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WATT THE F***... on Stock Talk Live !

1h 58m 55s19,933 palavras2,865 segmentsEnglish

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0:08

We're getting started here.

0:11

Getting the invites out.

0:19

Didn't get a notification of that, but

0:21

that's okay. We'll do that next week.

0:28

Come on in. Come on in. If you are just

0:31

joining on the replay, you can fast

0:33

forward a couple minutes. We're going to

0:35

confirm that we've got audio and video.

0:38

I am a 30-year veteran of Wall Street,

0:42

retired since 2008 because I made

0:45

millions

0:47

selling my stock picks to people that

0:50

you know like Jim Kramer, um

0:54

George Soros, and if you watch the movie

0:56

Dumb Money, if you haven't watched it,

0:58

great movie. Um Stevie Cohen. So, we

1:01

just got

1:02

>> There we go. We got the verification of

1:05

audio and video. That's great. Um,

1:09

let's see.

1:11

Making a note for myself here. We got a

1:14

huge show. We're waiting for people to

1:16

come in. So, send the invite. Share the

1:18

invite out. I see how many people are

1:19

here right now. It's usually a little

1:21

bit more at this point. All right. So,

1:24

get that invite out there or I'll just

1:26

go and have some fun, right? I live in

1:29

Miami Beach. I could be at the beach

1:30

right now. I'm here for you. Why?

1:33

Because my mentor was here for me. I was

1:35

living in a basement. Not a basement

1:36

apartment. in a basement. I now live in

1:38

a penthouse. How did that happen? How

1:40

did a loser go to being a

1:43

multi-millionaire making seven figures a

1:45

year? Well, that's what we're here to

1:46

talk about. You know, I'm here to share

1:48

my wisdom as far as that goes. Um what

1:52

my mentor taught me to make me who I am

1:54

today. I'm helping y'all be who you will

1:57

be in the future. And all I ask is that

2:00

you share the wealth by letting people

2:03

know that I'm here. So, go do that. I'm

2:06

setting everything up. I'm going to put

2:07

on the disclaimers while we're waiting

2:09

for you all to do that and I decide if

2:11

I'm going to have a show today or not.

2:14

Um, the disclaimers are on the screen.

2:17

So, if you go any further than this, you

2:20

acknowledge that you have read or had

2:22

somebody read this to you and that you

2:23

understand what it means. Okay? So, uh,

2:26

that's my CYA, right? Cuz I'm doing this

2:29

out of the goodness of my heart. I make

2:31

no revenue off of anything in my life

2:33

since 2015. I swore off revenue. If I

2:37

mow your lawn, I'm going to do it for

2:38

free out of the goodness of my heart.

2:40

So, there are no sponsorships, no

2:41

advertisements, no subscriptions, none

2:44

of that stuff, right? If you see an

2:45

advertisement on the replay, it's not me

2:47

making money off that. That's Google

2:49

throwing that in front of you. Okay? Um

2:52

has nothing to do with me. I don't take

2:53

revenue for anything. Um so, and that's

2:56

worked out great. By the way, if if you

2:58

don't believe in karma, man, I mean, I

3:01

don't believe in things like that

3:02

generally, but I got to tell you, my

3:04

life since I stopped taking revenue in

3:08

my life has been a blessing. I have a

3:10

beautiful wife, a beautiful child. My

3:12

revenue is actually my my money has

3:14

actually increased cuz all I have is my

3:16

portfolio, right? I run my own money and

3:19

only a portion of it do I run. The rest

3:22

of it's run by a financial adviser

3:23

because I'm retired. I don't want to

3:25

spend 70 hours a week, never mind 100

3:29

hours a week like I did when uh I was in

3:31

business giving research to firms owned

3:34

by Jim Kramer, George Soros, and Stevie

3:36

Cohen. All right. Um there the numbers.

3:39

The numbers are a little better now. All

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right. Big AI show today, right? Big AI

3:44

show. As always, you know, it's Money

3:47

Mark. I've been covering AI and

3:49

technology for Wall Street since the

3:52

'9s. 1994 to be precise. So, we're here.

3:58

It's Friday. It's Money Mark. It's Stock

4:01

Talk Live. Get ready for a big show. We

4:03

got the disclaimers. Let's get rid of

4:04

those. We're going to go right to the

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fear greed index.

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Oo,

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we're at that magic. We're right on the

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cusp of that magic number. And we

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actually did hit it. My magic numbers on

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the fear greed index are 75 on the greed

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side, extreme greed, right?

4:26

But not 25 on the extreme fear. Why,

4:30

Mark? Why wouldn't you pick 25? Because

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fear is stronger than greed in the stock

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market, as it turns out. Because as you

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can see on this chart, once the greed

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gets close to 75, the market seems to

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peter out. But once the fear gets down

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to 25,

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sometimes it just seems to accelerate to

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the downside. And as you can see, the

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last two times we bottomed out was in

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the single digits. Six here, three here.

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We got down to 10. I think it says 11,

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but I saw a 10 earlier in the week.

5:05

Right? So that tells you that the fear

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is finally getting to a point that maybe

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it gets constructive for the market,

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right? And we've see a lot of stocks

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pointing in that direction and we're

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going to talk about them today,

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particularly technology, AI. So, let's

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continue the quick macro discussion

5:23

before we move on. Um, wow,

5:27

the 2-year yield broke out of its trend

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and is now close to 4%. As you may or

5:33

may not know, the 2-year yield often um

5:36

preempts the Fed. All right. So, the

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two-year yield is telling us that the

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path of least resistance for the Fed is

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to actually raise interest rates, not

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lower them. We shall see, but that

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wouldn't be necessarily a good thing in

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this market. Uh especially given and and

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from my perspective, um I wouldn't like

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that move because we see weakening and

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we'll show you here a little weakening

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in the estimates, right? The Fed GDP now

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numbers have come down. They were at one

6:06

point up in the four or five range for

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Q1. They're down to two. They've kind of

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coalesed around the blue chip consensus.

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That's just over 2%. Right. And the blue

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chip consensus has risen of late, but

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just in the last week or so, trimming

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down a little bit, trending down a

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little bit on the Atlanta Fed. So if the

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economy is slowing down but inflation

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goes up because of oil prices being in a

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temporary high level due to the Iran

6:34

situation. Well once the Iran situation

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is resolved

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and trust me that doesn't end the oil

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issues right things have to get running

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again but at some point oil prices

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should come back down. We were running

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at I think 2 million barrels a day of

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surplus more than the world needed. And

6:52

if the economy slows down, then that

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surplus increases all else being equal.

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So I see oil prices coming down as long

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as this situation doesn't last too much

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longer. And Trump has heavy incentive to

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end this sooner than later because this

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I mean we got the midterm elections

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coming up. All right. So why did you

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choose to do this now instead of waiting

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until after the midyear election midterm

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elections and making sure that all his

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Republican

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supporters

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get reelected?

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He's got to he's got to end this, right?

7:26

You just got to think about this from a

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purely selfish perspective. Now, the

7:30

Iranians might have other things in

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mind, but from a purely political

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perspective, there is heavy incentive on

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the part of the Republicans to get this

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done and over with so we could put it

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behind us and they can get to the job at

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hand of trying to get reelected. Whether

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you're a Republican or a Democrat, you

7:46

can understand the selfish nature of

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right how they want to make themselves

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positioned for reelection and therefore

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you don't want this mess on your hands

7:57

several months from now. All right. So,

7:59

that's the that's the what I've been

8:01

operating off of. I came and told you

8:03

that before the Trump tweet and I told

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you one day you might wake up to a Trump

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tweet and the market will be gapped up,

8:09

right? And that's exactly what happened.

8:11

Now, it's given that back because the

8:14

market's like, I don't know if I believe

8:16

you, but that remains Trump's incentive

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as far as a point of logic and we'll see

8:23

how it turns out. I'm not here to make a

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