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AGI: Francois Chollet + Sam Altman

28m 58s5,624 単語882 segmentsEnglish

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0:00

What's it's going to mean to to be

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[music] human like 50 years from now?

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>> I think the world is finally taking

0:04

seriously, and we've been waiting for

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this for years, that social contract is

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going to have to evolve and maybe sooner

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than people thought.

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>> What are your predictions for when this

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breaks [music] 85%?

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>> Yeah, I think it really depends how much

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effort the frontier labs are putting

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into targeting Arc AGI 3 explicitly.

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With the new set of models that I think

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will come out, the impact that [music]

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the technology will have on accelerating

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science and accelerating the economy. We

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may be wrong, we may be over optimistic,

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but it feels like it's about to be

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absolutely massive. There are a lot of

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interesting projects, [music] and yet

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there's this one new thing that's really

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working.

0:37

Hi guys, I'm D, a partner at Menlo

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Ventures. I'm one of the early investors

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in India. And we are investors in

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Anthropic.

0:45

So

0:47

not to say that will

0:49

color the discussion at all.

0:52

Um

0:53

but yeah, let's get started. Um

0:56

The first thing I wanted to ask you guys

0:58

is, you know

0:59

both of you are parents,

1:02

not just

1:03

founders and CEOs of companies.

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And today when I go and talk to a lot of

1:08

parents

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they're quite concerned about their kids

1:11

and the future.

1:13

As as fathers

1:15

what do you think about the most when

1:17

raising your kids today? Is it any

1:19

different from before? What really

1:21

matters to you when it comes to raising

1:23

your kids?

1:25

Maybe we'll start with Francois.

1:27

Yeah, and it's in my mind a lot. It's in

1:29

my mind a lot. It's like clearly they're

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going to grow up in a world that's very

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different from the world in which I grew

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up in. It's expensive child. And yeah, I

1:35

think about it like the obviously their

1:37

their relationship to technology is

1:39

going to be completely different. You

1:40

know, they're they're they're going to

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grow up in this Star Trek world where

1:43

they can just, you know, talk to a

1:44

computer and and have the computer do

1:46

things. Uh while back in my day, you

1:48

know, we had we had to write code like

1:50

character by character.

1:52

Um yeah, and so actually I'm a I'm a bit

1:55

concerned as well because, you know, I'm

1:57

I'm wondering what's going to happen to

1:58

human human agency. And and and our

2:01

ability to you know think independently.

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Like are we are we just going to

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outsource our minds? Like, you know, our

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our thoughts, our cognition, and all our

2:10

abilities to the machine? What what are

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we going to retain? You know, what

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what's what's it going to mean to to be

2:14

human in like not in 10 years from now,

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but like 50 years from now? Like my son,

2:19

my daughter, they're they're they're

2:20

going to live to see the the 22nd

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century, right? That's that's that's

2:24

something I think about a lot.

2:27

What about you, Sam?

2:29

You know, actually

2:30

I think it'll be great. I I understand

2:33

that throughout history parents have

2:34

always freaked out about the rate of

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change, wondered how life is going to be

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for their kids.

2:39

I think it is awesome that our kids are

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going to grow up in this Star Trek world

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where you just ask a computer for

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anything. Uh

2:45

and it does it, and I think they will

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you know, look at us like I kind of

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looked at my parents with this

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like, "Oh man, you really had to do

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things before computers?"

2:55

Uh and my parents worried that I wasn't

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going to learn anything either cuz I was

2:58

just going to look everything up on

2:59

Google. It turns out I was able to have

3:01

a fulfilling career of a kind they

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hadn't

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they didn't have a model for. And

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I assume that

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our kids will have the same experience

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and they will do things um

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that absolutely astonish us.

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That they will look back on us with look

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back on our lives with some like

3:23

pity is maybe too strong of a word, but

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man, you all had it hard and bad and

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miserable. And this the quality of life

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will be so incredible. Um

3:32

I I know actually I think all those

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things.

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I think it's amazing that

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my kids will

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never

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be smarter than a computer, and they

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will never expect that a computer can't

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do these incredible things, and they

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will they will achieve and they will

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grow up expecting to achieve

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these amazing

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feats, and I think they'll have more

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agency and more will than any of us do,

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and they'll like they'll grow up

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expecting that. It won't be weird. Um

4:01

and they'll develop with that way in the

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same way that we developed with the

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computers and

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thought of all the things we could do

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that our parents didn't think of.

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Emotionally

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I'm like

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oof.

4:12

You know

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what's this really going to be like?

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Do you think just a quick follow-up on

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that? Do you think in that world, you

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know, when we grew up, intelligence

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probably mattered a lot. You know, our

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parents probably were like, "Be smart."

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You know, you guys went to some pretty

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good schools, you learned a lot. Do you

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think that still continues to matter in

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this world or not so much or maybe a

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different kind of intelligence? What are

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your thoughts?

4:34

So intelligence is really the ability to

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adapt, and the the more rapidly the

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world changes, the more important it is

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to be able to adapt to it. So

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personally, I trust my kids that, you

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know

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they will see a level of change uh

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technological change and social change

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that I haven't seen in my life, but I I

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trust them to adapt like kids kids are

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the most adaptable ones in the world.

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I'd love to like get a peek into your

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into your lives. Like what's something

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that's happened in the last week or two?

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Like a small anecdote you could share

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that just tell us about tell us about

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what goes on behind the scenes.

5:13

Sure. I mean I can yeah. [laughter]

5:15

So what one thing I've I've been doing

5:18

for the last few weeks with my son. So

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my son is a huge Minecraft fan. Like

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he's he's he's turning five soon, and so

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that's it's playing so much Minecraft

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and watching Minecraft videos on YouTube

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and so on. And what I've been doing is

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that I've been

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live coding effectively

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sort of like simple

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pretty future complete Minecraft clone.

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And in fact using Codex, so thank you

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Sam for that. Um

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and it's been it's been so fun. And

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basically so my son is telling me, you

5:45

know, what what what he wants to see in

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the game, what features he wants, and

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he's he's pretty creative about it. And

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then I tell Codex to do it. And I

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haven't I haven't written a single line

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of code. So it's it's it's it's been a

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very fun experience.

5:56

What about you, Sam?

5:57

Um

6:01

I I think one interesting

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like I'm very grateful to get to work on

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so many interesting things and

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built my kids can't build the Codex yet,

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but we can, you know, put blocks

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together and stuff. Um that's the most

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fun, but the most kind of intellectually

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stimulating thing is

6:18

I think the world is finally taking

6:20

seriously

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