What Assets Hold Value in a Currency Reset and Why.
FULL TRANSCRIPT
Well, hello and welcome to another Cats
& Co video. Now, following the last
video where I commented on what a
currency reset might look like in
practice, people have increasingly been
asking me how assets like gold, Bitcoin,
cash, property, and pensions might fare
and in particular, which would prove
most resilient. Now, there are good
reasons why gold and Bitcoin usually
come up first. People are looking for
something that survives if the monetary
system itself changes. Because if there
is a reset coming, and I do think at
some point there will be, then this
really isn't just about returns anymore.
It's about what needs permission and
what doesn't. So, let's start with gold.
Physical gold that you actually possess
sits in a very particular category. It
doesn't rely on banks. It doesn't rely
on networks. It doesn't need conversion.
It doesn't sit on anybody else's balance
sheet. And that is why gold keeps
reappearing at moments of monetary
change. Not because it's exciting, but
because it's boring and difficult to
interfere with. Now, yes, I know gold
has been restricted uh for example in
the United States in the 1930s, but I do
think that today that would be
politically explosive. Gold works
because it bridges the system. Now,
Bitcoin solves a similar problem, but in
a different way. It's self-custodied,
easily stored, easily transferred, and
it is highly funible. Technically, it is
very resilient. Politically, I do think
it's a little more fragile. So, while
it's gaining adoption, it is still
relatively new and governments are still
working out how to deal with it, which
does create a degree of regulatory risk.
Now, Bitcoin is kind of a global
technology living inside national
politics. There's a practical difference
between the two. Gold is excellent at
storing value and is difficult to track,
but it's heavy, physical, and difficult
to move quietly across borders. Now,
Bitcoin, by contrast, is almost
frictionless to move. However, it is
trackable and that makes it risky in
jurisdictions that prohibit it, but
extremely useful for people who are
prepared to move themselves across
borders and political systems to protect
their own freedoms. So, it's not all
about which is better. It's about what
problem you're actually trying to solve.
Both sit outside the traditional
monetary system and are resilient in
different ways. Now contrast that with
cash. In a world moving towards central
bank digital currencies, paper cash
risks becoming instantly defunct. Cash
only works inside a cash system. Once a
mandatory digital currency exists, then
the cash doesn't need to be confiscated
to become irrelevant. So cash is not
resilient. Real estate I think sits
somewhere in between. Property is
visible,
immobile and easy to tax. But having
somewhere to live clearly matters.
Shelter itself has real utility. And
more rural and self-sufficient property
tends to have an even stronger
resilience profile. And that's why we
see planners, people thinking a few
moves ahead, gravitating toward property
with some degree of independence. Not
because they necessarily expect
collapse, although some of them do, but
because utility matters more than
optimization in uncertain times. And
this is also where jurisdiction starts
to matter. Property doesn't exist in a
vacuum. Islands in particular do tend to
attract people during periods of
uncertainty. Not because the islands are
perfect, but because smaller
jurisdictions often have clearer rules,
kind of a tighter social contract and
more predictable responses under stress.
So, is property resilient? Well,
partially. It doesn't disappear in a
reset, but it is immovable and taxable,
which means it sits inside the system.
It survives because it's useful, not
because it's sovereign. Owning a home
gives stability, but it doesn't give
control over the rules. Now, stocks and
shares, they sit fully inside the system
because they're priced in most likely
legacy currency and you need brokers,
exchanges, settlement layers, and
eventually CBDC rails. They don't opt
you out of anything. In one sense, they
opt you in more deeply. That doesn't
make them bad, but it does mean that
they will be reshaped however the new
system requires. And this is where the
reset logic really comes together. I
don't think the old money simply gets
wiped out. But I don't think it will be
honored in full either. I think old
assets, old promises, pension funds,
legacy savings and so on get converted
at the same time a new currency system
is introduced but in layers. And this is
where the universal basic income or
something very close to it may also come
into the equation. The delayed
conversion of legacy assets potentially
as I say including pensions and large
bank balances, investment accounts could
form the basis of some sort of UBI style
income flaw. That flaw will plate the
masses while legacy claims will be
capped and tapered. So smaller pensions
will be largely protected. Larger ones
will be partially honored and the very
largest quietly written down. A covert
confiscation reframed as sustainability
and fairness. And that's the real fault
line. If your wealth exists only as
legacy assets as promises inside the
system, then the system will decide how
and whether they are converted. Assets
that don't need conversion, gold, bearer
assets, and self-custodied assets like
Bitcoin, don't face that negotiation at
all. So for people with little capital,
the reset will feel like support. For
people with savings, it will feel like
expropriation.
Slow, procedural, but entirely legal. So
this is why I think we're seeing people
rebalancing their assets now while they
still have choice and agency to do so.
In theory, all assets are equal, but in
a reset, some assets are very clearly
more equal than others.
Well, I hope you found that interesting.
If you did, please like and subscribe.
I'd also be very interested to hear your
comments in the comment section below.
So, uh, until next time, thank you very
much.
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