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NASA Just Revealed A New Theory About TON 618 — And It's Not A Black Hole

29m 59s4,402 words671 segmentsEnglish
“Never the object itself, never once in 60 years, only its glow.”
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FULL TRANSCRIPT

0:00

10.8 billion lighty years from Earth in

0:02

a quiet patch of sky between two

0:04

constellations most people cannot name

0:07

there is a small bluish white dot and

0:10

for 60 years that dot has been quietly

0:12

rewriting the rules of physics. While

0:15

nobody in the general public noticed, it

0:18

has a name, Ton 618.

0:20

And the story we have been told about it

0:22

is that it is the largest black hole

0:25

ever discovered. 66 billion times the

0:28

mass of our sun. More matter than every

0:31

star in the Milky Way combined. But NASA

0:34

and the wider astrophysics community are

0:36

now sitting on a much darker

0:38

possibility. A possibility they have not

0:41

put in the press releases in plain

0:43

language.

0:45

A possibility that is being discussed

0:47

quietly in the papers that TON 618, the

0:51

biggest thing we ever labeled, may not

0:53

actually be a black hole at all. And

0:56

that the reason it breaks our rules is

0:59

that we have been misreading it for six

1:01

decades. Let me tell you what that

1:04

really means. Because it is not a small

1:07

correction. It is not a footnote. If the

1:10

emerging theory is right, then the

1:13

object we have used as the extreme

1:15

example, the poster child, the outer

1:18

limit of the known universe, is

1:21

something we do not yet have a name for.

1:24

Something that eats light the same way,

1:26

curves space the same way, glows the

1:28

same way, but is not technically a black

1:31

hole. And that would mean that thousands

1:34

of other objects we have been measuring

1:36

with the same method might be

1:38

mclassified too. Wherever you are

1:40

watching from tonight, whether it is

1:42

late for you or early, I want you to sit

1:45

with that for a moment. The largest

1:47

object we ever pointed a telescope at

1:50

and we are no longer sure what it is.

1:53

Here is the frame the public was given.

1:55

In 1957 at the Tonant Cintla Observatory

1:58

in Mexico, two astronomers named Balio

2:02

Irriate and Enrique Chira were

2:05

cataloging faint blue stars. They logged

2:08

entry number 618. It looked like a

2:11

slightly odd star, nothing more.

2:15

It sat in their catalog quietly for 13

2:17

years until in 1970 a radio survey out

2:21

of Bologna, Italy detected radio

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emissions coming from it. That was the

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first hint that it was not a star at

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all. It was a quazar. And when

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astronomers began looking harder, they

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realized the object was not just

2:35

distant. It was among the brightest

2:37

things ever observed by human beings.

2:40

roughly 140 trillion times more luminous

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than our sun. And that light had been

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traveling for around 10.8 billion years

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to reach us. When it left, the sun did

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not exist. Earth did not exist. The

2:57

Milky Way was still forming its modern

2:59

shape. The next question was inevitable.

3:02

How does an object that far away shine

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that brightly? The answer for

3:07

astronomers was gravity. a super massive

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black hole at the center pulling in gas,

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superheating it as it fell, releasing

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enormous radiation before that gas

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crossed the event horizon. Standard

3:22

quazar physics. And when they measured

3:25

the width of a specific emission line in

3:28

the light, the HV line, they were able

3:31

to estimate how fast gas was moving near

3:33

the object. That speed suggested a

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gravitational engine of about 66 billion

3:40

solar masses. That is the famous number.

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That is the number in every documentary.

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That is the number in the Guinness Book

3:48

of World Records. 66 billion suns.

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Bigger than the entire stellar mass of

3:54

the Milky Way. Now, here is the first

3:57

crack. That number was never a

3:58

measurement. Not in the way most viewers

4:01

understand the word. Nobody has ever put

4:04

a stopwatch on a star orbiting Ton 618.

4:08

Nobody has ever imaged its event

4:10

horizon. Nobody has resolved its host

4:13

galaxy because the quazar's light drowns

4:16

out everything around it. Every mass

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estimate ever published for TON 618 has

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been an inference. a calculation based

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on how fast gas is swirling in the outer

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accretion region plugged into a formula

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that assumes we know how the gas is

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moving and why. That method is called

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the viral mass estimate and it works

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mostly for objects we can cross-check

4:42

with other methods but ton 618 cannot be

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cross-cheed. It is too far, too bright

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and too isolated. In 2019, a group of

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astronomers led by X GE reanalyzed the

4:53

same object using a different emission

4:55

line, the CIV line, and the number came

4:58

out lower around 40.7 billion solar

5:02

masses. That is a 40% reduction from a

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single method change on the same object

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from the same data era. Think about

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that. If I told you the population of a

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country and I was off by 40%, you would

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not call that a measurement. You would

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call that a guess with error bars. And

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yet the 66 billion figure is still the

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one that appears in most public

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materials because it is the

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record-breaking number. Uncertainty does

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not sell. Certainty does. So already

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before we even get to the interesting

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part, the public frame is soft. We have

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an object we cannot directly image whose

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mass is inferred from a method that has

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produced answers ranging from about 40

5:48

billion to 66 billion suns and whose

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surrounding galaxy is invisible to us.

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That is the honest starting point and it

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matters because the theoretical work

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that follows depends entirely on which

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number you trust. Now let me get to the

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mechanism because this is where the

6:06

story tightens. A quazar is not the

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black hole. This is a distinction most

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people miss. When you see an animation

6:14

of ton 618, you are seeing an artistic

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guess at the accretion disc. The black

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hole itself is invisible by definition.

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Everything luminous, everything we can

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measure, everything that gives us our

6:28

numbers is the dis of infalling gas

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surrounding it. That gas spirals inward,

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gets compressed, heated by friction to

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millions of degrees, and radiates

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furiously before it crosses the event

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horizon. It is that radiation we detect.

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So when astronomers say we are looking

6:50

at ton 618, what they actually mean is

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that we are looking at the exhaust plume

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of ton 618. Never the object itself,

6:59

never once in 60 years, only its glow.

7:04

Now, here is where the physics starts to

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get uncomfortable. In the last decade,

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the British astrophysicist Andrew King

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published a paper suggesting that

7:12

non-spinning black holes have a natural

7:14

upper mass limit of around 50 billion

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solar masses. The reasoning is subtle

7:20

but important. As a black hole grows,

7:23

the inner edge of its accretion disc,

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the innermost stable circular orbit, is

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pushed farther and farther out past a

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certain mass threshold. That inner edge

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moves so far away from the object that

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the disc itself becomes

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self-gravitating.

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It starts collapsing into stars instead

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of feeding the hole. In plain language,

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the engine that powers the quazar shuts

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itself off. The black hole stops

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growing. The disc stops glowing. Ton 6

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of 18 is estimated at 66 billion solar

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masses above that ceiling. And it is

8:02

still glowing brightly right now in the

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light we're receiving. Something in that

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equation does not close. Either the

8:11

ceiling is wrong or the mass is wrong or

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the object is not what we think it is.

8:17

And this is not a fringe question. Priad

8:20

Natarajan at Yale and other researchers

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working on ultra massive black hole

8:25

theory have been publicly wrestling with

8:28

exactly this puzzle for years. The word

8:31

ultra massive itself was invented

8:33

because these objects do not fit inside

8:35

the super massive category we had

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before. And the reason it is a serious

8:40

question is not because ton 618 is

8:43

unique. It is because if the physics

8:46

that limits black hole growth is real,

8:48

then ton 6418 should not exist. And yet

8:52

apparently it does. So one of our

8:54

assumptions has to give. Compare this to

8:57

M87, [music] the black hole at the

8:59

center of the galaxy M87.

9:02

That is the one the event horizon

9:04

telescope famously imaged in 2019.

9:08

That black hole is about 5 to 6 billion

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