Canada Just Burned $20 BILLION… And They’re Celebrating
VOLLSTÄNDIGE ABSCHRIFT
Have you ever wondered why an
announcement of a pipeline completion
approval could just go from right at the
top today's biggest headline to nearly a
page 12? Well, it's usually the data
behind it. See, we need to ask
ourselves, how much does a government
delay cost? Not in theory, not in
politics, but in real dollars today.
Because on Friday, Ottawa stood up and
told Canadians something very
interesting about the Nbridge pipeline.
Now, one, it's a natural gas pipeline
and they have approved that pipeline. It
is a 4 billion pipeline and they want
you to believe that that's somehow some
type of show of leadership despite this
pipeline being ready to go in 2022. They
want to show you that it's somehow
progress for Mark Carney and his Liberal
government, that they've somehow
established momentum. But what if I told
you that that same project used to cost
hundreds of millions, if not a billion
less than it will cost to do today when
the shovels hit the ground in July. And
all that's changed was time. No redesign
of the project, no expansion, no new
scope to the whole thing. just simply
the fact that it took from 2022 to 2026
to get approved. And today, we're going
to not let them get away with that.
We're going to prove something that
should honestly make every single one of
you stop and think about what this
Liberal government is doing to our
economy. Canada is just too slow to
build. And Canada is making itself far
poorer by choice. So, let's tap into the
truth.
Welcome to Bakes on Things.
>> Welcome back to Tap to Maple here on
your Sunday edition. Happy Sunday,
everybody. Grab six, seven coffees. I
don't care what it is. Let's do this
today together. Here's the headline.
Don't forget to like, subscribe, and
join the conversation. By the way, the
federal government just approved the
Sunrise expansion. Yay. Let's launch
fireworks. a natural gas pipeline
project in British Columbia led by
Enbridge tied into the West Coast system
and directly feeding LG export growth
through projects like wood fiber LNG and
the messaging around all of that energy
superpower jobs created security for the
country opportunity knocks all great
words the same words in fact that we
heard in 2022 when the project was first
put up for approval but here's what
they're also not telling you this
project didn't just show up last week,
did it? It didn't start here in 2026. It
didn't even start in 2025. In fact, this
project has been in planning,
engineering, consultation, and more
since actually before it was put up for
approval. So, that's 2020 and 2021,
meaning by industry standards, this
thing's been ready to go for a long
time. They don't want you asking
questions about that or pointing that
out. Hence down to page three. Now let's
see why it went even further down. Well,
because it's not conceptual. It wasn't a
theoretical project. It was ready to go.
And yet here we are just giving it now
the approval it deserves in 2026
post a giant surge of inflation. So,
when we think about the construction,
which is scheduled to begin here in the
summer of 2026, again, there's a reason
they're not launching fireworks, because
here's the question. If it was ready
years ago, why are we only approving
this project now with no major changes
to the project since four years ago? And
more importantly, what did that delay
cost us? Or what it is is it about to
cost us. So, let's walk through all of
this in good time so that everybody
understands this, including the
Liberati, because this is where
Canadians get misled very often by this
Liberal government, and it's time to
hear the truth. When you hear that this
is a $4 billion project, you assume
that's just what it costs to produce.
But that's not how this infrastructure
that are that is like this works. Costs
evolve over time. There is time value to
money. And in Canada, they don't just
evolve, they explode because of our
inflation rates over the last half
decade. Because between 2022 and today,
construction costs have been rising
roughly 5% per year, then another 5%,
then 4% in 2024, then 3% in 2025. And
while that's declining over time, it
compounds on itself. So that is about an
18% increase in what it costs today to
build this pipeline versus if we had
approved it in 2022. So let's rewind. If
Sunrise had been approved in 2022 and
that summer shovels went in the ground,
it would likely have cost us 3.3 billion
to 3.5 billion in the end. Instead, we
are going to pay well over 4 billion for
this project to actually be built. Now,
that is roughly $500 million to
potentially 700 million to potentially
an extra billion gone. No new pipeline
yet, no added capacity, no upgrades,
none of that stuff is costing us more.
It's just that the base project itself,
the waiting has cost us more. That's
where that price tag comes in. So, let
me make that real for you right now.
Let's let's take a look at some of the
real picture associated with those
calculations. $700 million is hospitals.
It's infrastructure. It's tax relief.
All burned, burned, burned, burned, gone
on the bonfire. Hope you went camping
because and can roast marshmallows cuz
you burned all the money because we
couldn't do this in less time. That's
the whole reason. Now, if Sunrise was
the only example of our mistakes made
here, then, you know, maybe you let this
one pass, maybe you say, "Okay, well,
stuff happens. Things got behind. It's a
construction project after all. I've
done renovations and they've gotten
behind." But it's not the first time.
It's not the only time. And it's a list
of many. So, if we zoom out to things
like Trans Mountain expansion, which
started at 5.4 billion, do you want to
know what that should be now? If Trans
Mountain expansion is built and
completed at this point, over 34
billion, from just over five billion to
over 34 billion. And that's not entirely
inflation, of course. That's not even
complexity itself that's causing that.
That's a $28 billion failure to execute
on the project. Coastal Gas Link, it had
an original price tag of $6.6
billion. What do you think that price
tag is now? Take a guess.
14.5 billion.
14.5
billion. Another $7.9 billion increase.
Wood fiber LNG the one that this is
meant to feed even here tied directly to
Sunrise. Enbridge originally had
expected that that particular project to
cost $1.5 billion dollar
now closer to $2.9 billion. All of this
extra spending
almost not almost double in that case
not related to the project's pieces at
all. It's related to the waiting. So
stop and think about this. Just these
projects alone, when added together,
have over $38 billion in cost increases
related simply to time. Not a rounding
error, not some sort of coincidence.
That's a system. It's our broken system.
And the delay costs you. That's $ 38
billion on your back now. Because had we
approved these things four years
earlier, the $ 38 billion would not have
existed. So, here's where this gets even
more dangerous. Because people hear
those numbers and they think, "Well,
yeah, things get more expensive over
time. It's just the government. It's
just what the government does. Oh, it's
the government. Don't worry about it."
No, no, no, no, no, no. This is why your
taxes go up. This is why your fuel taxes
go up. This is why carbon taxes are
introduced. None of that is what's
happening. What's happening is something
I call the delay tax. In fact, that's
exactly what this is. It works like
this. Every single year you delay one of
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