GxT - How I Traded Everyday This Week - Weekly Recap
全トランスクリプト
What's up, guys? So, appreciate it for
4K. This is just going to be a long
rant, no editing. Just going to be
walking through all my trades that I
took this week on indices. I took five
trades, one each day, all around the
10:00 open, high, low, close or open,
low, high, close. And yeah, let's get
into it.
coming into the week, right? We see that
we have this huge drop on
Friday and we're pretty much opening
near these lows. So, specifically on a
Monday, you you don't really expect the
biggest range, right? It's historically
it's the smallest range day out of um
all five days. So when you see see this
specifically where the previous day
prints a large range and is going to hit
an objective, we definitely don't expect
a large range day. So that's already
setting the narrative in a sense. Now we
just need price to align with that
narrative. This is what we see when I
come into the charts, right? If I play
price to the 6 a.m.
candle, right? So I don't want to short
bearish, right? Because like I said, not
expecting the biggest run through this
low. We're expecting a smaller range day
or maybe like a uh you know reversal
candle type of thing. And this is
setting up perfectly for a reversal
candle. So when you want to trade a
reversal candle, right, it has to form a
certain way, right? It needs to open low
first, put in a reversal early on in the
day. So ideally before 10:00 if it's
going to be a New York reversal. Um, and
it's going to be a 10 a.m. New York
reversal. Then ideally, it's within that
first hour of that 4hour candle because
we need enough time in the day to come
back uh back to the opening price. And
one thing about reversal candles is we
know that this candle doesn't support
bullish expansion. So, we simply must
adjust our targets, right? It doesn't
mean we can't trade the day, right? We
we just need to adjust our targets
because we know that if it's a large
opposing run, it doesn't support a
bullish day. So, we're not going to get
expansion past the daily open. This is
something that is very logical and
repeatable, right? And we need it to
open low first, right? Because when we
think about a bullish day, right, it
opens low first, but also we want
session highs and low resistance
liquidity to trade back into. And we
don't want to trade a there's two types
of reversal candles. So there's this one
where it's a more fluid motion where
price opens low first, puts in some
reversal to trade back into the high.
And there's this type of reversal candle
where the daily opens low or sorry opens
high first and then opens low. We don't
want to trade this, right? Because this
is more like seek and destroy, right?
Where you know it's there's nothing to
really target really at this point,
right? We want to target low resistance,
right? Um and if we already made this
open high first, what does that support?
that sports a bearish day, right? So, we
don't want to trade that. So, this is
mechanically how we define it. Um, this
is in my course, how to trade a reversal
candle. So, when I drop lower, I need to
trade away from some point of reversal
um or some, you know, key level to get
to these highs, right? Some protected
swing. And we think about protected
swings. Ideally, they're highs and lows,
right? When I look to the left, we can't
use this. We didn't manipulate it. So,
we need some sort of closer proximity
level to trade away from to get to this
high. As you see, it's just 1,800. It's
an unestablished high of the day. Um,
it's another reason why we want to trade
um this profile. That's why we want it
to form this way, right? So, when I look
at the assets, look at the close, right?
With this hourly close. So, this is
9:30. So, what are we what what also are
we doing? We are also pairing a
manipulation with a driver, right? So
930. Now some people ask me within the
lens, right? Why did this fail or or was
this a valid entry to take, right? Well,
yeah. I mean, this could have been a low
of day for sure, right? Uh we take out
this
low, we manipulate it and we close
above, right, the opposing candle. But
what is the if then scenario, right? If
this is going to be the low of day, then
the driver should do what? It should
expand away from it. But what do we
see, right? It clearly disrespects it.
And if you guys know me, you guys know
that I always pair um my entry with
drivers or or with manipulation, right?
Or I need to the driver to confirm. I'm
always confirming narrative with
drivers. It's one of the biggest parts
uh in my trading. And on a day like this
where it's super low probability, you
need to be waiting for the driver to
confirm narrative, right? Um, so when we
look to the left, if if this is going to
fail, then what is the only literally
the only point for price to reverse
from? It's this swing point, right? If
we don't reverse here, then there's two
red flags, right? For one, there's
nothing else to reverse from to the
left, right? And also, the driver failed
to reverse the day, right? When the
driver fails to reverse the day, that's
already a red flag in itself. That's why
I don't prefer uh 10:00 a.m. 4hour New
York reversals. I prefer 10 a.m.
continuations. I prefer 6 a.m. New York
reversals. So when we look at this
candle here, um we clearly see a
manipulation of this low. Now compare
this close to
ENQ. What do we see? Right? We're
actually closing below this low. So this
is how we gauge strength, right? Without
an SMT. As you see, we already know ES
is stronger here. And when I look at YM,
it's actually the strongest pair. But
here's the thing about this day. I don't
know how far since I I'm expecting a
small range today. I don't know how far
we're going to go beyond this level, but
I can anticipate that price on all three
assets will likely hit hit that uh
Monday uh new week opening gap or the
1,800 high. I just don't know how far
we're going to go. So, this is my
target. So, it doesn't make sense for me
to trade this asset if you know you know
we're already so close to it. If I can
uh measure this out, right, we're like
super close to it. We're like 50 points
away. So, I'm going to engage with the,
you know, asset over here, which is ES,
which is the kind of like the middleman.
It's not the weakest asset, but it's not
the strongest asset, right? So, just
because one asset reaches a level first,
that doesn't mean that the S&T is going
to hold, right? This is a big big
misconception. This is something we can
get in. Um, you're going to see a lot of
of examples this week um of this, right?
It just means assets are lagging behind.
So, what we have here is a GXT ideal
formation where the low of day is
created from manipulation. The wick is
formed from a protected swing. We want
to trade away from protected swings. Um,
because when you manipulate, we
distribute, right? And the distribution
is creating the body. Now, in this case,
it's pretty much going to create the
wick um because this is our target. So,
it's going to create a small body. But I
digress, right? So, what we have here is
we're also not going to trade within
this 6 a.m. candle because it doesn't
support expansion. So, what I'm viewing
this as is a 6 a.m. New York reversal.
And I can expect a 10 a.m. continuation
rate because if we're going to be fading
the daily candle, we need to be trading
in between or within a 4hour expansion
candle to our draw, right? So, when I
drop to the five minute, this is simply
the fractal
model at 10 a.m. open, right? So, if I
just play
price, we have that V-shape, right?
reversal signature that we talk about
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