WATT THE F***... on Stock Talk Live !
VOLLSTÄNDIGE ABSCHRIFT
We're getting started here.
Getting the invites out.
Didn't get a notification of that, but
that's okay. We'll do that next week.
Come on in. Come on in. If you are just
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forward a couple minutes. We're going to
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I am a 30-year veteran of Wall Street,
retired since 2008 because I made
millions
selling my stock picks to people that
you know like Jim Kramer, um
George Soros, and if you watch the movie
Dumb Money, if you haven't watched it,
great movie. Um Stevie Cohen. So, we
just got
>> There we go. We got the verification of
audio and video. That's great. Um,
let's see.
Making a note for myself here. We got a
huge show. We're waiting for people to
come in. So, send the invite. Share the
invite out. I see how many people are
here right now. It's usually a little
bit more at this point. All right. So,
get that invite out there or I'll just
go and have some fun, right? I live in
Miami Beach. I could be at the beach
right now. I'm here for you. Why?
Because my mentor was here for me. I was
living in a basement. Not a basement
apartment. in a basement. I now live in
a penthouse. How did that happen? How
did a loser go to being a
multi-millionaire making seven figures a
year? Well, that's what we're here to
talk about. You know, I'm here to share
my wisdom as far as that goes. Um what
my mentor taught me to make me who I am
today. I'm helping y'all be who you will
be in the future. And all I ask is that
you share the wealth by letting people
know that I'm here. So, go do that. I'm
setting everything up. I'm going to put
on the disclaimers while we're waiting
for you all to do that and I decide if
I'm going to have a show today or not.
Um, the disclaimers are on the screen.
So, if you go any further than this, you
acknowledge that you have read or had
somebody read this to you and that you
understand what it means. Okay? So, uh,
that's my CYA, right? Cuz I'm doing this
out of the goodness of my heart. I make
no revenue off of anything in my life
since 2015. I swore off revenue. If I
mow your lawn, I'm going to do it for
free out of the goodness of my heart.
So, there are no sponsorships, no
advertisements, no subscriptions, none
of that stuff, right? If you see an
advertisement on the replay, it's not me
making money off that. That's Google
throwing that in front of you. Okay? Um
has nothing to do with me. I don't take
revenue for anything. Um so, and that's
worked out great. By the way, if if you
don't believe in karma, man, I mean, I
don't believe in things like that
generally, but I got to tell you, my
life since I stopped taking revenue in
my life has been a blessing. I have a
beautiful wife, a beautiful child. My
revenue is actually my my money has
actually increased cuz all I have is my
portfolio, right? I run my own money and
only a portion of it do I run. The rest
of it's run by a financial adviser
because I'm retired. I don't want to
spend 70 hours a week, never mind 100
hours a week like I did when uh I was in
business giving research to firms owned
by Jim Kramer, George Soros, and Stevie
Cohen. All right. Um there the numbers.
The numbers are a little better now. All
right. Big AI show today, right? Big AI
show. As always, you know, it's Money
Mark. I've been covering AI and
technology for Wall Street since the
'9s. 1994 to be precise. So, we're here.
It's Friday. It's Money Mark. It's Stock
Talk Live. Get ready for a big show. We
got the disclaimers. Let's get rid of
those. We're going to go right to the
fear greed index.
Oo,
we're at that magic. We're right on the
cusp of that magic number. And we
actually did hit it. My magic numbers on
the fear greed index are 75 on the greed
side, extreme greed, right?
But not 25 on the extreme fear. Why,
Mark? Why wouldn't you pick 25? Because
fear is stronger than greed in the stock
market, as it turns out. Because as you
can see on this chart, once the greed
gets close to 75, the market seems to
peter out. But once the fear gets down
to 25,
sometimes it just seems to accelerate to
the downside. And as you can see, the
last two times we bottomed out was in
the single digits. Six here, three here.
We got down to 10. I think it says 11,
but I saw a 10 earlier in the week.
Right? So that tells you that the fear
is finally getting to a point that maybe
it gets constructive for the market,
right? And we've see a lot of stocks
pointing in that direction and we're
going to talk about them today,
particularly technology, AI. So, let's
continue the quick macro discussion
before we move on. Um, wow,
the 2-year yield broke out of its trend
and is now close to 4%. As you may or
may not know, the 2-year yield often um
preempts the Fed. All right. So, the
two-year yield is telling us that the
path of least resistance for the Fed is
to actually raise interest rates, not
lower them. We shall see, but that
wouldn't be necessarily a good thing in
this market. Uh especially given and and
from my perspective, um I wouldn't like
that move because we see weakening and
we'll show you here a little weakening
in the estimates, right? The Fed GDP now
numbers have come down. They were at one
point up in the four or five range for
Q1. They're down to two. They've kind of
coalesed around the blue chip consensus.
That's just over 2%. Right. And the blue
chip consensus has risen of late, but
just in the last week or so, trimming
down a little bit, trending down a
little bit on the Atlanta Fed. So if the
economy is slowing down but inflation
goes up because of oil prices being in a
temporary high level due to the Iran
situation. Well once the Iran situation
is resolved
and trust me that doesn't end the oil
issues right things have to get running
again but at some point oil prices
should come back down. We were running
at I think 2 million barrels a day of
surplus more than the world needed. And
if the economy slows down, then that
surplus increases all else being equal.
So I see oil prices coming down as long
as this situation doesn't last too much
longer. And Trump has heavy incentive to
end this sooner than later because this
I mean we got the midterm elections
coming up. All right. So why did you
choose to do this now instead of waiting
until after the midyear election midterm
elections and making sure that all his
Republican
supporters
get reelected?
He's got to he's got to end this, right?
You just got to think about this from a
purely selfish perspective. Now, the
Iranians might have other things in
mind, but from a purely political
perspective, there is heavy incentive on
the part of the Republicans to get this
done and over with so we could put it
behind us and they can get to the job at
hand of trying to get reelected. Whether
you're a Republican or a Democrat, you
can understand the selfish nature of
right how they want to make themselves
positioned for reelection and therefore
you don't want this mess on your hands
several months from now. All right. So,
that's the that's the what I've been
operating off of. I came and told you
that before the Trump tweet and I told
you one day you might wake up to a Trump
tweet and the market will be gapped up,
right? And that's exactly what happened.
Now, it's given that back because the
market's like, I don't know if I believe
you, but that remains Trump's incentive
as far as a point of logic and we'll see
how it turns out. I'm not here to make a
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