Bank of England Bombshell
FULL TRANSCRIPT
If ever you wanted proof that this
government doesn't understand money and
finances, this is it. The Bank of
England sat in front of Parliament this
week and essentially said that the
government's flagship policy to help
young people has done precisely the
opposite. And I'm going to talk you
through exactly what's happened in this
video. Because whether you are young or
more mature or if you have children or
you employ people or you're just trying
to understand where the economy is
heading at the moment, this will
directly affect you and there's a huge
bout of irony in this video. But first
of all, we are here on my money channel.
I am Daniel Shan Smith. I run the black
belt barristister channel. So I am a
barristister. I am also a qualified
mortgage adviser. I've bought and sold
dozens of properties over the last well
many decades. I've been in business all
my life. I've never worked for anyone
else. I am completely debtree and I will
help you to understand uh money,
finances and creating wealth. So if you
like the sound of that, please do
subscribe to this channel here. And in
this video, we're talking about how this
government doesn't understand finances
and how this has had a massive
devastating effect on the employment
rates in this country. So first of all,
a bit of irony. Cast your mind back to
the 2024 budget, the original budget
here. One of Labour's big headline
moments was raising the minimum wage and
increasing the employer's national
insurance contributions. If you're
familiar with my channel, you'll know
that I've been very vocal on why that
was a terrible idea and that it would
create businesses uh difficulty so much
so that they might go out of business
and um curtail the employment of new
staff and all that sort of stuff. All of
which we've seen happening. But their
pitch was simple. Workers deserve more,
employers should contribute more, and
young people should es especially be
given a higher, fairer wage. Now, that
all sounds reasonable in the way that
they put it. But here's what actually
happened. The Bank of England's chief
economist, Hugh Pill, told the Treasury
Committee this week that those two
policies combined have hit young people
particularly hard. The effects, he said,
were particularly acute for workers aged
between 16 and 21. In other words, the
policy designed and sold to you to help
young workers has made it significantly
harder for young workers to find jobs in
the first place. And this is not just my
opinion, and it is not just the opinion
of the chief economist either. It is
based on the data. So let's look at the
numbers because this data shows that
youth unemployment among 16 to 24 year
olds hit 16.1%
in the final quarter of 2025. That is
the highest rate in a decade outside of
the pandemic. But it's even worse
because that number means that UK youth
unemployment is now higher than the EU
average overall because the EU average
sits at 14.9%.
We are now at 16.1.
And so for context, this is the first
time in recorded history going back to
the turn of the millennium that the UK
has been above the EU average on youth
unemployment.
We spent years, rightly or wrongly,
hearing that one of the advantages of
being outside of the EU single market
was labor market flexibility and that
businesses could hire more freely. That
our employment figures, particularly
youth unemployment, were especially the
envy of our European counterparts. That
argument has just died in this data.
talking to the younger viewers. If you
are 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, I want to
talk directly to you in this moment
because this is not abstract economics.
It is not just some numbers and some
ideas or some policy statements. This is
your life. The sectors being hit the
hardest, as you may have noticed in the
news with businesses collapsing, are
hospitality, retail, leisure, etc. Those
jobs that have historically
been where young people get their first
foot on the employment ladder, the first
paylip, the first bit of experience
getting into work, that first taste of
getting out to work and earning
something. your first experience of
showing up, being reliable, getting
something on your CV, learning how
workplaces function, dealing with your
co-workers, with your boss, the
hierarchy, shift rotors, you name it.
All of these things on those entry-
level positions, which are absolutely
admirable positions to start with,
humbling to some, are disappearing. Not
because employers don't want the staff.
Of course, the businesses want to grow.
And to grow, they need to service more
customers. And to service more
customers, they need more staff. And
obviously they need to hire more people
that want those jobs and so more young
people. That was the idea. But because
of the very cost of taking on a young
worker has gone up so sharply that
businesses, particularly small
businesses, but now we see large
businesses, whipbreads, um, beef and so
on, you know, they are simply not able
to sustain the growth or even the
existing shops with the existing staff.
it is simply making it far more
difficult to either continue or
certainly to hire more uh young people.
So they are having to make do with fewer
people or not replacing staff when they
leave and certainly not increasing the
pay wherever they possibly can. But here
is what concerns me the most about this
whole scenario. It is not just about the
money. It's the experience and the long
term because it's about what you learn
in those early jobs that nobody teaches
you at school. How to deal with
difficult customers, how to manage your
time when someone else depends on you.
How you take instructions, how you deal
with instructions, and like I said, how
you deal with your co-workers, with your
boss, how to push back professionally
when you're being treated unfairly. You
know, how to turn up when you don't feel
like turning up. You have to get out of
bed. You have to get to work on time.
All of those things are absolutely
essential life skills. If you lose that
sort of formative early experience and
you you don't just lose the income, you
lose the foundation, you lose the grip
on the working reality.
So if you're in that age group, please
take this seriously. Be more aggressive
about finding opportunities,
apprenticeships, self-employment,
freelancing, social media, building
something of your own. What are you good
at? What do you absolutely love doing or
talking about? I was one of the kids
that they told to stop talking at
school. Now I literally talk for a
living, whether it's here on YouTube or
as a barristister in court. That is what
I love doing. Clearly, that is what I
chose to train to do. As I said earlier
at the outset in my sort of intro pitch,
I've never worked for any company other
than my own. save for my work experience
that I did at school. And it's those
formative years of going and showing up.
It was only I think two weeks I did I
worked at a music shop and I turned up
and actually those those couple of weeks
really did shape my understanding of how
these businesses work. So don't wait for
the job market to come to you right now
because it is moving on and it's moving
in the wrong direction. And particularly
if you look at London,
one more data point that is worth
flagging up in this Financial Times
article that I'll link below here is
London's unemployment rate now is 7.6%.
That is the highest of any region in the
UK. Andrew Bailey, the governor for the
Bank of England, called it quite unusual
in British history. That's putting it
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