GxT | Trade Recap | NFP Bangers
VOLLSTÄNDIGE ABSCHRIFT
What's up everybody? Today I'm going to
be covering my trade that I took on
Friday. I took one trade on INQ, one on
oil and then one on gold. So let's first
start with the indices triad. So in the
middle here we have NQ on the left we
have ES and the right we have YM. So the
first thing we look for when we come
into the trading week, what did the
previous week do? So we see that's it
expanded into this high on YM where
these assets are just closing above the
previous week's high, right? Just an
expansion candle, but it's pretty
significant what YM did here. And we
know that this is a potential reversal
sequence where the lagging asset uh when
it trades into the high
that the leading assets hit a long time
ago, right? As you see, they hit this a
long time ago. when it catches up. This
is a potential reversal point or
reversal sequence. This is what I teach.
Right? So that's exactly what you see
here. I'll show you what that would look
like. Right? So we have an SMT put in.
Pretend this is ENQ in our example. This
is YM. So if I go back here, we clearly
have some sort of SMT here obviously,
right? When that gets broken.
Whoops.
So here would be YM previous week
trading into the high. This is when we
could potentially reverse, right? So in
that scenario, when would we reverse?
Especially on the weakest asset, we
would reverse off of the previous week's
high, right? Because if the previous
week didn't reverse, well, the previous
week's high becomes the reversal point
unless we're going to, you know, develop
something to reverse from within the
weekly range. Because at this point,
there's nothing to the left to reverse
from. The only thing to reverse from is
the previous week's high. Like I said,
unless we do something like this or
maybe we create Monday's high or
Tuesday's high reversal that or
something like that, right? So that's
the only thing we can have to look
forward to if we're going to be bullish.
Well, something within this range would
have to support price higher, right?
Those are are two scenarios. But with
how the weekly range develops, so you're
going to see that all assets kind of
open low first, right, into this fair
value gap, right? So if you're going to
be bullish, I mean, this fair value gap
right here pretty much has to hold,
right? But something is very telling,
right, which with what happens here. So
you're going to see that this middle
asset being in Q, the strongest asset,
is more like seek and destroy, right?
It's taking out daily lows, taking out
highs, right? It's just seek and destroy
really as we see,
which is not a really strong signature
in really either direction, but we're
seeing the middle asset, which is going
to tell us a lot, right? Because this is
asset opens low first into a gap. We
have this reversal candle, right? But if
you look at this day here, what did the
what is this asset doing on YM? Over
here
we have a failure to manipulate this low
on a Tuesday and you're seeing that
while this has expanding lower in
expanding higher right so at this point
what I see with the weekly range
development is very telling because if I
just bar play here let's go to that
4hour chart just to show you the weekly
range here
look at what we're already doing on the
middle assets said here we're already
expanding away from that weekly open,
right? Already pointing towards a
potential bearish, you know, profile.
And when I look here
with this SMT being created, so let's
play price a little bit forward because
this asset trades in this high.
Actually, this is important actually to
look here. So this is the previous day.
Basically, what do we notice?
We see that INQ
is creating SMT here
where ES is uh obviously creating SMT
but we're more so reversing while this S
on a YM is not reversing you know really
at all right it's it's barely sweeping
up these lows that we're seeing over
here but what do we see here this asset
is in a deep premium above a high while
this asset
is in deep discount so this is market
decoupling right so these assets that
are expanding in opposite direction.
What is the signature for
recynchronizations? So for market to
become correlated again, it's going to
be a manipulation, right? So this
manipulation is what we would want to
see for price to continue lower, right?
Because what this is really like seeking
destroy on this asset, which is not a
really bearish or bullish signature uh
that we really it's really not really
showcasing much to us, right? It's not
really, we can't really be like
one-sided bullish on ENQ. There's
nothing to really expand towards. We're
all highs, but over here, I mean, we
have all these lows, right? Um, and
obviously on YM or ES is kind of like
the middle asset here. When I go to to
this uh to this asset over here, this
weekly candle, I mean, look at this,
right? Look at the opposing run from the
weekly open. So, ES and YM has really
expanded away from the opening price.
When I look at, you know, this asset
over here,
where is it at? Um,
yeah, here it is. You know, this wick
size isn't like huge. You know, this can
definitely still support some move
lower. So, with the weekly, you know,
candle profile really, if we reverse
here, this can make a lot of sense,
right? And what would this be, right?
This is really telling because what we
see here is obviously this asset fails
to manipulate high. So that means that
one of these assets should catch up. And
obviously we can tell that the middle
asset should catch up. When the middle
asset catches up, what is this sequence,
guys? What I just showed you,
it's when, right? This would be NQ
failing to reverse. Here's ES and YM.
Here's ES catching up to break the SMT.
When it breaks SMT, we can potentially
reverse, right? But it's even better
when you're viewing this through a
triad. where this would be ES breaking
the SMT. Here's why I'm not even trading
to the high and it's actually really far
away. So again, a manipulation is the
trigger for asset synchronization. And
when you have the actual daily profile
confirming or supporting a move lower.
So notice how it's opening high first,
right? That is how bearish candles form,
right? They open high first. um it can
really you know obviously signify that
reversal right or really confirm that
reversal and here is your strength
switch you got to pay attention here so
we know that INQ is the strongest
now what do you notice about this
closure is the weakest in the triad this
2 a.m. GXT 4hour reversal
right so we have a London reversal right
look at this it's bullish over here so
that is a strength switch then what
should the next candles do they should
expand right so as you see the expand
and that's why I shorted YM this uh on
Thursday which if you guys want to recap
on that I suppose I could do but we're
talking about Friday's trade so that's
why I shorted YM right into this low
down
And yeah, so it was just simply a 10m
continuation. If I go to the one hour
chart, I'll show you real quick. What do
we have here?
Two stage SMT, right?
One day we will go over
what this candle is here.
But I simply have a 10 a.m. reversal
off of the 9 a.m. candle. Look at that
space, that S&P that we talk about,
right? But we're not talking about that
today.
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