Tim Is Finally Cooked
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is Tim Cooked. Tim Cook of Apple is
stepping down after 15 years as CEO. He
has been remarkably successful. I you I
want to show you something. A lot of
people give Steve Jobs all of the credit
for Apple. And he did a he did I even
give him the majority cuz he turned the
company around. But 2011 in August, this
is when Steve Jobs handed the reigns
over to Tim Cook. Tim Cook has truly
grown this company massively. He's built
out the world's greatest supply chain.
He made it so I believe Apple products
haven't had a recall in his entire
tenure. You know, they they're made with
high quality materials. They come out
every year on like clockwork. He's built
something impressive and he and for the
most of his time there, Apple was the
most valuable company on earth. It has
recently been passed by Nvidia and
Microsoft briefly. It might be
flip-flopping. Uh but still $4 trillion
company. Again, for most of his tenure,
this is the number one company in the
world. And if you are a believer that
the AI bubble is a little bit
overvalued, probably still the most
valuable company on the earth in the
world cuz they have a ton of cash. They
make real hardcore profit. They
basically, you know, make a phone and
sell it at like a massive markup. I've
heard it described as the iPhone is like
the margins of selling a Ferrari, but
the the amount of selling Toyotas.
It's like a mass market product with the
margin of a luxury product. And it's the
greatest product ever. I mean, like in
terms of uh I don't use an iPhone, but
in terms of uh business. And then once
you have it, you're locked into the the
[ __ ] AirPods and the watch and the
entire ecosystem and the app store. They
get 30% on the whole thing. It's it's
just a money generating machine. And so
a lot of that is his effort. A lot of
that is his effort. He's done a really
good job with that. He hasn't innovated
much. That's the big criticism of Tim
Cook is that during his tenure, the
biggest new product was like what?
AirPods. That's like the biggest new
product. But obviously, he's had a
couple truly incredible successes. Can
you guys even imagine what the world was
like before the Apple Vision Pro
made something bigger than Nike? As I've
said in recent uh weeks, the metaphor
that if AirPods was his own company,
it'd be bigger than Nike is no longer
fun to say because Nike has fallen off
so hard that's not even a big deal. I
wouldn't even bring that up anymore.
Nike used to be a bigger deal. Maybe
when Nike pivots to AI data centers.
Anyway, so Tim Cook is replacing his
role with John Turnis, who comes from
the hardware side of Apple. He's like
the executive VP of hardware
development. I believe that's generally
a good idea. It's better than like the
Boeing model, right? Where they throw up
somebody from marketing. Marketing or
finance. Those people generally have a
better chance of gutting the company.
Seems like a decent choice. But he is
left with two major challenges. Number
one is the phone fading out. Are we at
the end of the phone era? Obviously not
this year or even the next 5 years, but
like is it the beginning of some like
voice based device, voice devices or
other types of things other than the
phone being the most dominant thing in
all of tech? Maybe not. Certainly Apple
doesn't think so. But there is an idea
they're a little bit behind on new
hardware. For example, there's a thought
that a major cutting to consumer
electronics will be people's cars. As
cars get more advanced, people they're
going to have more and more stuff in
them. They're going to have more and
more UI and and self-driving gets
better. And so all the phone companies
in China, for example, are making cars.
Xiai's making a car. Huawei's making a
car that not even making, they have cars
right now that you can buy and they're
really good. Apple was making a car.
Kind of seeing the way that was going.
You know, if you flash forward, let's
say 5 years or whatever, if self-driving
is a much bigger deal, people are going
to spend a lot more time in their cars
and cars become consumer electronics
staples instead of just uh about the
horsepower. Apple canled their car. They
couldn't get one built. So, it's a big
thing where like is this hardware guy
going to jump on that? Is he thinking
about that? Are they are they literally
going to try and do new iPhone, new
iPad, new eyewatch every year till they
die?
Are they going to disrupt the paradigm
that has worked for the past decade plus
of Tim Cook? That's the big question
number one. Question number two is Tim
Cook, unlike every single other major
tech company, ignored AI. They really
didn't develop their own good AI
product. And so they ended up
outsourcing to first it was open AI, now
it's Gemini. They're behind the curve
massively on AI. They haven't built out
any unique model. They haven't built out
data centers. They're not doing that
kind of thing. And so if they're right
and they can just wait and buy up
somebody later or clean up the ashes
after things get then it's incredible.
But if they're wrong, then they're like
immeasurably behind. They're going to
end up being IBM to Google or to micro.
You know what I'm saying? They're that's
the big question. I was talking with
Aiden about this on the lemonade stand
and he did bring up a good comparison
that I think is worth talking about and
that is Bob Iger. So Bob Iger was and is
the CEO of Disney and Bob Iger left at
the peak. He left at a great time and
Tim Cook's kind of leaving at the peak.
If Tim Cook retires now, which he's
about to do, he's an incredible CEO.
He's done an incredible job. His name is
unimpeachable, but he's left some
bubbling problems under the surface that
he hasn't addressed. It's the next guy's
problem. If the next guy fumbles that
and Tim Cook tries to come back,
my advice is don't don't do it, bro.
Don't pull Bob Iger cuz Bob Iger torched
his reputation by coming back. Bob Iger
came back. He couldn't fix any of the
problems he get to the next guy. Disney
has stagnated, flatlined. The Disney
Plus dream is dead. and he went from
being like this goat CEO to being like,
"Oh, he's just kind of lucky with the
timing." So, I don't know if Tim Cook's
going to do that. But Tim Cook is
leaving with some problems under the
surface. If they go right, then it's all
good. If they go wrong, though, uh
there's some pressure for him to get
back. Isn't Tim Cook picture? Yes, he is
100%. Tim Cook is still in the picture.
But you're CEO. You are setting the
tone. It's your It's your company now,
your direction. In fact, the more Tim
Cook hangs around as chairman
historically, the worse it is for the
new CEO to get anything done. It becomes
this weird thing where you kind of have
to run it through the Tims. Like they're
hanging on, but they're not quite in the
door. They don't have any They don't
know what's going on. Boots in the
ground, but they're It's not a good
idea. So, he should kind of like back up
as much as he can and let the new guy do
the best he can. Like a disappointed
mom. Yeah, exactly. To the Apple
community. I think that's so cringe.
I hate calling it a community, bro.
People that buy your phones are not part
of a community. In every one of these
emails, I feel the beating heart of our
shared humanity.
Tim Cook, you know what? I'll give it to
him. He's the last of a dying breed. In
like the 2014, 15,16 era, all tech CEOs
were like, you know, kind of woke
and they kind of always talked about a
better world and climate change and that
was like a big thing for tech CEOs. Now
you see like the Palunteer CEO talking
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