How I Confirm Narrative With Drivers | GxT
TRANSCRIPTION COMPLÈTE
What's up, guys? So, in this video, I'm
going to be showing you guys how to
confirm narrative with drivers. This is
uh very important in my trading. Uh so,
let's go ahead and get into it. Now, I
have a bunch of slides created here.
It's going to be a long video for sure.
If you guys like these slides and like
the way this video is presented, I can
do the same thing in my future videos.
Just let me know what you what y'all
think. Um now, let's go ahead and start.
So the first thing is uh we must start
with the economic calendar right and
it's very important that you understand
uh you know the market that you're
trading and what's actually affects that
market. So if you're a forex trader
you're going to look within the currency
pair obviously a currency pair is just
two currencies right made up of two
currencies valued against each other.
So, for example, if you're trading
GBPUSD, you're only concerned with, you
know, GBP and USD folder news events.
Now, if you're going to trade G, you
know, GJ or something, GBP, JPY, you'd
be looking at GBP, JPY, redolder, right?
Um now one thing I will say um I don't
trade forex but I have noticed that USD
right the the large news events I feel
like they affect almost all the
currencies I feel like uh like I've even
seen it affect like GJ it's pretty weird
so you're going to have to do some
testing on your own there but I am
pretty well verssed in these three
markets especially indices so you know
with within the indices markets um I'm
referring to you know INQs Y as the
triad here, right? If I was trading, you
know, forex, I would be trading I would
be looking at DXY, EU, and GU, right?
These are three correlated markets in
the same asset class. So, here's the
same asset class, three correlated
markets in there. So, this is what I'm
referring to with an SMT, right? In
gold, I'm referring to gold, silver, uh,
euro or XAU euro as the three correlated
markets in this assay class. And then
this is for oil, right? So it's pretty
important to understand what you know
affects that asset class. So obviously
USD RIP folder affects indices and the
930 New York Stock Exchange open every
single day. Um now this 9:30 open is
only specific to indices only. I see a
lot of people use it on gold or oil or
even forex. It's absolutely irrelevant.
And another misconception misconception
is that 8:30 is some relevant time every
single day. It's not 8:30 is absolutely
irrelevant. Um if there is no 8:30 red
should folder news event. Okay. So you
don't need to be marking out 8:30 if
there is no 8:30 you know uh news
events. So u when you refer to gold the
only um thing you need to be concerned
with is USD red folder news events. And
for
energy, another misconception I see is
that, you know, people try to pair USD
folder news events with oil. It doesn't
affect oil. Um, oil has its own, you
know, um, economic calendar. It's the
energy calendar, and we're only
referring to red folder news events uh,
within that calendar. So, some pretty
simple stuff, but we need to understand
how to filter the economic calendar.
you're going to have, you know, these
orange, yellow, and white news events
that are absolutely irrelevant. So, the
first thing you're going to do is log on
to
forexfactor.com, right? You're this page
going to be pulled up um when you go to
calendars and you're going to click this
little you're going to toggle this
little uh green filter icon. When you
press that, this is going to pop up. And
now whatever asset you're trading, if
you're trading euro JPY, then you're
going to click Euro JPY and uncclick
everything else. Right? If you're
trading indices, the only thing you
should have checked is USD. And then for
any market that you're trading, uncclick
all of these, uncclick orange, yellow,
and white. It's absolutely irrelevant.
Apply the filter. And you should have
something like this, right? Where it's
going to show all the news events laid
out for the week. And this is going to
be your road map, right? Um now a
caution protocol is you never really
want to be entering uh you know before
NFP CPY or FOMC press conference. Now
this is before you know the driver
within the same day. I don't have a a
caution protocol for entering um you
know before you know the day uh the news
release day. So like let's say NFP is on
a Friday always. Uh I I will still trade
Thursday for example but I won't trade
it prior to NFP within the same day.
Okay. Um, now it's very specific when I
do. Um, and it requires specific
framework which you're going to see a
little bit of that here. Um, so let's
move on. So now how to apply the energy
calendar because a lot of people don't
know this. So same thing Forex factory.
Um, but you're going to click the energy
calendar here and you're going to do the
same thing. You're going to toggle this
uh filter icon and uncclick every uh
checked box and apply the filter and
grab something like this. So there's
your energy road
map. Now one thing that we must go over
briefly um is some framework because you
need to have a a decent understanding of
framework um to actually anticipate or
apply you know drivers to framework.
Right? So some pretty basic things. What
do we trade away from is some sort of
manipulation. and we trade towards
failure swings, right? Or we trade away
from these uh dis manipulation, right?
And trade towards these failure swings
or any, you know, objective,
right? So mapping out relevant swings,
this is pretty important. So relevant
swings are just spaced out highs and
lows, right? So this low is not a
relevant swing because it's not spaced
out, right? So this becomes a failure
swing, right? Failure swing is just
close proximity highs and lows. So see
all these highs are in close proximity
right those are failure swings right
like low resistance liquidity see the
space between this relevant swing and
this relevant swing that's what creates
right uh important highs and lows in a
sense right so when we engage with these
levels this is where we want to see you
know that phase of price a
reversal so right when we engage with a
relevant swing when we manipulate it
this is what creates a protected swing
right when we manipulate a failure swing
we're not referring to that has some
sort of relevant level because if you
manipulate a failure swing, then there's
still a reason to return back to this
area, right? Because this is still a
fair swing to this low, right? So this
when you have a failure swing like this,
you want to manipulate all relevant uh
lows within that area. So there is no
reason to return back to this low,
right? Because if you manipulate
everything within the area, there's no
reason to return. And this is where
price will actually expand away.
Now another thing we can combine a
manipulation with is with SMT. So when
you you know manipulate a relevant low
and we see an SMT there, this is the
ideal scenario, right? We don't care
about SMT with failure swings. Even if
there's an SMT here, I don't care,
right? Doesn't matter. We use SMT at
relevant swings, right? And this is
would also create a protective swing on
both assets, right? You have to view
this as a manipulation over here. Uh
because this is showing relative
strength, right? where the correlated
asset did take this low
up. Now when we engage with this these
relevant swings, we need to understand
you know signatures of price. We need to
understand what a reversal signature
looks like right because if you fail to
manipulate a relevant swing and we
continue right or we just failed to
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