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Bank of England Bombshell

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0:00

If ever you wanted proof that this

0:01

government doesn't understand money and

0:04

finances, this is it. The Bank of

0:06

England sat in front of Parliament this

0:08

week and essentially said that the

0:10

government's flagship policy to help

0:12

young people has done precisely the

0:15

opposite. And I'm going to talk you

0:17

through exactly what's happened in this

0:19

video. Because whether you are young or

0:22

more mature or if you have children or

0:24

you employ people or you're just trying

0:26

to understand where the economy is

0:28

heading at the moment, this will

0:29

directly affect you and there's a huge

0:33

bout of irony in this video. But first

0:35

of all, we are here on my money channel.

0:38

I am Daniel Shan Smith. I run the black

0:39

belt barristister channel. So I am a

0:41

barristister. I am also a qualified

0:43

mortgage adviser. I've bought and sold

0:44

dozens of properties over the last well

0:46

many decades. I've been in business all

0:48

my life. I've never worked for anyone

0:49

else. I am completely debtree and I will

0:52

help you to understand uh money,

0:54

finances and creating wealth. So if you

0:57

like the sound of that, please do

0:58

subscribe to this channel here. And in

1:00

this video, we're talking about how this

1:01

government doesn't understand finances

1:03

and how this has had a massive

1:05

devastating effect on the employment

1:07

rates in this country. So first of all,

1:10

a bit of irony. Cast your mind back to

1:13

the 2024 budget, the original budget

1:16

here. One of Labour's big headline

1:19

moments was raising the minimum wage and

1:22

increasing the employer's national

1:24

insurance contributions. If you're

1:26

familiar with my channel, you'll know

1:27

that I've been very vocal on why that

1:29

was a terrible idea and that it would

1:31

create businesses uh difficulty so much

1:34

so that they might go out of business

1:36

and um curtail the employment of new

1:40

staff and all that sort of stuff. All of

1:42

which we've seen happening. But their

1:45

pitch was simple. Workers deserve more,

1:47

employers should contribute more, and

1:50

young people should es especially be

1:52

given a higher, fairer wage. Now, that

1:56

all sounds reasonable in the way that

1:59

they put it. But here's what actually

2:01

happened. The Bank of England's chief

2:02

economist, Hugh Pill, told the Treasury

2:04

Committee this week that those two

2:06

policies combined have hit young people

2:10

particularly hard. The effects, he said,

2:13

were particularly acute for workers aged

2:17

between 16 and 21. In other words, the

2:20

policy designed and sold to you to help

2:24

young workers has made it significantly

2:27

harder for young workers to find jobs in

2:29

the first place. And this is not just my

2:31

opinion, and it is not just the opinion

2:34

of the chief economist either. It is

2:36

based on the data. So let's look at the

2:39

numbers because this data shows that

2:42

youth unemployment among 16 to 24 year

2:46

olds hit 16.1%

2:49

in the final quarter of 2025. That is

2:52

the highest rate in a decade outside of

2:55

the pandemic. But it's even worse

2:57

because that number means that UK youth

3:00

unemployment is now higher than the EU

3:03

average overall because the EU average

3:07

sits at 14.9%.

3:09

We are now at 16.1.

3:12

And so for context, this is the first

3:14

time in recorded history going back to

3:17

the turn of the millennium that the UK

3:19

has been above the EU average on youth

3:23

unemployment.

3:24

We spent years, rightly or wrongly,

3:27

hearing that one of the advantages of

3:29

being outside of the EU single market

3:31

was labor market flexibility and that

3:34

businesses could hire more freely. That

3:37

our employment figures, particularly

3:38

youth unemployment, were especially the

3:41

envy of our European counterparts. That

3:45

argument has just died in this data.

3:49

talking to the younger viewers. If you

3:52

are 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, I want to

3:56

talk directly to you in this moment

3:59

because this is not abstract economics.

4:03

It is not just some numbers and some

4:06

ideas or some policy statements. This is

4:09

your life. The sectors being hit the

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hardest, as you may have noticed in the

4:15

news with businesses collapsing, are

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hospitality, retail, leisure, etc. Those

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jobs that have historically

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been where young people get their first

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foot on the employment ladder, the first

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paylip, the first bit of experience

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getting into work, that first taste of

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getting out to work and earning

4:36

something. your first experience of

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showing up, being reliable, getting

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something on your CV, learning how

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workplaces function, dealing with your

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co-workers, with your boss, the

4:47

hierarchy, shift rotors, you name it.

4:50

All of these things on those entry-

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level positions, which are absolutely

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admirable positions to start with,

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humbling to some, are disappearing. Not

4:59

because employers don't want the staff.

5:01

Of course, the businesses want to grow.

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And to grow, they need to service more

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customers. And to service more

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customers, they need more staff. And

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obviously they need to hire more people

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that want those jobs and so more young

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people. That was the idea. But because

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of the very cost of taking on a young

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worker has gone up so sharply that

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businesses, particularly small

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businesses, but now we see large

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businesses, whipbreads, um, beef and so

5:26

on, you know, they are simply not able

5:29

to sustain the growth or even the

5:32

existing shops with the existing staff.

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it is simply making it far more

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difficult to either continue or

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certainly to hire more uh young people.

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So they are having to make do with fewer

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people or not replacing staff when they

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leave and certainly not increasing the

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pay wherever they possibly can. But here

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is what concerns me the most about this

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whole scenario. It is not just about the

5:59

money. It's the experience and the long

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term because it's about what you learn

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in those early jobs that nobody teaches

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you at school. How to deal with

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difficult customers, how to manage your

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time when someone else depends on you.

6:15

How you take instructions, how you deal

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with instructions, and like I said, how

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you deal with your co-workers, with your

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boss, how to push back professionally

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when you're being treated unfairly. You

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know, how to turn up when you don't feel

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like turning up. You have to get out of

6:26

bed. You have to get to work on time.

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All of those things are absolutely

6:31

essential life skills. If you lose that

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sort of formative early experience and

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you you don't just lose the income, you

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lose the foundation, you lose the grip

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on the working reality.

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So if you're in that age group, please

6:47

take this seriously. Be more aggressive

6:49

about finding opportunities,

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apprenticeships, self-employment,

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freelancing, social media, building

6:55

something of your own. What are you good

6:57

at? What do you absolutely love doing or

7:00

talking about? I was one of the kids

7:02

that they told to stop talking at

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school. Now I literally talk for a

7:08

living, whether it's here on YouTube or

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as a barristister in court. That is what

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I love doing. Clearly, that is what I

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chose to train to do. As I said earlier

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at the outset in my sort of intro pitch,

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I've never worked for any company other

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than my own. save for my work experience

7:26

that I did at school. And it's those

7:29

formative years of going and showing up.

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It was only I think two weeks I did I

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worked at a music shop and I turned up

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and actually those those couple of weeks

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really did shape my understanding of how

7:41

these businesses work. So don't wait for

7:43

the job market to come to you right now

7:45

because it is moving on and it's moving

7:47

in the wrong direction. And particularly

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if you look at London,

7:53

one more data point that is worth

7:55

flagging up in this Financial Times

7:57

article that I'll link below here is

7:58

London's unemployment rate now is 7.6%.

8:02

That is the highest of any region in the

8:04

UK. Andrew Bailey, the governor for the

8:06

Bank of England, called it quite unusual

8:08

in British history. That's putting it

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