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This is no joke: the SBC hobby is dying

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It's no joke. Even though Raspberry Pi

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posted this on April 1st, there's a new

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3 GB Raspberry Pi 4 that cost $83.75.

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And uh they've also increased the price

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of other pies. Like this 16 GB Pi 5 is

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now $299.99.

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That is an increase of 150% over its

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already pretty high price when it was

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launched. And the problem is that all

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the RAM, all the DRAM that goes into

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these things has been skyrocketing in

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price. Eban Upton in his blog post said

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there's been a seven-fold increase in

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DRM pricing and everybody is wanting

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this LPDDR4 DRM and uh you know whatever

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the problems are that are causing this

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shortage whether it's AI uh obligations

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that aren't actually materializing uh

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people lying about the amount of uh DRM

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that they need and reserve from

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foundaries whether it's uh collusion or

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whatever uh from the the DRM companies

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that supply these things I don't know

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the one thing that I do know is that all

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these things kind of are conspiring

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together to I think kind of kill off a

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lot of things that people used to love

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to do like buying SBC's and doing fun

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projects with them. If the company that

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you buy your SBC from is uh not already

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affected, they will be and I guarantee

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they are already, but some people have

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passed on the price increases already.

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Other ones have yet to and have some old

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stock that they're still trying to move

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out. Uh, but in talking with other

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companies that make SBC's besides

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Raspberry Pi, there have been SBC

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projects that have been completely

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cancelled because they can't get memory.

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Like this 16 gig Pi5, there's not many

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people that are going to pay 300 bucks

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for one of these. I only have one and

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that's because it was already a dubious

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value at 120 bucks when I bought it. At

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300 bucks, there's no reason to buy this

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unless you have like a product that has

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to have just this and you're selling it

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for a profit. And even your profit would

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get uh cut into quite deeply by having a

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a a price go up 150% of a component in

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it. But it's just crazy. I I put

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together a few charts here. So this

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first chart is showing showing the price

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increase since launch of the Pi 5 2 gig

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and 4 gig and 16 gig. And now they have

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a 1 gig and of course that 3 GB. And

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you're you're wondering like why 3 GB?

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That's a weird memory amount. Well,

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they're using two 1.5 gig chips. That

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saves cost because the 1.5 gig chips can

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be had in greater supply than the 1 gig,

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2 gig, 4 gig, those kind of things. Uh

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for various reasons, but that's why

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Raspberry Pi is doing it. They actually

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redesigned the PCB of the Pi 4 to allow

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for two chips instead of one, which is

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crazy. Like they haven't done that on

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any Pi yet, and now they're doing it on

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the Pi 4 because of this unprecedented

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rise in prices. Anyway, that's uh kind

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of depressing on its own. But then if

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you look at SBC's overall uh right now

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there are some like uh there are some

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that are a very good value if you can

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pick them up. The Rad Dragon Q6A, which

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I haven't done a full video on. I've

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done a full set of testing on it and I I

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like the thing and I want to recommend

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it, but I just haven't had time to make

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a full video on it. Uh that is probably

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the best value SPC you can get right

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now. It uses a Qualcomm chip on it. Uh,

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the Rock 5C is also a good value, but

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I've seen it going out of stock a lot.

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Um, other than that, I've I've tested

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the Orange Pi 5 and Pi 5 Pro. Those are

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both very good boards. Uh, but those are

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going up in price even more than the Pi.

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So, it's like those were great values,

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but now it's 2026 and that's just not a

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thing. If I look at the 8 gig RAM

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models, again, the Q6A right now, if you

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can get it, that is the best value SPC

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you can get right now. It's again, it's

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a Qualcomm chip, so things there's some

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caveats there, but Radza currently has

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enough stock, I guess, of their memory

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that they're able to put these things

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out at prices that aren't sky-high, but

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they're going up and they're going to

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continue rising. The other thing in all

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of these uh slides that you'll notice is

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that the mini PCs, which used to be a

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great value, are now just a good value.

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They're still a better value. Like, if

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you buy one of these mini PCs, it comes

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with an SSD, it comes with a case, all

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that kind of stuff. you don't have to

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buy anything extra. Uh, but it used to

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be like a scorchingly good value

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compared to most SBC's, but now they're

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just on par basically. But again, like

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the 16 gig Pi5 that is just I don't I

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don't know who will buy one of these

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things. It's it's a crazy amount of of

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money to pay for an SBC with the

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performance that it has and the features

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that it has. And, you know, there's been

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backlash against Raspberry Pi for this

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stuff. And it's like, yeah, they are a

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public company now, so they're trying to

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turn a profit. And um I I think the

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biggest takeaway from this is for the

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hobbyist, for people who are doing these

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things for fun or open source or little

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hardware projects, move to the Pi 3,

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move to the the 02W. Those are the two

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models that are still a great value. And

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apparently Raspberry Pi has tons of

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supply of LPDDR2 RAM, the older, slower

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RAM that's used in those boards. So the

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prices on those probably won't go up so

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much. Um, the other thing I've noticed

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is like for myself included, I've been

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starting to do more projects with

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microcontrollers, which you can still

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get without paying a bazillion dollars.

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And uh, it's kind of fun and and

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interesting to get into something

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entirely new there. And uh, some of them

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are powerful enough to do things that

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are that I would formally do on uh, SPC.

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So, timing projects and uh certain

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control projects where I used to need a

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full Linux install, now you can do it in

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micro Python almost just as easy or uh

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building smart home things with ESP

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home. It's great. And uh the the sad

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thing is that there is still a lot of

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great things that you can do when you

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have full Linux running on an SBC with,

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you know, low-end desktop class

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performance that we're just not going to

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be able to do. And uh you know even if

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we're talking about buying used hardware

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that the prices on that stuff is going

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up especially if it has a lot of RAM. So

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certain hobbies are just kind of

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impacted and and dying off right now.

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And I don't see a rosy future for it

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unless we can find a way to uh get these

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prices back down at some point because

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my my income from YouTube hasn't gone

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up. In fact, it's gone down a little bit

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the past year and a half because

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YouTube's viewership for long- form

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videos like these has gone down. And uh

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yeah, it's it's not not a great

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situation that we're in for this. But uh

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maybe maybe I'll just become a retro

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YouTuber and do all my fun Mac projects

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uh until we get back to having

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reasonable pricing for these things.

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Anyway, uh until next time, I'm Jeff

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Kurling.

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    This is no joke:… - Transcrição Completa | YouTubeTranscript.dev