A.I. Just Went Parabolic... on Stock Talk Live !

If you're watching the replay, you can

fast forward a little bit. We're waiting

for the live studio audience to come in.

That'll take a couple minutes.

For those of you who don't know, I am

Money Mark. I am a 30-year veteran of

Wall Street, not one of those 10,000

clowns you see out on the internet. The

real deal. I retired in 2008. And now

because of those 10,000 clowns, I come

here every week, not every week, but 2

hours roughly every week to share the

real. What stocks are really about, what

Wall Street's really about, what BS

you're subjected to by CNBC, the

colleges, by Jim Kramer. No offense,

Jim, but you do offer some BS. That's my

opinion. Don't sue me. And uh we're

going to talk about a lot of that as

well as AI stocks. The real way to make

great money in this environment, not

competing against the hundreds, the

thousands of Harvard and Wharton MBAs

sitting in 30story buildings in New York

City in three-piece suits, but how to

compete against people that you actually

stand a chance to beating.

That's what we're here to talk about

every single week. So, we're just

waiting for the audience to come in of

Harvard and I got audio, I got video, we

got people coming in, so it's good to

go.

Um, I ain't even caring about sharing

the live. In fact, this week, don't

bother sharing the live, right? The

people who come here week after week

after week, y'all just kick back, right?

And enjoy. This is going to be me and

you. By the way, we are broadcasting

live from the Prime Micro Cap

Conference. That's Mar Sweden at Geo

Investing, who I've talked about before.

We're here in Fort Lauderdale, Los

Solis. Um, in the background, you might

hear it, you might not, but there are

companies presenting as we speak,

getting more ideas to potentially bring

to you. Maybe the next new pick is right

outside that door. A big chunk of my

team is out there, so I'm not missing

anything. But anyways, let's get

started. You know what it is. It's

Friday. It's Money Mark. It's Doc Talk

Live. I'm decked out today. Um, not

comfortable. I'd rather have my baseball

cap and a, you know, t-shirt, but it is

what it is. It's cool. You get to see

how professional money looks like. Um,

let's get right into it. First of all,

the disclaimers are on the screen. And

if you are watching the show, you

acknowledge that you have either read or

had somebody read these to you. If

you're listening to the show, you

acknowledge that you are going to read

these before you take anything I say

beyond that. I am not a registered

financial adviser. Let's be very clear

about that. Okay? So, read these and uh

we'll get on with the show. So, boom,

it's there. You can fast uh rewind that

at some point if you need to, if you

need more time to read that. Boom. Let's

click out of that. Let's get right into

it.

Hell of a market we're in. Fear greed

index, right? We're gonna start with the

macro before we get into the AI stocks

and the news of the week. As always,

this is only going to take a couple

minutes, folks, because it's ugly, but

everybody knows it's ugly. CNBC is doing

a pretty good job of reporting on this.

Um, and you see we have now gotten into

extreme read,

right? Why should anybody be surprised?

The market's only been tanking. Um,

yellow alert. Yellow alert.

It's not like y'all didn't get warned.

It's not like your notebook and your pen

don't tell you what to do in a yellow

alert. For those of you who've been

lazy, you're probably getting your ass

handed to you. For those of you who

follow the notebook rules, not so much.

I am not far off of my all-time highs as

we speak. Okay, as of yesterday morning

at 9:29 a.m. before the market opened, I

was at an all-time high following my

rules. Okay. Um but extreme fear, if

you've had your notebook open, you know

that that's not enough. That's not

enough. Yeah, it's promising, right?

Because when everybody is fearful that

you should be greedy, the Warren Buffett

rule, very simple rule. But as I say

always, I like to see fear get down

under 10 before I really want to take

action on it. People aren't scared

enough yet for me to take action and

say, I'm going to move allin to the

market. Okay, people aren't it's just

just not scared enough yet. But let's

couple that. Let's go to the charts a

little bit. And what you're going to see

here is [snorts]

um 200 day moving average. Let's zoom

in.

There we go. Okay, there you have the

yellow alert triggered on the Russell

2000.

I mean, really within a hair's breath.

This must have this might have been

pennies away from this red line. And

since then, boom. What's the box over my

head say? 1.7 months negative 9.8%

return on investment. So if you shorted

the Russell

either by shorting IWM or buying RWM,

let's zoom in. We'll see. We'll zoom in

even further and show you what happens

here. You see that move on IWM? What

happens if you've bought RWM?

You've been making great money. And this

is the hedge. This is the hedge I talk

about. in your notebooks. I'm not going

to explain it. That you put in place to

protect your long positions because I

don't want to sell my longs. I love my

longs. Right when yellow alert hit

though, two types of longs are supposed

to go out the window. Speculative names

and wait time names. And if you did

that, you're doing well. We're going to

talk about one or two of those coming up

later in the show. But suffice to say,

you could see what has happened since

the triggering of the yellow alert here

for IWM, the Russell 2000. And the

picture is similar. If we look at the

S&P 500

also, it's actually performed better.

You see it got above the red line, but

now is gravitational pull of valuation.

This is what's happening. Valuation

matters. Okay, it's a slowmoving train,

but it is a train nonetheless. And

Warren Buffett says that shortterm the

stock market is based on what people

believe and long-term it's based on what

things are worth. Okay? And we're seeing

that now. S&P coming down to the 200 day

moving average also. [gasps] The NASDAQ

coming down to the 200 moving day also

down off of the yellow alert levels.

Nvidia down off the yellow alert levels,

right?

>> [snorts]

>> So, the yellow alert has served us well,

but now we've got fear in extreme

territory. Not down to the 10 or lower

that I like. But it's extreme fear

nonetheless. Coupled with a 200 day

moving average hit. Maybe we see some

support here. Maybe we see a bounce next

week. Maybe, maybe, maybe. I'm not here

to give you trading advice. That's how I

following the rules. We're still in a

yellow alert. That's all that needs to

be said. All right, let's keep moving.

2-year yield spiking. And despite my

hopes last week that I discussed that

maybe the new incoming Fed chair would

be willing to lower interest rates in an

environment where oil is going up not

because of demand but because of a

conflict. [snorts]

I listened to a few experts on this and

they expressed skepticism around that

thinking that the bond market would

revolt against that attempt. And we're

already kind of seeing that here because

the two-year yield is usually the

gravitational pull on the Fed. So if you

see the two-year yield spiking like

this, this kind of tells you that the

Fed would be less likely to raise to

lower rates in this situation, more

likely to raise. So that's a little