Thursday Financial news
VOLLSTÄNDIGE ABSCHRIFT
Hello dear friends. My name is Clive
Thompson. Today is Thursday, March 26th,
2026. We're going to do a quick rundown
of the markets and where precious metals
are going and where the stocks are going
today. Um, first of all, it's uh after
300 p.m. The US stock markets are open
already. 3 p.m. in Europe, I mean. Um,
so everything I say today is not
investment advice. Um, please beware of
any scammers imitating me in the
comments. Uh, they might be using my
photograph and my name or something very
similar to my name, not exactly my name,
and inviting you to contact them by
WhatsApp. Or you might see some scammers
uh promoting some investment advisors
being very clever with investments.
Don't contact them. Whatever you do, if
you contact someone via WhatsApp through
the comments, you'll absolutely
certainly have an attempt to scam you or
cheat you or steal your money in some
way. Uh also, please be aware of the
many many videos I've seen on internet
showing my image with some crazy comment
about uh some price prediction which I
haven't made. Um people are using my
image uh and in one or two cases they're
also imitating my voice to make uh
predictions which I didn't make. Um, if
it's not on my channel, treat it with
suspicion.
Um, of course, some of these videos are
actually things I did actually did
actually get interviewed by third
parties, but uh there's a lot of scam uh
fake videos of me out there.
Um, so let's talk about the markets.
Now, we're on day 27 of Operation Epic
Fury. uh that uh uh war which was
supposed to be over in a few days and
supposedly has been over for many days
uh is still going on. Uh both sides
continue to attack each other in various
ways. Um what we are seeing is something
very interesting. The markets appear to
be manipulated. we see very large
movements in the prices of things like
oil or gold or uh the currencies
immediately before uh some announcement
comes out which kind of implies that
someone knows what's coming. Um so this
is not a a time to be um trading or
gambling if you like. Uh you know if
you're making long-term investments you
should be fine but again don't go all in
on anything. go in very very gradually
um over a number of days, weeks or even
months uh so you don't get caught by
these large price swings which we're
seeing uh just before news comes out. Um
so trade small. Now as far as the traits
of horm are concerned um they're almost
closed. I mean there's about 10% of the
traffic is getting through and mostly
it's um Chinese uh ships or ships
carrying oil to China or even Iranian
oil is getting through. Um but most
allied forces and western uh ships don't
quite dare to go through yet. Um we'll
see if that changes down the line. Um
but as far as negotiations are
concerned, the two sides are miles
apart. Um, America says they've got some
uh, you know, negotiations going very
well and Iran says we're not negotiating
at all. So, uh, there's clearly no
agreement. Whatever whatever's happening
and you can't really tell which side is
telling the truth here. Um, as far as
the continuation of the war is
concerned. We see that US troops are
being de deployed in the region. Um,
does that mean there's going to be an
invasion? Uh, well, Mr. Trump has said
there won't be, but uh why are they
putting the troops there, we'll see. Um
oil has been swinging around wildly in
the last few weeks. We've seen oil uh go
up from about $70 to $119 and then all
the way back to $80. Let's have a quick
look at that. Uh now we're looking at
that. So this is the West Texas
Intermediate Crude. You see here it was
trading uh before the war uh around $59,
$60, that sort of level. then it shot up
in the war um uh to in this case on WTI
to $98 uh and then it's trading at $93
at the moment. And if I look at um Brent
crude, which is here again, it was
trading around $60 $663 before, went all
the way up to $107.
Uh back again to $97 and is currently at
one just over just over $100 at $10087.
Um gold is, let's have a look at gold
and see how that's doing. It's uh and
silver have both had very very wild
swings. Uh so here's the gold price
currently $4,448.
Uh you can see uh gold there's a message
here. Gold declines as Trump threatens
Iran with military escalation. That's
news just came out at 1504.
So, gold was up at five 5,400
and then it collapsed down to 4,400
roughly. So, $1,000 down. That's uh 20%
down if you like. Uh and it's now just
above that level at $4,444.
So, gold is in a bare market. A bare
market means that it has fallen by more
than 20% since its peak.
We'll talk about why it's gone down as
well. Um obviously there's been a lot of
margin call selling and also um people
are selling their best performing asset
because we mustn't forget that gold did
have an absolutely amazing performance
last year. Um it was up I think uh 66%
in 2025. Um that's in 2025 and it's now
back more or less to the start of the
year start of the year level. Where did
it start the year? Let's have a look.
I'll just do a year to date here on
this. There we are. So year to date,
it's slightly above the start of the
year, slightly above the start of 2026.
So you know, gold had this 66% positive
return in 2025. Then it continued on
upwards, and now people are making
losses on other investments cuz stocks
are falling, bonds are falling. Um, and
so they're selling a bit of their gold
to cover their losses, I think. Um,
having said that, it's still above where
it was at the start of the year. Um,
let's see if silver's doing the same
thing. Well, silver also since the start
of the year. There we are. That's Let's
just I'll just bring that up actually.
Um, auto fit.
Uh, so silver, that's one year. Let's go
to the start of this year. Slightly
below the start of the year. It started
around $72. It's now $68.90.
But it did have this rush up at the
start of the year all the way to the end
of January right up to about $117. Then
it fell very sharply down to about 67
and we're trading at 6868 $68.68 at the
moment. Um virtually at the bottom of
the range for this year. So yeah, it is
the bottom of the range as near makes no
difference.
Um, as far as stocks are concerned,
we've had quite a a fall in stocks too.
If we go to we'll go to look at the Dow
Jones now.
Right, I brought the Dow Jones up here.
Um, it says, just reading this headline
which has popped up, Wall Street slides
on M East
deescalation uncertainty. So obviously
we've had some predictions that there's
going to be some deescalation and now
there's uncertainty that that de those
predictions will ever come true. It's uh
bit all over the place isn't it? Um
anyway you can see the Dow Jones since
the start of the year is well down. It's
down about 10%. Start of the year very
roughly at 48 thou well it's 10% from
the peak. I guess it was above 50,000
50,198.
Now it's 46,411.
Um, let's just look at that as a
percentage just to see how much it's
down. There we are. It's uh
as a percentage, it's down 4% it says
since the start of the year. Uh, but if
I was to take that to the peak,
it's currently 7 and a half% down and at
the bottom was down about 9%. So, not
too bad at the moment. Um,
let's just we'll do look at year to date
there and we'll bring up the S&P 500
which is down 3.7% year year to date and
the uh let's get the NASDAQ that's down
five just a bit more than 5% this year.
One market which has been suffering
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