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Here are 10 stocks you need to know about before the bear market starts.

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Hello dear friends. My name is Clive

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Thompson.

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In this video, I want to share with you

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something that most investment channels

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won't tell you directly.

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Not every bare market is a disaster for

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every investor.

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It's true that some companies just don't

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survive bare markets, but there are some

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which literally thrive in them. I'll be

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naming 10 companies that I think can do

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just that if we have a bare market. And

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in those 10 companies, there's one

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special category of stock loved by gold

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and silver enthusiasts

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that can move in the opposite direction

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of the market as a whole. And I'll

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reveal that to you later in the video.

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But first, a risk warning.

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Nothing in this video is investment

0:52

advice. I am not an investment adviser.

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I'm not an investment specialist.

0:59

When I mention specific stocks, I may or

1:02

may not already own them, but I haven't

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dealt in any of them in the last 3

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months, and I have no intention of

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dealing in any of them in the

1:09

foreseeable future.

1:11

Markets can and do often fall much

1:14

further than people expect. You might

1:17

not get back the amount you invested.

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Please do your own research and consult

1:21

a qualified financial adviser before

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making any decisions.

1:25

That's the financial advice or warning,

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should we say, risk warning. But let's

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just talk about what I do when I'm

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buying or selling. Um, I never do

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anything in one go. If I'm thinking of

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buying a position or selling a position,

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I do onethird of it. So, if I'm going to

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buy a certain position, I take one/ird

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of what I'm going to invest and invest

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that third. And then I wait and see how

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I feel. I wait and see what the market

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does. I wait and see if I made the right

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decision. And it doesn't really matter

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if I invest the next 1/3 at a higher or

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lower price than previously. And the

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last 1/3, same thing applies. What I do

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know is that by investing over a period

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of time in tanches, I'm not going to be

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ending up paying the the biggest fool's

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price. I'll be paying an average price

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if I'm buying or if I'm selling, I'll be

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selling at an average price over a

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certain period. That's much more

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satisfactory than selling everything and

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then seeing the price shoot upwards or

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buying something and seeing it collapse

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immediately after you buy it.

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So do things in stages, whatever you

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decide to do.

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Now let's talk about bare markets. And

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first of all, I do not know whether a

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bare market is coming or not. I see some

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clouds on the horizon which makes me

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think that it's more likely than not. Uh

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but it's not overwhelmingly like likely

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at this point. Um but there is some

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nervousness and a lot of people think

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it's coming. So if you believe it's

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coming, here's what you can do.

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Um first of all, let me define a bare

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market. A bare market is a stock market

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index which goes down 20% or more from

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its recent peak. Anything less than 20%

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is called just a correction.

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Most bare markets are short. They last

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sometimes months, sometimes weeks, and

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sometimes just days.

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However, there have been some years

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where a bare market has lasted years.

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For example, the dotcom bubble which

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burst in March 2000. Uh the bare market

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lasted all the way through to 2003.

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Japan's stock market topped out in 1989

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and it took another 30 years before it

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hit that high again.

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Bare markets are more of a feature of

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stock markets. So, it's not a question

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of if we will have one. It's more a

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question of when and that's what we

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don't know. But you got to be prepared

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for one coming because sooner or later

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we will get a bare market. It's

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literally a deadert.

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Now, let's assume that you believe you

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can see the bare market coming. And

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there's a lot of people who think that's

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true, and they might well be right. I'm

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not uh saying that anyone's wrong here.

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So, let's assume that the bare market is

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really coming. What should you do? Well,

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the first thing I would like to say to

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you is it would be a wrong decision to

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sell everything because some companies

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behave much worse than others in the

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bare market and the ones you want to be

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keeping are the ones which are likely to

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go down the least the least volatile

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stocks.

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But there will be stocks which will fall

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significantly and potentially some which

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might go out of business if we have a

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bare market.

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Now Warren Buffett once famously put it.

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He said it like this. He said, "You only

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find out who's been swimming naked when

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the tide goes out."

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Well, the stock market's a bit like

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that.

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You only find out which stocks you

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should never have owned after the stocks

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have gone down.

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Often the ones which go down first and

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furthest are the most exciting names

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which led the bull run upwards. These

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are concept stocks where people are

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betting on a future that's not yet

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proven to have arrived. Now, it might

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arrive or it might not for those stocks

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in question, but because they don't have

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any current earnings or not enough

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current earnings, they can fall the most

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heavily. So, the first type of stock to

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avoid during a bare market, and what

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does that mean? When I say avoid, it

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means uh don't buy it. And if you

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already own it, uh you could probably

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think about selling it to raise some

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cash for the ideas I'm going to give you

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shortly.

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So the first thing uh to get rid of are

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the unprofitable growth stocks. These

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are the stocks which have been flying to

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the sky on a concept on a whim uh on an

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idea of a narrative some something

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that's going to happen in the future. Um

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these kind of stocks could drop 60 70 80

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even 90% in a bare market and of course

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some might never recover.

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The next type of stock that you want to

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avoid before a bare market or during a

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bare market are the heavily indebted

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companies. These are companies which

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have high levels of debt. If we go into

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a bare market, everybody will be drawing

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in their horns including the banks. they

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will be more reluctant to lend and

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they'll be even more reluctant to lend

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to the people or the the firms which

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have the biggest levels of debt relative

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to their assets or their equity.

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That means that those companies might be

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faced with paying higher margins, higher

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interest rates and face more ownorous

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conditions like uh stronger um covenants

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or more collateral. None of that is good

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for the companies concerned and I

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wouldn't own those companies.

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Another type of company to avoid are the

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speculative junior precious metal

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miners.

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Now I'm not trashing speculative or

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junior precious metal miners in general.

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Uh I'm talking about the ones which have

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the least cash runway. Now there are

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some companies which have got a lot of

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gold in the ground. um but they have

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also have a lot of cash so they can keep

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going for years and years. I'm not

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really concerned about those or I'm less

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concerned. The ones you really need to

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be concerned about are the ones which

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have got let's say less than a year's

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runway of cash and you can find that out

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very simply by going to simply Wall

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Street and you'll you'll find it in the

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risks if that's the case.

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So those sort of companies, the problem

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with them is that whilst when times have

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been good, they've been able to raise

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capital to keep paying the bills, but

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when we're in a bare market, people re

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in the horns and are not so willing to

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invest. So when they go to raise

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capital, they'll find it much harder to

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get any. And that does mean if they

7:53

don't get it, they can't pay the bills,

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