Beat the Benchmark 2026. Update: I wish I had never bought these two stocks.
VOLLSTÄNDIGE ABSCHRIFT
Hello dear friends. My name is Clive
Thompson. Today I'm going to be talking
about my beat the benchmark portfolio
2026 and I'll be talking about the best
and worst stocks. And I'm going to tell
you about two stocks I really regret
putting in the portfolio.
Let's quickly start with a risk warning.
Nothing in this video is meant to be
investment advice. I'm not an investment
advisor. Stocks may go down as well as
up and you may not get back what you
started with. Stocks and portfolios that
I mentioned today may fall in value and
you may lose money. Let's get on with
it.
Every year I publish a specimen
portfolio called beat the benchmark.
It comprises 40 stocks.
These stocks are very carefully chosen.
They are designed to be as diversified
as possible. Now, this year's portfolio
went live in December 2025 and quite a
few of my viewers have been asking
questions about its yield, its PE ratio,
its growth, and its safety. Today, I'm
going to answer those questions and I'm
going to show you how I answer them and
walk you through how you can find the
metrics and fundamentals of your own
portfolio very quickly and easily. Let's
get into it. The portfolio philosophy is
simple. I want exposure to as many
countries as possible. I want exposure
to as many industries, currencies,
countries, and company sizes as
possible.
Not the 40 fastest growing stocks, but
40 stocks that fit together like a
jigsaw puzzle. And I want to
deliberately avoid duplication while
avoiding concentration risk. Now, how is
it performed? We started with $400,000.
We've got $47,000
now, slightly up. Um, but we had a very
good January and February, up about 9%
as you can see here on the chart. Uh,
but then after the war started here, we
fell back heavily and we're currently up
about 1.4%. Uh, which is where your
48,000 comes from. Uh, that's very
slightly behind the benchmark. Um, but
I'm very confident and you're going to
see the reasons why in a minute.
So on the 28th of February, the war
came. Of course, with hindsight,
everybody says we could have known it's
coming. Uh perhaps plenty did, but that
changed everything. Some stocks surged
and others fell hard.
Here's a quick summary of what moved and
why. The winners were largely in defense
and energy. Singapore Technologies
Engineering surged on demand for
battlefield vehicles, drones, and cyber
security. Norway's Norbit Asa rose
sharply. They make underwater threat
detection equipment. Uh they protect
subca infrastructure. DO Aviation in
France, Indra Systems in Spain, and
Leonardo SPA in Italy performed or
benefited from the dramatic increase in
European defense spending. On the energy
side, uh, Shell Transport and Trading
performed well, um, as did the
alternative energy companies, Vestus
Wind Systems and Kazak Tomrom, the Kazak
uranium producer.
The losers were the more painful story.
Hermes, the luxury goods manufacturer,
uh, fell as luxury spending came under
pressure with the war. Betsson uh
dropped heavily after Turkey cracked
down on online gambling and its currency
collapsed and the Chinese collectibles
company PopMart mart suffered from
rising tariffs and higher shipping
costs. Coming up, I'm going to tell you
about two stocks I should never have
bought and why. But first, let me show
you the metrics and the fundamentals of
the portfolio. And I think you're going
to agree that they're pretty good.
Now, most investors know simply Wall
Street for its snowflake. That's the
visual score you get when you click on
any individual company. It rates that
company from 0 to six across five
dimensions: health, value, future
growth, past performance, and dividends.
What very few people realize is that you
can generate the same snowflake for your
entire portfolio at at once. So, here's
the snowflake for my entire portfolio,
and you can see that it scores really
well on health. It's got an average
score of 4.72 out of six, and I would
say any score above two out of six is
good uh or good enough, and three out of
six is very good. Uh it also scores well
on the past track record, well on the
future growth, and well on the value
section. On the dividend section, maybe
doesn't score so well, but dividends
wasn't an important part of this
portfolio. across the board the
portfolio's got pretty good fundamentals
I think.
There we are. That's the so strong
health value and future and growth past.
Now let's look at the growth picture. So
to get that I'm going to click on
analysis and I'll scroll down to the
charts here and let's go across to look
at the growth that's coming. So let's
just go there. So as we can see the
historical growth of the portfolio,
we're talking about the earnings per
share growth or the earnings growth was
19.7 compared with the US market of
8.2%.
And the projected future growth is 24.9%
growth in earnings compared with the US
market of 16%. We got a similar picture
in the revenue growth of 16% past growth
uh versus 12 for the US market and
revenue growth forecast uh in the future
at 12% compared with 10.9% for the US
market. And if we come to the earnings
per share growth, we get a very picture
uh very similar picture to the earnings
growth of 19.9 historical 24.4 for
forecast earnings growth much higher
than the US uh forecast for the whole
market of 16.6%.
So I can say that across the board this
portfolio is expected to grow faster
than the market average. That's not
guaranteed, it's an expectation. And
here is one of my favorite views. We'll
scroll down here. Uh it's the
diversification across holdings. Look at
that ring of holdings. Every company
represented there represents a different
segment. There's no single stock
dominates. The largest holding KPL
represents just 3.9%
of the portfolio. Most of the holdings
sit in the 2.1 to 2.9% range. That's
genuine diversification. Diversification
by name, by numbers, by country, by
industry. And finally, valuation. This
is where it gets interesting. So to get
to the valuation, I'm just going to
scroll up here and we'll go to this
section and scroll to the left.
Nearly there. There we are. So this is
quite interesting because we can see
that the value of the portfolio is
$47,750,000.
But based on the discounted cash flow
value, these businesses are actually
worth based on the cash they are
expected to generate $851,780.
That's a figure which can change daily
of course. Um so the current portfolio
is currently priced at 52.1%
below its estimated intrinsic value. So
we have a theoretical value of $851,000.
intrinsic value $851,000 on a discounted
cash flow basis. Current market value
less than half of that very cheap in
terms of the portfolio and also as we
saw earlier high growth expected.
Now this brings me to what's called Mr.
Market or Benjamin Graham and Warren
Buffett.
Now Benjamin Graham was the mentor for
Warren Buffett. Warren Buffett wouldn't
be the hero he is when it comes to
investing if it wasn't for Ben Graham.
So Benjamin Graham in his book called
the intelligent investor introduced a
character he called Mr. Market.
Mr. Market is sometimes rational and
sometimes very euphoric and sometimes
he's deeply pessimistic willing to sell
you perfectly good businesses for far
less than they're worth.
Warren Buffett once said, "Mr. Market is
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