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Thursday Financial news

14m 55s2,366 単語335 segmentsEnglish

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0:01

Hello dear friends. My name is Clive

0:04

Thompson. Today is Thursday, March 26th,

0:07

2026. We're going to do a quick rundown

0:09

of the markets and where precious metals

0:11

are going and where the stocks are going

0:13

today. Um, first of all, it's uh after

0:16

300 p.m. The US stock markets are open

0:19

already. 3 p.m. in Europe, I mean. Um,

0:22

so everything I say today is not

0:24

investment advice. Um, please beware of

0:27

any scammers imitating me in the

0:29

comments. Uh, they might be using my

0:31

photograph and my name or something very

0:35

similar to my name, not exactly my name,

0:37

and inviting you to contact them by

0:39

WhatsApp. Or you might see some scammers

0:42

uh promoting some investment advisors

0:45

being very clever with investments.

0:47

Don't contact them. Whatever you do, if

0:49

you contact someone via WhatsApp through

0:51

the comments, you'll absolutely

0:53

certainly have an attempt to scam you or

0:55

cheat you or steal your money in some

0:57

way. Uh also, please be aware of the

1:00

many many videos I've seen on internet

1:02

showing my image with some crazy comment

1:04

about uh some price prediction which I

1:07

haven't made. Um people are using my

1:09

image uh and in one or two cases they're

1:12

also imitating my voice to make uh

1:15

predictions which I didn't make. Um, if

1:18

it's not on my channel, treat it with

1:20

suspicion.

1:22

Um, of course, some of these videos are

1:24

actually things I did actually did

1:26

actually get interviewed by third

1:28

parties, but uh there's a lot of scam uh

1:31

fake videos of me out there.

1:34

Um, so let's talk about the markets.

1:36

Now, we're on day 27 of Operation Epic

1:40

Fury. uh that uh uh war which was

1:44

supposed to be over in a few days and

1:45

supposedly has been over for many days

1:48

uh is still going on. Uh both sides

1:51

continue to attack each other in various

1:53

ways. Um what we are seeing is something

1:57

very interesting. The markets appear to

1:59

be manipulated. we see very large

2:02

movements in the prices of things like

2:03

oil or gold or uh the currencies

2:07

immediately before uh some announcement

2:10

comes out which kind of implies that

2:12

someone knows what's coming. Um so this

2:15

is not a a time to be um trading or

2:18

gambling if you like. Uh you know if

2:20

you're making long-term investments you

2:22

should be fine but again don't go all in

2:26

on anything. go in very very gradually

2:28

um over a number of days, weeks or even

2:31

months uh so you don't get caught by

2:33

these large price swings which we're

2:35

seeing uh just before news comes out. Um

2:38

so trade small. Now as far as the traits

2:42

of horm are concerned um they're almost

2:45

closed. I mean there's about 10% of the

2:47

traffic is getting through and mostly

2:49

it's um Chinese uh ships or ships

2:53

carrying oil to China or even Iranian

2:56

oil is getting through. Um but most

2:59

allied forces and western uh ships don't

3:02

quite dare to go through yet. Um we'll

3:05

see if that changes down the line. Um

3:08

but as far as negotiations are

3:09

concerned, the two sides are miles

3:11

apart. Um, America says they've got some

3:15

uh, you know, negotiations going very

3:17

well and Iran says we're not negotiating

3:19

at all. So, uh, there's clearly no

3:22

agreement. Whatever whatever's happening

3:24

and you can't really tell which side is

3:26

telling the truth here. Um, as far as

3:29

the continuation of the war is

3:30

concerned. We see that US troops are

3:32

being de deployed in the region. Um,

3:35

does that mean there's going to be an

3:36

invasion? Uh, well, Mr. Trump has said

3:39

there won't be, but uh why are they

3:42

putting the troops there, we'll see. Um

3:44

oil has been swinging around wildly in

3:47

the last few weeks. We've seen oil uh go

3:48

up from about $70 to $119 and then all

3:52

the way back to $80. Let's have a quick

3:54

look at that. Uh now we're looking at

3:56

that. So this is the West Texas

3:59

Intermediate Crude. You see here it was

4:01

trading uh before the war uh around $59,

4:05

$60, that sort of level. then it shot up

4:07

in the war um uh to in this case on WTI

4:12

to $98 uh and then it's trading at $93

4:16

at the moment. And if I look at um Brent

4:18

crude, which is here again, it was

4:21

trading around $60 $663 before, went all

4:24

the way up to $107.

4:26

Uh back again to $97 and is currently at

4:31

one just over just over $100 at $10087.

4:38

Um gold is, let's have a look at gold

4:40

and see how that's doing. It's uh and

4:43

silver have both had very very wild

4:46

swings. Uh so here's the gold price

4:49

currently $4,448.

4:53

Uh you can see uh gold there's a message

4:56

here. Gold declines as Trump threatens

4:58

Iran with military escalation. That's

5:01

news just came out at 1504.

5:06

So, gold was up at five 5,400

5:11

and then it collapsed down to 4,400

5:16

roughly. So, $1,000 down. That's uh 20%

5:20

down if you like. Uh and it's now just

5:23

above that level at $4,444.

5:26

So, gold is in a bare market. A bare

5:29

market means that it has fallen by more

5:31

than 20% since its peak.

5:35

We'll talk about why it's gone down as

5:37

well. Um obviously there's been a lot of

5:40

margin call selling and also um people

5:43

are selling their best performing asset

5:45

because we mustn't forget that gold did

5:47

have an absolutely amazing performance

5:49

last year. Um it was up I think uh 66%

5:54

in 2025. Um that's in 2025 and it's now

5:58

back more or less to the start of the

5:59

year start of the year level. Where did

6:01

it start the year? Let's have a look.

6:03

I'll just do a year to date here on

6:04

this. There we are. So year to date,

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it's slightly above the start of the

6:09

year, slightly above the start of 2026.

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So you know, gold had this 66% positive

6:15

return in 2025. Then it continued on

6:18

upwards, and now people are making

6:20

losses on other investments cuz stocks

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are falling, bonds are falling. Um, and

6:25

so they're selling a bit of their gold

6:26

to cover their losses, I think. Um,

6:29

having said that, it's still above where

6:31

it was at the start of the year. Um,

6:33

let's see if silver's doing the same

6:35

thing. Well, silver also since the start

6:37

of the year. There we are. That's Let's

6:39

just I'll just bring that up actually.

6:42

Um, auto fit.

6:45

Uh, so silver, that's one year. Let's go

6:48

to the start of this year. Slightly

6:50

below the start of the year. It started

6:51

around $72. It's now $68.90.

6:56

But it did have this rush up at the

6:58

start of the year all the way to the end

6:59

of January right up to about $117. Then

7:02

it fell very sharply down to about 67

7:05

and we're trading at 6868 $68.68 at the

7:09

moment. Um virtually at the bottom of

7:12

the range for this year. So yeah, it is

7:15

the bottom of the range as near makes no

7:17

difference.

7:18

Um, as far as stocks are concerned,

7:21

we've had quite a a fall in stocks too.

7:26

If we go to we'll go to look at the Dow

7:28

Jones now.

7:31

Right, I brought the Dow Jones up here.

7:34

Um, it says, just reading this headline

7:36

which has popped up, Wall Street slides

7:39

on M East

7:41

deescalation uncertainty. So obviously

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we've had some predictions that there's

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going to be some deescalation and now

7:48

there's uncertainty that that de those

7:49

predictions will ever come true. It's uh

7:52

bit all over the place isn't it? Um

7:55

anyway you can see the Dow Jones since

7:57

the start of the year is well down. It's

7:59

down about 10%. Start of the year very

8:02

roughly at 48 thou well it's 10% from

8:04

the peak. I guess it was above 50,000

8:06

50,198.

8:08

Now it's 46,411.

8:11

Um, let's just look at that as a

8:14

percentage just to see how much it's

8:16

down. There we are. It's uh

8:20

as a percentage, it's down 4% it says

8:23

since the start of the year. Uh, but if

8:27

I was to take that to the peak,

8:31

it's currently 7 and a half% down and at

8:35

the bottom was down about 9%. So, not

8:38

too bad at the moment. Um,

8:41

let's just we'll do look at year to date

8:43

there and we'll bring up the S&P 500

8:46

which is down 3.7% year year to date and

8:50

the uh let's get the NASDAQ that's down

8:54

five just a bit more than 5% this year.

9:00

One market which has been suffering

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