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The Great Reset is Here | Bottom Line Report [E.6]

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0:00

complete political and economic disarray

0:02

we need to break all of what's going on

0:04

down in a reasonable and rational way

0:06

right now first things first the auto

0:09

strike that's going on with the UAW has

0:11

just led to one of the hottest car

0:14

auctions quite a while one of the

0:17

reasons for that is dealers believe that

0:19

they need to stock up on vehicles so

0:22

they don't run into inventory shortages

0:24

and therefore end up with net fewer

0:27

sales car dealers are now overpaying for

0:30

vehicles from Ford stilantis and GM

0:33

Wranglers Broncos pickup trucks you name

0:36

it just to have enough of these vehicles

0:38

because there's an anticipation that as

0:41

these strikes go on buyers are going out

0:44

okay now I better buy my car now before

0:46

prices go up because of the strikes

0:47

dealers are like well I better go buy

0:49

now and stock up so I'm ready for those

0:52

buyers and Fort solantis and GM are kind

0:55

of like uh maybe we're making progress

0:57

Ford at least seems to be the one making

0:59

the most progress address their stock up

1:01

1.89 they're actually getting a lot of

1:04

social clout for this a lot of folks

1:06

saying Ford is actually trying to look

1:08

out for the worker finally even though

1:10

they maybe haven't been finally they're

1:12

being reasonable with their negotiations

1:13

at least that's the way this is being

1:15

talked about in social media whereas

1:17

maryborough the CEO of GM and to some

1:20

extent solantis are being chastised for

1:23

still being corporate versus a worker

1:26

that's really what this is coming down

1:27

to despite the fact that obviously costs

1:29

that these companies have skyrocketed

1:31

and the transition to electric vehicles

1:33

is being chastised by uh you know well

1:36

politicians specifically those on the

1:38

right I mean we're gonna we're gonna go

1:39

through this in a moment as well but we

1:41

just had Nikki Haley the former governor

1:43

of South Carolina absolutely destroy the

1:47

plan to incentivize a transition to

1:49

electric vehicles in her Freedom plan

1:52

we'll go through that a little later

1:53

point is a lot of drama around all of

1:56

this and what's the bottom line the

1:57

bottom line is in the short term the

1:59

longer the these strikes go on the more

2:01

you can actually expect short-term

2:04

vehicle price inflation unfortunately

2:07

that vehicle and price inflation is

2:10

going to affect consumer prices consumer

2:12

prices are usually weighed with about a

2:15

4.8 to 5 weight on new and used car

2:18

prices problem with that is what ends up

2:20

happening when those go up we end up

2:22

potentially getting hotter CPI reports

2:24

which then circles right back to the

2:26

Federal Reserve saying see we still have

2:28

work to do on this inflation fight I

2:31

guess we'll have to stay higher for

2:32

longer and quite frankly that's exactly

2:36

what we're told once again yesterday

2:37

when we finally started getting fed

2:39

speak one member of the FED said hey you

2:42

know what not only are we gonna have to

2:43

stay higher for longer but still open to

2:45

one more rate hike then you had another

2:47

member of the FED come out yesterday and

2:48

say you know what maybe uh

2:50

need a few more rate hikes

2:53

plural yeah hikes rhymes with yikes and

2:57

that's exactly what the stock market

2:59

pulled off yesterday was the yikes see

3:01

remember how there was so much

3:03

enthusiasm for the artificial

3:05

intelligence Revolution how it's going

3:07

to explode GDP everywhere and don't get

3:10

me wrong I'm a big fan of what AI is

3:12

doing for chips it is actually breathing

3:14

life into the chips industry because

3:16

there wasn't much life beforehand okay

3:18

like things were still pretty crappy and

3:20

you were definitely in a chips recession

3:22

AI breathed life into the chip sector

3:26

but it also propped up a lot of software

3:30

and service companies and it's

3:31

questionable as to whether or not these

3:33

software service companies SAS companies

3:35

are actually going to generate revenues

3:38

now you have a double-edged sword the

3:41

stock market and financial conditions

3:43

have rallied in such a way that the

3:46

fed's like oh we have to do more to get

3:48

inflation down this is insane the

3:51

economy is too hot GDP is too hot and it

3:53

may have risen up on this idea that AI

3:55

is about to make everything much more

3:56

productive and GDP is going to explode

3:58

and inflation's gonna happen even though

3:59

technically inflation or this Innovation

4:02

should be disinflationary that's been

4:04

the case it's been this idea that well

4:06

the economy is so strong let's hike more

4:08

but if the economy just got propped up

4:10

on fugazi magic of AI software sales

4:13

that aren't going to come well that's

4:15

going to go away and then when that goes

4:17

away and the fed's like yeah we've hiked

4:20

a lot because GDP is so strong we're so

4:22

good well then all of a sudden then you

4:24

go wait a minute now we're severely

4:25

damaging the realest State Market oh no

4:29

it appears we're going to have to suffer

4:32

even more damage in the economy and now

4:34

all of a sudden you've got a financial

4:36

crisis on your hands

4:39

let's break down how this could play out

4:41

and what indicators are actually

4:43

suggesting things could be getting worse

4:44

before they get better right after a

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it every single day oh boy alarms are

6:23

going off yes this is unfortunately

6:27

bearish and we're gonna have to be clear

6:29

about this bearishness and how this will

6:31

all end up connecting with the real

6:32

estate market stock market and this AI

6:35

Revolution that maybe isn't or wasn't so

6:38

yeah if markets are expecting the AI

6:40

Revolution is going to create such a GDP

6:43

boost and therefore inflation

6:44

expectations rise and the FED gets

6:46

aggressive but then the GDP boost

6:47

doesn't come what happens we end up

6:49

suffering higher rates unnecessarily for

6:52

longer we're going to talk about this

6:54

warning Bell in a moment but consider

6:55

this for a moment the FED is convinced

6:58

they need to stay potentially as high as

7:01

having five percent interest rates

7:03

through the election next year that's

7:06

wild

7:07

through the election everybody has been

7:09

pretty much of the belief at least a lot

7:11

of people have been that rate cuts are

7:14

going to conveniently start right before

7:15

the election maybe that'll be true but

7:17

if we're at a recession going into the

7:18

election I don't think Joe Biden's going

7:20

to make it and I'm not talking about his

7:23

health I'm Legit talking about the

7:25

economy here uh the economy is how

7:27

people vote people vote based on the

7:29

sentiment of their pocketbook and

7:31

everything is so much substantially more

7:32

expensive today

7:34

even if inflation is deemed to be low if

7:36

the fed's still at five percent we've

7:38

got some serious problems but what about

7:39

these alarm Bells going off and could it

7:42

end up damaging the stock market more

7:44

well unfortunately yes this is a report

7:47

from Bloomberg intelligence and what

7:49

they argue is that the Russell 2000

7:51

Index of small caps has confirmed a

7:53

bearish trend after breaking below

7:55

important support levels now the small

7:57

caps breaking this trend is a broad

8:01

Market warning sign small caps are

8:05

usually deemed to be the most sensitive

8:07

to a recession and even though

8:09

economists have sort of removed this

8:12

idea that we're definitely going to have

8:13

a recession from forecasts which on one

8:16

hand seems good it's also another reason

8:20

the feds like hey we'll just stay higher

8:22

for longer but the problem is if that's

8:24

set up on fugazi GDP expectations

8:27

because of AI that isn't then the first

8:30

thing that sells off are small caps your

8:32

more risky stocks your speculative

8:35

stocks your stocks that started memeing

8:37

in the summer those are the ones that

8:39

sell off first your red fins your open

8:41

doors some of these other smaller

8:42

companies the matterports whatever all

8:45

the specs small ones that you don't want

8:47

to be in going into a recession sell off

8:49

first that's exactly what started

8:50

happening and that's exactly the support

8:52

we just broke right here now we could

8:54

end up getting something like we got at

8:56

uh you know around the banking crisis

8:58

which where we had this sort of zigzag

9:00

below the moving average entirely

9:02

possible led to the rally that we saw in

9:04

the summer or it could set up for

9:07

something worse in a larger broader

9:09

Market to climb see history shows that

9:11

extreme moves lower for small caps is

9:13

often a precursor for more challenges as

9:16

the ratio between the Russell 2000 and

9:18

Russell 1000 hovered near a 22-year low

9:21

an analysis of similar past occurrences

9:24

by sentiment Trader

9:26

found there were not a lot of reasons to

9:29

expect imminent or sustained positivity

9:32

and turnaround

9:33

the analysis looked at times this ratio

9:35

fell to its lowest in at least a decade

9:38

and it did so for the first time in at

9:41

least 30 sessions over the next three

9:43

months the total return on small caps

9:45

exceeded large caps only three out of

9:48

the last 15 times and those were just

9:50

barely in other words this signal

9:54

certainly doesn't signal small cap out

9:56

performance and when you don't signal

9:57

small cap out performance you generally

10:00

signal the Market's pricing in more fear

10:03

markets pricing and more fear because

10:05

higher for longer is actually likely to

10:07

cause severe damage I believe a lot of

10:10

the Bears are actually correct when they

10:12

say inflation for now is gone

10:14

but it's going to lead to so much pain

10:17

that markets could actually rotate

10:19

substantially lower we don't want that

10:21

nobody wants that we want to be able to

10:24

be bullish and look through the pain and

10:26

and dollar cost average and make it but

10:29

the thing Network could really cause

10:30

problems is a real estate market so this

10:33

weekend what am I doing I'm going open

10:35

housing baby because that's what you

10:37

should be doing as well you go to the

10:39

markets I am getting on a plane right

10:41

after I finish this video I'm getting on

10:42

a plane and I'm flying to my market I'm

10:45

flying to my market well one of my

10:47

markets uh for the next two days to

10:49

study every single open house and

10:50

interview every single agent that I can

10:52

because I don't care about the data and

10:54

what the comp said from June sales in

10:56

June most areas of the country in July

10:59

are the highest of the entire year okay

11:01

bottom Jan one it's basically been

11:03

straight up into June July essentially

11:06

straight up it's because as inflation's

11:08

been coming down people are like great

11:09

inflation's coming down rates will come

11:10

down soon enough I'll buy a home

11:12

speculating that I'll only have the

11:14

seven percent mortgage for a few months

11:15

and jpal cut oh crap that few months is

11:18

now going to turn into maybe a few years

11:20

that's going to create more pressure

11:21

from the real on the real estate market

11:23

and it wakes up buyers to the idea that

11:25

dang you know why don't I just wait a

11:28

couple years I don't know and so that's

11:30

what we're starting to see happen real

11:31

estate is hitting a wall

11:34

and you don't even have to want to wait

11:36

for the data to see that if you wait for

11:38

sold data you're way behind if you're

11:40

one of the people leaving the comments

11:41

going but Cavett inventory is still so

11:43

low it does not matter what inventory is

11:46

what matters is the ratio of homes to

11:49

buyers that's called your month's Supply

11:51

indicator and right now most indicators

11:53

still haven't updated through the end of

11:55

August okay you've got lagging data but

11:58

what you should be doing is looking in

11:59

your Market looking at those new

12:01

listings that are hitting the market and

12:02

going

12:03

oh that's price thirty thousand dollars

12:06

below the comps let me uh let me do uh

12:09

something hard pick up the phone

12:12

hey uh listing agent I saw you just

12:14

listed a place at you know one two three

12:15

mainstream just wondering did you get

12:17

any offers you know I've got somebody

12:19

looking at it I'm a broker

12:21

no no you know uh we just listed it

12:23

haven't gotten any offers yet okay in

12:26

the real estate Community that's a sign

12:28

of please bring me a lower offer like

12:30

clearly we're not that hot otherwise we

12:32

would have already had offers hot deals

12:34

get offers right away you need to

12:37

understand this I understand this I run

12:39

a real estate startup this this is this

12:41

is what started my career is Real Estate

12:44

by the way I uh the company that's doing

12:47

our fundraise they told us that uh they

12:50

believe we just broke the 48-hour record

12:54

for fundraising out of every single

12:57

startup they've ever fundraised with

12:59

before via regulation a fundraise that's

13:02

crazy

13:03

because they've got like hundreds

13:05

hundreds or thousands I can never

13:06

remember but they've got lots of clients

13:08

and they're pretty well known in the

13:10

fundraise community and that's really

13:11

cool so seriously like shout out to

13:13

everybody in the community who's going

13:15

to househack.com you're reading the

13:17

offering circular you're watching the

13:18

videos on my house hack playlist so you

13:20

really understand what we're doing and

13:22

uh realize we we have no fees either for

13:26

you to invest you can invest ACH this is

13:28

just Bank connection you can invest with

13:29

a credit card if you want to get points

13:31

uh you could wire US money doesn't

13:33

matter it's obviously cheapest for the

13:36

company if you wire or achs money but we

13:38

just want to make it easy for you to be

13:40

a part of this we think we're going to

13:42

knock on wood I can't make any

13:43

guarantees and be careful with what I

13:44

say okay there's risk when you invest

13:46

but we think we're gonna make so much

13:48

money with this money with this company

13:49

that it doesn't matter uh you know a

13:51

little bit of fees that we can cover to

13:52

have you be with us which is great so uh

13:55

again read the prospectus there's risk

13:57

to any investment I have to be careful

13:58

with what you say so uh okay good

14:01

listen

14:03

we're this we've said it since January

14:05

1. the volatile Nike Swoosh

14:08

is what I believe we have not actually

14:10

gotten a volatile Nike switch we've

14:12

gotten a straight Nike Swoosh we need

14:13

the volatility Okay the reason we didn't

14:15

get a volatile Nike Swoosh is because

14:17

when we had the banking crisis

14:18

everybody's like this is going to lead

14:21

the fact to Cut Rate sooner nope clown

14:24

mode didn't happen and then it's like

14:26

well then we get the AI boom that's

14:28

going to lead to so much more in

14:29

earnings right I'm like maybe for chip

14:31

companies but not SAS companies oh well

14:34

that's disappointing then sell off

14:35

sell-off sell-off so we're getting the

14:37

volatility okay that volatility still

14:40

going to leave the FED to be more

14:41

aggressive that's going to hurt real

14:42

estate this November December buckle up

14:44

they're going to be so many deals I I'm

14:46

convinced that's why I'm going to spend

14:47

the entire weekend uh making sure I'm

14:49

studying uh this uh one market that I'm

14:51

flying to and the next week I'll be

14:52

flying to some other markets schedule of

14:54

releases for the CPI report Market

14:55

calendar for October 12th if you have

14:58

not yet marked your calendar make sure

15:00

you mark your calendar for October 12th

15:01

for the CPI release uh then we want to

15:04

Mark our calendar for the jobs report as

15:06

well that's going to come out a little

15:07

bit earlier in October uh let's see here

15:10

schedule of releases so you're marking

15:13

your calendar for October 12th CPI

15:14

that's really important mark your

15:15

calendar for November 1st for the

15:18

Federal Reserve Open Market Committee

15:20

next jobs report is going to come out

15:22

not on the first of the month but

15:23

instead on October 6th and then mark

15:26

your calendar for next Friday as well

15:28

that's the 29th I think is the 29th yeah

15:31

it's the 29th next Friday mark your

15:33

calendar for next Friday reason for that

15:35

is next Friday we are raising the price

15:37

on the new burst Pro crash course resale

15:40

79 bucks you're gonna get an insane

15:42

amount of value on this those courses I

15:44

expect will be worth 150 to 250 dollars

15:47

once they actually launch and we

15:48

actually get content in we get them

15:50

fully marketed right now if you buy them

15:52

for 79 bucks you're locking in a price

15:55

at 79 and you will get all of the

15:57

content in those crash courses which is

15:59

a pretty good deal

16:01

uh and I wanted to let you know about

16:03

this we programmed something in on the

16:05

website this is important for you to

16:06

know if you're interested in these when

16:08

you go to meet kevin.com watch this okay

16:10

these are the numbers Pro crash courses

16:11

if you select two or more you get an

16:14

increasing discount on everything look

16:16

select two 10 discount right look at

16:19

this you select another it goes to 12 on

16:21

the entire order right and it can't kind

16:24

of keeps going see now you're at 16 it's

16:26

kind of cool we programmed this in we

16:27

think it's pretty cool uh but yeah each

16:29

of these 79 right now they're on

16:32

pre-sale so there's no content yet but

16:34

we expect they will go up well they will

16:36

go up not only next Friday uh but once

16:39

the content actually comes out which

16:40

will come out over probably the next 60

16:42

to 90 days we'll work these courses out

16:44

one at a time uh and then once the

16:46

course releases it'll probably be double

16:48

the price so anyway uh keep that in mind

16:50

that's next Friday's the expiration okay

16:52

so we talked bear signal we talked uh

16:54

unions you know what's Wild which has

16:55

happened in California Gavin Newsom his

16:58

entire State Legislature just voted 69-4

17:01

and 36 to two that's a big pass okay

17:03

it's like mostly Democrats anyway it's

17:06

like 77 Democrats okay but anyway

17:10

they just voted to require trucks in

17:12

autonomous trucks wait to require

17:15

drivers in autonomous trucks get it if

17:18

you have a full self-driving Tesla semi

17:20

truck there has to be a driver in it is

17:21

what they're saying

17:23

Gavin Newsom just vetoed that a slap in

17:26

the face to the Teamsters Union it's

17:28

like

17:28

what

17:30

you're a Democrat you're supposed to be

17:32

bowing down to the unions and he's not

17:35

people are saying the reason for this is

17:37

he's trying to come across as appealing

17:39

to people who are not all in on unions

17:42

but instead people who see the future

17:44

coming that there will be driverless

17:46

vehicles in the future and if the laws

17:49

are safe around those self-driving

17:51

Vehicles then it's okay to have

17:52

self-driving trucks this is incorrect

17:54

this is crazy because truckers hate

17:56

Newsome he's made it so hard with not

17:59

only diesel prices but with regulations

18:01

for truckers it's almost impossible to

18:03

be a smaller trucking business in

18:05

California it's insane like my heart

18:06

goes out to the truckers

18:08

but we also know that in the future it's

18:11

all just gonna be robots driving all

18:12

this stuff but you know the next nice

18:14

thing you could do is make it easier in

18:16

the meantime until we get to that point

18:17

it was very interesting now Ford

18:19

obviously got applauded for getting

18:21

closer to a deal uh with uh with our

18:24

friends uh over at the United Auto

18:26

Workers Union uh and then the other

18:28

things that we've got going on there's a

18:30

lot uh we've got um santis

18:36

the scientists and

18:38

people were basically waiting for him to

18:40

drop out and this is uh this is somewhat

18:43

uh painful for DeSantis but take a look

18:46

at this here's a piece entitled and

18:48

political called waiting for him to draw

18:50

a drop out DeSantis influence nosedives

18:53

and they did interviews with both people

18:55

who wanted to be named and not named and

18:57

it could all be rigged you know it could

18:58

all be uh you know the the media just

19:01

doesn't want to say antis so they're

19:02

trying to get rid of them who knows but

19:03

look at some of the things that they're

19:04

saying they're suggesting that college

19:07

boards

19:08

with DeSantis appointees are rejecting

19:12

job candidates with ties to the

19:14

government basically people who are

19:15

associated with the governor they're not

19:17

getting hired right now wild uh not only

19:20

that but listen to this interviews with

19:23

nearly two dozen lobbyist political

19:25

content consultants and lawmakers

19:27

revealed that DeSantis struggles as a

19:30

presidential candidate have already

19:31

eroded his influence in Florida and

19:34

there's a widespread expectation as

19:36

candidacy will end in Failure now it's

19:40

just a matter of time and what they're

19:42

doing is people are blaming as hard as

19:45

hardballing nature against Disney

19:48

potentially which is wild because a lot

19:50

of people are like oh go won't go broke

19:51

like screw Disney right but then when he

19:54

ended up wielding the governorship as a

19:57

hammer they say they say that people

19:59

then start wondering if they themselves

20:02

are the nails in other words when you go

20:06

too aggressive people start getting

20:08

concerned wait a minute like I could be

20:10

your target next and DeSantis has

20:12

actually done some pretty crazy things

20:14

like powerful things in terms of getting

20:16

the legislature at Florida to basically

20:18

be what's known as his conveyor belt

20:19

like they'll do whatever he wants and

20:21

pass whatever he wants now all of a

20:22

sudden you've got the legislature that's

20:24

actually like yeah no that's not us

20:26

anymore we're not we're not interested

20:28

in this in fact now there's talk that

20:31

the sentiment against DeSantis has

20:35

turned into a slow moving coup an

20:38

overthrow of DeSantis and this comes at

20:41

the same time as people like you know

20:44

Kenny G over at Citadel oh boy I gotta

20:47

talk about Kenny G and say that though

20:48

but anyway Kenny G and Citadel

20:50

uh you know while Kenny G himself he's

20:53

donated tens of millions of dollars to

20:55

both uh the scientist 2018 and his 2022

21:00

campaign

21:01

now not anymore

21:04

nope not interested anymore instead

21:07

Kenny G is like

21:09

a little uncertain that DeSantis

21:11

policies have maybe gone a little too

21:12

far and maybe he's not the right guy fit

21:15

for the presidential jaw you want to

21:17

know something else though about Kenny G

21:18

and Citadel this is a pisser you ready

21:20

for this

21:21

Citadel was actually inappropriately

21:24

marking long trades as short

21:27

sorry I got that backwards they were

21:28

inappropriately marking short sales as

21:31

long which basically made it seem like

21:33

they weren't as short as they actually

21:35

were maybe this is why there's been so

21:37

much of this naked shorting and failed

21:39

to deliver it's going on maybe Wall

21:42

Street bets is actually right that the

21:44

suits have been trying to screw retail

21:46

and the SEC just fine Citadel for

21:50

literally lying about how they were

21:51

marking trades as long instead of short

21:55

okay so what they get fined probably got

21:58

a master find right well consider this

22:01

last year Citadel made 16 billion

22:05

dollars

22:07

16 billies it's a lot of money let's

22:10

assume you made 75 000 okay let's

22:13

compare this how much do you think it

22:15

would be fair for you to get fined

22:16

making seventy five thousand dollars if

22:19

you got slapped in the face by the SEC

22:21

for fraud and deceit

22:23

probably 10 grand 20 grand maybe a

22:27

little bit of jail time

22:29

how about 32 dollars

22:31

that's the income equivalent that

22:34

Citadel get fined 32.75

22:37

000 also known as seven million dollars

22:39

on 16 billion dollars

22:41

yup reach keeps getting richer in this

22:44

country it's crazy absolutely crazy and

22:46

that's why legitimately I I try and

22:49

people are like oh but Kevin yeah man

22:51

like I built this channel

22:53

on helping people

22:55

build assets on getting into real estate

22:58

on building your income on having the

23:01

motivation to go for the promotion to

23:02

get your license to get a better job to

23:04

get educated to go make money in this

23:06

capitalist world so you can invest in

23:08

real estate and start whatever

23:10

that's what I built this channel on

23:13

and I wholeheartedly believe that if you

23:15

don't do that you're going to get left

23:17

behind every single person watching this

23:19

should be thinking themselves what's

23:20

next in my career what's next in making

23:23

sure I get some more passive income

23:24

what's next in getting another side

23:26

hustle going I don't care if you're 50

23:28

if you're 60 or 70 you could get a side

23:31

hustle too

23:32

you want to know one of my favorites

23:33

right now it's it's a little tougher uh

23:36

but uh it's actually not very difficult

23:38

and you can do it pretty fast so you

23:40

know back in the day we used to talk

23:41

about having the big matterport scanning

23:42

cameras forget the big one okay what

23:44

you're gonna do is you're gonna go to

23:45

metcaven.com 3D yeah that set of paid

23:48

affiliate link but anyway you go to

23:50

metcavit.com 3D you get that camera on a

23:52

monopod then you're gonna get your

23:55

iPhone I think it I don't know if it

23:57

works on Android look that it works on

23:58

Android first you're going to download

23:59

the matterport capture app you could

24:02

literally scan an entire house with a 3D

24:04

tour 15 minutes easy 15 minutes give

24:07

yourself 30 minutes to turn the lights

24:09

on and make everything look nice at

24:11

first put a little more Karen you're

24:12

good what you're going to do is you're

24:13

going to go to contractors Realtors

24:15

property managers insurance agents uh

24:18

you know handy folk I don't care anyone

24:20

who deals with properties retail who has

24:23

a store go to every single Airbnb owner

24:26

I don't care what you got to do what

24:27

you're going to do is you're gonna say

24:28

I'd like to offer you a free virtual

24:30

tour

24:32

it's gonna take you 30 minutes you do

24:33

the first one for free

24:35

30 minutes the next one

24:38

You're Gonna Go 99 bucks

24:40

now all of a sudden 99 bucks for 30

24:42

minutes worth of work with drive time

24:43

call in an hour 100 bucks for an hour

24:45

worth of work and it's literally pushing

24:47

a button and moving a monopod around

24:50

come on folks you can do this

24:52

anyway so let me know if you'd like a

24:54

more detailed video on on some aspects

24:57

of that I'm happy to do that so uh

24:59

government's Now setting up for a big

25:01

old shutdown as well things are getting

25:04

worse with McCarthy we're basically

25:06

setting up for that shutdown now uh

25:08

that's probably going to have the impact

25:10

on federal employees once again going

25:12

without pay

25:14

the problem with this is people like oh

25:16

well they'll get caught up in Pay yeah

25:17

legally they're required to get caught

25:19

up in Pay unless you're like a military

25:20

contractor but the problem is

25:23

when when the government fails it's

25:25

basic duty of providing people pay

25:28

providing people uh a budget for the

25:32

country not only do national parks and

25:35

museums close but the TSA workers

25:37

working at the airport they can't work

25:39

for free so if they skip payday they're

25:41

gonna have to go get another side hustle

25:43

job or something just to be able to pay

25:44

their bills they can't just tell their

25:46

landlord I'll catch you next time

25:48

because they're all you know on

25:49

basically they're working without pay so

25:52

people out of force end up not showing

25:54

up at work and this ends up causing

25:56

problems because now you halt Federal

25:58

inspections for chemicals and drinking

26:00

water you uh you potentially slow the

26:03

issuance of new Medicare cards or uh you

26:05

know you're still supposed to get your

26:07

Social Security checks and your Medicaid

26:08

Medicare checks but there's concern that

26:10

poor families aren't going to get the

26:12

food Aid that they're used to getting

26:14

which averages somewhere around 56

26:15

dollars a month I know a lot of people

26:17

are like food aid for the poor they

26:18

should go work bro it's 56 freaking

26:21

dollars a month for these people

26:23

us to try to help have some more food on

26:25

the table to survive

26:27

huh crazy

26:29

usage of food banks by the way right now

26:31

is at all-time highs it is it is very

26:33

tough out there uh it is a tough time

26:36

it's the inflation has made it very

26:37

difficult uh for for people just to be

26:40

able to go grocery shopping remember

26:41

Hershey's last year this was insane

26:43

Hershey's last year told us what did

26:45

they tell us not what's on screen

26:47

because that's my next topic Hershey's

26:48

last year told us

26:51

our sales are going up because gas

26:53

station sales are going up and people

26:55

like wait

26:56

why are gas station sales going up you

26:59

want to know why gas station sales were

27:01

going on

27:02

it brings tears to my eyes

27:06

gas station sales were going up

27:09

for Hershey's candy bars because people

27:11

are so freaking miserable going to pump

27:13

their gas

27:15

that they have to go twice to fully fill

27:18

up their tank

27:20

they only fill up their tank halfway

27:22

because they can't afford filling it up

27:24

all the way but to try to make

27:26

themselves feel a little bit better they

27:28

get a chocolate bar

27:30

and Hershey's is like wow our sales are

27:32

going up because people are miserable

27:33

and they need some happiness in their

27:35

life how do you think that's going to

27:36

turn out in the election

27:38

yeah it's bad

27:42

huh oil super cycle is here says JP

27:46

Morgan we could be in super cycle four

27:49

upside risk to oil is 150 in the medium

27:52

terms probably going to be at least 100.

27:54

reasons for this well first of all their

27:57

call options on oil I don't know I'm

27:59

being jaded I don't know if they have

28:01

call options but here are the reasons

28:03

they give they say that higher for

28:05

longer rates limits investment into oil

28:07

rigs so you're actually drilling less

28:09

because rates are so high you're better

28:12

off just parking your money in cash

28:16

see higher cost of equity higher break

28:18

evens blah blah blah blah

28:20

also people have been talking about this

28:22

fear that we're a peak oil and so the

28:25

oil companies are investing less into

28:26

plants and Wells and pumps and drilling

28:29

because they're like well if we're at

28:30

peak oil let's just use what we have

28:32

yeah that's JP Morgan on the super cycle

28:35

for you

28:36

oh man I really

28:39

I'll let you know what I see this

28:41

weekend but

28:42

so far every single agent I'm talking to

28:45

they're like I don't know man there's

28:47

some problems coming to the market and

28:49

that's gonna lead to opportunities but

28:50

listen to this I've got agents coming up

28:52

to me like Kevin

28:53

I was I thought I was gonna be excited

28:55

I've got a Million Dollar Listing

28:58

usually it's like Million Dollar

29:00

Listings it's like hell yeah it's like

29:01

the TV show like let's go your Million

29:03

Dollar Listing okay just give me two

29:04

million dollars whatever right

29:06

but everybody else in the industry is

29:07

like yeah line up and pull your ticket

29:09

take your free multi-million dollar

29:11

listing none of them are selling anyway

29:14

look at the markets not high-end smack I

29:17

don't buy in the high end anyway I don't

29:18

do that I I like to buy middle of the

29:20

road stuff not the super cheap stuff

29:22

where I need a gun to collect rent

29:24

sorry I also don't do the super fancy

29:27

stuff where I got the bougies

29:29

yeah I like I like normal Americans I

29:32

gotta go sit down and have a beer with

29:33

after a long day of work

29:35

I understand people like

29:38

we're Kevin have you had long days work

29:40

oh yeah I have not I mean I still do

29:43

today it's different you know it used to

29:45

be restaurant work and customer service

29:47

and swinging a hammer and construction

29:49

and crawling around at attics sweating

29:52

my butt off getting fiberglass in my

29:53

butt too that sucked

29:55

now I just sit in a secret lab chair all

29:58

day long

29:59

well I also go out for Real Estate but

30:01

anyway

30:02

uh homeowners insurance Market

30:06

freaking out people are uh losing it

30:08

over the cost of homeowners insurance

30:10

partly because you've had so many

30:12

natural disasters like what we've seen

30:13

in Hawaii California and Texas

30:15

economists The Economist is now arguing

30:17

that government subsidies of a

30:19

homeowner's insurance over the last

30:20

decade have caused people to live in

30:23

high risk areas who really should have

30:25

moved so basically you've distorted the

30:28

normal economic flow of people once

30:31

again because of government subsidies

30:33

was not a surprise because that's what

30:35

the government essentially does it

30:36

screws things up so

30:39

parts of America are becoming

30:40

uninsurable blame growth in hazardous

30:42

areas climate change and bad policies

30:44

basically go through how it would be

30:46

cheaper just to live in areas less prone

30:48

to storms wind or fire yet for decades

30:50

distortions and federal and state

30:51

insurance markets have suppressed rates

30:53

population of Florida which suffers more

30:55

hurricanes than other any other state

30:57

grew more than twice as fast as it did

30:59

between 2000 and 2020 uh in 2020 over

31:03

the last 20 years basically Americans

31:05

are moving to riskier places well

31:06

Florida like living in the beach living

31:08

in the beach area in Florida is pretty

31:09

nice uh Noah's premium oh no

31:14

you know the weather's great in SoCal

31:16

the beach is gorgeous in Southern

31:18

Florida uh Texas the food's good but

31:23

anyway it's not just extreme uh weather

31:25

to blame you've also got more property

31:27

claims and more lawsuits in some of

31:30

these areas look at this in 2021 Florida

31:32

accounted for seven percent of America's

31:33

property claims but 76 percent of the

31:36

lawsuits you know why

31:40

older people like going to Florida and

31:42

you know what older people have a lot of

31:44

time

31:46

this is what people say you mess you

31:49

mess with a younger person they might

31:51

punch you in the face and they'll get

31:53

over and walk away

31:54

you mess with an older person they will

31:57

make their jobs to finish business

32:01

I mean like more power and I were like I

32:04

don't think an older person should get

32:05

screwed much like I don't think a

32:06

younger I don't think anybody should get

32:07

screwed but it's something to know like

32:09

I don't know if that's factual okay I am

32:11

a pining on this I have to be really

32:13

careful I've got lots of licenses here

32:15

okay when I say a fact it needs to be

32:17

backed by evidence

32:19

like when I put sources in my video

32:21

descriptions or whatever I have to be

32:24

able to point to it so that what finra

32:26

or the SEC or the FDIC or whatever

32:28

license I go for in the future because

32:31

it's like where'd you get that data from

32:33

I actually have to have a way to support

32:34

it I mean honestly I think that's how

32:36

all of YouTube should be because people

32:38

say some crazy stuff and they just

32:40

sometimes straight up lying and I'm like

32:41

man I want to call this out so badly but

32:43

I I'm not I don't know I don't know I

32:46

don't know if we want to keep playing

32:47

that game uh

32:49

I got an apple video coming out so make

32:51

sure to stay tuned for the Apple iPhone

32:53

video

32:54

the Nikki Haley plan I'm going to give

32:56

you a quick summary on this oh yeah and

32:58

then Bloomberg Intelligence on the

33:00

housing crisis but we've talked enough

33:01

about the housing crisis Nikki Haley's

33:04

economic freedom plan is actually

33:06

honestly a very well written plan I read

33:09

through all of it she talks about how

33:12

China is an existential threat they're

33:14

basically planning for war and we need

33:16

to make sure to go out of our way

33:18

to prepare ourselves by being much more

33:22

capable by investing in America and

33:24

staying ahead because Freedom wins not

33:26

communism or socialism

33:28

and then she goes as far as calling Joe

33:30

Biden basically socialism which a lot of

33:32

people going like come on Kevin he is

33:33

and then a lot of other people going

33:35

come on Kevin it's not that bad whatever

33:36

talks about inflation credit card debt

33:38

being up 20 price of used cars up 30

33:40

half of America can't afford diapers

33:43

American Family 60 of Americans were

33:45

living paycheck to paycheck these are

33:47

facts are true but they've been true

33:48

under Republican administrations as well

33:52

42 million people on food stamps 100

33:54

million people on Medicaid because they

33:55

can't afford pay I mean sucks Biden is

33:58

throwing out our tax dollars at

34:00

corporate welfare now taxpayer bailouts

34:02

inflation reduction act I mean honestly

34:04

the inflation reduction Act is giving

34:06

massive subsidies to in Phase Tesla

34:09

companies that probably don't need these

34:11

subsidies but it's all part of sort of

34:13

going green uh as an investor in both

34:17

end phase and Tesla it's very hard for

34:19

me to like in a non-biased way say yeah

34:23

get rid of those subsidies because quite

34:25

frankly I'm like I love these subsidies

34:27

don't take them away but realistically

34:30

like taking my bias out of it you

34:33

probably don't need these subsidies in

34:35

the EV or uh solar space because they

34:38

make sense even without the uh subsidies

34:42

the subsidies just make it more of a

34:44

no-brainer

34:45

yeah yeah so I I kind of agree here like

34:48

actually I'm surprised a lot of the

34:50

Republican messages I think they're

34:52

going to make it really hard for people

34:53

not to vote in a republican this next

34:55

time even the a lot a lot of Democrats

34:57

are like well I mean look at this in

34:59

Nikki Haley's plan completely eliminate

35:01

the federal gas and Diesel tax that's 18

35:03

cents per gallon of savings on average

35:05

and gas 24 cents on uh per gallon on

35:07

diesel if you're in California that's

35:09

more like a dollar

35:11

but that's the because the state adds so

35:13

many taxes killing the gas tax average

35:16

American taxpayer should have lower tax

35:18

rate especially middle classes uh the

35:21

middle class Americans she basically

35:22

argues that the middle class is getting

35:24

deleted by socialism and that the middle

35:26

class is screwed it's going to disappear

35:28

you'll have the rich and the poor

35:30

honestly even before she said this I

35:32

kind of thought we were going in that

35:33

direction anyway because the way

35:35

capitalism is set up right now outside

35:37

of politics really rewards the rich and

35:40

punishes the poor

35:41

and uh

35:43

yes jumping on that argument

35:46

to argue that government policies can

35:48

make that worse I mean that's debatable

35:50

but possibly has some Merit anyway this

35:53

is similar over plan imagine if

35:55

Washington supported American Energy

35:56

instead of stifling it this is basically

35:58

drill baby drill pretty much every

35:59

Republican saying this right now Trump's

36:01

saying that vivek's saying this

36:02

everybody's saying Joe baby drill Joe

36:04

Biden thinks he's protecting you from

36:05

yourself instead I trust you I believe

36:07

in you a citizen of the United States as

36:09

the most inspiring and impressive person

36:11

in the world Nikki that's so nice of

36:14

course this is political you know jargon

36:16

uh like the extent of which that some of

36:18

this stuff matters so that's why I'm

36:20

kind of running through it and giving

36:21

you the the short scoop of it because it

36:23

was a very long thing it was like it's

36:25

good it's a good read it hits a lot of

36:27

the right talking points right now but

36:29

uh look folks

36:31

times are tough

36:33

they're the toughness

36:35

could stay

36:37

I expect the volatile Nike Swoosh I am

36:39

not buying so I just bought the dip

36:40

yesterday I'm not buying stocks right

36:42

now thinking oh my actively managed gtf

36:46

is gonna have the best uh returns in the

36:49

world I I mean you could obviously look

36:51

at the return so far I I don't want to

36:53

talk about the returns because you start

36:54

talking about returns you get in trouble

36:57

um

36:59

but I I do believe wholeheartedly that

37:02

uh the Investments at least let me put

37:05

it this way I'll talk personally where

37:06

my money is going I wholeheartedly

37:08

believe will be substantially rewarded

37:11

uh in the next

37:13

two to certainly 10 years

37:16

uh and I think that is a proper

37:19

diversification through real estate and

37:21

stocks I highly believe that you should

37:23

be Diversified to real estate in some

37:25

regard and a lot of people right now

37:26

they can't buy real estate and I think

37:28

that's why you know our the company

37:30

we're working with on our fundraiser is

37:31

like oh my gosh this startup is getting

37:33

a like some of the greatest fundraising

37:35

we've seen ever in its first just 48

37:37

Hours okay we just launched Wednesday

37:39

night and it's it's it's been way better

37:42

than expected in the first 48 Hours you

37:44

know we're coming up on 72 hours by the

37:45

time this video will be posted go to

37:47

househack.com obviously read more but my

37:50

belief not as personalized Financial

37:51

advice we do give Financial advice we go

37:53

to stackhack.com we give Financial

37:55

advice I've got like 50 videos to film

37:57

next week on people's situations I've

37:59

been working with the team on your

38:00

situations I'm like wow this is some

38:01

impressive situations but there are

38:03

definitely places we can help you that's

38:04

the point that's why we do license

38:05

Financial advice

38:07

stackhack.com for licensed Financial

38:08

advice but as not personalized Financial

38:10

advice

38:11

you should be asking yourself how am I

38:13

going to diversify to real estate over

38:14

the next two years and for a lot of us

38:16

it's not going to be putting three and a

38:18

half percent down on a house at eight

38:19

percent

38:20

it might legitimately be considering a

38:23

real estate startup that could do it for

38:24

you and keep in mind this is a real

38:26

estate company

38:27

this is not a fun I get messages they're

38:29

like oh so what are the the AUM fees and

38:31

you know what on on your assets under

38:34

management like there are no AUM fees

38:36

you're investing in a company it's not a

38:38

fund we're investing in a company a plan

38:40

a vision

38:44

and a great valuation too so anyway look

38:46

have a wonderful weekend everybody I

38:48

gotta go hop on a plane uh my plane

38:50

takes off in 28 minutes

38:51

so I gotta go

38:53

thanks so much and we'll see you soon

38:54

bye advertise these things that you told

38:56

us here I feel like nobody else knows

38:58

about this we'll try a little

38:59

advertising and see how it goes

39:00

congratulations man you have done so

39:02

much people love you people looked up to

39:03

you Kevin path right there financial

39:05

analyst and YouTuber meet Kevin always

39:07

great to get your take

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