GxT | Trade Recap | +4R
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Welcome back. Going to be doing a walk
through of Friday's PA as I think it's
just a good lesson overall, just the
weekly PA in general. So, let's go ahead
and get into it. So, starting off like
we do every week, we look at the
previous week's close. So, let's kind of
analyze the past couple weeks here. What
did price do? So, we started off with an
expansion, right? And then we got a um
inside bar. Well, a new phase of price
essentially where you do have an S&P
here, right? But if you look at these
two candles, right? What are they really
used for? Just a retracement, right? You
see the weakest asset here is having a
very just all assets are having this
really weak closure. So you see how this
really weak closure, very small bodied
candle. It's inside barring between this
previous week here. So this is how you
typically know that it's just a
retracement. If there's no true reversal
signature, it's just a retracement,
right? What can we retrace into a gap,
right? Or this gap. So you see like ES
traed into this gap, this more closer
proximity gap where YM the weakest asset
traed into this gap here which creates a
SMT fill which is just a fancy word for
gap SMT.
We're seeing that ENQ did not create a
gap, right? Um so you have a two-stage
SMT essentially here, right? because we
did not take out the previous week's low
simply on ENQ and we did not reach into
this gap. So you're seeing that ENQ has
that two-stage SMT which is showing
strength. This is why you see these the
strongest close here right closing above
the previous high. This one barely does
or like equal highs and you clearly see
that YM is the reversal candle. So this
would be an A and B reversal. And notice
how this asset over here, the leading
asset failed to manipulate this high,
which and even in this weakest asset has
a candle 2 closure. So these are all
really strong signatures for
bullishness, right? So with that
previous week's closure, what would we
expect? Internal to external, we have
the SMT, we have the candle closure. I
mean, what else do we need? Right? So
now we want to see an expansion candle
away from that S&T or away from that
candle 2 closure on the weekly time
frame on YM. Now for NQS since they more
so closed a bullish expansion candle, we
would simply want it to respect the
upper half of this previous bullish
expansion candle, right? Um so really to
put it simply, this is all we really
want is we're looking around this
opening price. We obviously want a small
wick. So therefore, you need to have a
key level around the opening price. You
need to form a reversal around that
opening price to basically create that
small wick. So this key level can be
within the previous candle's range or
maybe we can reverse if this is the
weekly candle. Maybe we can reverse off
of, you know, a previous day's low. So
maybe Monday, Tuesday's low or something
like that, right? Um where we're
actually using it as a reversal point.
So dropping lower to the daily chart.
What do we have here? So if you see
here, this is the preix range. Here is
ES. We are expanding, right? And notice
how we're failing to manipulate this
swing point on both assets here. So
you're seeing that
um the previous week, what do we
actually form a gap right below the
weekly open. So you see how this would
be the perfect area for price to form
the low of the week. Now whether that's
Monday opens low into it first or we
trade into it later on, it doesn't
really matter. Um now ideally we want
you know a candles to open low first and
expand higher. Yeah that's for every
candle but since this open high is
formed on Monday we can obviously expand
if we form reversal Tuesday we can have
enough time to expand of course right
have that smoke as well. So we see that
um we have this key level position below
the weekly open. This is it has to
reverse here or continue from here. If
it doesn't then obviously our bullish
bias would be invalidated. But there's
some really key things to to look at
here. So you see that Monday expands
higher first which creates an SMT with
Friday's high
as you see. So this would tell us that
now we're going to retrace back in the
range, right? So price just moves from
SMT to SMT, right? So boom, you have
this this SMT here. Now, why would this
be a valid SMT? Well, a couple reasons.
Well, for one, you have this asset
closing a very weak closure and there is
a two-stage SMT within this candle
close, right? So, if the previous day
formed at an SMT and a two-stage SMT,
then what can the next day do? It should
reverse right into this key level. Now,
uh you can trade this reversal day too
because it's at this relevant level,
right? So, you could trade this as
basically and I don't remember if I did.
I can't even remember to be honest. Um,
I'd have to look at the PA. I literally
don't even remember what I had for
breakfast. So, anyways, um, with this
candle closure on Tuesday, it becomes
very, very, very obvious that what
should happen, right? Because notice how
this asset over here, uh, which is YM,
these highs got taken out a long time
ago on ENQ and ES and look, they got
they failed to manipulate them, right?
Um, what do you notice about Tuesday's
close though? Look at INQ. Tuesday's
close, bearish expansion candle. And
then Tuesday over here on YM, it's a
bullish reversal candle. So now that is
a strength switch so that YM can
essentially catch up and take out all
these highs, right? And I also marked
out this high here because we more so
failed to manipulate the high, right?
Because obviously this inside candle
here, even the weakest asset right prior
that created the SMT right here had a
very uh bullish signature, right? That
V-shaped signature, that zero reversal
signature. And then you have price
really just returning back of the range
and then we're just consolidating.
Right? This is an inside bar. So when
price manipulates that inside bar low
with SMT obviously and we form that
cracking correlation via candle close
that gives us the insight that this is a
potential low of the week. Right? Look
at that small wick, right? That
deviation from the low. This is kind of
like that protraction profile where
maybe that day or that week kind of
opens high first if you're, you know,
bullish and then it comes lower to
create the wick. That's also fine as
long as it creates that, you know, that
um I guess opposing run kind of kind of
the way we don't really want it ideally.
Um if it is that early on candle, it's
still fine, right? And then this is the
real opposing run. It's the actual
creation, the protraction of the candle.
um if it forms the low and the reversal
low um early on in that candle it can
still expand obviously right and has
that small wick as well so um we have
that reversal candle obviously on ES so
we can gauge which assets kind of the
strongest here it's YM and ES you know
to get expansion towards these highs so
we clearly see with Wednesday's close we
failed to manipulate this high very
clearly right we expand right through it
um so that was a really good day right
so look At Wednesday, we trade into all
these highs where over here on INQ, it
creates SMT here, but we don't care
about the SMT because we know it's going
to be just a retracement. So, you're
going to see this next day. If I zoom in
here, actually creates equal highs here,
damn near as you see, which creates an
SMT here, which this is a two-stage SMT,
which I did short this day. Um now with
this close though and just with this
weekly candle what is this weekly
candle? What is it already? What can it
not be? This week we candle has already
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