The Coming Stock-Crash Catalysts [Mark THESE Dates - April 2023]

over the next two weeks we have a lot of

catalysts coming up let's talk about

exactly what dates you should be paying

attention to will specifically take a

look at jobs a CPI let's look at some

pre and early projections for some of

these numbers if they're out we've got a

joltz report coming out let's see what

some of the surveys are for this let's

go through all of this do keep in mind

that on April 4th we will uh really be

starting another earnings season so

April 4th stay tuned we're going to be

looking at uh some of the small

companies has really really nothing too

big on April 4th just yet but we're

going to get uh Simply Good Foods we'll

get some steel reporting on on the fifth

on the sixth which is next Thursday in

terms of record reporting we'll get

WD-40 Levi Strauss I like like looking

at those kinds of companies to see where

the consumer's heads are and where

inflation is more interestingly we'll

probably be on the 11th we'll get CarMax

Albertsons are we still seeing those

food prices move up how about those used

car prices how are they affecting

margins because it seems like used car

prices are falling but wholesale prices

are actually Rising so dealers are

potentially looking at negative numbers

you've got Rent the Runway on the 12th

you've got Delta Airlines Progressive

Fastenal on the 13th then on the 18th is

actually when you start getting the

banks reporting that's when things are

really going to get entertaining

especially since they're going to show

us the numbers for the banking crisis

we'll have a lot of banking commentary

between the 18th and the 20th we'll get

Bank of America Johnson Johnson Goldman

Sachs Bank of New York Mellon those will

report on uh Tuesday Johnson and Johnson

will be very interesting in terms of

evaluating industrial inflation how's

that wage price spiral again that's the

18th then of course we get our leading

tech company we get Netflix also on the

18th on the 19th then we get into like

the Morgan Stanley's the citizens

Financial IBM Zions Bank American

Express on Thursday with Dr Horton and

Nokia as well as Blackstone and uh and

and Associated bancorps so we'll be

getting a lot of financial information

really the week of the 18th I think more

interesting for next week is going to be

the jobs report so really probably for

the next week we're going to be mostly

having uh we'll mostly be putting

earnings on the table uh and paying a

little less attention to earnings for

next week it'll be more fascinating to

see what happens with jobs so let's take

a look at what we've got on the third

which is tomorrow we'll get ISM

Manufacturing and prices paid surveys

survey suggests that prices paid will

come down slightly to 51.1 that is still

in the expansion territory but down from

51.3 in the prior we'll get uh some

commentary on ISM employment remember

this is the institute for supply side

management this is really sort of what

comes before Consumer Price inflation

right

we'll get manufacturing pmis on uh

Monday morning as well uh those are the

manufacturing purchase manager industry

numbers expecting slight contraction

there at 49.3 construction spending is

expected to be flat month over month on

the fourth we'll get Factory orders

expecting those to be down half of a

percent we'll also on the fourth be

getting the jolts that is the job

openings and labor turnover survey that

number has consistently been above 10

million that is regularly a surprised to

the upside the last release was at about

10.824 million the next survey is for a

10.5 handle I'd write that one down

that'll be on the fourth 10.5 stocks

likely to move on the jolts and of

course if we get a big move on ISM

prices paid uh to the upside there could

be some downside risk in in stocks on

the fifth we'll be getting the s p

Services PMI purchases managers index

that'll be very important because

obvious nicely most folks expect that

inflation is stickiest in the service

sector that is expected to come in at a

match for the prior release of last

month so February and March expected to

match at 53.8

and that is again the same as a prior

release

then on the fifth we'll also be getting

the ism prices paid this is uh this is

the services prices paid so on Monday we

get ISM Manufacturing prices paid and on

Tuesday we'll get ISM Services prices

paid no forecast yet for that on

Thursday the 6th we will be getting

continuing jobless claims we're

expecting those to come in at two

hundred thousand they've regularly been

at about 200 000 for uh for new claims

and continuing claims the prior release

sat at about

1.689 million for continued unemployed

individuals that number shrank last time

a little bit we'll see how it comes out

uh this month

then uh and and before we keep going

down this list here obviously I should

always remind you that on the 12th the

prices will be going up for the lifetime

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okay so then we've got on uh the seventh

we're going to be looking at that change

in non-farm payroll this is our jobs

report we'll also be getting we should

be getting ADP on Wednesday let me look

at ADP first ADP is expecting that's the

private version of the jobs report we're

looking at about a 210 000 expectation

down from 242 000 jobs that's a

Wednesday for the ADP report and then

Friday we'll be getting the change in

non-farm payroll that is looking like

240 is the survey the last payroll

report brought us in at a 311 000 we now

expect to sit at 240 000 so nice sort of

shrinkage in that jobs growth obviously

coming off those crazy numbers we had in

January probably heavily due to seasonal

adjustments where we were sitting around

500 000 job gains however we will also

be very closely looking at average

hourly earnings average hourly earnings

in the prior release came in at point

two percent the survey now says 0.3

percent that is a little bit of a bump

up to an annualized rate of 3.6 percent

for average hourly earnings it's a

little aggressive we'd like to see that

come in soft then of course the next

data set that we'll really be waiting

for is the CPI report we do have some

surveys for CPI first though on the 10th

we'll be getting a wholesale trade month

over month we don't even have a survey

for that and we'll be getting wholesale

inventories uh no survey for that either

that'll be on the 10th on the 11th we'll

get small business out optimism and then

there we go it is April 12th April 12th

by the way is also a day we'll be

getting the fomc meeting minutes

so what is the forecast for CPI month

over month for March keep in mind that

March will have a lot of funky

expectations given we had a banking

crisis and potentially reduced spending

during the banking crisis CPI month over

month in March for the data release on

April 12th is looking like it's expected

to be down from the prior report of 0.4

month over month 2.3 percent that would

be good point five percent uh it was the

prior release for core month over month

that's expected to shrink to 0.4 percent

uh however the year over year number uh

not clear yet the prior release was six

percent no survey on that yep however

year over year core could potentially

Accelerate from point or five point five

percent to 5.6 that wouldn't be great uh

the next day on the 13th we'll also be

getting PPI numbers we do not yet have

surveys for those with the exception of

month-over-month final demand producer

price inflation expected to be flat at

zero percent so those are the catalysts

for the next two weeks obviously the

most important are going to be jobs so

you should mark your calendar for the

following things okay Mark these are the

things I would be marking my calendar

for April 4th 10 a.m Eastern Time joltz

report

April

7th 5 30 a.m I will be live streaming to

meet Kevin report at that time you're

welcome to join uh 5 30 a.m on the

seventh jobs then I would write down

April 12th

expiration of meet Kevin's coupon code

for the amazing programs with lifetime

access on building your wealth

specifically the bundle for zero to

millionaire real estate investing and

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comes with my trade alerts as well

then CPI obviously you want to write

that down that's on the 12th at 5 30 a.m

on the 12th of April so those are some

of the catalysts that we're really going

to be paying attention to over the next

uh over the next two uh uh two weeks

here those are going to be quite

critical uh and uh right after these

catalysts we'll actually be going into

banking earnings uh and uh

understandably so there'll be a lot of

curiosity in terms of okay how are

things getting affected through banking

earnings so we'll be paying heavy

attention to making earnings so stay

tuned for that but this gives you a

catalyst breakdown of what to expect

over the next who count them who weeks

Kevin is my MF man but your thoughts are

going against the heads of entire five

countries fantastic points nonetheless

man these five countries can suck it

just kidding no I mean look obviously

these countries are going to be big

players over the next uh decades uh I I

would not bet against China but I'm not

going to bet on China either I'm going

to bet on America I'm going to bet on

American PB that's what I want I don't

want Chinese PP I want American people I

think American pricing power is much

larger