because you also have
two divisions of recovery stocks right
you've got recovery stocks that are
travel related
hotels airlines uh potentially
restaurants these not doing as well as
the retail although then if you look at
nordstrom they just got destroyed right
so
a lot of the recovery they're also
hurting today i think dave and buster's
for example was down like five percent
it ran a little bit last week but still
uh yeah it's down four point three nine
percent right now nordstrom's down
another four percent tripadvisor down
three point uh eight jetblue down 3.3
you kind of get the idea peloton down
three blah blah blah blah okay so you
got your safe your selective and your
covet sensitive
these are kind of the three baskets that
i see in the market right now and really
my strategy here is on safe again the
etsy the end phase whatever i just want
to own more shares i like i want to own
these i want to buy these and i want
more of them like if a firm goes to 85
bucks or 80 again please let me go
shopping for more perfect
the selective push ones
this to me again spax momentum i'm
interested in either selling puts
or potentially doing the the short-term
like three-week yolo calls you gotta be
very careful on those though you could
lose all of your money on those if you
go yolo calls there's a reason they're
called yolo calls the one i showed you
with owlette could have lost all of that
okay so just be careful but you know you
could try to protect yourself a little
bit by going in the money a little bit
if you want
uh and then the covet sensitive these
are the ones that i'm kind of waiting
for
i'm waiting to see if we get more of
this
delta fud i like to call it and remember
fud fear uncertainty and doubt does not
mean fake news i i think we have this
society that has
associated fud with fake news because
people say oh that's just third yeah but
fud is different because fud could be
true right so fud is just something that
creates fear uncertainty and doubt
here's fudd for you okay look eu to
reimpose travel curbs on the u.s amid
ryzen covet uh cases right look at this
modern bioentech rally well that's just
about the rally okay uh where was
another one
very uh virus variant batters airline
bookings for labor day weekend fud right
it's true here is a really good one i
mentioned this on
uh
what's on on twitter and then i deleted
it because it just i couldn't explain
myself properly
i tweeted
that this is very bad news new zealand
reports first death linked to pfizer
vaccine now i want to be very crystal
clear and i can do this on video i
believe in getting the vaccine i think
people should get vaccinated but what
happens is when you get something that
creates fear uncertainty and doubt like
new zealand saying there is a rare but
known side effect of getting the pfizer
vaccine and a woman just literally died
of that that's bad and japan reported
this morning that they're investigating
two deaths potentially linked to moderna
so me talking about that is saying this
is bad for people getting vaccinations
right and we want to be aware of that we
don't want to stick our head in the sand
like some people on twitter want you to
do where they're like well you shouldn't
be bringing attention to that shut up
like we should understand everything
okay we should try to make sure we
analyze everything so again like this to
me is a style of
fud uh it creates fear uncertainty and
doubt it is true news but it creates
fear uncertainty and doubt in the
vaccines it leads to more people who are
anti-vaxx reiterating why they are
anti-vaxxed which means less people
getting the vaccine
and i respect people's choice i want to
make that very clear too i respect
people's choice
but i do think stuff like this hurts
like i wish we didn't have these
problems right i wish it was just no
there is no known rare
chance of you dying right
so this going back to the stock market
because this is such a sensitive issue
like you you you bring up this you piss
off
you just piss everybody off i'm sorry if
you're watching this and you got upset
by me talking about this i'm sorry okay
that's just what i do uh we try to
address everything that we can so the
point is that creates fud
around crypto and and that hurts
recovery stocks so
i am still waiting for the opportunity
to take money or more money out of rcc
and then move it into the covet
sensitive stocks i'm not really exposed
to anything covet sensitive right now
well i'm not in any recovery stocks i'm
in zero recovery stocks right now i want
to be in recovery stocks but i'm worried
about this coveted winter
again got out i'm out of zoom out a
peloton
you know really most of my money is just
sitting in relatively safe now
by relatively safe i i
this you can't really i don't think put
tesla well i mean i think you would
tesla's probably the least safe of the
safe so let me put it that way because
obviously it has a much higher valuation
than like amazon so you probably have
scales of safety within this but i think
you all know what i mean that it's
obviously it's not a selective momentum
mover i do hope it rallies here in
september and october uh but uh it's
also not covet sensitive it's more like
an etsy or an end phase to me
established company really i actually
think airbnb belongs over in that safer
side of if there are only these three
choices that's where i would put airbnb
but uh yeah okay good so that gives you
insights on this now
it's very important that i remind you
that coupon code expires tomorrow night
so check it out in the links down below
and folks
let's go
all right folks remember you could use
that 40 off coupon code jack's birthday
on any of the programs linked down below
you can bundle them up as well a lot of
people get the bundles i think bundles 2
4 and 5 are the most popular and folks
thank you so much for being here we'll
see in the next one
[Music]
you
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