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Daniel Priestley: AI Will Make Plumbers Earn More Than Lawyers! (2029 PREDICTION)

2h 2m 38s25,379 palavras3,707 segmentsEnglish

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I was looking at the top 10 jobs that

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are most likely to be disrupted by AI

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and I really do worry about this.

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>> So the nature of the economy is changing

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for a long time. Blue collar work like

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plumbers, electricians, brick layers has

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been devalued. But it could be in the

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next couple of years. These are the

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roles that are elevated the most and

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that plumbers regularly earn more than

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lawyers. And for the last 25 years, I've

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been building companies from scratch and

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I've been through the global financial

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crisis and co but I have never

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experienced what we're experiencing

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right now. I've never seen more fear for

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the disruption that is coming. And my

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real bare case for AI is that every time

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you go on AI, your request is going off

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to a big computer in a Walmartized

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building somewhere. And those big

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ginormous computers, they last 3 to 4

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years before they need to be replaced.

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And this year ahead, we're going to

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spend 650 billion and that could cause a

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massive financial collapse. That's the

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thing that I'm worried most about.

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However, I've never seen more excitement

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for the opportunities that are in front

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of us. So let's talk about in a world of

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AI what are the skills that survive.

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>> So I really believe that everyone should

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build a little bit of a personal brand

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not like to become an influencer but

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position yourself with a group of people

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who know who you are and know what you

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do and could enroll you in their

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opportunity. Second one if there's one

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skill set that everyone should be

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learning at the moment it's how do

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entrepreneurs think? How do

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entrepreneurs behave? What are the

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skills that make an entrepreneur

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successful? And entrepreneurs just

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simply follow six steps and we do it

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over and over and over again. and we'll

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go through the six steps.

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>> So, are there any particular

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opportunities that you think that

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anybody listening right now could pursue

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to make money?

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>> So, I think one of the best

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opportunities is

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>> that is such good advice that we don't

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hear enough.

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>> This is super interesting to me. My team

1:42

given me this report to show me how many

1:43

of you that watch this show subscribe.

1:45

69% of you that watch this show

1:47

frequently haven't yet hit the subscribe

1:48

button. And some of you have told us

1:50

according to this that you are

1:51

unsubscribed from the channel randomly.

1:53

So, favor to ask all of you. Please

1:55

could you check right now if you've hit

1:56

the subscribe button if you are a

1:58

regular viewer of the show and you like

1:59

what we do here. We're approaching quite

2:00

a significant landmark on this show in

2:02

terms of a subscriber number. So, if

2:04

there was one simple free thing that you

2:06

could do to help us, my team, everyone

2:08

here to keep this show free, to keep it

2:10

improving year over year and week over

2:12

week, it is just to hit that subscribe

2:14

button and to double check if you've hit

2:15

it. Only thing I'll ever ask of you, do

2:17

we have a deal? If you do it, I'll tell

2:19

you what I'll do. I'll make sure every

2:22

single week, every single month, we

2:23

fight harder and harder and harder and

2:24

harder to bring you the guests and

2:25

conversations that you want to hear.

2:27

I've stayed true to that promise since

2:28

the very beginning of the Dio and I will

2:30

not let you down. Please help us. Really

2:33

appreciate it. Let's get on with the

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show.

2:38

Daniel, I think we're living in the most

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interesting, opportunistic,

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terrifying time to be an entrepreneur, a

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professional, to really be anybody

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because this is a moment of such

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fundamental change. And I really wanted

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to have this conversation with you today

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because I want to understand how you're

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thinking about AI from an opportunity

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standpoint as an entrepreneur, but also

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just for everybody that's working in a

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normal job and who is at risk of having

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their their career, their livelihood,

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their identity, their qualifications

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made redundant because there is now an

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alien amongst us that can do so much. So

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this conversation really is about giving

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people answers. It's about being honest

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with them about what's coming. And it's

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about preparing them, setting them up so

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that they have an advantage

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in the face of the future we face. So

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give me the 30,000 ft view.

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>> Well, my background for the last 25

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years has been building companies from

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scratch. And I've been through the com

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and I've been through global financial

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crisis and I've been through uh Brexit

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and co. I have never experienced what

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we're experiencing right now. I've never

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seen more excitement for the

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opportunities that are in front of us

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and I've never seen more fear for the

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disruption that is coming. We are living

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through transformational times that is

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very similar to 250 years ago where the

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end of the agricultural age ended and

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the beginning of the industrial age

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began.

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>> I would argue that it's more significant

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because there's two forces that kind of

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keep me up at night. The first force is

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AI, which is you can think of it as just

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the replacement of the human brain from

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a sort of productivity standpoint. And

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then the other is robotics. And the

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problem is they're coming in at the same

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time. And I was watching I don't know if

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you saw this the other day.

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>> So I'll put this on the screen for

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anyone that's watching the video right

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now, but this is a demonstration that

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took place in China of how advanced

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their robots are. And I had to check

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multiple times to make sure that this

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wasn't fake. They are doing back flips

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and landing perfectly on their feet. And

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so when you combine intelligence with

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the disruption of our physical form, our

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muscles, our body, our ability to pick

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things up and move them through through

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time and space,

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it begs the question like where do we

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>> where do we fit in to all of that?

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Strangely, there's something called the

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Jevans paradox. And the Jevans paradox

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is a paradox where when we think

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something is going to completely disrupt

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the way that we uh live and work. It

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often has the opposite effect. We

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thought that YouTube was going to

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completely wipe out television. And it's

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true that Hollywood lost tens of

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thousands of jobs, but YouTubing created

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500 to 600,000 jobs at the same time.

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And it used to take 150 people to make a

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a TV show or a movie. And now it's 5 to

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10 people making YouTube videos as a

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little team. and they can have a wildly

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successful YouTube channel. With the

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Jebans paradox, if we currently said

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that in order to have a successful

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software company right now today or in

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the last few years, you needed to have

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10,000 customers and you needed to have

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a team of 50 people and you needed to

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raise$1 to5 million to get a software

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company off the off the ground. If all

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of a sudden the cost and the commitment

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drops dramatically to have a software

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company and you only need 500 customers

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to work it to make it work and you only

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need two people on a team to make it

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work and you only need a tiny bit of

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funding to make it work. What happens is

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like YouTube channels you can end up

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with literally millions of tiny little

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software businesses that are super

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successful for 5 to 10 people and they

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do something niche and they do something

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special. They don't look like

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traditional software companies either.

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So a traditional software company would

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just do the software whereas these

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little software companies might do

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software plus they might do dinner

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parties where the clients get together.

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They might have an annual ski retreat.

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They might have a podcast and a YouTube

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channel that goes with it. And all of

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that could be done by 5 to 10 people

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using AI tools. So the Jevans paradox

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