Daniel Priestley: AI Will Make Plumbers Earn More Than Lawyers! (2029 PREDICTION)
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I was looking at the top 10 jobs that
are most likely to be disrupted by AI
and I really do worry about this.
>> So the nature of the economy is changing
for a long time. Blue collar work like
plumbers, electricians, brick layers has
been devalued. But it could be in the
next couple of years. These are the
roles that are elevated the most and
that plumbers regularly earn more than
lawyers. And for the last 25 years, I've
been building companies from scratch and
I've been through the global financial
crisis and co but I have never
experienced what we're experiencing
right now. I've never seen more fear for
the disruption that is coming. And my
real bare case for AI is that every time
you go on AI, your request is going off
to a big computer in a Walmartized
building somewhere. And those big
ginormous computers, they last 3 to 4
years before they need to be replaced.
And this year ahead, we're going to
spend 650 billion and that could cause a
massive financial collapse. That's the
thing that I'm worried most about.
However, I've never seen more excitement
for the opportunities that are in front
of us. So let's talk about in a world of
AI what are the skills that survive.
>> So I really believe that everyone should
build a little bit of a personal brand
not like to become an influencer but
position yourself with a group of people
who know who you are and know what you
do and could enroll you in their
opportunity. Second one if there's one
skill set that everyone should be
learning at the moment it's how do
entrepreneurs think? How do
entrepreneurs behave? What are the
skills that make an entrepreneur
successful? And entrepreneurs just
simply follow six steps and we do it
over and over and over again. and we'll
go through the six steps.
>> So, are there any particular
opportunities that you think that
anybody listening right now could pursue
to make money?
>> So, I think one of the best
opportunities is
>> that is such good advice that we don't
hear enough.
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Daniel, I think we're living in the most
interesting, opportunistic,
terrifying time to be an entrepreneur, a
professional, to really be anybody
because this is a moment of such
fundamental change. And I really wanted
to have this conversation with you today
because I want to understand how you're
thinking about AI from an opportunity
standpoint as an entrepreneur, but also
just for everybody that's working in a
normal job and who is at risk of having
their their career, their livelihood,
their identity, their qualifications
made redundant because there is now an
alien amongst us that can do so much. So
this conversation really is about giving
people answers. It's about being honest
with them about what's coming. And it's
about preparing them, setting them up so
that they have an advantage
in the face of the future we face. So
give me the 30,000 ft view.
>> Well, my background for the last 25
years has been building companies from
scratch. And I've been through the com
and I've been through global financial
crisis and I've been through uh Brexit
and co. I have never experienced what
we're experiencing right now. I've never
seen more excitement for the
opportunities that are in front of us
and I've never seen more fear for the
disruption that is coming. We are living
through transformational times that is
very similar to 250 years ago where the
end of the agricultural age ended and
the beginning of the industrial age
began.
>> I would argue that it's more significant
because there's two forces that kind of
keep me up at night. The first force is
AI, which is you can think of it as just
the replacement of the human brain from
a sort of productivity standpoint. And
then the other is robotics. And the
problem is they're coming in at the same
time. And I was watching I don't know if
you saw this the other day.
>> So I'll put this on the screen for
anyone that's watching the video right
now, but this is a demonstration that
took place in China of how advanced
their robots are. And I had to check
multiple times to make sure that this
wasn't fake. They are doing back flips
and landing perfectly on their feet. And
so when you combine intelligence with
the disruption of our physical form, our
muscles, our body, our ability to pick
things up and move them through through
time and space,
it begs the question like where do we
>> where do we fit in to all of that?
Strangely, there's something called the
Jevans paradox. And the Jevans paradox
is a paradox where when we think
something is going to completely disrupt
the way that we uh live and work. It
often has the opposite effect. We
thought that YouTube was going to
completely wipe out television. And it's
true that Hollywood lost tens of
thousands of jobs, but YouTubing created
500 to 600,000 jobs at the same time.
And it used to take 150 people to make a
a TV show or a movie. And now it's 5 to
10 people making YouTube videos as a
little team. and they can have a wildly
successful YouTube channel. With the
Jebans paradox, if we currently said
that in order to have a successful
software company right now today or in
the last few years, you needed to have
10,000 customers and you needed to have
a team of 50 people and you needed to
raise$1 to5 million to get a software
company off the off the ground. If all
of a sudden the cost and the commitment
drops dramatically to have a software
company and you only need 500 customers
to work it to make it work and you only
need two people on a team to make it
work and you only need a tiny bit of
funding to make it work. What happens is
like YouTube channels you can end up
with literally millions of tiny little
software businesses that are super
successful for 5 to 10 people and they
do something niche and they do something
special. They don't look like
traditional software companies either.
So a traditional software company would
just do the software whereas these
little software companies might do
software plus they might do dinner
parties where the clients get together.
They might have an annual ski retreat.
They might have a podcast and a YouTube
channel that goes with it. And all of
that could be done by 5 to 10 people
using AI tools. So the Jevans paradox
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