TRANSCRIPTIONEnglish

Col Doug Macgregor: Threats & Intimidation Don't Work on Iran FINAL

21m 10s3,936 mots568 segmentsEnglish

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0:00

We're not a reliable negotiating

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partner. We lie. You show up, you may be

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killed during the negotiations. Uh we

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cheat. We're not honest. And our our

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response is that the Iranians lie and

0:13

cheat all the time. I've talked to

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people that were inspectors. I've talked

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to people that have been involved over

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there and they say the opposite is the

0:21

case. You know, I remember going through

0:23

this in the Balkans and people kept

0:25

insisting the Serbs were dishonest. You

0:27

couldn't trust anything they say. I

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found just the opposite of the three

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parties, the Bosnjaks, the Croats, and

0:33

the Serbs. The Serbs were scrupulously

0:35

honest. If they said they were going to

0:37

do something, they did it. If they said

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they wouldn't, they wouldn't. If they

0:40

were going to show up, they did. You

0:42

know, this business of constantly

0:43

demonizing your opponent really makes it

0:46

very hard to come to some sort of

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arrangement that terminates the

0:50

hostilities. And that's effectively

0:53

what we're doing. You know, we go back

0:54

to World War II, this World War II

0:56

nostalgia where nobody

0:58

actually knows what the hell happened

1:00

during the Second World War and just how

1:02

difficult the whole thing was. But we

1:04

act as though we were the great ones who

1:06

solved everything, won everything,

1:07

determined everything. Nothing could be

1:09

further from the truth. But one of the

1:11

things tragically that we did is that we

1:13

so completely demonized our opponents

1:15

that we made it possible to destroy them

1:18

completely to the point where we had to

1:20

spend 50 years compensating for the

1:22

destruction of the power they once held.

1:24

This business of now setting out to

1:26

destroy Iran because they refuse to

1:29

accept our terms is equally insane. Only

1:32

this time around, Iran is in a far

1:34

better position than we realize. And the

1:36

Chinese and the Russians and many others

1:39

are very interested not only in seeing

1:41

Iran successfully and survive, but they

1:44

want Iran to be a partner in the future

1:46

with regard to the straight of Hormuse.

1:49

You know, we've mentioned this before,

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the Dardinels was a failure. The British

1:53

at least had the uh presence of mind to

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come to the Montro convention and sign

2:00

over the rights to determine who goes

2:02

through or doesn't go through based on

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very clear unambiguous conditions to the

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Turks. There hasn't been a problem in

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the straits of in the with the

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convention of Montro since 1926. It's

2:13

worked very well, but we insist that we

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should be the ones to make the

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determination and we readily admit that.

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But for a few items, we're not really

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that dependent on the Persian Gulf. The

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rest of the world is. None of this makes

2:26

any sense. And we're headed for a

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serious, serious fall. And I think we

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have to look at the rest of the region.

2:32

People are not paying attention to

2:33

what's going on in Turkey. People are

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not paying attention to Egypt. These

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countries are gearing up for some

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action. I don't know exactly when,

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where, how, and under what

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circumstances, but the whole region is

2:45

turning against us. And we would do well

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to ignore these so-called Epstein elites

2:50

that govern the Emirates and places like

2:52

that in Saudi Arabia. These people are

2:53

finished. The populations there know

2:56

they're corrupt and evil and want

2:57

nothing to do with them. We need to

2:59

start thinking about our place in the

3:01

world, not as the world's dictator, but

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as a participant in what really is a

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multipolar world and a world in which

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there are multiple great powers and

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start dealing on the with people on the

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basis of mutual respect, not bullying.

3:15

But that's not going to happen with this

3:16

president. That's pretty clear.

3:19

>> It's not. And in fact, I I would go so

3:21

far as to say is nobody in power right

3:23

now. Even you could say the Biden

3:24

administration in some ways was even

3:26

worse at the at the senior level, though

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that's a hard standard to to or to to go

3:31

beneath. But there's a there was a a

3:33

comment here by uh an Israeli analyst

3:36

here that I thought was really poignant.

3:37

His name is Danny Sen Senetrinowit,

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sorry if I pronounced that right. Um

3:43

really I think quantifies why we're in

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this trouble. He said Washington still

3:49

doesn't understand Iran. Yet again, we

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are seeing evidence of how poorly

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Washington understands the Iranian

3:55

regime. The persistent belief that a

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single decisive move like a naval

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blockade, strikes on critical

4:01

infrastructure, or even targeting and

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killing senior officials could

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fundamentally change Thrron's behavior

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recks a profound misreading of their

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system. This point cannot be stressed

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enough. When faced with a choice between

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conceding to US demands and escalating a

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confrontation, it believes it can manage

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and even win Iran's decision is not

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difficult to predict. It will not

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capitulate. And then the I think the

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even the more important things you said

4:28

there is no scenario in which one

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dramatic move forces the Iranian regime

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to raise a white flag. No pressure

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campaign, not military actions and not

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symbolic shows of force. And yet

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American polity continues to go after

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that elusive silver bullet, meaning a

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single action that will deliver quick

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decisive victory. That search is bound

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to fail. Uh, and I mean I he wrote that,

4:53

but I mean it's stuff that you've said

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many times, but that that just goes to

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show and and whether we're talking Jack

4:58

Keane, uh, Mike Pompeo, uh, General

5:02

Keith Kellogg at all, Trump, all these

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folks, Rubio, Keg Seth, they all seem to

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be of the same, I don't know what you

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call blindness or self-d delusion, but

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something as a as an elite cohort, they

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seem unable to come to what it seems to

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me to be common sense.

5:21

Well, there's a documentary uh that one

5:23

can watch on uh YouTube about Secretary

5:26

of Defense McNamera and it's all about

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Vietnam. And what does he say at the

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conclusion? We just did not understand

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their culture. We did not understand the

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opponent. Well, the sad truth of the

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matter is there were large numbers of

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people before 1965, during the Vietnam

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War, and afterwards who absolutely

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understood, gave excellent advice, and

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they were ignored. It wasn't a question

5:53

of not understanding. It's not wanting

5:54

to hear the message. That's a big

5:56

problem in Washington. It's not that

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there aren't people who know what

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they're talking about. It's just that

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there are people that don't care. And

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President Trump and his so-called

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adviserss, this this little circle

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around him, fall into that category. And

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I think we have to understand that that

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also characterizes most of the senior

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military leadership because I listen to

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all sorts of nonsense from people about,

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oh, he's a general and he must know he's

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an admiral. Come on, give me a break.

6:22

These people are not there because of

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demonstrated character, competence, or

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intelligence. They are there because of

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their readiness to go along. Say, "Yes,

6:30

sir. Three bags full. Let's move out."

6:32

We got to come to terms with the reality

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that if you create a culture that that

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favors and and advances the sickopant,

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you're not going to penetrate the inner

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circle unless you're prepared to go in

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there and tell the president or whomever

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is in charge whatever the Dickens he

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wants to hear. That's the bad news. I

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don't see any of that changing. Maybe

6:52

the disaster that's looming on the

6:53

horizon will have an impact. I don't

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know. And uh if anybody's in doubt about

6:59

what's going to happen with that because

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I mean we're looking we have some

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near-term pressure points uh number one

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is time because the ceasefire period

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runs out at the end of tonight. So

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tomorrow uh US time then he's going to

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have to make a decision. President Trump

7:13

is do you go back to bombing like he

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said in that opening clip and we said he

7:17

said yeah I'm planning on it or or do

7:19

you extend it out and and trying to do

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