Trump JUST Launched Bombers | Iran vs Israel
FULL TRANSCRIPT
We just received official confirmation
that B2 bombers are in route from the
United States to Guam from White House
officials. This is the first official
confirmation following satellite imagery
already indicating at least six B2
bombers on the airfield at Diego Garcia.
What's worth remembering about Diego
Garcia is that Diego Garcia is within
striking range of Iran. You can see on
the map here, Diego Garcia is located
south of Sri Lanka. And if you travel
towards Iran, you could likely pick up a
midair refuel just outside of Iranian
airspace. Now, what's fascinating is
just this morning, Israeli aircraft have
begun to bomb facilities that may be the
Iranian defense forces opportunity to
shoot down any aircraft coming along or
from the Persian Gulf. Now, why is Iran
uh potentially seeing their missile
strikers taken out in this route? Take a
look at this map here, right here in the
Arvas region. This is where we are
seeing missile launchers taken out. Now,
you can see the Persian Gulf is right
here. And here's Qatar. Qatar might end
up being one of the places we end up
launching refueling missions for our B2
bombers before they end up encroaching
on the Iranian airspace. The flight path
our aircraft might end up taking might
be across this Arval region which is in
route to the Foraux nuclear enrichment
facility that everybody has talked about
in the news over the last few days. Now
what's remarkable about this is it's an
indication of likely coordination
between the United States and Israel and
unfortunately it's also indicative of
negotiations not going very well. Again,
just this morning, 30 Israeli fighter
jets took uh or participated in striking
the Arvas region. And this comes on top
of this satellite imagery from just
within the last 48 hours, showing a
sudden buildup of US Air Forces and
Allied Air Forces arriving again just
within the last few days here, including
what we can visibly see, at least 54 F16
fighter jets, 22 KC135s,
and 11 C130s. So, we've got cargo
aircraft, we've got refueling aircraft,
and we've got strike aircraft, as well
as obviously our Diego Garcia friends
that apparently are already hosting
multiple B2 bombers with likely more on
the way. Google Maps unfortunately
doesn't show you all those B2 bombers
just yet, but more recent satellite
imagery does. Now, why is this
important? Well, it comes at the same
time as Kane and the Iranian delegations
that have been negotiating in Geneva are
telling us we are not achieving success
in negotiations. In fact, demands from
the delegations negotiating with Iran
seek a complete removal of enrichment
capabilities from Iran. However, Iran is
not willing to give up any level of uh
enrichment or at least go down to a
level of zero. This is problematic
because if Iran says, "No, we're not
interested in going down to zero." But
that's exactly what Allied forces are
looking for. It increases the likelihood
that the unleashing of now these B2
bombers uh officially being confirmed
from the White House and the striking of
missile bays in route to the foreto
nuclear enrichment facility suggests
that we might actually end up seeing the
United States get involved with this
conflict with Israel against Iran. At
least some of the coordination that
we're seeing is starting to suggest
this. On top of this, Kam is also
suggesting that he has assigned someone
to take over his position, a cleric to
take over his position should he be
assassinated. And multiple other
officials inside of the Iranian regime
have also already been designated with
replacements should they end up being
killed or somehow assassinated. This now
suggests that we
unfortunately aren't in a deescalating
environment anymore. It appears we are
escalating now. Unfortunately, while
this escalation is happening, the IAEA
is also reporting that no highlyenriched
uranium was found at Esvahan after it
was struck by Iranian air strikes. Now,
why is that problematic? Well, because
Iran is expected to hold about 15 to 16
cylinders worth of highlyenriched
uranium somewhere. Now, the IAEA was
tracking these containers. But when
Israel started striking Iran, they
stopped tracking these because obviously
there's now war and Iran, not only is it
less safe for the IAEA, but Iran is
suggesting, hey, sorry, wartime can't
allow any inspectors in. Not a surprise
because it gives Iran the potential
opportunity to remove these cylinders of
highlyenriched uranium. Surprisingly,
you do not need a lot of it to make a
bomb. And that is unfortunately what's
scary. In fact, a nuclear energy
facility operating for quote unquote
peaceful purposes typically can produce
enough plutonium U239
to produce one bomb per year. And that's
for a peaceful purpose. Yesterday we
were talking about how U238 becomes U239
and like five of you in the comments
suggested that uh I was wrong to say
that was because a neutron was gained.
It actually gains a proton and becomes
plutonium to 39. This is true in its
final state. However, it's worth noting
how you get there is through neutron
capture. So you get a U238 that gains a
neutron becomes unstable emits beta
radiation. Now you remove an electron.
What happens when you remove an electron
from a neutron? Boom. You get a proton.
So that's how you get a more stable form
of plutonium 239. But the point of that
discussion yesterday was to say that
even peaceful the peaceful use of a
nuclear reactor can produce uh the
weaponry or essentially the ingredients
necessary for a broader bomb. The issue
now unfortunately though is that uh it
seems there is a growing concern uh by
not only the IAEA for the potential of
more strikes against nuclear facilities.
We've already seen the strike against
Iraq uh which was an active reactor with
a heavy water reactor uh which uh Israel
apparently alerted those in the
surrounding area to evacuate before
striking. But it suggests that Israel is
willing to strike active reactors as
well. And now while this heavy re water
reactor was deemed inactive for energy
production and more active for research
purposes uh wasn't necessarily a
Chernobyl style reactor by any means.
People are getting concerned that as
negotiations are beginning to fall apart
as the United States is moving
significantly more aircraft and weaponry
into the region. It's now only a matter
of time unfortunately before strikes end
up taking place against Iran in
coordination with the United States and
Israel. Unfortunately, just like what we
saw with the Israeli uh in essentially
invasion into the Gaza Strip in response
to those October 7th, 2023 attacks, we
were expecting an incursion that would
last maybe weeks to months. It's now
been over 2 years. We were told that
these strikes against Iran should take
days to weeks and we're now walking up
to two weeks already. So the question is
if the United States gets involved,
would it end up emboldening Iran to push
for a bomb intentionally to create the
same nuclear deterrence that countries
like North Korea have who don't end up
getting struck by their neighbors
because they have a bomb. It's almost
like the bomb breeds peace. The problem
with that is do other countries then
feel that they need to breed peace by
proliferating nuclear weapons. And this
goes against the principles of really
the last 50 or 60 or 70 years that well
Western countries have told us that only
nuclear powers should be the ones to
continue to have nuclear weaponry and we
should all work to produce fewer nuclear
weapons rather than more. Although this
comes as China goes, "Sounds good, bro.
we'll make another hundred you nukes
every single year because well that's
what they're doing right now. So you're
kind of in a little bit of a damned if
you do strike Iran and damned if you do
situation and I think that's why some
people are looking at Donald Trump as
potentially being in a taco position is
maybe not necessarily in a taco position
but more in a very hard position because
if you do strike it potentially sends
that signal that we only won't strike
you if you have a nuke. Uh but if we
don't strike the strikes that Iran has
already sustained and Iran's position
that we're not going to go to zero
enrichment could just embolden them to
finally get to the bomb which is
obviously where we get to concerns over
oh no what does this mean for Iran
potentially arming their rebels such as
the Houthies with nuclear weaponry. It's
also worth getting an update on what's
up with the Houthis. Uh the Houthies uh
this morning mentioned that they have
threatened to break their May truths
with President Trump if the United
States targets
Iran and actually strikes Iran. Quote,
"In the event that Americans become
involved in an attack and aggression
against Iran alongside the Israeli
enemy, the armed forces will target
their ships and warships in the Red Sea.
And this again potentially creates
additional supply chain snarls uh at
least, you know, for getting back to
trading in the Red Sea. uh but also
potentially any of the shippers that are
still active in the Red Sea uh and
obviously oil markets. Now, generally
market-wise, geopolitical issues tend to
be a by the dip. Uh and really, do we
expect uh this to be a near-term shock
for markets? No. But if this becomes a
prolonged conflict where we start seeing
oil prices rise consistently above 100
towards $150 per barrel because we start
getting more disruptions not only out of
the straight of Hormuz which some have
suggested that Iran might end up
planting water mines in the region uh or
Israel targets even more of Iranian uh
oil tanks such as those on the Kirk
Island. Yes, we could start seeing oil
prices sustainably rise as this conflict
evolves and unfortunately does not seem
to be getting better. Thanks for
watching. Appreciate you watching,
especially since I got off a run here
and I look a little crazy, but thank you
so much and we'll see you in the next
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