Bitcoin in April Changed EVERYTHING… The Truth Will Shock You ⚡️📈💥

Hello everybody. It's Monday. Monday is

the day we talk Bitcoin and Micro

Strategy exclusively because things are

happening and they are interesting. And

this one's called shifting sands. And

the reason for that is I am struggling

to find bearish signals.

A lot of things both onchain and

otherwise are looking very positive.

We're going to break it all down today

as well. So, and if you look back just

at the last six months, ever since the

downturn,

you could argue that, you know, since

the high in October, we roll through 3

months to the end of the year and then

another 90 days to the beginning of the

year. Technically, we've been going up

since the beginning of the year. So if

this is true, you could technically also

argue that the bare market drop happened

record time like 90 days and since then

it's been a slow recovery. So let's have

a look at some charts and figure out

what's going on. I think I'm going to

sneeze. Whoa. I've never sneezed live on

stream before in five and a half years.

Weird. [snorts] It' be funny if I do it

today. I never never sneeze. This is not

financial advice. Sorry about that

digression. And shout out to Patreon.

I'm so happy I got into Patreon two

months ago.

already made enough to pay my Patreon

subscription for was that 20 years.

Awesome. We had some fun trades and

yeah, 2026 I do want to stress it was a

struggle to find alpha, but we were

lucky and got lots of great trades in.

But remember, we're going into

summertime, too, so things are a little

overheated now. So, don't get too

trigger happy. Slow down. Start building

up cash reserves. start hedging again

and then we'll see what comes next. But

there could be a big rotation out of AI

back into crypto. We'll see if that is

on the cards too. Anyway, thank you so

much McKenna Moss for being here. Now,

let's look at some of the data points.

First of all, um Bitcoin is up 3.8% for

the week. Uh we had a spike to about 795

yesterday, which was also a 90-day high.

And that's also 33% off the bottom. And

we have huge stacking by Micro Strategy.

It continues another big week. They

bought about 38,000 Bitcoin the last two

weeks. Shocking. They now have 818,000

Bitcoin.

And that is a lot. I believe at this

clip they could hit a million Bitcoin by

August. I know Michael Sailor's gunning

for a million Bitcoin probably by the

end of the year, but again, if they

continue at this clip, it's quite

impressive. And it's not just them

coming into the ETFs are back. But let's

look at some of the other interesting

news too. And I'm going to turn off my

camera for this part so you can see all

of the data. This is a whole bunch of

snippets of things kind of I look at. I

call it the shifting sands. And they're

mostly bullish. Well, you look at the

MVRV ratio bullish. Bitcoin dominance

bullish. It's above 60. Stable coin

supply all-time high bullish. That's the

fuel that fuels crypto. Long-term holder

supply very bullish. The holders are not

long-term holders are not selling. In

fact, they're stacking. Exchange flows

little bit of accumulation, but there's

not a lot of retail action. The

institutions, ETFs, sailor, etc. They

are the ones doing the stacking. The

liquid supply is about 74% very bullish.

Most Bitcoin is locked away. Even if you

see stuff in exchanges, it's not for

sale. Fear of greed 62. Wow, we were

extreme fear for the longest time and

boy did that change. So, I mean, I'm

struggling to find bad news bears here.

It's all pretty good. But let's look at

some more stuff. Bitcoin is up 13% in

April. Also very good. Historically,

Bitcoin or not Bitcoin, April is the

second best month of the year for

Bitcoin after Moonvember.

But May is also good too. Not that

history will repeat because it hasn't

repeated in the last two years. But

again, not bad so far for April. And

after the spike yesterday, we'll see if

we can reclaim that too. Let's look at a

couple of other things as well. Last

night was kind of exciting as watching

Bitcoin pump and we shot up. Like if you

look and again wind back the clock to

the bottom, it was like Feb 5, you know,

combination of things in the Middle

East, etc. Bitcoin take a nasty dip way

down to 60K. A lot of people are saying

that was the bottom. People like

Fidelity, people like myself, etc. But

there's a lot of Bitcoin experts are

praying for 40K because they didn't get

to snag anything at 60K. So hope is not

a strategy. We'll see if they get their

40k. I think it's unlikely. However, if

you look at the action basically since

April, it's just been up only constant

accumulation. And remember, every time a

billion dollars goes into ETFs, the

Bitcoin price goes up by 3%. Remember

that 3.16% to be precise. I will redo

all those numbers again shortly. But

what is important is on the ATR model,

we broke through $79,000.

That historically was a big level of

resistance. If we can flip that, if we

can stay above 79K for three days, that

means we're heading to 80 85k pretty

shortly. And after that, 96K, which is

level five. 96K was also big resistance.

But there's also some confluence around

the 79K. We'll dig into in a minute from

some onchain data. Now, we also had the

highest weekly close since January.

Again, we've been up only pretty much

since January. Last 90 days have been

very very positive and that's a good

takeaway. Today is weak but that's okay.

Monday often sells off but the spike on

Sunday night was very interesting to

watch. Now this is the weekly time frame

for this chart and you can see the trend

has not turned positive yet but it did

turn positive on the daily a long time

ago as well back around 67 66k. So we'll

see where this goes. Now,

back to confluence. We have a thing

called the short-term holder realized

price. That's at 82,000. We got within

$2,200 of that last night. Now, why is

that important? Well, this is the

average cost of Bitcoin for the

short-term holders. Now, sometimes what

happens is if you have people that

bought at say 82,000

and then they saw the price going all

the way down to 60K and they're like,

"Oh my god, why did I ever try this

Bitcoin stuff? It's killing me. Now,

when it returns to 82K, they might say,

"I can sell now and just break even,

i.e. sell without a loss. No more of

this Bitcoin headache for me or

whatever." It's unlikely people will do

that, but again, it is part of the

mentality. But if we can get back above

that short-term holder cost basis, that

would also be very important. And

that'll give people when they start

making profit, they feel happier and

they start buying more, too. But it

could be a level of resistance at 82K.

So watch this carefully and the exchange

sell pressure has eased a lot too.

Long-term holders not selling. Uh stuff

is not saying now. Now that I say that

though, Wintermute, who are market

makers who like to play with the Bitcoin

price, they have allegedly put

20, 30, $40 million of Bitcoin to

exchanges on Binance. So, there could be

a little dump where this could be a

contrived dump on behalf of somebody

else. So, don't get shaken out with this

little bit of uh $2,000 off Bitcoin

price today. It might be contrived just

like everything else in the markets.

When you go into the markets,

understanding that everything is rigged,

you're much better off. If you think

it's a zero- sum game, it's you against

some random person on the street, it's

not. There's bigger forces at play.

Always go into the markets remembering

that. Now, shout out to Ecoinmetrics. It

believes also Bitcoin recovery is well