A Complete Trading Framework (Universal Models, SMT, Swing Points) | GXT
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How's it going everyone and welcome back
to another tea talk. In this tea talk we
are going to have Garrett on here for a
second time to talk about universal
models swing points and SMT. I hope you
guys enjoy. What is up everybody? I am
back for a second episode of TT Talks.
Thank you T trades for the opportunity
here. Today's lecture we are going to
cover reversal confirmations
a complete approach to the market. The
lecture topics are going to be universal
model swing formations SMT SMT pairing
and two-stage SMT sequence. I'm going to
show you guys how to pair these all
together for a complete framework and
approach the market. Credit goes to T
trades, AM trades, the MXM trader,
trader day, and ICT, which I would
consider all my mentors. I have taken
little bits and pieces of each one of my
mentors and blended them together for my
personal approach and that's what I will
be sharing a piece of with you all
today. Let's get into it. So, here we
are on universal models. We're going to
be covering internal to external,
external to internal, and manipulation
ranges. This is something I really
learned from the MXM traders back when I
was first learning how to really trade
ICT. He really simplified it. So, I'm
going to try to do my best here for you
guys. So, all internal to external a
universal model really is is a
framework, right? It tells us, hey, when
price hits this key level, in this case
being internal range, a fair value gap,
we can expect price to reverse and trade
to the high or the external range that
caused the retracement into the gap.
Right? So, here we are on external to
internal. Once price reaches an external
high or manipulates a range high, we can
expect price to retrace back into the
range to see continuation from that gap
or a failure to reverse from this gap
and target the opposing side of the
range. But regardless, this fair value
gap becomes your first target. And
lastly, order pairing ranges or
manipulation ranges, a high or low or
range low being the key level. the
opposing side of the range or swing high
being the targets. Now, we are going to
be going over swing formations. Why are
swing formations so important? Because
the market cannot reverse without a
swing formation. This is the whole logic
behind the TH fractal model and why it
is so logical. So, firstly, let's go
over a candle 2 closure. What is a
candle 2 closure? It is simply when
candle 2 closes back inside of candle
1's range. Once we have that closure, we
mark out equilibrium of the previous
candle's range, wanting to see the upper
half of that range support price higher
and form the low of candle 3. So why do
we do this? Why do we mark our EQ of
ranges? It is a mechanical way to
measure wick size. What is wick size and
why do we care about it? Well, we know
that expansion candles, right, they have
these small wicks. Reversal candles have
these large wicks, which is what we
typically want to avoid. We want to
trade expansion with this large wick. We
know price cannot expand. So after
candle 3 expands, seeking continuation
in candle 4 is if we close candle 3
above candle 2's high. Once we have that
closure, mark a equilibrium of the
candle 3 expansion. This is where we
seek a candle for continuation forming a
low in the upper half of candle 3's
range. So here we are with a candle 2
reversal to expansion. It is the exact
same thing as a reversal candle. The
only difference is the wick size. Right?
So here we can see that we have a small
wick which allows price to reverse and
expand in the same candle. So when
candle one closes an expansion candle
after hitting a key level, we can
already anticipate a reversal. But if
candle one did not reverse, then we must
reverse off of its high or low here. As
you see, we reverse off the low. If we
form a small wick, then we can actually
participate in this candle because it
supports expansion away from the
reversal. So here we are with a candle
three closure. This is simply when
candle one hits a key level or candle 2
hits a key level, but we do not get a
candle 2 closure. As you see, this is
where candle 3 will just expand away
from candle 2's low without actually
taking that low out. So prior to candle
3's open, we cannot anticipate this
reversal because we have no closure,
right? The only way we anticipate this
reversal is after the swing formation
actually forms. Right? Candle 1, candle
2, candle 3. Once we have a strong
candle 3 closure, mechanically defined
as closing over the body of candle 2.
This is where we can mark out
equilibrium of candle 3's range seeking
expansion or continuation in candle 4
where the low is formed in the upper
half of candle 3's range. So now we're
going to put the two together. universal
models with swing points. We know that
when market hits these key levels, we
know we should expect a reversal and we
also know that the market cannot reverse
without a swing point. So this is when
we blend the two together to confirm our
framework. So as you can see market
trades lower into this gap creates a
candle too indicating a reversal from
the internal range of liquidity. Once we
hit internal range liquidity, we know we
should target the opposing side of the
range that caused a retracement. This is
where we seek a continuation within
candle 3 respecting the upper half of
the previous candle's range. So here we
have a reversal into expansion candle
where candle one hits the key level
being external range of liquidity, but
candle one does not reverse. We're
opening near the candle's high. So that
becomes the reversal point. If we create
that small wick, this is what allows the
candle to reverse and expand into the
fair value gap. So, we actually can
participate in this reversal candle. So,
here we are with order pairing ranges.
Here we have a candle 3 closure where
candle one trades into the range low but
does not reverse. So, we do not
participate in this candle because it
does not support expansion. And once
candle 3 opens, we also cannot
participate in this candle because
candle 2 showed no signs of reversal. So
we must wait for the close. If it closes
above the body of candle 2, this is what
validates us to trade candle 4.
Continuation marking out equilibrium of
candle 3 and looking for candle 4 to
respect the upper half of that range and
targeting the opposing side of that
range. Now we're going to get into SMT.
One thing we know about the market is
the market cannot reverse without a
swing point, but the market can also not
reverse without SMT. So this is where
we're going to combine the two. And this
is really the whole goal of this lecture
is to show you the power of combining
the two and how you can build a
mechanical framework and system around
this logic. With SMT, we must understand
the correlated markets to pair
divergences with. So for me personally,
I view correlated markets through a
triad that is simply three correlated
markets. So for forex we have DXY,
EURUSD,
GBPUSD. For indices we have ENQ, ESYM.
For gold we have gold or GC X AU Euro
and X AU GBP. For the oil triad we have
CL, RB and HO. Firstly, we're going to
be using SMT between highs and lows.
This is the most common form of SMT. It
is where one market manipulates a low or
range low where the other one simply
does not take that low. This is a Ken
correlation. It signals a potential
reversal. Secondly, and the other key
level we are going to be using S&T with
is a fair value gap or also known as SMT
fill. This is where one asset fills in a
gap or trades into a gap and the other
one leaves it open, right? A breakaway
gap. And this can signal a potential
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